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DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicablePipeline-generated
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Augmented ABC tolerance target

Definition

Use the prior and simulator setup of Approximate Bayesian computation and the tolerance-conditioned target: standard-Borel parameter and data spaces (Θ,T) and (Y,Y), a prior probability Π, a probability kernel K(θ,⋅), a measurable summary map S:Y→Rd with d≥1, an observed summary s0∈Rd, and tolerance ϵ≥0. Let Bϵ(s0)={s∈Rd:∥s−s0∥2≤ϵ},Aϵ=S−1(Bϵ(s0)). The prior-simulator joint law H on the product sigma-algebra (Θ×Y,T⊗Y) is H(C)=∫ΘK(θ,Cθ) Π(dθ),Cθ={y:(θ,y)∈C}, which is a probability measure by A prior and model kernel define a joint law. The finite product is standard Borel by Finite products of standard Borel spaces are standard Borel. Put hϵ(θ,y)=1Aϵ(y),Zϵ=∫Θ×Yhϵ dH=∫ΘK(θ,Aϵ) Π(dθ). Thus 0≤Zϵ≤1, and Zϵ is the prior-predictive probability pϵ(s0) in Approximate Bayesian computation and the tolerance-conditioned target. Only when Zϵ>0 define the augmented ABC tolerance target Π~ϵ(C)=1Zϵ∫Chϵ dH(C∈T⊗Y). It is the prior-simulator joint law conditioned on the summary-tolerance event. Its parameter marginal is identified in The augmented ABC target has the tolerance posterior as its parameter marginal. The definition does not assert that summary reduction or a positive tolerance preserves the full-data posterior.

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