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Infinite variance can defeat square-root-n CLT scaling
Statement refuted
Assume AC. There are iid real variables with density and infinite second moment such that has no weak limit. In particular square-root-n scaling need not produce a normal limit when finite variance is dropped.
Facts & Assumptions
Continuous derivatives integrate to compact endpoint differences. The second fundamental theorem: if is differentiable on with and is integrable, then .
Compact continuous Riemann integrals agree with Lebesgue integrals under countable choice. A bounded Riemann integrable function on a closed bounded interval is Lebesgue measurable and has the same integral.
The real exponential differentiates to itself. The exponential function is smooth and .
Trigonometric derivatives justify real-component exponential antiderivatives. The derivatives of sine and cosine are cosine and minus sine.
The chain rule applies to real linear changes of variable. The chain rule, in one line from Carathéodory: if is differentiable at and is differentiable at , then is differentiable at with .
Increasing nonnegative integer truncations converge in integral. Monotone convergence for the integral.
Integrable density majorants allow complex truncation limits. Dominated convergence.
A nonnegative measurable density defines a measure. The indefinite integral of a nonnegative measurable function is a measure.
For nonnegative measurable and , integration against the density measure satisfies . Integrating against a density agrees with integrating the product.
The derivative of arctangent is 1/(1+x^2). Principal arctangent: derivative, integral, power series, and the Gregory–Leibniz series.
Arctangent takes its values strictly between -pi/2 and pi/2. The principal inverse tangent .
An integrable transform gives a continuous probability density by inversion under AC. Density inversion from an integrable characteristic function.
A real interval has Lebesgue measure its length. A box in with parameters is Lebesgue measurable of measure , whichever of its faces are included.
Independent copies of a given law exist under DC and countable choice. Countably many independent copies of a prescribed law exist.
AC supplies dependent and countable choice. AC supplies countable selections and prescribed serial paths.
Independent sums and scalar scaling give product transforms. Characteristic functions under affine maps and independent sums.
Weak convergence would force convergence of every characteristic-function value. Levy continuity theorem forward direction.
Every characteristic function is continuous at zero and equals one there. Basic properties of characteristic functions.
The oscillatory exponential has unit modulus. , , and .
Continuous functions on compact intervals are Riemann integrable. A continuous function on is Riemann integrable, by Heine-Cantor and Riemann's criterion.
Real integrals are defined by positive and negative parts, and complex integrals by real and imaginary parts. Integrable real and complex functions, and their integrals.
Counterexample
Given: Assume AC. There are iid real variables with density and infinite second moment such that has no weak limit. In particular square-root-n scaling need not produce a normal limit when finite variance is dropped.
First construct the symmetric Laplace density . On [0,R] the primitive of is , so [F1]–[F3], [F5] and [F20] give integral ; the other half interval gives the same value by the primitive . The bridge [F2] and MCT [F6] yield . The elementary exponential series bound makes . Thus [F8] defines a probability with density l. For every bounded measurable complex , apply [F9] to ; these four functions are bounded by , so their products with have finite integral. The real/imaginary definition [F21] then gives . In particular the characteristic function of the constructed law is its density integral. For real t, componentwise differentiation using [F3]–[F5] gives the primitive on the positive half-line and on the negative half-line. Their nonzero denominators have modulus at least one. Taking integer R limits with DCT majorant and [F19] gives .
By [F10]–[F11], . The integrands are continuous, so the bridge and MCT make Lebesgue integrable. [F12] supplies the continuous density for the Laplace law. It equals l everywhere: both are continuous and have the same integral on every interval, whereas any nonzero value of f-l would, by continuity, have one strict sign bounded away from zero on a nonempty interval, contradicting that integral equality and [F13]. At y=0 this identity gives . Therefore [F8] makes c a probability density. At y=-u the same identity, multiplied by two, gives . No contour integral is used.
For R>=1, because for x>=1. Nonnegative integral monotonicity and [F13] give this lower bound, tending to infinity; [F9] identifies the second moment as infinite. By [F14]–[F15], AC realizes iid copies of the c law. By [F16], their normalized-sum characteristic function is . It tends to zero for t different from zero and stays one at zero.
If those row laws had any weak limit probability, [F17] would make its characteristic function equal to the pointwise limit just calculated. That function is discontinuous at zero, contradicting [F18]. Thus there is no weak probability limit, and in particular no normal limit. AC was used through the Lebesgue bridge, density inversion and independent-copy construction; the direct moment lower bound and discontinuity argument make no additional selections.
Depends on
- The second fundamental theorem: if $G$ is differentiable on $[a,b]$ with $G' = f$ and $f$ is integrable, then $\int_a^b f = G(b)-G(a)$
- A bounded Riemann integrable function on a closed bounded interval is Lebesgue measurable and has the same integral
- The exponential function is smooth and $(\exp)'=\exp$
- The derivatives of sine and cosine are cosine and minus sine
- The chain rule, in one line from Carathéodory: if $g$ is differentiable at $c$ and $f$ is differentiable at $g(c)$, then $f \circ g$ is differentiable at $c$ with $(f \circ g)'(c) = f'(g(c))\,g'(c)$
- Monotone convergence for the integral
- Dominated convergence
- The indefinite integral of a nonnegative measurable function is a measure
- Integrating against a density agrees with integrating the product
- Integrable real and complex functions, and their integrals
- Principal arctangent: derivative, integral, power series, and the Gregory–Leibniz series
- The principal inverse tangent $\arctan:\mathbb R\to(-\pi/2,\pi/2)$
- Density inversion from an integrable characteristic function
- A box in $\mathbb{R}^n$ with parameters $a_i\le b_i$ is Lebesgue measurable of measure $\prod_{i<n}(b_i-a_i)$, whichever of its faces are included
- Countably many independent copies of a prescribed law exist
- AC supplies countable selections and prescribed serial paths
- Characteristic functions under affine maps and independent sums
- Levy continuity theorem forward direction
- Basic properties of characteristic functions
- $\exp(x+iy)=e^x(\cos y+i\sin y)$, $|\exp(x+iy)|=e^x$, and $e^{i\pi}+1=0$
- A continuous function on $[a,b]$ is Riemann integrable, by Heine-Cantor and Riemann's criterion
- Monotonicity and nonnegative homogeneity of the nonnegative integral
- Sums, scalar multiples, products and quotients: $(f+g)'(c) = f'(c) + g'(c)$, $(\alpha f)'(c) = \alpha f'(c)$, $(fg)'(c) = f'(c)g(c) + f(c)g'(c)$, and $(f/g)'(c) = \bigl(f'(c)g(c) - f(c)g'(c)\bigr)/g(c)^{2}$ when $g(c) \ne 0$
- $\exp(z+w)=\exp z\,\exp w$, and the complex exponential extends the real exponential
- The Axiom of Choice
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Sources
- Durrett, Probability: Theory and Examples, Example 3.3.16 (standard reference, not scraped)
- Billingsley, Probability and Measure, continuity theorem (standard reference, not scraped)