How statement and proof provenance work
The first chip identifies the source of the statement or construction; the second identifies the source of its local proof or verification.
- Literature-sourced: the exact statement appears in a cited source; only wording and notation differ.
- AI-adapted: a semantically identical restatement of literature-sourced material, modulo indexing, notation, and boundary cases adopted by the library.
- AI-generated: a genuinely novel statement formulated by AI, with no source for the claim itself.
These labels describe origin, not correctness: citations and verification chips remain separate evidence.
Resampling schemes and the sampling-unit contract
1 · Prerequisites
- Construction of the Natural Numbers
- Construction of the Real Numbers via Cauchy Sequences
- Construction of the Real Numbers via Dedekind Cuts
- Countability and Uncountability
- Estimators and Randomized Procedures
- Finite Counting, Factorials and Binomial Coefficients
- Finite Probability Spaces and Random Variables
- Foundations of the Real Numbers for Analysis
- Independence Borel Cantelli and Zero One Laws
- limsup, liminf, and Subsequential Limits
- Measurable Functions and Simple Approximation
- Measures and Their Basic Properties
- Order, Zorn's Lemma, and the Axiom of Choice
- Probability Spaces Random Variables and Expectation
- Relations, Functions, and Quotients
- Roots, Rational Powers, and Classical Inequalities
- Sequences and Limits
- Sigma Algebras and Borel Sets
- Statistical Experiments, Models and Identifiability
- Suprema and Infima
- The ZFC Axioms and the Basic Set Constructions
- Topological Spaces and Continuity
- Weak Laws and Series of Independent Random Variables
2 · Summary
Objective
This page defines the empirical law, size- bootstrap, delete- replicates, subsampling without replacement, and the sampling-unit contract. It proves only the finite probability facts that make these procedures well-defined, including that the empirical law is a probability measure and the bootstrap draws are conditionally IID from it. No procedure here is asserted valid for a particular estimand or sampling design. Variance scaling for jackknife replicates is a separate statistic with an explicit target.
Development
Start with the resampling unit, which is the indivisible random or design unit selected together. The empirical measure Empirical measure of observed units assigns mass to each observed index; The empirical measure is a probability measure proves it is a probability measure, including when observed values repeat. Size-n bootstrap from the empirical law then samples indices independently with replacement, and Empirical-law bootstrap draws are conditionally IID proves the exact conditional law.
For any finite index set, Uniform laws on finite subset families proves the equal-weight subset law, including the endpoints. The delete- algorithm Delete-d jackknife replicates and their uniform average returns all complement-statistic replicates and their uniform average without a variance multiplier. Uniform subsampling without replacement selects a uniformly chosen -subset and applies the declared statistic at that subsample size.
The conditional bootstrap law is not a Bayesian posterior. A design-randomization law is the actual law over assignments declared by the experiment; its relationship to the bootstrap law is illustrated on the examples page. Any exact or asymptotic validity claim needs a separate result matched to the data-generating or assignment design.
3 · Logical flowchart
4 · Definitions, theorems and proofs
Sampling units and the resampling-unit contract
Definition
Let be a statistical experiment (Statistical experiments) with a declared sampling or assignment mechanism. A sampling unit is one indexed unit that the declared mechanism treats as an indivisible draw or assignment object. Its unit record contains the complete observed data attached to that unit, including repeated measurements or labels that the analysis keeps together. Examples of sampling units are individuals, matched pairs, clusters, time blocks, and treatment-assignment units.
The declared mechanism also specifies a measurable unit-record space and represents each unit record as an element of . The record space may be the whole data space or one record-valued component of it; the convention is part of the experiment's sampling or assignment contract.
A resampling unit is the complete unit record or predeclared group of records that one draw of a resampling procedure selects. A procedure is unit-compatible for a stated target when it declares which records are sampled together and does not split a bundle whose joint sampling or assignment dependence is part of that target's data-generating design. Unit compatibility describes the procedure's input and dependence contract; it does not itself establish exact or asymptotic validity. A validity claim requires a separate theorem with hypotheses matched to the sampling or assignment law, target, and resample-size regime.
The conditional bootstrap law of observed units is a law on resampled data records given the fixed observations. When defined, a Bayesian posterior is instead a conditional law on parameter values under a specified prior and joint parameter-data model. They have different state spaces and are not identified by this definition. In particular, neither law determines the other.
Empirical measure of observed units
Definition
Let be a measurable unit space (Measurable spaces and measurable sets), let , and fix an observed ordered tuple . Its empirical measure is the set function where is the Dirac set function from The Dirac set function at a point. Repeated observations contribute once for each index at which they occur. The statement that is a probability measure is established in The empirical measure is a probability measure ↗.
Uniform laws on finite subset families
Statement
For , let , with . For an integer with , let Then is finite and nonempty, and assigning weight to each member defines a finite probability space on .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: Integers and , the index set , and the subset family in the statement.
