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Finite-arm regret decomposes into expected action counts

Statement

Let T,N≥1 be integers, let (Ω,F,P) be a probability space, and let At:Ω→[N] be measurable arm choices and Yt:Ω→R integrable rewards for t=1,…,T. Let μ1,…,μN∈R be finite arm means and assume the conditional-mean identity

E ⁣[Yt1{At=i}]=μiP(At=i)(t=1,…,T, i∈[N]).

Set μ∗:=max⁡i∈[N]μi, define the pseudo-regret RˉT:=∑t=1T(μ∗−μAt), the realized reward regret RTrew:=∑t=1T(μ∗−Yt), and the number of pulls of arm i by Ni(T):=∑t=1T1{At=i}. Then

E[RTrew]=E[RˉT]=∑i=1N(μ∗−μi) E[Ni(T)].

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The finite stochastic-arm model in the statement, integrable rewards Yt, measurable choices At∈[N], and finite means satisfying the stated conditional-mean identity.

[F1]

Expectation of an integrable real random variable is its Lebesgue integral on the probability space (Expectation of a nonnegative or integrable random variable).

[F2]

Expectation is linear for finite linear combinations of integrable random variables (Linearity, monotonicity, and the modulus bound for expectation).

[F3]

For every measurable event B, E[1B]=P(B) (The expectation of an indicator is the probability of the event).

[A1]

In the fixed-law finite-arm model, for any round t, arm i, and event B determined by the pre-reward history and chosen arm with B⊆{At=i}, E[Yt1B]=μiP(B) (Adversary and feedback models). In particular, this holds for B={At=i}.

Proof

1.1givenA1F1F2

For each fixed t, the events Et,i:={At=i}, i∈[N], are a measurable partition of Ω, because At takes exactly one value in [N]. The conditional-mean hypothesis gives E[Yt1Et,i]=μiP(Et,i). Since Yt=∑i=1NYt1Et,i pointwise and the sum is finite, linearity of expectation gives E[Yt]=∑i=1NμiP(Et,i).

1.2givenF2F3algebra

Pointwise, μAt=∑i=1Nμi1Et,i and μ∗=∑i=1Nμ∗1Et,i. Thus RˉT=∑t=1T∑i=1N(μ∗−μi)1Et,i. Linearity of expectation and E[1Et,i]=P(Et,i) yield E[RˉT]=∑t=1T∑i=1N(μ∗−μi)P(Et,i).

2.1givenF1F2F3step 1.1step 1.2algebra

Linearity of expectation and E[1Ω]=P(Ω)=1 give E[RTrew]=Tμ∗−∑t=1TE[Yt]. Substituting step 1.1 and rearranging the finite sums gives E[RTrew]=∑t=1T∑i=1N(μ∗−μi)P(Et,i), which equals the expression in step 1.2.

3.1givenF2F3step 1.2algebra∎

Since Ni(T)=∑t=1T1Et,i, linearity of expectation and the indicator expectation identity give E[Ni(T)]=∑t=1TP(Et,i). Summing these equalities over the finite set of arms with coefficients μ∗−μi identifies the result from step 1.2 with ∑i=1N(μ∗−μi)E[Ni(T)] and proves the claimed identity.

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