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Domination and Likelihood Ratios

1 · Prerequisites

2 · Summary

Domination fixes one sigma-finite positive reference measure for every law in an experiment. Under AC, its Radon–Nikodym classes admit selected nonnegative representatives, but those versions are only determined almost everywhere and need not be measurable in the parameter. A likelihood holds the observed data fixed; it is not a probability distribution on the parameter labels.

For two probability laws, the likelihood-ratio class is the derivative of the absolutely continuous part relative to the denominator law. A singular part must be retained separately. Under absolute continuity, integration against the likelihood ratio changes measure. Equivalent dominating measures multiply every parameter density by the same positive data-only factor, with each fixed parameter pair's equality holding almost everywhere.

3 · Logical flowchart

4 · Definitions, theorems and proofs

LemmaStatement: AI-adaptedProof: AI-adaptedprecheck passjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

Lebesgue components of a positive finite measure are positive

Statement

Let ν be a finite positive measure and μ a positive measure on the same measurable space. If ν=νac+νs with νac≪μ and νs⊥μ, then νac and νs are positive measures.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: A finite positive measure ν, a positive measure μ, and a decomposition ν=νac+νs with νac≪μ and νs⊥μ.

[F1]

Mutual singularity for signed or complex measures: singularity supplies a measurable carrier N whose measurable subsets are μ-null, while νs vanishes on every measurable subset of X∖N.

[F2]

Absolute continuity of a signed or complex measure with respect to a positive measure: νac≪μ makes νac vanish on every measurable μ-null set.

[F3]

Measures on sigma-algebras and Finite, sigma-finite, and semifinite measures: a measure has nonnegative values on measurable sets, and a finite measure has finite values on all of them.

Proof

technique · direct
1.1F1F2F3givenchoose

Choose the singular carrier N from [F1]. For any measurable E, the singular part vanishes on E∖N, so the decomposition gives νac(E∖N)=ν(E∖N)≥0. Also νac(E∩N)=0 by [F1] and [F2]. Additivity therefore gives νac(E)=νac(E∖N)≥0. All displayed component values are finite because the sum is the finite value ν and the other component is zero on the set being evaluated.

2.1F1F2F3givenalgebra∎

On E∩N, [F2] gives νac(E∩N)=0, so the decomposition yields νs(E∩N)=ν(E∩N)≥0. The singular part vanishes on E∖N by [F1]; hence νs(E)=νs(E∩N)≥0. Since E was arbitrary, both components are positive measures.

LemmaStatement: AI-adaptedProof: AI-adaptedprecheck passjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

A sigma-finite positive measure has a nonnegative Radon–Nikodym density version

Statement

Assume AC. If μ and ν are sigma-finite positive measures on the same measurable space and ν≪μ, then the Radon–Nikodym class dν/dμ has a finite-valued nonnegative measurable representative. Every finite-valued representative of that class is nonnegative μ-almost everywhere.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC, sigma-finite positive measures μ,ν on (X,A), and ν≪μ.

[A1]

The Axiom of Choice: AC states that every family of nonempty sets has a choice function.

[F1]

Finite, sigma-finite, and semifinite measures: sigma-finiteness gives a countable measurable cover by sets of finite measure.

[F2]

The total variation |nu|(E) from countable measurable partitions: total variation is the supremum of sums of absolute measure values over measurable partitions. For a positive measure, countable additivity makes every such sum equal to the measure of the partitioned set.

[F3]

A sigma-finite signed measure that is absolutely continuous with respect to a sigma-finite positive measure has a unique almost-everywhere density and The Radon-Nikodym derivative as an almost-everywhere equivalence class: under AC, absolute continuity and a common finite exhaustion give a nonempty almost-everywhere class of real-valued densities satisfying the setwise integral formula; its representatives are locally integrable on the exhaustion sets.

[F4]

Absolute continuity of a signed or complex measure with respect to a positive measure: ν≪μ means every μ-null measurable set is ν-null.

[F5]

Extended-real-valued measurable functions and Sigma-algebras: if f is measurable, {f≤c} is measurable as the complement of {f>c}, and countable unions of measurable sets are measurable.