The cardinality of a finite set: finiteness means being bijective with a von Neumann natural.
The set of functions between finite sets is finite, with : for finite sets , the function set is finite with cardinality . In particular, the set of maps is finite.
A subset of a finite set is finite, with , and equality holds if and only if : every subset of a finite set is finite.
Finite probability spaces, outcome weights, events, and event probabilities: a finite outcome set with nonnegative weights summing to is a finite probability space, with every subset an event.
The cardinality of a finite set: the cardinality of a finite set is the unique von Neumann natural bijective with it.
The cardinality of a finite set: a finite set has cardinality exactly when it is empty.
Proof
Let . The shift is a bijection from the conventional index set to the von Neumann natural ; for both sets are empty. Thus is finite by [F1]. The set is bijective with , so it is finite as well. For each define its indicator function by if and otherwise. The map is injective because equal indicator functions have equal inverse images of . Its image is a subset of the finite set , which is finite by [F2] and [F3]. Therefore some natural is bijective with this image; composing that bijection with makes bijective with , so [F1] makes it finite.
If , then . If , then because , and the shift is a bijection from to the von Neumann natural ; hence this subset has cardinality by [F1, F5], so . Thus is nonempty. By [F5], its cardinality is defined; by [F6] and nonemptiness, . Give each weight . These weights are nonnegative and their finite sum is .
The outcome set is finite by step 1.1 and its weights satisfy the conditions in step 1.2, so [F4] makes a finite probability space. The argument includes , , and .
The empirical measure is a probability measure
Statement
For every , every measurable space , and every observed tuple , the empirical measure from Empirical measure of observed units is a probability measure on .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: A measurable space , an integer , and fixed observations .
Empirical measure of observed units: for every .
A Dirac set function is a probability measure: each Dirac set function is a probability measure on ; in particular it is countably additive, is on , and assigns mass to .
Probability measures and probability spaces: a probability measure is a measure with total mass .
Proof
For any , the finite sum in [F1] is nonnegative by [F2]. Also and .
Let be pairwise disjoint members of . For each fixed , at most one term is nonzero, and countable additivity in [F2] gives . Because the sum over is finite and there are at most nonzero terms in the resulting double sum, we may regroup to obtain . Thus is countably additive.
By step 1.1, has total mass , and by step 1.2 it is countably additive and vanishes on the empty set. Therefore it is a measure of total mass , hence a probability measure by [F3].
Delete-d jackknife replicates and their uniform average
Definition
Input. Let , let be the declared measurable space of unit records, and fix observed records whose resampling unit satisfies Sampling units and the resampling-unit contract. For each tuple length , declare a sample sigma-algebra on the ordered tuple space . Choose and provide a statistic , where is finite and is the declared target sigma-algebra; "statistic" has the measurable-map meaning in Statistics and estimators.
Write for the indexing set; the finite subset law on these indices is established in Uniform laws on finite subset families.
Procedure. Form . For every , list the indices in in increasing order and compute Let and return the full collection of replicates together with the uniform average The finite, nonempty subset family and its uniform law are justified by Uniform laws on finite subset families.
This algorithm defines the replicates and their average only. Any variance or bias scaling is a separate statistic with an explicitly stated target; no scaling is implicit in the term delete-d jackknife, and the algorithm asserts no validity theorem.
Uniform subsampling without replacement
Definition
Input. Let , let be the declared measurable space of unit records, and fix observed records whose resampling unit satisfies Sampling units and the resampling-unit contract. Declare a sample sigma-algebra on the ordered tuple space , choose , and provide a statistic , where is finite and is the declared target sigma-algebra; "statistic" has the measurable-map meaning in Statistics and estimators.
Write for the indexing set; the finite subset law on these indices is established in Uniform laws on finite subset families.
Procedure. Draw uniformly from the finite family , without replacement; list its indices in increasing order; and return the subsample and statistic value . The uniform law is well-defined by Uniform laws on finite subset families.
This is subsampling without replacement. It is different from drawing indices independently with replacement. The procedure defines a finite law only; validity requires a separate theorem for the data-generating design and asymptotic regime.
Size-n bootstrap from the empirical law
Definition
Input. Let , let be the declared measurable space of sampling units, and fix the observed ordered tuple . Let be its empirical probability measure from Empirical measure of observed units and The empirical measure is a probability measure. Declare a sample sigma-algebra on the ordered tuple space and provide a statistic , where is finite and is the declared target sigma-algebra; "statistic" has the measurable-map meaning in Statistics and estimators.
Write for the indexing set.
Procedure. Draw indices independently and uniformly from , so repeated indices are allowed. Set for . Return the bootstrap tuple and the replicate . Generate further replicates by repeating the index draws with fresh randomness. These are resampling units only when the tuple entries satisfy the unit contract in Sampling units and the resampling-unit contract.
