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The continuous survival and cumulative-hazard identity
Statement
Assume Countable Choice and Dependent Choice. Let be a nonnegative event time with a finite-valued density relative to Lebesgue measure, so for every Borel , and assume . Let with if this set is empty. For every , If , the improper cumulative hazard tends to as ; extending it by for gives the same identity there with the convention . The density-hazard formula is asserted only where .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: Countable Choice, Dependent Choice, a nonnegative finite-valued density , and its event-time law .
The density law is the measure ; , , and is nonincreasing because decreases with . The measure with density relative to , Lebesgue measurable sets, the family , and the restricted set function , Parametric survival and reliability models, Measures are monotone
For , is differentiable a.e. with derivative . The indefinite integral of an function is differentiable almost everywhere
The indefinite integral of an function is absolutely continuous. The indefinite integral of an function is absolutely continuous
On , and . Thus is increasing by the mean value theorem; since it is unbounded below, as . The natural logarithm has derivative 1/x and equals the integral from 1 to x of 1/t, The integral logarithm is unbounded above and below, The mean value theorem, as the case of Cauchy's: for continuous on with and differentiable on there is with
At differentiability points, the ordinary chain rule gives . The chain rule, in one line from Carathéodory: if is differentiable at and is differentiable at , then is differentiable at with
If is absolutely continuous on a compact interval, then . Fundamental theorem of calculus for absolutely continuous functions
Absolutely continuous functions are continuous. implies Lipschitz, Lipschitz implies absolutely continuous, and absolutely continuous implies continuous and bounded variation
Under Countable Choice, every singleton has Lebesgue measure zero, and a nonnegative measurable density integrates to zero over that null set. A box in with parameters is Lebesgue measurable of measure , whichever of its faces are included, A nonnegative integral over a null set vanishes
Every interval in is Lebesgue measurable. A box in with parameters is Lebesgue measurable of measure , whichever of its faces are included
The pointwise product of measurable real-valued functions is measurable. Arithmetic and lattice operations preserve measurability whenever they are defined
For every , ; also , since by its power-series definition and . The natural logarithm as the inverse of the exponential function, The real exponential function and the number by a power series
Countable Choice is used by [F2] to obtain the a.e. derivative of the indefinite density integral, by [F8] for the singleton null-set formula, and to select the approximating zero times in step 4.1. The Axiom of Countable Choice ()
Dependent Choice, together with Countable Choice, is used by [F6] to integrate the a.e. derivative of an absolutely continuous function. The axiom of dependent choice: a relation in which every element is related to something admits an -indexed chain
Proof
Since and , . The density law gives ; [F8] makes both endpoint integrals zero, so this equals . Therefore for every . This integral is at most , so for each ; [F3] then makes absolutely continuous on each compact interval.
The identity is immediate at , so fix . The survival function is nonincreasing and positive on , so there. For every , the set is downward closed in , hence is empty, all of , or an interval with one endpoint at ; each is Lebesgue measurable by [F9]. Since the upper rays generate the Borel sigma-algebra, is Lebesgue measurable on . The reciprocal map is continuous on , so its inverse images of Borel sets are Borel; the preimage identity then makes measurable. [F10] gives measurability of the product . Consequently Thus is absolutely continuous on by [F3].
By [F2] and step 1.1, almost everywhere on . For , [F4] gives This Lipschitz bound and absolute continuity of show directly from the finite disjoint-interval definition that is absolutely continuous. Applying [F2] to the integrable function gives almost everywhere. At almost every point where exists, [F5] yields .
Applying [F6] to on gives Since and [F11] gives , exponentiating and using [F11] yields the identity for ; the case was handled in step 1.2.
If , continuity from [F7] makes the zero set closed. Since is nonempty and bounded below, belongs to : for every choose with , so and continuity gives . Nonincreasing survival [F1] then gives for . Step 3.1 gives for . Since by continuity at and [F4], this tends to as . The stated extended convention therefore gives also for .
The identity holds throughout the positive-survival interval and at a finite terminal endpoint under the stated extended convention.
Depends on
- Absolute continuity on a compact interval
- The Axiom of Countable Choice ($\mathrm{AC}_\omega$)
- The axiom of dependent choice: a relation in which every element is related to something admits an $\mathbb{N}$-indexed chain
- The measure with density $f$ relative to $\mu$
- Lebesgue measurable sets, the family $\mathcal{L}(\mathbb{R}^n)$, and the restricted set function $\lambda_n$
- Parametric survival and reliability models
- The natural logarithm as the inverse of the exponential function
- The real exponential function and the number $e$ by a power series
- Arithmetic and lattice operations preserve measurability whenever they are defined
- Measures are monotone
- The indefinite integral of an $L^1$ function is absolutely continuous
- $C^1$ implies Lipschitz, Lipschitz implies absolutely continuous, and absolutely continuous implies continuous and bounded variation
- The chain rule, in one line from Carathéodory: if $g$ is differentiable at $c$ and $f$ is differentiable at $g(c)$, then $f \circ g$ is differentiable at $c$ with $(f \circ g)'(c) = f'(g(c))\,g'(c)$
- The indefinite integral of an $L^1$ function is differentiable almost everywhere
- Fundamental theorem of calculus for absolutely continuous functions
- The natural logarithm has derivative 1/x and equals the integral from 1 to x of 1/t
- The integral logarithm is unbounded above and below
- The mean value theorem, as the case $g(x) = x$ of Cauchy's: for $f$ continuous on $[a,b]$ with $a < b$ and differentiable on $(a,b)$ there is $c \in (a,b)$ with $f(b) - f(a) = f'(c)(b-a)$
- A box in $\mathbb{R}^n$ with parameters $a_i\le b_i$ is Lebesgue measurable of measure $\prod_{i<n}(b_i-a_i)$, whichever of its faces are included
- A nonnegative integral over a null set vanishes
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Sources
- NIST/SEMATECH Engineering Statistics Handbook, Chapter 8, §8.1.2.3, PDF pp. 15–16 (standard reference, not scraped)
- Qiqing Yu, Survival Analysis (Lecture Notes), §2.1, PDF p. 10 (standard reference, not scraped)
- Lu Tian, STAT331 Unit 2: Likelihood Construction, Inference for Parametric Survival Distributions, §2.1, PDF pp. 1–4 (standard reference, not scraped)