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Multivariate normal, Wishart, and Hotelling T2

1 · Prerequisites

2 · Summary

This page fixes the vector sampling unit, the n−1 sample covariance convention, and the Wishart law as a Gaussian outer-product sum, including singular-support cases. It proves the Gaussian mean/scatter decomposition and its exact Wishart degrees of freedom, then derives the exact one-sample Hotelling T2 to F pivot. For covariance testing it distinguishes the exact Wishart trace statistic, with p(n−1) degrees of freedom, from the Gaussian covariance likelihood ratio, whose fixed-p chi-square calibration is asymptotic with p(p+1)/2 degrees of freedom. No finite-sample chi-square calibration for that likelihood ratio is asserted.

The model contract and general testing interfaces come from scientific-statistical-model-contracts, exact-gaussian-linear-regression-inference, dominated-experiments-likelihood-and-sufficiency, finite-sample-tests-neyman-pearson-and-valid-p-values, and confidence-sets-pivots-and-test-inversion. The Gaussian orthogonal decomposition, fixed-dimensional CLT, probability, independence, and inner-product conventions are supplied by gaussian-orthogonal-decomposition-and-quadratic-forms, central-limit-theorems, probability-spaces-random-variables-and-expectation, independence-borel-cantelli-and-zero-one-laws, and inner-product-spaces-and-orthogonality. The general likelihood-asymptotics page is context only; the covariance likelihood result is proved directly under its explicit Gaussian assumptions.

3 · Logical flowchart

4 · Definitions, theorems and proofs

DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicableOpen item page →

Wishart law by Gaussian outer products

Definition

Assume the Axiom of Choice. Let p,m≥1 be integers and let Σ be a real symmetric positive-semidefinite p×p matrix, in the sense of Multivariate normal law, including singular covariance. Give Symp, the space of real symmetric p×p matrices, its Euclidean Borel sigma-algebra by identifying a matrix with its upper-triangular entries. The finite product measure Np(0,Σ)⊗m exists because each factor is a probability measure and hence sigma-finite. Define the Wishart law Wp(Σ,m) as the pushforward of this product measure by the continuous map (z1,…,zm)↦∑j=1mzjzjT. Equivalently, it is the law of ∑j=1mZjZjT for independent Zj∼Np(0,Σ).

Here Σ is the scale matrix and the positive integer m is the degrees of freedom. This definition allows a singular Wishart law when m<p or Σ is singular; no Lebesgue density is included in the convention. The usual nonsingular density when m≥p is not needed below.

LemmaStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedprecheck passjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

A standard-normal matrix with at least as many columns as rows has full row rank almost surely

Statement

Assume the Axiom of Choice. Let 1≤p≤m and let G=[G1∣⋯∣Gm] be a p×m matrix whose columns are independent Np(0,Ip) random vectors. Then the first p columns are linearly independent almost surely. Consequently GGT is positive definite almost surely.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The Axiom of Choice, integers 1≤p≤m, and independent standard multivariate-normal columns Gj∈Rp.

[A1]

The Axiom of Choice supplies the countable-choice measurability branch used by the continuous-map supplier and the Gaussian law definitions. The Axiom of Choice AC supplies countable selections and prescribed serial paths

[F1]

A family of random elements is independent when the sigma-algebras it generates are independent, and its finite joint law is the product of its marginal laws. Independent random elements Independent random elements have product joint law

[F2]

If Gj∼Np(0,Ip), then aTGj∼N(0,aTa) for every fixed a∈Rp. Multivariate normal law, including singular covariance

[F3]

Every proper subspace of a finite-dimensional inner-product space has a nonzero orthogonal complement. For a subspace W of a finite-dimensional inner product space, V=W⊕W⊥

[F4]

Nonnegative measurable functions on finite product probability spaces may be integrated by sections using Tonelli's theorem. Tonelli's theorem for nonnegative measurable functions on a sigma-finite product

[F5]

Continuous Euclidean functions are Borel measurable under countable choice; determinant minors are continuous polynomials. Continuous functions on Euclidean spaces are Borel measurable

Proof

Given: The hypotheses in the Statement.

1.1A1F1F2F3F4F5choose

For k=0, the first column is nonzero almost surely: the event G1=0 is contained in the event that its first coordinate is zero, which has probability zero because a standard normal has a density. For 1≤k<p, suppose the first k columns are linearly independent. For each fixed such tuple v1,…,vk, their span V is proper; by [F3] choose a≠0 with a⊥V. The next column is independent of this tuple by [F1], and [F2] gives aTGk+1∼N(0,∥a∥2), so P(Gk+1∈V)=0 because that event is contained in {aTGk+1=0}. The set of dependent (k+1)-tuples is Borel, since dependence is the simultaneous vanishing of its (k+1)×(k+1) minors and [F5] makes these determinant maps Borel. Integrating these zero-probability sections by [F1] and [F4], and adding the null set of dependent first k-tuples, shows that the first k+1 columns are linearly independent almost surely.