The conditional IID law of the draws is proved in Empirical-law bootstrap draws are conditionally IID ↗. This algorithm does not claim that its conditional law consistently approximates any sampling law; such validity requires separate hypotheses and a separate theorem.
Empirical-law bootstrap draws are conditionally IID
Statement
Fix , write , let be a measurable unit space, and fix an observed tuple . Let be its empirical probability measure. For the bootstrap algorithm Size-n bootstrap from the empirical law, equip the conditional index vector with the finite uniform law on and set . For every , Thus, conditional on the fixed observed tuple, are independent random elements with common law (Identical distribution and IID families).
Facts & Assumptions
Given: , a measurable space , a fixed tuple , and the size- bootstrap procedure.
Size-n bootstrap from the empirical law: each replicate selects independently and uniformly from and sets .
Finite probability spaces, outcome weights, events, and event probabilities: a finite outcome set with nonnegative weights summing to defines a probability on every subset of outcomes.
The set of functions between finite sets is finite, with : for finite sets , there are functions .
The product rule: , and : the cardinality of a finite product of finite sets is the product of their cardinalities.
Random elements and real random variables: a random element is a measurable map from a probability space to a measurable space.
Law or distribution of a random element: the law of a random element assigns to each target event the probability of its preimage.
Independent random elements and Independent sigma-algebras and independent events: a family of random elements is independent when their generated sigma-algebras are independent; event independence is characterized by factorization of probabilities of all finite intersections.
Identical distribution and IID families: random elements with the same target are IID when their laws agree and the family is mutually independent.
The cardinality of a finite set: a set is finite when it is bijective with a von Neumann natural.
The cardinality of a finite set: every von Neumann natural has cardinality .
The cardinality of a finite set: a bijection transports finiteness and cardinality.
A subset of a finite set is finite, with , and equality holds if and only if : every subset of a finite set is finite.
Proof
The shift is a bijection from to the von Neumann natural . By [F10]–[F12], is finite with cardinality . Let , the set of index vectors. By [F4], . Assign weight to each . The weights are nonnegative and sum to , so [F2] gives a finite probability space whose event sigma-algebra contains every subset. Each coordinate map and record map is measurable, because every preimage is a subset of ; hence each is a random element of by [F6].
For , put . Each is a subset of the finite set , so [F13] makes it finite. The event consists of the functions with for every . The shift , , from step 1.1 has inverse , ; thus is a bijection from this event's index functions onto . By [F5] this set has cardinality , which is the same product as under that reindexing. Its probability under the uniform weights is therefore . Taking all events except the th to be gives by [F3] and [F7]. Hence the joint event probability is the product of its marginal probabilities.
The one-coordinate case of step 2.1 gives each law . To check independence for any finite subfamily indexed by , take arbitrary for and set for every omitted coordinate. Since and , step 2.1 then gives . This is the finite-intersection factorization in [F8], so the coordinate random elements are independent. They have a common measurable target and the same law, hence they are IID by [F9].
5 · Examples, counterexamples and false statements
None yet.
Sources
- Bradley Efron and Robert Tibshirani, The Bootstrap Method for Assessing Statistical Accuracy, Behaviormetrika 12 (1985), §3, pp. 7–12
- B. Efron and R. Tibshirani, The Bootstrap Method for Assessing Statistical Accuracy, Stanford LCS Technical Report 19 / BIO 101 (October 1985; full-text report copy)
- P.B. Stark, Statistics 240 Lecture Notes, Part 8: Resampling Methods, §1.2, PDF pp. 3–7
- Bradley Efron and Robert Tibshirani, The Bootstrap Method for Assessing Statistical Accuracy, Behaviormetrika 12 (1985), §§1–2, pp. 1–5
- P.B. Stark, Statistics 240 Lecture Notes, Part 8: Resampling Methods, §1.1, PDF pp. 2–3
- P.J. Bickel, F. Götze and W.R. van Zwet, Resampling Fewer Than n Observations, Statistica Sinica 7 (1997), §3, pp. 8–11
- Bradley Efron and Robert Tibshirani, The Bootstrap Method for Assessing Statistical Accuracy, Behaviormetrika 12 (1985), §10, printed pp. 30–33
- P.J. Bickel, F. Götze and W.R. van Zwet, Resampling Fewer Than n Observations, Statistica Sinica 7 (1997), §3, printed pp. 8–11
- Bradley Efron and Robert Tibshirani, The Bootstrap Method for Assessing Statistical Accuracy, Behaviormetrika 12 (1985), §§1–3, printed pp. 1–12
- P.J. Bickel, F. Götze and W.R. van Zwet, Resampling Fewer Than n Observations, Statistica Sinica 7 (1997), §§1–3, printed pp. 1–11
- Bradley Efron and Robert Tibshirani, The Bootstrap Method for Assessing Statistical Accuracy, Behaviormetrika 12 (1985), §2, printed pp. 3–5