[F6]

Integrable real and complex functions, and their integrals and Monotonicity and nonnegative homogeneity of the nonnegative integral: on a finite-integral piece, a real integrable function has a defined signed integral; the nonnegative integral is monotone.

[F7]

Closure properties of measurable functions used by the integral: scalar multiples of measurable real functions and their positive parts, including max⁡{f,0}, are measurable.

Proof

technique · direct
1.1A1F1F2F3givenchoose

Choose increasing countable finite-measure covers (Ai) for μ and (Bj) for ν, using [F1]. Set Xn=⋃i,j≤n(Ai∩Bj). Then Xn↑X and both μ(Xn) and ν(Xn) are finite, since each finite union is contained in finite unions of sets from the corresponding cover. By [F2], ∣ν∣(Xn)=ν(Xn)<∞. Thus [F3] applies. Fix any finite-valued representative f of the nonempty class; it satisfies ν(E)=∫Ef dμ for every measurable E and ∫Xn∣f∣ dμ<∞.

2.1F3F5F6F7step 1.1given

For n,m≥1, let En,m=Xn∩{f≤−1/m}, which is measurable by [F5]. On En,m, −f≥1/m; because f is integrable on Xn, [F6] and [F7] give ∫En,mf dμ≤−μ(En,m)/m. If μ(En,m)>0, the representation in step 1.1 would give ν(En,m)<0, contradicting positivity of ν. Hence every En,m is μ-null.

3.1F1F5step 2.1

The countable union N=⋃n,m≥1En,m is measurable and μ-null by [F5]. Since the sets Xn cover X, N={f<0}.

4.1F3F4F7step 1.1step 3.1given∎

Define f~=max⁡{f,0}. By [F7], f~ is measurable; it is nonnegative, equals f off N, and is zero on N. For every measurable E, absolute continuity gives ν(E)=ν(E∖N) by [F4], while step 1.1 gives ν(E∖N)=∫E∖Nf dμ=∫Ef~ dμ. Thus f~ represents the Radon–Nikodym class. The argument also shows that any finite-valued representative is nonnegative outside a null set.

DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicablejudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

Dominated statistical experiments

Definition

Let E=((X,A),Θ,(Pθ)θ∈Θ) be a statistical experiment (Statistical experiments). It is dominated by a supplied positive measure μ on (X,A) when μ is sigma-finite (Finite, sigma-finite, and semifinite measures) and Pθ≪μ for every θ∈Θ (Absolute continuity of a signed or complex measure with respect to a positive measure). The dominating measure is part of the specified setup. This condition adds no measurable structure on Θ and no measurability of θ↦Pθ.

DefinitionDefinition: AI-adaptedProof: Not applicablejudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

Likelihood ratio as a Radon–Nikodym derivative

Definition

Let P0 and P1 be probability measures on the same measurable space. Assume AC. Their Lebesgue decomposition relative to P0 is the unique decomposition P1=P1,ac+P1,s with P1,ac≪P0 and P1,s⊥P0 (Every sigma-finite signed measure admits a Lebesgue decomposition relative to a sigma-finite positive measure, The Lebesgue decomposition of a sigma-finite signed measure is unique). Both components are positive by Lebesgue components of a positive finite measure are positive, and P1,ac is finite because their sum has mass one. Define the likelihood-ratio density of P1 against P0 to be the P0-almost-everywhere class

dP1,acdP0

of The Radon-Nikodym derivative as an almost-everywhere equivalence class. Under AC this class has a nonnegative measurable representative by A sigma-finite positive measure has a nonnegative Radon–Nikodym density version.

This is a full density of P1 with respect to P0 only in the absolutely continuous case P1≪P0. If that condition fails, the singular component remains separate. A displayed representative is not a canonical pointwise function: its values are determined only P0-almost everywhere.

DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicablejudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

Likelihood densities

Definition

Let E=((X,A),Θ,(Pθ)θ∈Θ) be dominated by the fixed sigma-finite positive measure μ. For each θ, the Radon–Nikodym theorem gives the almost-everywhere class dPθ/dμ; a sigma-finite exhaustion for μ is also finite for the probability measure Pθ. Under AC, select simultaneously a finite-valued measurable nonnegative representative pθ from each class. The nonnegative version exists by A sigma-finite positive measure has a nonnegative Radon–Nikodym density version.