2.1step 1.1algebra∎

Applying step 1.1 successively through k=p−1 shows that the square matrix B=[G1∣⋯∣Gp] is invertible almost surely. For any nonzero v∈Rp, the first p coordinates of GTv are BTv≠0, so vTGGTv=∥GTv∥2>0. Thus GGT is positive definite almost surely.

DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicableOpen item page →

The iid multivariate-normal sample and covariance conventions

Definition

Assume AC. Fix integers n≥2 and p≥1. Let S++p be the set of real symmetric p×p matrices Σ such that vTΣv>0 for every nonzero v∈Rp. The iid multivariate-normal sampling experiment has data space X=(Rp)n with sigma-algebra B(Rp)⊗n, parameter set Θ=Rp×S++p, and sampling law Pμ,Σ=Np(μ,Σ)⊗n. The finite product is a probability measure by Probability measures and probability spaces and For sigma-finite factors, the product measure exists, has the rectangle formula, is sigma-finite, and is unique. The coordinate projection Xi is the complete vector observation for sampling unit i; its p coordinates need not be independent.

For x=(x1,…,xn)∈X, define xˉ=1n∑i=1nxi,R(x)=∑i=1n(xi−xˉ)(xi−xˉ)T,S(x)=R(x)n−1,M(x)=R(x)n. The functions x↦xˉ, S(x), and M(x) are continuous, hence Borel measurable under AC and AC supplies countable selections and prescribed serial paths; they are statistics in the experiment by Statistics and estimators. Here S uses the n−1 covariance denominator, while M is the n-denominator covariance candidate whose maximum-likelihood property is proved separately below.

This item instantiates the mathematical portion of the scientific model contract (Scientific statistical model contracts) as follows. One sampling and analysis unit is one complete observed vector Xi; index i identifies the sampling unit and coordinate a identifies a component within that vector. For fixed parameter label θ=(μ,Σ), μ and Σ are fixed, every Xi is random, every component of each Xi is observed, and there are no latent quantities, predictors, treatments, or randomization. The target population for this reference experiment is the abstract law Np(μ,Σ) of a vector-valued sampling unit, and the target parameter is θ itself; no separate scientific estimand or physical setting is asserted. The observation map records the complete vector tuple unchanged, and inference uses the joint product law, with no conditioning convention beyond that law. No topological support or empirical adequacy claim is needed; this is a mathematical reference model, not an assertion that observed scientific data follow it.

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The standard Wishart inverse quadratic form has an exact Fisher law

Statement

Assume AC. Let m≥p≥1, let W∼Wp(Ip,m), and let Z∼Np(0,Ip) be independent of W. Then W is positive definite almost surely and m−p+1pZTW−1Z∼Fp,m−p+1.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC, integers m≥p≥1, W∼Wp(Ip,m), Z∼Np(0,Ip), and independence of W and Z.

[A1]

The Axiom of Choice is assumed in the multivariate-normal and orthogonal-coordinate suppliers. The Axiom of Choice

[F1]

Wp(Σ,m) is the law of the sum of m independent Gaussian outer products; singular support is allowed by the stated convention. Wishart law by Gaussian outer products

[F2]

An independent standard-normal p×m matrix has full row rank almost surely when m≥p. A standard-normal matrix with at least as many columns as rows has full row rank almost surely

[F3]

An orthogonal transform preserves the independent standard-normal product law. Orthogonal transformations preserve the standard normal product law

[F4]

For a fixed orthogonal projection P of rank r and standard-normal g∈Rm, ∥(I−P)g∥2∼χm−r2. Orthogonal projections split a standard Gaussian into independent chi-square sums

[F5]

The law of a standard-normal squared norm with k coordinates is χk2, and the Fisher law is the ratio of independent scaled chi-square laws with positive degrees of freedom. Chi-square laws, including zero degrees Student t and Fisher F laws

[F6]

Positive-degree chi-square variables are positive almost surely. Positive-degree chi-square laws have a positive density and regular CDF

[F7]

Disjoint groups of an independent family remain independent, and measurable coordinatewise maps preserve independence. Independent random elements Disjoint groups of an independent sigma-algebra family remain independent Measurable coordinatewise functions preserve independence

[F8]

Independent random elements have product joint law; nonnegative product integrals may be computed by Tonelli. Independent random elements have product joint law Tonelli's theorem for nonnegative measurable functions on a sigma-finite product

[F9]

A self-adjoint idempotent is the orthogonal projection onto its image, and an orthogonal projection is the component map for V=W⊕W⊥. The orthogonal projection PWv is the W-component in V=W⊕W⊥ An endomorphism is an orthogonal projection exactly when it is idempotent and self-adjoint

[F10]

Every finite-dimensional inner-product space decomposes as a subspace plus its orthogonal complement, which has an orthonormal basis. For a subspace W of a finite-dimensional inner product space, V=W⊕W⊥ Every finite-dimensional real or complex inner product space has an orthonormal basis

