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Equivalent dominating measures give equivalent likelihood ratios
Statement
Assume AC. Let and be mutually absolutely continuous sigma-finite positive measures on one measurable space, and let be dominated by both. Choose nonnegative density representatives , , and . Then -almost everywhere and, for each fixed , Thus, for each fixed pair , the ratios and agree -almost everywhere wherever the denominator is positive. The factor depends only on the two dominating measures. For an arbitrary uncountable , no single exceptional null set valid for every pair is asserted; the density versions are not pointwise canonical, and no ratio value is specified at a zero denominator.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: AC; mutually absolutely continuous sigma-finite positive measures ; and an experiment whose probability laws satisfy and for every .
Finite, sigma-finite, and semifinite measures: sigma-finiteness gives countable covers by measurable sets finite under the corresponding measure.
The Axiom of Choice: AC says every family of nonempty sets has a choice function, permitting simultaneous selection of density representatives.
A sigma-finite signed measure that is absolutely continuous with respect to a sigma-finite positive measure has a unique almost-everywhere density and The Radon-Nikodym derivative as an almost-everywhere equivalence class: under AC and a common finite exhaustion, each derivative is a finite-valued measurable representative class satisfying the setwise integral formula.
A sigma-finite positive measure has a nonnegative Radon–Nikodym density version: for sigma-finite positive measures with absolute continuity, the RN class has a finite-valued nonnegative representative.
Radon-Nikodym derivatives satisfy the chain rule along nu << mu << lambda: if are sigma-finite positive measures and has a common finite exhaustion with them, with , then -almost everywhere.
Absolute continuity of a signed or complex measure with respect to a positive measure: means every -null measurable set is -null.
Likelihood densities: for observed , the likelihood under a chosen dominating measure is , with each density specified only up to its own null set.
The total variation |nu|(E) from countable measurable partitions and Probability measures and probability spaces: on a measurable set, total variation of a positive measure equals its measure; in particular .
Proof
Choose increasing finite-measure covers for and for by [F1], and set . Then , , and . Since is a probability measure, [F8] gives . This is a common finite exhaustion for , so the hypotheses in [F5] hold for every , with .
By [A1], [F3], and [F4], choose nonnegative representatives and for the stated classes. The measurable set satisfies by [F3]; then by [F6]. Hence -almost everywhere.
Fix . Applying [F5] on the common exhaustion from step 1.1 gives -almost everywhere. For a fixed pair , remove the union of their two exceptional null sets and the null set from step 1.2. On the remaining set, both density identities hold and , so division by the positive common factor gives wherever the denominators are positive. The exceptional set may depend on the pair, which proves the stated scope.
Depends on
- The Axiom of Choice
- Probability measures and probability spaces
- Finite, sigma-finite, and semifinite measures
- The total variation |nu|(E) from countable measurable partitions
- Absolute continuity of a signed or complex measure with respect to a positive measure
- Likelihood densities
- A sigma-finite positive measure has a nonnegative Radon–Nikodym density version
- The Radon-Nikodym derivative as an almost-everywhere equivalence class
- A sigma-finite signed measure that is absolutely continuous with respect to a sigma-finite positive measure has a unique almost-everywhere density
- Radon-Nikodym derivatives satisfy the chain rule along nu << mu << lambda
Used by
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Sources
- Ryan Martin, Lecture Notes on Advanced Statistical Theory, §3.2, PDF pp. 54–55 (standard reference, not scraped)
- Joshua M. Tebbs, STAT 512 Mathematical Statistics Lecture Notes, §9.3, PDF pp. 118–123 (standard reference, not scraped)
- Charles J. Geyer, Stat 5421 Lecture Notes: Exponential Families, §3, PDF pp. 3–5 (standard reference, not scraped)
- John K. Hunter, Measure Theory, Theorem 6.27 and proof, §6.8 (notes pp. 75–77) (standard reference, not scraped)