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Sample-centered covariance is a measurable statistic and estimator

Statement

Let (Pθ)θ∈Θ be a family of Borel probability laws on Rp with Eθ∥X∥22<∞. For each n≥1, observe an iid sample X1,…,Xn with common law Pθ and sample law Pθ⊗n on the Borel data space (Rp)n. Put Σθ=Cov⁡θ(X) and let ψ(θ)=Σθ be the covariance-matrix estimand with target the Borel space Sp of real symmetric p×p matrices. The sample-centered covariance map Tn(x1,…,xn):=1n∑i=1n(xi−xˉ)(xi−xˉ)T,xˉ=1n∑i=1nxi, is a statistic with target the Borel space Sp, and hence is an estimator of ψ in the sense of Statistics and estimators. This statement asserts measurability and target type only; it asserts no unbiasedness or consistency.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: A finite p≥1, n≥1, a family of Borel laws (Pθ)θ∈Θ on Rp with finite second moments, and an iid sample experiment on Borel sample space (Rp)n.

[F1]

Statistical experiments and Parametric statistical models: the sample experiment is a parameter-indexed family of probability laws on its measurable data space.

[F2]

Identical distribution and IID families: under each Pθ⊗n, the sample coordinates are iid with common law Pθ.

[F3]
[F4]

Estimands on a statistical model: ψ(θ)=Σθ is the stated target function on the parameter set.

[F5]

Sample covariance estimators and squared operator loss: the sample-centered covariance is n−1∑i(Xi−Xˉ)(Xi−Xˉ)T.

[F6]

Statistics and estimators: a statistic is a measurable map from the data space to a measurable target, and it is an estimator when its target space is that of the stated estimand.

[F7]

A continuous map has Borel preimages of Borel sets: a continuous map between topological spaces has Borel preimages of Borel sets.

Proof

technique · direct
1.1F5F7givenalgebra

Regard Sp as the subspace of Rp2 with its Borel sigma-algebra. Each matrix coordinate of Tn is a polynomial in the np real sample coordinates, so Tn:(Rp)n→Rp2 is continuous. Its values are symmetric because every outer product is symmetric, hence it is also continuous as a map into the subspace Sp. By [F7] it is Borel measurable.

2.1F1F2F3F4F5F6step 1.1∎

By [F1] and [F2], the sample experiment is the stated parameter-indexed iid experiment; [F3] places Σθ in Sp, and [F4] identifies it as the estimand target. The formula in [F5] is exactly Tn. Thus [F6] and step 1.1 make Tn a statistic and, since its target space is the same Sp, an estimator of ψ.

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