[F11]

Continuous Euclidean maps are Borel measurable under the countable-choice consequence of AC. Continuous functions on Euclidean spaces are Borel measurable AC supplies countable selections and prescribed serial paths

Proof

1.1A1F1F2F11algebra

By [F1], realize W=GGT with G=[g1∣⋯∣gm] and independent gj∼Np(0,Ip). For any square matrix A, extend inversion by setting J(A)=A−1 when det⁡A≠0 and J(A)=0 otherwise. This is Borel: the invertible matrices form an open set, inversion is continuous there, and the complementary branch is constant; [F11] supplies Euclidean Borel measurability. Thus J(GGT) is a Borel matrix-valued random element and agrees with W−1 whenever GGT is invertible. Since m≥p, [F2] makes G full row rank almost surely; hence for nonzero v, vTWv=∥GTv∥2>0 and W is invertible almost surely.

2.1F2F9F11step 1.1algebra

For p≥2, write the first row of G as g and the remaining p−1 rows as G2. The event E2={det⁡(G2G2T)≠0} is Borel. Define C†=(G2G2T)−1 on E2 and C†=0 on E2c, and put P=G2TC†G2; this is Borel by the same piecewise-inversion argument as in step 1.1. By [F2], E2 has probability one. On E2, direct multiplication gives PT=P and P2=P, and its image is the row space of G2, of dimension p−1; [F9] identifies it as an orthogonal projection. For p=1, use the empty-row convention G2=0, P=0. In either case define the Borel scalar Q=g(Im−P)gT on the whole matrix space. On the full-probability event that G has full row rank, the block matrix W=GGT=(ggTgG2TG2gTC) has invertible lower block C when p≥2, and solving Wx=e1 gives e1TW−1e1=(ggT−gG2TC−1G2gT)−1. Thus for p≥2 this Q equals (e1TW−1e1)−1 on the full-probability event. For p=1, W=ggT and the same identity reads Q=ggT=(e1TW−1e1)−1.

3.1F2F4F5F7F8F11step 2.1

The entries of G are independent standard normals, so its first row g is independent of the remaining rows G2 by [F7]. For each fixed full-row-rank value of G2, Im−P is an orthogonal projection of rank m−p+1. Therefore [F4] gives the section law Q∼χm−p+12 for every such G2; the p=1 case follows from [F5]. The matrix rank event is Borel because it is determined by continuous minors, and the extended map P(G2) is Borel by step 2.1. The exceptional set has probability zero by [F2]. Applying the product-law identity [F8] to these Borel sections shows that the unconditional law of the Borel extension Q=g(Im−P)gT is also χm−p+12.

4.1A1F3F5F6F7F8F10F11step 1.1step 3.1

For any fixed unit vector u∈Rp, [F10] supplies an orthogonal matrix U with Uu=e1. By [F3] and [F7], applying U to each independent column preserves their joint standard-normal product law; hence UWUT has the same law as W. Let h(t)=t−1 for t>0 and h(t)=0 otherwise. Since J(W)=W−1 almost surely by step 1.1 and W≻0 almost surely, h(uTJ(W)u) has the same law as Q in step 3.1 for every unit u, using the orthogonal invariance just proved. Set UZ=Z/∥Z∥ when Z≠0 and let UZ=e1 when Z=0. The map z↦Uz is Borel, and QZ:=h(UZTJ(W)UZ) is Borel because J and h are Borel; Z=0 is null by [F5]–[F6]. For Borel sets A,B, independence and the product law give P(∥Z∥2∈A,QZ∈B)=∫{z:∥z∥2∈A}PW(h(uzTJ(W)uz)∈B) dPZ(z), where uz=z/∥z∥ for z≠0 and u0=e1. The inner probability is the same for every unit uz, so this factors as P(∥Z∥2∈A)P(Q∈B). Thus QZ is independent of ∥Z∥2 and has the same χm−p+12 law as Q in step 3.1.

5.1F5F6step 4.1algebra∎

By [F5], ∥Z∥2∼χp2 and it is independent of QZ∼χm−p+12 by step 4.1. Therefore m−p+1pZTW−1Z=∥Z∥2/pQZ/(m−p+1) has law Fp,m−p+1 by the defining Fisher ratio; its denominator is positive almost surely by [F6].

TheoremStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedprecheck passjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

The Gaussian sample mean is independent of the Wishart sample scatter

Statement

Assume AC and the sample model in The iid multivariate-normal sample and covariance conventions, with n≥2, p≥1, and Σ≻0. Then n(Xˉ−μ)∼Np(0,Σ),Xˉ⊥S,(n−1)S∼Wp(Σ,n−1). If n>p, then S is positive definite almost surely. The Wishart scale is Σ and its degrees of freedom are n−1.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC and the iid multivariate-normal sample model, with n≥2, p≥1, and Σ≻0.

