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Gap-dependent expected regret of UCB

Statement

Let n,k be integers with n≥max⁡{k,2}. In an n-round k-armed stochastic bandit, suppose all reward-stack entries are 1-sub-Gaussian. Run the upper-confidence-bound algorithm with δ=n−2. Its expected reward regret satisfies

Rn≤3∑i=1kΔi+∑i:Δi>016log⁡nΔi,

where log⁡ is the natural logarithm. This is an expected-regret bound, not a high-probability guarantee.

Statement references

Finite stochastic bandit model, gaps, and regret: the finite reward-stack model, gaps, and expected reward regret.

Centered 1-sub-Gaussian reward: the exact mean-centred MGF condition for each reward entry.

Finite-horizon upper-confidence-bound bandit algorithm: the UCB index and the finite-horizon schedule used by the theorem.

Expected pull count for a suboptimal UCB arm: the deterministic-prefix expected-pull bound for each suboptimal arm.

Finite-arm regret decomposes into expected action counts: expected regret is the gap-weighted sum of expected pull counts under the fixed conditional-mean law.

Tor Lattimore and Csaba Szepesvári, Bandit Algorithms: Theorem 7.1 and proof, Chapter 7 §7.1, PDF pp. 114–117 / printed pp. 105–108.

Sébastien Bubeck and Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi, Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems: Theorem 2.1 and proof, Chapter 2 §2.2, PDF pp. 14–15 / printed pp. 11–12; its confidence schedule and constants differ.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: Integers n,k with n≥max⁡{k,2}, the finite reward-stack model with all entries 1-sub-Gaussian, and UCB run with δ=n−2.

[F1]

The gaps are Δi=μ∗−μi≥0 and expected reward regret is Rn=E[nμ∗−∑t=1nYt] (Finite stochastic bandit model, gaps, and regret).

[A1]

Each reward stack entry satisfies E[exp⁡(λ(Xs,i−μi))]≤exp⁡(λ2/2) for every real λ (Centered 1-sub-Gaussian reward).

[F2]

The reward-stack model satisfies the fixed conditional-mean identity required by the regret-decomposition result (The independent reward-stack model has the prescribed conditional arm laws).

[F3]

Under that identity, Rn=∑i=1kΔiE[Ti(n)] (Finite-arm regret decomposes into expected action counts).

[F4]

For every i with Δi>0, E[Ti(n)]≤3+16log⁡(n)/Δi2 (Expected pull count for a suboptimal UCB arm).

Proof

1.1givenF1F2F3

By [F2], the conditional-mean hypothesis of [F3] holds for the observed rewards of the UCB policy. Therefore Rn=∑i=1kΔiE[Ti(n)].

2.1givenA1F1F4F5step 1.1algebra∎

If Δi=0, its summand is zero. For every remaining arm, substitute [F4] into step 1.1 and distribute the nonnegative coefficient Δi to obtain Rn≤∑i:Δi>0(3Δi+16log⁡n/Δi)=3∑i=1kΔi+∑i:Δi>016log⁡n/Δi. This is the asserted expected-regret bound.

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