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Every posterior median minimizes absolute risk when the first absolute moment is finite
Statement
Let be a posterior probability kernel on and take the action space to be with its Borel sigma-algebra. Let Then is measurable. For every , every posterior median minimizes the finite absolute posterior risk . The measurable lower-median rule from The lower posterior median is a measurable rule is therefore an attained Bayes action rule on .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The posterior probability kernel, the finite first-moment set , absolute loss, and the median convention in the Statement.
A posterior median satisfies the two half-mass inequalities. Posterior median
Posterior risk is the finite integral of the stated loss; a Bayes action rule must measurably attain a finite minimum. Finite posterior risk and Bayes action rule
The lower-median selection is measurable and is a median on every fiber. The lower posterior median is a measurable rule
Kernel integration makes measurable. Measurability of integration against a kernel
Proof
Given: The hypotheses in the Statement.
The absolute loss is continuous on , hence product-Borel measurable as required by [F2]. The function is product-measurable, so [F4] makes its posterior integral measurable and hence a measurable data domain. For and every finite , makes the posterior risk finite.
Fix and a median . For any , put and partition into , , and . On these three sets respectively, equals , , and . On , . Therefore , where the last inequality is the first median condition [F1].
If , put and partition into , , and . On these sets the loss difference is respectively , , and ; on , . Hence by the second median condition [F1]. Equality holds when . Thus every median is a pointwise minimizer; [F3] supplies a measurable median rule, whose finite risk on and attained minimum satisfy [F2].
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Sources
- Ryan Martin, Lecture Notes on Advanced Statistical Theory, §5.3.1, PDF pp. 104–105 (standard reference, not scraped)
- Alicia A. Johnson, Miles Q. Ott, and Mine Dogucu, Bayes Rules!, Chapter 8 §8.1 (standard reference, not scraped)