[A1]

AC is the choice assumption in the multivariate-normal construction and the orthogonal Gaussian-coordinate supplier. The Axiom of Choice

[F1]

The sample model has independent vector-valued sampling units Xi∼Np(μ,Σ) and defines Xˉ, S, and the n−1 covariance convention. The iid multivariate-normal sample and covariance conventions

[F2]

Under AC, Np(m,Σ) is realized by m+Σ1/2Z with independent standard-normal coordinates, and its linear projections have the specified normal laws. Multivariate normal law, including singular covariance

[F4]

An orthogonal transformation of a standard-normal vector with independent coordinates again has independent standard-normal coordinates. Orthogonal transformations preserve the standard normal product law

[F5]

Disjoint groups of an independent family remain independent. Disjoint groups of an independent sigma-algebra family remain independent

[F6]

Measurable functions of independent random elements remain independent. Measurable coordinatewise functions preserve independence

[F7]

The Wishart law Wp(Σ,m) is the law of a sum of m independent Np(0,Σ) outer products. Wishart law by Gaussian outer products

[F8]

A standard-normal matrix with m≥p columns has full row rank almost surely. A standard-normal matrix with at least as many columns as rows has full row rank almost surely

[F9]

Continuous Euclidean maps are Borel measurable under the choice assumption; in particular the sample mean, covariance, and whitening maps used here are measurable. Continuous functions on Euclidean spaces are Borel measurable AC supplies countable selections and prescribed serial paths

[F10]

A positive-semidefinite symmetric matrix has a positive square root; if Σ≻0, that root is invertible because Σ1/2v=0 would imply vTΣv=0. A non-negative operator has a unique non-negative square root

[F11]

Finite independent random elements have the product joint law of their marginal laws. Independent random elements have product joint law

Proof

1.1A1F1F2F3F6F9F10F11givenchoose

Define Yi=Σ−1/2(Xi−μ). The positive root exists by [F10], and if Σ1/2v=0 then vTΣv=∥Σ1/2v∥2=0, so Σ≻0 makes the root invertible. Whitening is a continuous, hence Borel, map by [F9]; [F6] therefore preserves independence of the sample vectors. By [F2], each Yi∼Np(0,Ip) has independent standard-normal coordinates, and [F11] gives the product joint law across i. Thus all np entries Yia are independent standard normals. Let u=n−1/2(1,…,1)T∈Rn. By [F3], complete u to an orthonormal basis u1=u,u2,…,un of Rn. For each coordinate a∈{1,…,p}, the sample-coordinate vector (Y1a,…,Yna)T is therefore standard normal in Rn, and these p vectors are independent.

2.1F1F4F6step 1.1algebra

Let Y=[Y1∣⋯∣Yn] and, for each j,a, define Yja′=ujT(Y1a,…,Yna)T. Applying the orthogonal invariance [F4] separately to the p independent coordinate vectors gives independent standard-normal entries within each transformed coordinate vector; [F6] preserves independence between those p vectors under their separate orthogonal maps. Thus all np entries Yja′ are independent standard normals, and the p-vectors Y1′,…,Yn′ formed from their coordinates are independent Np(0,Ip) vectors.

3.1F2F5step 2.1algebra

Since u1=u, Y1′=n n−1∑iYi=n Σ−1/2(Xˉ−μ). Its law and [F2] give n(Xˉ−μ)∼Np(0,Σ). The vector Y1′ is independent of (Y2′,…,Yn′) by [F5].

4.1F5F6F7F9step 2.1step 3.1algebra

The matrix U=[u1∣⋯∣un] is orthogonal and u1=u. Hence YYT splits as YYT=YuuTYT+∑j=2nYujujTYT. The first term is nYˉYˉT, and the remaining terms are Yj′Yj′T, so ∑i(Yi−Yˉ)(Yi−Yˉ)T=∑j=2nYj′Yj′T. Since Xi−Xˉ=Σ1/2(Yi−Yˉ), it follows that (n−1)S=Σ1/2(∑j=2nYj′Yj′T)Σ1/2. The independent vectors in [F5] and Wishart definition [F7] give (n−1)S∼Wp(Σ,n−1). The sample mean is a function of Y1′, while S is a function of Y2′,…,Yn′; the maps are Borel by [F9], so [F6] gives Xˉ⊥S.

5.1F8step 4.1algebra∎

If n>p, then n−1≥p and the residual vectors Y2′,…,Yn′ are independent standard-normal columns. By [F8], their p×(n−1) matrix has row rank p almost surely. Its sum of column outer products is therefore positive definite; the congruence in step 4.1 and n−1>0 show S≻0 almost surely.

TheoremStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedprecheck passjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

The Gaussian covariance likelihood ratio has its fixed-dimensional Wilks limit

Statement

Assume AC, fix p≥1, and use the iid multivariate-normal sample model with n>p. Test H0:Σ=Σ0 against unrestricted Σ∈S++p, with μ∈Rp unrestricted under both hypotheses and fixed Σ0≻0. Let M=R/n be the full-model Gaussian covariance MLE, and let Λn be the null-over-full maximized likelihood ratio formed from the explicit Lebesgue Gaussian density. Almost surely, −2log⁡Λn=n[tr⁡(Σ0−1M)−log⁡det⁡(Σ0−1/2MΣ0−1/2)−p]. With p fixed and the null true, −2log⁡Λn⇒χp(p+1)/22 as n→∞. The covariance null is interior in S++p. This calibration is asymptotic; no finite-sample chi-square law is asserted.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC, fixed p≥1, n>p, observations from the stated iid sample model, and under the null the true covariance is Σ0≻0.

[A1]

AC supplies the Gaussian construction and the countable-choice branch used by Borel measurability and the density/change-of-variables setup. The Axiom of Choice AC supplies countable selections and prescribed serial paths

[F1]

The sample consists of independent vector observations with mean μ, covariance Σ, and centered scatter R=∑i(Xi−Xˉ)(Xi−Xˉ)T; M=R/n. The iid multivariate-normal sample and covariance conventions

[F2]

A multivariate normal vector is representable as μ+Σ1/2Z with independent standard-normal coordinates. Multivariate normal law, including singular covariance

[F3]

A standard-normal coordinate has Lebesgue density (2π)−1/2e−z2/2. Standard normal and normal laws

[F4]

Independent coordinates have their product joint law; Tonelli integrates the nonnegative product density, and finite product Lebesgue measure agrees with Euclidean Lebesgue measure on Borel sets. Independent random elements Independent random elements have product joint law Tonelli's theorem for nonnegative measurable functions on a sigma-finite product On Borel subsets of R^{m+n}, the product lambda_m times lambda_n agrees with lambda_{m+n}

[F5]

An invertible affine change of variables transforms a nonnegative Borel density by the absolute determinant Jacobian. Borel change of variables from the compact-support formula and Radon uniqueness

[F6]

For n>p, the centered Gaussian scatter R is positive definite almost surely. Indeed, write Xi=μ+Σ1/2Gi with independent standard-normal columns and put G=[G1∣⋯∣Gn]. Complete u=n−1/2(1,…,1)T to an orthogonal matrix U=[u∣u2∣⋯∣un]. The map G↦GU is orthogonal on the np entries, so those entries remain independent standard normals. Centering gives R=Σ1/2BBTΣ1/2 with B=[Gu2∣⋯∣Gun]. Since n−1≥p, the rank lemma makes BBT≻0 almost surely, and invertibility of Σ1/2 gives the claim. Every finite-dimensional real or complex inner product space has an orthonormal basis Orthogonal transformations preserve the standard normal product law A standard-normal matrix with at least as many columns as rows has full row rank almost surely

[F7]

An iid finite-dimensional vector with finite second moment obeys the multivariate iid central limit theorem. Multivariate iid central limit theorem

[F8]

Convergence in distribution implies boundedness in probability; products of bounded-in-probability vectors are bounded in probability, a vanishing factor times a bounded factor vanishes in probability, and Slutsky and continuous mapping preserve the stated limits. Finite-dimensional stochastic-order calculus and tightness Stochastic order and convergence notation for finite-dimensional random vectors Vector Slutsky theorem Continuous mapping theorem

[F9]

χk2 is the law of the sum of squares of k independent standard-normal coordinates. Chi-square laws, including zero degrees

[F10]

For nested hypotheses with existing maxima, the likelihood-ratio statistic is twice the full-minus-null maximized log likelihood. Wald, score, and likelihood-ratio statistics for regular nulls

[F12]

Every positive-semidefinite symmetric matrix has a positive-semidefinite square root; if it is positive definite, that root is invertible. A non-negative operator has a unique non-negative square root

[F13]

A statistical experiment is dominated by a measure when every sampling law is absolutely continuous with respect to that common measure; Lebesgue measure is sigma-finite. Dominated statistical experiments Lebesgue measure is sigma-finite, and every metrically bounded subset of Rn has finite outer measure

[F14]

A likelihood density is a Radon–Nikodym density of the sampling law relative to the fixed dominating measure. Likelihood densities

[F15]

Continuous Euclidean functions are Borel measurable. Continuous functions on Euclidean spaces are Borel measurable

Proof

1.1A1F1F2F3F4F5F13F14F15algebra

By [F2] and [F3], one observation has density ϕμ,Σ(x)=(2π)−p/2(det⁡Σ)−1/2exp⁡[−(x−μ)TΣ−1(x−μ)/2]: the independent-coordinate product density follows from [F4], its continuous Gaussian formula is Borel by [F15], and the invertible affine map z↦μ+Σ1/2z has determinant ∣det⁡Σ1/2∣=(det⁡Σ)1/2, so [F5] gives the displayed density. Independence in [F1] then makes the sample density its product over i=1,…,n. The finite-dimensional Lebesgue measure is sigma-finite by [F13], so the product law is dominated by it and the displayed function is a likelihood density by [F14].

