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Polynomial and exponential minimax estimation rates

Statement

Assume Countable Choice, Q>0, and p,κ>0. As ϵ↓0, the minimax RMS error over Θa(Q) has the following order-sharp rates: if sj≍j−p and aj≍jκ, then R∗(ϵ)≍ϵκ/(κ+p+1/2); if sj≍e−pj and aj≍jκ, then R∗(ϵ)≍[log⁡(1/ϵ)]−κ; if sj≍j−p and aj≍eκj, then R∗(ϵ)≍ϵ[log⁡(1/ϵ)]p+1/2; and if sj≍e−pj and aj≍eκj, then R∗(ϵ)≍ϵκ/(p+κ). Here uj≍vj as j→∞ or f(ϵ)≍g(ϵ) as ϵ↓0 means the ratio is bounded above and below by positive constants on the indicated tail; the constants may depend on Q,p,κ and the axis comparison constants.

Facts & Assumptions

[A1]

The Axiom of Countable Choice (ACω): Countable Choice is inherited through the compact SVD coordinate model.

[F1]

Gaussian sequence inverse model and Weighted ellipsoid class for sequence inversion: The observation coordinates are Zj=θj+ϵsj−1ξj and the parameter set is Θa(Q)={θ∈ℓ2:∑jaj2θj2≤Q2} with positive nondecreasing weights.

[F2]

Exact worst-case risk of the truncated estimator: At cutoff D∈N0, the exact worst-case expected squared risk is BD=Q2/aD+12+ϵ2∑j=1Dsj−2.

[F3]

Cutoff risk and minimax RMS error over statistical ellipsoids: The minimax RMS error satisfies R∗(ϵ)≤(inf⁡DBD)1/2≤2.2R∗(ϵ).

[F4]

The natural logarithm as the inverse of the exponential function and Order, continuity, range, and the product, quotient, and reciprocal laws for the natural logarithm: log⁡ is the inverse of exp⁡ on positive reals, is increasing, and obeys log⁡(xy)=log⁡x+log⁡y.

[F6]

For ∣r∣<1, ∑k≥0rk=1/(1−r), and for ∣r∣≥1 the series diverges and The exponential function is strictly increasing: For p>0, the geometric sums of e2pj are bounded above and below by positive constants times their final term.

[F7]

The exponential dominates every fixed nonnegative integer power at +∞: x/exp⁡(x)→0 as x→+∞.

Given: Q>0, p,κ>0, positive nonincreasing singular values sj→0, positive nondecreasing weights aj, and a positive noise level ϵ tending to zero.

Proof

1.1F5F6algebra

For q>0 and integer D≥2, ∑j=1Djq≤Dq+1. For a lower bound, the at least D/2 indices with D/2≤j≤D each satisfy jq≥(D/2)q, so ∑j=1Djq≥(D/2)q+1. Thus ∑j≤Djq≍Dq+1. Also the finite geometric-sum identity gives ∑j≤De2pj≍e2pD for each fixed p>0.

2.1givenF1F2F5step 1.1algebra

Suppose sj≍j−p and aj≍jκ. With H=ϵ−2/(2κ+2p+1) and D0=⌊H⌋, step 1.1 and [F2] show that both terms of BD0 are O(H−2κ). For any D≤D0, monotonicity of aj gives Q2/aD+12≥Q2/aD0+12≍H−2κ; for D>D0, the variance is at least ϵ2∑j≤D0j2p≍ϵ2H2p+1=H−2κ. Therefore inf⁡DBD≍H−2κ and the cutoff RMS error is ≍ϵκ/(κ+p+1/2).

2.2givenF1F2F4F5F6F7step 1.1algebra

Suppose sj≍e−pj and aj≍jκ. Put L=log⁡(1/ϵ) and D0=⌊(L−κlog⁡L)/p⌋. By [F7], log⁡L/L→0, so D0≍L. At D0, the squared bias and variance in [F2] are both O(L−2κ). For D≤D0, the bias is at least Q2/aD0+12≍L−2κ; for D>D0, the geometric variance is at least ϵ2e2pD0≍e−2Le2LL−2κ=L−2κ. Hence inf⁡DBD≍L−2κ and the cutoff RMS error is ≍L−κ.

2.3givenF1F2F4F5F7step 1.1algebra

Suppose sj≍j−p and aj≍eκj. Put L=log⁡(1/ϵ) and D0=⌊(L−(p+12)log⁡L)/κ⌋. Again [F7] gives D0≍L. At D0, the squared bias and variance are both O(ϵ2L2p+1). For D≤D0, monotonicity of aj gives bias at least Q2/aD0+12≍e−2κD0≍ϵ2L2p+1; for D>D0, the polynomial variance is at least ϵ2∑j≤D0j2p≍ϵ2L2p+1. Thus inf⁡DBD≍ϵ2L2p+1 and the cutoff RMS error is ≍ϵLp+1/2.

2.4givenF1F2F4F5F6step 1.1algebra

Suppose sj≍e−pj and aj≍eκj. Let L=log⁡(1/ϵ) and D0=⌊L/(p+κ)⌋. Then D0→∞; at this cutoff the squared bias and geometric variance are both O(ϵ2κ/(p+κ)). For D≤D0, monotonicity of aj gives bias at least Q2/aD0+12≍e−2κD0≍ϵ2κ/(p+κ); for D>D0, the variance is at least ϵ2e2pD0≍ϵ2κ/(p+κ). Hence inf⁡DBD≍ϵ2κ/(p+κ) and the cutoff RMS error is ≍ϵκ/(p+κ).

3.1A1F3step 2.1step 2.2step 2.3step 2.4∎

Steps 2.1–2.4 establish the four rates for (inf⁡DBD)1/2. By [A1], the compact singular-system coordinate model and its minimax comparison theorem are used under Countable Choice. By [F3], this quantity and the minimax RMS error differ by at most the fixed factor 2.2, so the same four order-sharp rates hold for R∗(ϵ).

Remarks

The four cases are indexed separately by singular-value decay and ellipsoid-axis growth. Ding–Mathé call polynomial operator singular-value decay moderately ill-posed and exponential decay severely ill-posed; this operator terminology is distinct from the statistical minimax-rate description. The comparison is order-sharp up to constants, not Pinsker sharp-constant optimality.

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