For fixed observed x∈X, the function Lx:Θ→[0,+∞),Lx(θ):=pθ(x), is the likelihood at x. This is a function on the parameter labels, not a probability distribution on Θ. No sigma-algebra on Θ or measurability of Lx is implied. Each density is determined only μ-almost everywhere; there is no canonical pointwise version and, for arbitrary uncountable Θ, no common exceptional null set is asserted.

TheoremStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedprecheck passjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

Likelihood-ratio change of measure

Statement

Assume AC and let P0,P1 be probability measures on one measurable space. Let r be a nonnegative measurable representative of the likelihood-ratio class for P1 versus P0. If P1≪P0, then

EP0[gr]=EP1[g]

for every nonnegative measurable g, and also for every real-valued P1-integrable measurable g. Here EPi[h] means ∫h dPi. Without P1≪P0, this identity need not hold because the singular component may be nonzero.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC; probability measures P0,P1 on (X,A); a nonnegative representative r of their likelihood-ratio class; and, for the identity, the additional hypothesis P1≪P0.

[A1]

The Axiom of Choice: AC states that every family of nonempty sets has a choice function.

[F1]

Likelihood ratio as a Radon–Nikodym derivative: the likelihood-ratio class is dP1,ac/dP0, where P1=P1,ac+P1,s is its Lebesgue decomposition.

[F2]

The Lebesgue decomposition of a sigma-finite signed measure is unique: two decompositions into an absolutely continuous part and a singular part have identical components.

[F3]

Lebesgue components of a positive finite measure are positive and The total variation |nu|(E) from countable measurable partitions: for a positive finite P1, both Lebesgue components are positive; hence P1,ac is finite and its total variation equals itself.

[F4]

A sigma-finite signed measure that is absolutely continuous with respect to a sigma-finite positive measure has a unique almost-everywhere density and A sigma-finite positive measure has a nonnegative Radon–Nikodym density version: under AC, a finite positive measure absolutely continuous with respect to the probability P0 has a nonnegative density representative satisfying the setwise integral formula, and every representative of that class agrees with it P0-almost everywhere.

[F5]

The measure with density f relative to μ and Measures on sigma-algebras: r dP0 is the measure A↦∫Ar dP0 when r is nonnegative measurable, so its setwise values are additive over measurable partitions.

[F6]

Integrating against a density agrees with integrating the product: for nonnegative measurable g, ∫g d(r dP0)=∫gr dP0.

[F8]

A nonnegative integral over a null set vanishes: the integral of a nonnegative measurable function over a P0-null set is zero.

Proof

technique · direct
1.1A1F1F2givenalgebra

The decomposition P1=P1+0 has absolutely continuous part P1 and singular part 0, because the hypothesis gives P1≪P0. Comparing it with the decomposition in [F1], uniqueness [F2] gives P1,ac=P1 and P1,s=0.

2.1A1F3F4F5F8step 1.1givenchoose

By [F3], P1,ac is positive and finite, and P0 is a finite positive measure. Choose a nonnegative representative r^ supplied by [F4], so P1,ac(A)=∫Ar^ dP0 for every A∈A. By step 1.1, P1,ac=P1. The representative r in the statement belongs to this same Radon–Nikodym class, so [F4] gives a measurable P0-null set N outside which r=r^. By [F5], both r dP0 and r^ dP0 are measures; their values on A∩N are zero by [F8], and their values on A∖N agree because the densities agree there. Measure additivity therefore gives ∫Ar dP0=∫Ar^ dP0=P1(A) for every measurable A. Thus the density measure r dP0 in [F5] equals P1.

3.1F5F6step 2.1

For nonnegative measurable g, equality of these measures and [F6] give ∫g dP1=∫g d(r dP0)=∫gr dP0. This is the asserted expectation identity in the nonnegative case.

4.1F7step 3.1givenalgebra∎

Now let g be real-valued and integrable under P1. By [F7], g+ and g− are measurable and integrable. Applying step 3.1 to each gives ∫g±r dP0=∫g± dP1<∞; applying it to ∣g∣ also shows ∫∣g∣r dP0=∫∣g∣ dP1<∞. Thus gr∈L1(P0), and linearity from [F7] yields ∫gr dP0=∫g+r dP0−∫g−r dP0=∫g dP1.

TheoremStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedprecheck passjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

Equivalent dominating measures give equivalent likelihood ratios

Statement

Assume AC. Let μ and ν be mutually absolutely continuous sigma-finite positive measures on one measurable space, and let E=((X,A),Θ,(Pθ)θ∈Θ) be dominated by both. Choose nonnegative density representatives pθμ=dPθ/dμ, pθν=dPθ/dν, and h=dν/dμ. Then h>0 μ-almost everywhere and, for each fixed θ, pθμ=h pθνμ-almost everywhere. Thus, for each fixed pair θ,η, the ratios pθμ/pημ and pθν/pην agree μ-almost everywhere wherever the denominator is positive. The factor h depends only on the two dominating measures. For an arbitrary uncountable Θ, no single exceptional null set valid for every pair is asserted; the density versions are not pointwise canonical, and no ratio value is specified at a zero denominator.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC; mutually absolutely continuous sigma-finite positive measures μ,ν; and an experiment whose probability laws satisfy Pθ≪μ and Pθ≪ν for every θ.

[F1]

Finite, sigma-finite, and semifinite measures: sigma-finiteness gives countable covers by measurable sets finite under the corresponding measure.

[A1]

The Axiom of Choice: AC says every family of nonempty sets has a choice function, permitting simultaneous selection of density representatives.

[F3]

A sigma-finite signed measure that is absolutely continuous with respect to a sigma-finite positive measure has a unique almost-everywhere density and The Radon-Nikodym derivative as an almost-everywhere equivalence class: under AC and a common finite exhaustion, each derivative is a finite-valued measurable representative class satisfying the setwise integral formula.

[F4]

A sigma-finite positive measure has a nonnegative Radon–Nikodym density version: for sigma-finite positive measures with absolute continuity, the RN class has a finite-valued nonnegative representative.

[F5]

Radon-Nikodym derivatives satisfy the chain rule along nu << mu << lambda: if λ,ρ are sigma-finite positive measures and σ has a common finite exhaustion with them, with σ≪ρ≪λ, then dσ/dλ=(dσ/dρ)(dρ/dλ) λ-almost everywhere.

[F6]

Absolute continuity of a signed or complex measure with respect to a positive measure: μ≪ν means every ν-null measurable set is μ-null.

[F7]

Likelihood densities: for observed x, the likelihood under a chosen dominating measure is Lx(θ)=pθ(x), with each density specified only up to its own null set.

[F8]

The total variation |nu|(E) from countable measurable partitions and Probability measures and probability spaces: on a measurable set, total variation of a positive measure equals its measure; in particular ∣Pθ∣(Xn)=Pθ(Xn)≤1.

Proof

technique · direct
1.1A1F1F5F8givenconstruct

Choose increasing finite-measure covers (Ai) for μ and (Bj) for ν by [F1], and set Xn=⋃i,j≤n(Ai∩Bj). Then Xn↑X, μ(Xn)<∞, and ν(Xn)<∞. Since Pθ is a probability measure, [F8] gives ∣Pθ∣(Xn)≤1. This is a common finite exhaustion for μ,ν,Pθ, so the hypotheses in [F5] hold for every θ, with (λ,ρ,σ)=(μ,ν,Pθ).

1.2A1F3F4F6givenchoose

By [A1], [F3], and [F4], choose nonnegative representatives h=dν/dμ and pθμ,pθν for the stated classes. The measurable set H={x:h(x)=0} satisfies ν(H)=∫Hh dμ=0 by [F3]; then μ(H)=0 by [F6]. Hence h>0 μ-almost everywhere.

2.1A1F3F5F7step 1.1step 1.2givenalgebra∎

Fix θ. Applying [F5] on the common exhaustion from step 1.1 gives pθμ=h pθν μ-almost everywhere. For a fixed pair θ,η, remove the union of their two exceptional null sets and the null set H from step 1.2. On the remaining set, both density identities hold and h>0, so division by the positive common factor gives pθμ/pημ=pθν/pην wherever the denominators are positive. The exceptional set may depend on the pair, which proves the stated scope.

5 · Examples, counterexamples and false statements

None yet.

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