1.2F1F2F3F7F8F12algebra

Under H0, the positive root Σ01/2 is invertible by [F12], so define Yi=Σ0−1/2(Xi−μ). By [F1]–[F2] these are iid Np(0,Ip). Write Cn=n−1∑iYiYiT and An=Σ0−1/2MΣ0−1/2=Cn−YˉYˉT. For a symmetric matrix, let vech⁡ list its upper-triangular entries in a fixed order; put Vi=vech⁡(YiYiT−Ip). These vectors have mean zero and diagonal covariance: diagonal coordinates have variance 2, off-diagonal coordinates variance 1, and distinct coordinates have covariance zero. Indeed, independence and symmetry give zero for any product with an odd coordinate power; integration by parts against [F3]'s density gives EZ2=1 and EZ4=3 (using ϕ′(z)=−zϕ(z) and vanishing polynomial-times-Gaussian boundary terms), while independence factors mixed even products. These finite moments make Vi square-integrable, so [F7] yields nvech⁡(Cn−Ip)⇒N(0,D) with those diagonal variances. Also nYˉ=OP(1) by [F7]–[F8], whence nYˉYˉT=n−1/2(nYˉ)(nYˉ)T=oP(1) by [F8]. Thus Hn=n(An−Ip) converges in distribution to a symmetric Gaussian matrix H whose entries on and above the diagonal are independent, with variances 2 on the diagonal and 1 off it.

2.1F1step 1.1algebra

Taking logarithms of that positive product density gives, up to the parameter-free constant −nplog⁡(2π)/2, ℓn(μ,Σ)=−n2log⁡det⁡Σ−12∑i=1n(Xi−μ)TΣ−1(Xi−μ). Expanding Xi−μ=(Xi−Xˉ)+(Xˉ−μ) and using ∑i(Xi−Xˉ)=0 shows the quadratic sum equals n(Xˉ−μ)TΣ−1(Xˉ−μ)+tr⁡(Σ−1R). Since Σ−1≻0, this is minimized uniquely at μ=Xˉ for every fixed Σ.

3.1F6F11F12step 2.1algebra

By [F6], M=R/n≻0 almost surely. The square root M1/2 exists by [F12] and is invertible because M≻0. At μ=Xˉ, compare the covariance log likelihood at any Σ≻0 with its value at M. Let B=M1/2Σ−1M1/2≻0. The trace and determinant identities give ℓn(Xˉ,Σ)−ℓn(Xˉ,M)=−n2{tr⁡B−log⁡det⁡B−p}. By [F11], the eigenvalues λ1,…,λp of B are positive and the brace is ∑j(λj−log⁡λj−1)≥0, since x−log⁡x−1≥0 for x>0 by differentiation and its unique minimum at 1. Equality holds precisely when all λj=1, hence B=I and Σ=M. Thus the unrestricted MLE is (Xˉ,M); under H0 the maximizing mean remains Xˉ by step 2.1.

4.1F10step 3.1algebra

Substituting the unrestricted and null maxima into [F10], and using R=nM, yields −2log⁡Λn=n{tr⁡(Σ0−1M)+log⁡det⁡Σ0−log⁡det⁡M−p}. Since det⁡(Σ0−1/2MΣ0−1/2)=det⁡M/det⁡Σ0, this is the asserted finite-sample identity.

5.1step 4.1step 1.2F8algebra

Since Hn=OP(1) by [F8], En=An−Ip=Hn/n has Frobenius norm ∥En∥F=OP(n−1/2), where ∥B∥F=(∑i,jBij2)1/2. On an event whose probability tends to one, every eigenvalue ej of the symmetric En has ∣ej∣≤1/2. Taylor's theorem on [−1/2,1/2] gives e−log⁡(1+e)=e2/2+O(∣e∣3) with a uniform finite remainder constant there. Hence the statistic in step 4.1 equals n∑j=1p(ej−log⁡(1+ej))=12tr⁡(Hn2)+OP(n∥En∥F3)=12tr⁡(Hn2)+oP(1), because p is fixed and n∥En∥F3=OP(n−1/2).

6.1F8F9step 1.2step 5.1algebra∎

The map H↦12tr⁡(H2) is continuous, so [F8] and step 1.2 give convergence to 12tr⁡(H2). For the stated independent entries this is ∑i=1p(Hii/2)2+∑1≤i<j≤pHij2, a sum of p+p(p−1)/2=p(p+1)/2 independent squared standard normals, which has law χp(p+1)/22 by [F9]. Step 5.1 and Slutsky [F8] prove the asserted limit. When p=1, the off-diagonal sum is empty and the same count gives one degree of freedom; p is fixed throughout, and no finite-sample calibration follows from this limit.

TheoremStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedprecheck passjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

The one-sample Hotelling statistic has an exact F law

Statement

Assume AC, n>p≥1, and the iid multivariate-normal sample model with covariance Σ≻0. For μ0∈Rp, define T2=n(Xˉ−μ0)TS−1(Xˉ−μ0) when S≻0, and set T2=0 otherwise. Under H0:μ=μ0, n−pp(n−1)T2∼Fp,n−p. The zero extension does not change the law because S≻0 almost surely when n>p.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC, n>p≥1, an iid Np(μ,Σ) sample with Σ≻0, and the null μ=μ0.

[A1]

AC is used in the Gaussian and Wishart constructions. The Axiom of Choice

[F1]

The sample mean is independent of the centered scatter and (n−1)S∼Wp(Σ,n−1); for n>p, S≻0 almost surely. The Gaussian sample mean is independent of the Wishart sample scatter

[F2]

The Wishart law is the law of a sum of independent Gaussian outer products, with scale Σ and integer degrees of freedom. Wishart law by Gaussian outer products

[F3]

A Gaussian vector with covariance Σ is obtained by multiplying a standard normal by Σ1/2. Multivariate normal law, including singular covariance

[F4]

For independent W∼Wp(Ip,m) and Z∼Np(0,Ip) with m≥p, W≻0 almost surely and m−p+1pZTW−1Z∼Fp,m−p+1. The standard Wishart inverse quadratic form has an exact Fisher law

[F5]

The Fisher law has numerator and denominator degrees of freedom as given by its independent chi-square ratio definition. Student t and Fisher F laws Chi-square laws, including zero degrees

[F6]

Positive-degree chi-square variables are positive almost surely, so the Fisher denominator is positive. Positive-degree chi-square laws have a positive density and regular CDF

[F7]

Every positive-semidefinite symmetric matrix has a positive square root; if Σ≻0 and Σ1/2v=0, then vTΣv=∥Σ1/2v∥2=0, so the root is injective and hence invertible. A non-negative operator has a unique non-negative square root

[F8]

Measurable functions of independent random elements remain independent. Measurable coordinatewise functions preserve independence

[F9]

The sample map S is continuous by the model definition, and Sylvester's criterion expresses S++p as finitely many strict polynomial inequalities; hence {S≻0} is Borel. Inversion is continuous on invertible matrices, and continuous Euclidean maps are Borel under countable choice, which follows here from AC. The iid multivariate-normal sample and covariance conventions Sylvester's criterion: a real symmetric n×n matrix with n≥1 is positive definite if and only if all leading principal minors are positive Continuous functions on Euclidean spaces are Borel measurable AC supplies countable selections and prescribed serial paths

Proof

1.1A1F1F2F3F7F8F9givenalgebra

The statistic T2 in the Statement is a random variable: by [F9], {S≻0} is Borel; on this set inversion is continuous, so the displayed quadratic form is Borel, and setting it to zero on the Borel complement preserves measurability. Let Z=n Σ−1/2(Xˉ−μ0). The positive root is invertible by [F7]; under the null, [F1] and [F3] therefore give Z∼Np(0,Ip). Moreover, Z and W:=Σ−1/2(n−1)SΣ−1/2 are independent: Xˉ and S are independent by [F1], and the separate whitening maps are continuous, hence Borel, so [F8] preserves independence. The congruence in [F1] and [F2] gives W∼Wp(Ip,n−1); it is positive definite almost surely by [F1].

2.1F1step 1.1algebra

On the event S≻0 (which has probability one by [F1]), substitute S=Σ1/2WΣ1/2/(n−1) and Xˉ−μ0=Σ1/2Z/n into the definition. Cancelling the inverse congruence gives T2=(n−1)ZTW−1Z.

3.1F1F4F5F6step 2.1algebra∎

Apply [F4] with m=n−1≥p. It gives n−ppZTW−1Z∼Fp,n−p. Multiplying the identity in step 2.1 by (n−p)/(p(n−1)) proves the asserted law. Since S≻0 almost surely, the off-domain zero convention affects only a null event.

TheoremStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedprecheck passjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

The exact covariance trace statistic has p(n−1) chi-square degrees of freedom

Statement

Assume AC, p≥1, n≥2, and the iid multivariate-normal sample model. Under H0:Σ=Σ0 for a specified Σ0≻0, the distinct statistic tr⁡{Σ0−1(n−1)S} has the exact law χp(n−1)2, even when n≤p and S is singular. This is the Wishart trace statistic, not the covariance likelihood-ratio statistic.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC, n≥2, p≥1, the iid Gaussian sample model, and true covariance Σ0≻0.

