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Independence Borel Cantelli and Zero One Laws - Examples
1 · Prerequisites
- Construction of the Natural Numbers
- Construction of the Real Numbers via Cauchy Sequences
- Construction of the Real Numbers via Dedekind Cuts
- Countability and Uncountability
- Finite Counting, Factorials and Binomial Coefficients
- Finite Probability Spaces and Random Variables
- Foundations of the Real Numbers for Analysis
- Independence Borel Cantelli and Zero One Laws
- limsup, liminf, and Subsequential Limits
- Measurable Functions and Simple Approximation
- Measures and Their Basic Properties
- Order, Zorn's Lemma, and the Axiom of Choice
- Probability Spaces Random Variables and Expectation
- Relations, Functions, and Quotients
- Roots, Rational Powers, and Classical Inequalities
- Sequences and Limits
- Series: Convergence and the Nonnegative Tests
- Sigma Algebras and Borel Sets
- Suprema and Infima
- The ZFC Axioms and the Basic Set Constructions
- Topological Spaces and Continuity
2 · Summary
These examples isolate the main behaviors proved on the A page. Independence is not the same as disjointness, measurable functions of disjoint independent blocks stay independent, and Borel-Cantelli turns a summable tail estimate into an eventual almost-sure bound.
The counterexamples keep the scope exact. A divergent sum of probabilities does not force infinitely many occurrences without independence, and even when two events start independent, overlapping unions can destroy that independence.
3 · Logical flowchart
4 · Definitions, theorems and proofs
None yet.
5 · Examples, counterexamples and false statements
Independent events need not be disjoint
Example
On the uniform space , let Then and are independent, but they are not disjoint because .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The uniform four-point space and the events displayed above.
In a uniform finite space, event probability is cardinality divided by the total number of outcomes. (The uniform probability space on a nonempty finite set)
Two events are independent exactly when . (Independent events, pairwise independence, and mutual independence of a finite family)
Verification
By [L1], the events and each have probability , while has probability .
Step 1.1 gives so [L2] shows that and are independent. Since , they are not disjoint.
Functions of disjoint independent coordinate blocks remain independent
Example
Let be independent random elements. Put If and are measurable maps on the targets of and , then and are independent.
This is the standard way to pass from coordinate independence to independence of functions built from disjoint coordinate blocks.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: Independent random elements and measurable maps and as in the Example.
Disjoint groups of an independent sigma-algebra family remain independent. (Disjoint groups of an independent sigma-algebra family remain independent)
Measurable coordinatewise functions preserve independence. (Measurable coordinatewise functions preserve independence)
Independence of random elements is defined through independence of their generated sigma-algebras. (Independent random elements)
Verification
The sigma-algebras are independent by [L3]. Grouping the first two and last two coordinates, [L1] shows that the block sigma-algebras and are independent. Therefore the block random elements and are independent.
Applying [L2] to the independent pair and the measurable maps gives independence of and .
A summable tail bound becomes an almost-sure eventual bound
Example
Let be real random variables and let be positive real numbers. If then with probability only finitely many indices satisfy . Equivalently, almost surely there is such that for every .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: Real random variables and positive thresholds with .
If the probabilities of events are summable, then the corresponding events occur infinitely often with probability . (First Borel-Cantelli lemma for events)
Verification
Apply [L1] to the events . Then
The complement of the event in step 1.1 is exactly the event that there is an index such that for all . Hence that eventual bound holds almost surely.
Convergence of an independent random series is a zero-one event
Example
If is an independent sequence of real random variables, then the event has probability either or .
The zero-one law does not decide which value occurs; it says only that no intermediate probability is possible.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: An independent sequence of real random variables .
Almost-sure convergence of an independent series is a tail event of probability or . (Almost-sure convergence of an independent series is a zero-one event)
Verification
The displayed event is exactly the convergence event covered by [L1].
Therefore its probability belongs to .
A divergent probability sum does not force infinitely many occurrences without independence
Statement refuted
If is a sequence of events with then
Facts & Assumptions
Given: An event with , and define for every .
The event is the event that infinitely many of the occur. (Limsup and the infinitely often event)
Probability measures respect complements and monotone set identities. (Basic identities for a probability measure)
Counterexample
Since every equals , one has
For every outcome , either and then for all , or and then for all . Hence the infinitely-often event is exactly itself:
Therefore and the chosen hypothesis makes this probability strictly between and . So the displayed implication is false without an independence hypothesis.
Unions of overlapping independent events need not remain independent
Statement refuted
Whenever and are independent events, and overlaps both of them, the unions and are also independent.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The uniform four-point space and the events
In a uniform finite space, event probability is cardinality divided by the total number of outcomes. (The uniform probability space on a nonempty finite set)
Two events are independent exactly when . (Independent events, pairwise independence, and mutual independence of a finite family)
Counterexample
By [L1], the events and have probability , and has probability . Hence and are independent by [L2]. Also overlaps both of them because and .
The unions are so each has probability , while has probability .
Since [L2] shows that and are not independent. This refutes the statement.