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Communicating MDPs have a common optimal average reward

Statement

Assume the Axiom of Choice for the path-law and conditional-expectation constructions. For a finite communicating MDP with rewards in [0,1], let Vn(s) be the supremum of the expected sum of the first n rewards over all history-dependent policies starting from state s. For every state s, the limit lim⁡n→∞Vn(s)/n exists, is independent of s, and belongs to [0,1].

Statement references

UCRL2 average-reward framework: §2 and Theorem 2, PDF pp. 2–4.

Average-reward MDP treatment: Chapter 7.

Axiom of Choice: assumed for the path-law and conditional-expectation constructions.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: A finite communicating MDP as defined in Finite MDP with bounded real rewards and Communicating MDP and diameter, and the Axiom of Choice for the induced path laws.

[F1]

Finite MDP with bounded real rewards: every reward lies in [0,1] and the conditional next-state/reward law is fixed for each state-action pair.

[F2]

Communicating MDP and diameter: every pair of states can be connected with expected hitting time arbitrarily close to at most the finite raw diameter D0.

[F3]

Almost-additive sequences have a normalized limit: a linearly bounded sequence with uniformly bounded additive defect has a normalized limit.

[F4]

The Axiom of Choice: AC is used for the path laws in [F1] and the conditional-expectation constructions in [F5] and [F6].

[F5]

Conditional expectation as an ae class: conditional expectations are unique almost-sure classes; the proof uses versions only through conditional inequalities.

[F6]

Tower property of conditional expectation: conditioning a finite-horizon reward sum at time m and then taking expectation recovers its unconditional expectation.

[F7]

Linearity, monotonicity, and the modulus bound for expectation: expectations are linear on integrable finite sums and preserve inequalities.

[F8]

Expectation of a nonnegative or integrable random variable: bounded rewards and their finite sums are integrable and have the stated expectations.

Proof

1.1givenF1F2F4F5F6F7F8constructalgebra

Set V0(s)=0 for every state. Backward induction over the finite horizon gives the Bellman recurrence Vn+1(s)=max⁡a∈A(s)[r(s,a)+∑s′∈SP(s′∣s,a)Vn(s′)]. For the induction step, suppose that from every state the n-step supremum is attained by a deterministic Markov policy and equals Vn. Any history-dependent (n+1)-step policy may randomize its first action and may condition later actions on the first reward as well as the next state. Conditional on a first action a and one-step outcome (s′,ρ), its continuation has expected reward at most Vn(s′) by the induction hypothesis, which is independent of the earlier history and reward. Thus its total expected reward is at most r(s,a)+∑s′P(s′∣s,a)Vn(s′), averaged over its first-action distribution, and this average is at most the displayed maximum. A maximizing action exists because A(s) is finite; choosing it and then using an attaining n-step policy from each possible next state attains equality. The base case V0=0 is attained by the empty policy. This proves both the recurrence and that history dependence cannot improve Vn; the joint reward/next-state law is handled by its mean reward and next-state marginal. For any 0≤j≤n, splitting an n-step policy into its first n−j and last j rewards gives Vn(y)≤Vn−j(y)+j: the first part is at most the optimal (n−j)-step value and the last part is at most j because rewards lie in [0,1]. For any x,y and ε>0, [F2] gives a policy from x whose hitting time τy has expectation at most D0+ε. Follow it until y is hit, then use an optimal policy for the remaining n−τy steps if τy≤n. On {τy=j} for each 0≤j≤n, the conditional expected total reward given the history through time j is at least Vn−j(y)≥Vn(y)−j, since pre-hit rewards are nonnegative. On τy>n, the total reward is nonnegative and Vn(y)≤n<τy. Summing over the hitting-time events and taking expectations using [F5]–[F8] gives Vn(x)≥Vn(y)−E[τy]≥Vn(y)−D0−ε. Letting ε↓0 and interchanging x,y proves max⁡sVn(s)−min⁡sVn(s)≤D0.

2.1givenF1F4F5F6F7F8step 1.1algebra

Put an=max⁡sVn(s); the maximum exists because S is finite, and 0≤an≤n by [F1,F8]. For any (m+n)-step policy from s, the expected first m rewards are at most Vm(s), while conditional on the complete history through state Sm the remaining n-step rule is an admissible policy from Sm and its conditional expected reward is at most Vn(Sm)≤an. By [F4,F5,F6,F7], the unconditional expected total is therefore at most Vm(s)+an≤am+an, so am+n≤am+an. Conversely, choose s∗ attaining am and use an optimal m-step policy from it; after observing Sm=z, continue with an optimal n-step policy from z. By step 1.1, Vn(z)≥an−D0 for every z, so [F4,F6,F7] give total expected reward at least am+an−D0. Hence am+n≥am+an−D0, and ∣am+n−am−an∣≤D0.

3.1givenF1F3step 1.1step 2.1∎

Apply [F3] to (an) with C=D0 to obtain an/n→ρ∗ for some finite ρ∗. Step 1.1 gives an−D0≤Vn(s)≤an for every s, so division by n proves Vn(s)/n→ρ∗ for every state. The bounds 0≤Vn(s)≤n imply ρ∗∈[0,1].

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