How statement and proof provenance work
The first chip identifies the source of the statement or construction; the second identifies the source of its local proof or verification.
- Literature-sourced: the exact statement appears in a cited source; only wording and notation differ.
- AI-adapted: a semantically identical restatement of literature-sourced material, modulo indexing, notation, and boundary cases adopted by the library.
- AI-generated: a genuinely novel statement formulated by AI, with no source for the claim itself.
These labels describe origin, not correctness: citations and verification chips remain separate evidence.
A base-null observation is a prior-predictive null fiber
Example
Assume AC. Let with the discrete sigma-algebra and let , so . In the model and , examine the data event .
Separately, let be any standard Borel space, let be a finite nonzero diffuse measure (meaning for every ), and fix one . The verification also checks the posterior-version freedom on this fixed singleton data fiber.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The finite space and base measure in the Example.
Assume AC, as required by the process existence and posterior results. The Axiom of Choice.
A cell with zero base mass has -mass zero almost surely under . Dirichlet process Existence of a Dirichlet process by normalized gamma Poisson random measure.
Under AC, for every finite nonzero base measure on a standard Borel space, the normalized-Gamma theorem defines and the one-observation posterior update gives the measurable kernel satisfying disintegration. Existence of a Dirichlet process by normalized gamma Poisson random measure Dirichlet-process posterior update Bayesian posterior as a regular conditional law.
Under AC, in a one-draw model on a standard Borel space with finite nonzero base measure , for every measurable . Dirichlet-process Pólya-urn predictive law.
In a standard Borel space every singleton is measurable: under a Polish presentation it corresponds to a closed singleton. Standard Borel spaces.
A probability kernel has probability-measure sections and measurable evaluations; its disintegration identity is checked on measurable rectangles. Measure kernel and probability kernel Probability measures and probability spaces Bayesian posterior as a regular conditional law.
Every nonempty finite discrete space is standard Borel. Dirac set functions are probability measures; A countable discrete measurable space is standard Borel A Dirac set function is a probability measure.
Verification
Given: The finite two-point model in the Example and, separately, the standard Borel diffuse-base model with fixed .
The nonempty two-point discrete space is standard Borel by [F6], and is a probability measure by [F6], hence a finite nonzero base measure of total mass . Thus [F1] applies: almost surely. Since , integration over the prior gives , also agreeing with [F3].
The formula in [F2] assigns at the null data value. Define another kernel by and . Both sections are probability measures, and is measurable because is measurable in the discrete data space. For any measurable event in , the disintegration integrals for and differ only at , which has data-marginal mass zero by step 1.1. Thus both are posterior versions; the update formula at is a version choice, not evidence-supported learning.
In the separate diffuse-base model, [F3] gives data-marginal mass . Let be the posterior kernel from [F2] and set for , . By [F4], is measurable. For every measurable , is measurable; each section is a probability measure, so [F5] makes a probability kernel. The disintegration integrals for and agree on every measurable rectangle because the kernels differ only on and . Thus is also a posterior version, proving that the displayed update value at this fixed null fiber is not uniquely determined.
Depends on
- A countable discrete measurable space is standard Borel
- A Dirac set function is a probability measure
- Dirichlet process
- Existence of a Dirichlet process by normalized gamma Poisson random measure
- Dirichlet-process posterior update
- Dirichlet-process Pólya-urn predictive law
- Bayesian posterior as a regular conditional law
- Standard Borel spaces
- Measure kernel and probability kernel
- Probability measures and probability spaces
- The Axiom of Choice
Used by
Nothing in the library uses this result yet.
Dependency tree · two levels
85 results within two dependency steps of this one, each drawn at its shortest distance from it. An arrow runs from a result to what uses it, so the chart reads left to right and ends at this result, which carries a heavier outline. Every node is a link to that result. Click elsewhere on the chart to enlarge it.
Sources
- Thomas S. Ferguson, A Bayesian Analysis of Some Nonparametric Problems, 1973, Section 3 (standard reference, not scraped)
- Günter Last and Mathew Penrose, Lectures on the Poisson Process, 2017, Chapter 3 (standard reference, not scraped)