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Likelihood tilts are sigma-finite measures
Statement
Under the hypotheses and conventions of Likelihood-tilted measures at a KL projection, each is a sigma-finite measure. The definition does not require its total mass to be one; the companion examples exhibit masses below and above one, while for the selected minimizer.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: A probability measure , supplied finite-valued measurable densities and , and -almost surely.
Likelihood-tilted measures at a KL projection: is the integral of the nonnegative ratio against , with the ratio set to zero where .
Arithmetic and lattice operations preserve measurability whenever they are defined: scalar multiples, everywhere-defined sums, products, and lattice operations of measurable extended-real functions are measurable.
The indefinite integral of a nonnegative measurable function is a measure: if is measurable, then is a measure.
Threshold characterisations of real-valued and extended-real-valued measurability: a function is measurable if and only if all its strict upper real threshold sets are measurable.
Proof
Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the Statement.
Fix and define on and elsewhere. The supplied finite-valued nonnegative densities make nonnegative and finite everywhere. For every real , The difference is an everywhere-defined measurable function by [F2], so this intersection is measurable. For , the threshold set is . Thus [F5] proves measurability of , and is defined for every .
By [F3], is a measure. For each integer , set . These sets are measurable by step 1.1 and increase to because is finite everywhere. Moreover, by [F4]. Thus is a countable cover by finite--measure sets, and is sigma-finite. For the selected minimizer, , so by the assumed almost-sure positivity.
Depends on
- Likelihood-tilted measures at a KL projection
- Measures on sigma-algebras
- Probability measures and probability spaces
- Arithmetic and lattice operations preserve measurability whenever they are defined
- Threshold characterisations of real-valued and extended-real-valued measurability
- The indefinite integral of a nonnegative measurable function is a measure
Used by
- Weak tests against likelihood tilts do not ensure almost-sure posterior consistency Counterexample
- A finite misspecified model with a unique KL projection Example
- A likelihood tilt can be a finite measure of mass above one Example
- A likelihood tilt can be a finite measure of mass below one Example
- Product likelihood tilts have the product density Lemma
Dependency tree · two levels
23 results within two dependency steps of this one, each drawn at its shortest distance from it. An arrow runs from a result to what uses it, so the chart reads left to right and ends at this result, which carries a heavier outline. Every node is a link to that result. Click elsewhere on the chart to enlarge it.
Sources
- B. J. K. Kleijn and A. W. van der Vaart, The Bernstein-Von-Mises Theorem under Misspecification, §3.2, p. 370 (standard reference, not scraped)