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QMD controls singular and zero-overlap masses

Statement

Assume AC and the hypotheses of Quadratic-mean differentiability at a parameter. Write p0=pθ0, pu=pθ0+u, and P0=Pθ0. Let α(u):=Pθ0+u(p0=0),β(u):=P0(pu=0). Then α(u)=o(∥u∥22) and β(u)=o(∥u∥22) as u→0.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC; QMD at θ0 with score s square-integrable under P0, and density versions p0,pu relative to the common measure μ.

[A1]

The Axiom of Choice: AC supplies the density representatives in Likelihood densities.

[L1]

Likelihood densities: Each selected pθ is nonnegative and measurable with Pθ(A)=∫Apθ dμ.

[F1]

Quadratic-mean differentiability at a parameter: The residual ru=pu−p0−12(uTs)p0 satisfies ∥ru∥L2(μ)=o(∥u∥2).

[F2]

A QMD score is centered and has finite information: E0∥s∥22<∞.

[F4]

Holder's inequality for integrals, including the endpoint cases and Minkowski's inequality for integrals, including p=∞: Cauchy–Schwarz bounds L2 inner products and the L2 norm satisfies the triangle inequality.

[F5]

Absolute continuity of the integral: If g∈L1(P0) and P0(Bu)→0, then E0[∣g∣1Bu]→0.

Proof

Proof technique: restrict the QMD residual to the two support-complement sets.

1.1A1F1L1givenalgebra

Set S={p0>0}. On Sc, both p0 and (uTs)p0 vanish, so ru=pu there. Therefore α(u)=∫Scpu dμ=∫Scru2 dμ≤∥ru∥22=o(∥u∥22). This is the claimed singular-mass bound.

1.2F1F2F3F4L1givenalgebra

Let Bu=S∩{pu=0}. On Bu, pu−p0=−p0, so P0(Bu)≤∥pu−p0∥22=O(∥u∥22)→0, where the last bound follows from [F1], [F2], [F3], and [F4]. Thus the sets Bu shrink to zero in P0 measure.

2.1F1F2F3F4L1step 1.2given

On Bu, the residual identity in [F1] gives p0 1Bu=−12(uTs)p0 1Bu−ru1Bu. Taking L2(μ) norms and using [F3] yields β(u)≤12∥u∥2(E0[∥s∥221Bu])1/2+o(∥u∥2). This is the required norm bound.

3.1F2F5step 1.2step 2.1algebra∎

Since ∥s∥22 is integrable and P0(Bu)→0, [F5] gives E0[∥s∥221Bu]→0. Step 2.1 therefore gives β(u)=o(∥u∥2) and β(u)=o(∥u∥22). Because P0(pu=0)=P0(Bu), this is the claimed zero-overlap bound.

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