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The finite linear-Gaussian state-space path is jointly Gaussian

Statement

Assume AC and fix a finite-horizon model of Linear-Gaussian state-space models with independent noises. There is a probability space carrying mutually independent Gaussian vectors x0,q1,r1,…,qT,rT with the stated laws. The recursions xt=Ftxt−1+qt and yt=Htxt+rt induce the general kernel-product law of General finite-horizon state-space models by kernels. In the interleaved order ZT=(x0,x1,y1,…,xT,yT), there is a deterministic matrix MT such that ZT=MTWT,WT=(x0,q1,r1,…,qT,rT), and ZT∼N ⁣(MTaT, MTΣTMTT),aT=(m0,0,…,0),ΣT=diag⁡(P0,Q1,R1,…,QT,RT). The covariance may be singular.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC and a finite-horizon parameter tuple from the linear-Gaussian definition, with every initial/process/observation covariance symmetric positive semidefinite.

[A1]

AC is used by the multivariate-normal construction, characteristic-law uniqueness, Cramer–Wold, and Ionescu–Tulcea suppliers below. (The Axiom of Choice)

[F1]

The model has Gaussian initial, transition and observation laws, and its independent-noise representation uses the displayed linear recursions. (Linear-Gaussian state-space models with independent noises)

[F2]

Under AC, every positive-semidefinite covariance defines a multivariate normal probability law, including singular covariances. (Multivariate normal law, including singular covariance)

[F3]

Finite products of probability measures exist by the sigma-finite product measure theorem and have the rectangle formula. (For sigma-finite factors, the product measure exists, has the rectangle formula, is sigma-finite, and is unique)

[F4]

Independence of random elements is independence of their generated sigma-algebras, and a finite independent family has product joint law. (Independent random elements, Independent random elements have product joint law)

[F5]

Tonelli's theorem permits iterated integration of nonnegative product- measurable functions against sigma-finite product measures. (Tonelli's theorem for nonnegative measurable functions on a sigma-finite product)

[F6]

A probability kernel has probability-measure sections and measurable evaluations. (Measure kernel and probability kernel)

[F7]

Integrating a nonnegative product-measurable function against a probability kernel gives a measurable evaluation function. (Measurability of integration against a kernel)

[F8]

Under AC, the characteristic function of a multivariate normal law is exp⁡(iu⋅a−uTΣu/2) and uniquely determines the law, including singular covariance. (Characteristic function of a multivariate normal law)

[F9]

Scalar affine transformations have the stated characteristic-function formula. (Characteristic functions under affine maps and independent sums)

[F10]

The finite-horizon kernel law exists uniquely and has the stated ordered iterated-integral formula. (Finite-horizon state-space kernel law exists and is unique)

[F11]

A finite stack of mutually independent Gaussian vectors is multivariate normal with block-diagonal covariance. (A finite stack of independent Gaussian vectors is jointly Gaussian)

[F12]

Finite products of standard-Borel spaces are standard Borel. (Finite products of standard Borel spaces are standard Borel)

Proof

Given: The hypotheses in the Statement.

1.1A1F1F2F3F4givenconstruct

Each Gaussian marginal law in the model exists on its finite-dimensional Euclidean Borel space. Repeatedly applying the finite-product measure construction creates a finite product probability space with these marginals. Its coordinate maps x0,q1,r1,…,qT,rT have the prescribed marginals, and the rectangle formula gives product probabilities on all measurable coordinate rectangles. Therefore the generated sigma-algebras are mutually independent, and the finite family has the product joint law. Thus this space supplies the required independent Gaussian noise vectors.

1.2A1F1F2F6F7F8F9given

For a Borel set A⊆Rdt, define Kt(x,A)=∫1A(Ftx+z) Ndt(0,Qt)(dz); define Gt analogously using Ht and Npt(0,Rt). The maps (x,z)↦Ftx+z and (x,z)↦Htx+z are continuous, so the integrands are product-measurable. Each fixed-state section is a pushforward probability measure. Regard each fixed Gaussian noise law as a constant probability kernel. Kernel integration then makes the evaluations measurable in the state argument, so both families are probability kernels. For fixed x and any u, the scalar affine characteristic-function identity applied to uTqt, together with the multivariate-normal characteristic-function formula, gives E[eiuT(Ftx+qt)]=exp⁡(iuTFtx−12uTQtu). This is the multivariate-normal characteristic function with mean Ftx and covariance Qt, so its uniqueness identifies the translated law with Ndt(Ftx,Qt). The same calculation with Ht,rt,Rt identifies Gt. No covariance inverse is used.

2.1A1F1F5F10F12step 1.1step 1.2

Let ϕ be any nonnegative Borel function on the finite trajectory space. The recursion is a finite composition of continuous affine maps, so ϕ(ZT) is measurable. By Tonelli, integrate the noise product law from step 1.1 backward, starting with the last pair (qT,rT). For each fixed preceding history, the integral over qT is the pushforward through xT=FTxT−1+qT, hence equals integration against KT; the following integral over rT is the pushforward through yT=HTxT+rT, hence equals integration against GT. Repeating this argument for t=T−1,…,1 and finally integrating x0 against μ0 gives E[ϕ(ZT)]=∫μ0(dx0)∏t=1TKt(xt−1,dxt)Gt(xt,dyt) ϕ(x0,x1,y1,…,xT,yT). For T=0, it is simply integration against μ0. This is exactly the unique general model law, and the trajectory space is standard Borel.

3.1A1F1F2F11step 1.1algebra∎

The stacked-noise lemma gives the vector WT the multivariate normal law N(aT,ΣT). Successive substitution in the two recursions shows by finite induction that each coordinate of ZT is a linear function of WT; collecting those coefficients gives a deterministic matrix MT. For any vector u, uTZT=(MTTu)TWT, whose law is normal with mean uTMTaT and variance uTMTΣTMTTu. The multivariate-normal projection definition gives ZT∼N(MTaT,MTΣTMTT). The covariance is positive semidefinite because vTΣTv≥0 implies uTMTΣTMTTu=(MTTu)TΣT(MTTu)≥0. Thus singular covariances are included and no inverse is needed.

Depends on

Used by

Cited to discharge well-definedness by Linear-Gaussian state-space models with independent noises.

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