[A1]

AC is used in the Gaussian law and Wishart construction. The Axiom of Choice

[F1]

The centered scatter satisfies (n−1)S∼Wp(Σ,n−1) for every n≥2. The Gaussian sample mean is independent of the Wishart sample scatter

[F2]

The Wishart law is the law of a sum of independent centered Gaussian outer products, including singular support. Wishart law by Gaussian outer products

[F3]

Under the null, each Np(0,Σ0) vector has the representation Σ01/2Zj with independent standard-normal coordinates. The positive square root exists by A non-negative operator has a unique non-negative square root; if Σ01/2v=0, then vTΣ0v=∥Σ01/2v∥2=0, so Σ0≻0 makes it invertible. Multivariate normal law, including singular covariance

[F4]

The chi-square law with positive integer k is the law of a sum of k independent squared standard normals. Chi-square laws, including zero degrees Independent random elements have product joint law

Proof

1.1A1F1F2F3given

Put m=n−1≥1. By [F1]–[F3], the law of (n−1)S is the law of ∑j=1mXjXjT for independent Xj=Σ01/2Zj with all pm scalar coordinates independent standard normals.

2.1F3step 1.1algebra

For each summand, cyclicity of the finite trace and Σ0−1/2Σ01/2=Ip give tr⁡(Σ0−1XjXjT)=XjTΣ0−1Xj=ZjTZj. By linearity of trace, the target statistic therefore has the law of ∑j=1m∑a=1pZja2.

3.1F4step 2.1algebra∎

The pm=p(n−1) coordinates in step 2.1 are independent standard normals, so their squared sum has law χpm2 by [F4]. This argument does not require m≥p: if m<p, the matrix scatter may be singular, but its trace and the sum of squares remain defined; m=1 and p=1 are both included. The statistic is distinct from the likelihood-ratio statistic, whose formula contains a log determinant when the scatter is nonsingular.

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The one-sample Hotelling F test has exact size alpha

Statement

Assume AC, n>p≥1, and the one-sample multivariate-normal model with covariance Σ≻0. For a specified μ0∈Rp and 0<α<1, reject H0:μ=μ0 when n−pp(n−1)T2>Fp,n−p−1(1−α), where T2 is the statistic in The one-sample Hotelling statistic has an exact F law. Against H1:μ≠μ0, this test has size exactly α over all null covariances Σ≻0.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC, n>p≥1, the iid multivariate-normal experiment, fixed μ0, and 0<α<1.

[A1]

AC is part of the Gaussian model and the exact Hotelling theorem. The Axiom of Choice The one-sample Hotelling statistic has an exact F law

[F1]

The scaled Hotelling statistic has the common law Fp,n−p under every null covariance Σ≻0. The one-sample Hotelling statistic has an exact F law

[F2]

A randomized test is a measurable test function into [0,1], and the size is the supremum of its rejection probability over the null parameter set. Randomized tests Test size and power

[F3]

A probability kernel assigns a probability measure to each observation and has measurable event-probability functions; this includes deterministic kernels supported on a measurable action. Randomized procedures as probability kernels Measure kernel and probability kernel A measurable function between measurable spaces

[F4]

The Fr,s CDF for positive degrees of freedom is continuous on R and strictly increasing on (0,∞); each probability level in (0,1) has a unique support quantile. Student t and Fisher F CDFs are continuous and strictly increasing on their supports

[F5]

For real symmetric matrices, positive definiteness is equivalent to positivity of all leading principal minors. Sylvester's criterion: a real symmetric n×n matrix with n≥1 is positive definite if and only if all leading principal minors are positive

[F6]

Continuous Euclidean functions are Borel measurable. Continuous functions on Euclidean spaces are Borel measurable

[F7]

The model parameter set consists of every μ∈Rp and every Σ≻0. The iid multivariate-normal sample and covariance conventions

Proof

1.1F2F3F5F6F7

The statistic is Borel measurable: the sample maps Xˉ and S are continuous by the model definition [F7]; by [F5], the event S≻0 is the finite intersection of strict polynomial inequalities on its leading principal minors. On this open set, S−1 has entries equal to cofactors divided by det⁡S>0, so the quadratic-form formula for T2 is continuous by [F6]. Extending that function by zero on the Borel complement remains Borel. Let D(x) be the indicator that the scaled statistic exceeds the stated threshold and define a kernel on actions {0,1} by K(x,A)=1 if D(x)∈A and 0 otherwise. For each x this is a probability measure, and x↦K(x,A) is measurable because D is measurable. Thus [F3] makes this a randomized procedure and [F2] its test function.

1.2A1F1F4F7given

Since p≥1, Rp∖{μ0} is nonempty; hence the stated null and alternative parameter sets are nonempty and disjoint. Under AC [A1], [F4] gives a unique q=Fp,n−p−1(1−α)>0 satisfying P(Fp,n−p≤q)=1−α. For each null covariance, [F1] gives rejection probability P(Fp,n−p>q)=α, with no boundary atom because its CDF is continuous.

2.1F2step 1.2algebra∎

Taking the supremum of the same value α over the nonempty null set leaves it equal to α. By [F2] this supremum is the test's size, proving exact size. The argument includes every positive-definite null covariance and uses the exact finite-sample F law; no asymptotic calibration is used.

5 · Examples, counterexamples and false statements

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