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Batch and measurement-process variation

1 · Prerequisites

2 · Summary

This page defines fixed process-condition, nested batch/day, and repeat indices, then distinguishes repeatability within stated short-term conditions, reproducibility across named conditions, and stability over a declared time interval. Under the finite-moment nested model with mutually independent batch and repeat effects, it proves the shared-batch covariance and replicate-mean variance formulas without Gaussianity. The batch-effect specification depends on the model and inferential target: sampling from a named population is one design-based interpretation, while a random-effects distribution may also serve as a working model for selected batches that are not a probability sample. That choice alone does not justify design-based extrapolation; if the batches are the full target and no distributional model is intended, treat their offsets as fixed. Crossed operator and day effects require a different model. Operators named and held fixed by design are fixed conditions. Generalizing over sampled operators requires a separately specified operator effect, classified as fixed or random from the target and sampling design; σB2 describes only the nested j factor and does not identify a separate operator variance, even when j labels a day–operator combination. Pooling calibration curves requires an explicit common-curve or equivalence model. These identities do not establish that a proposed model or calibration describes an actual measurement process.

3 · Logical flowchart

4 · Definitions, theorems and proofs

DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicablejudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

Batch and measurement-process variation

Definition

Fix nonempty finite index sets I and Ji for i∈I, and positive integers mij for i∈I and j∈Ji. The index i names a fixed process condition, such as a fixed instrument configuration or an operator held fixed by design. The index j names a batch nested within that condition (for example, a day, or a specified day–operator combination); k∈{1,…,mij} names a repeat reading within that batch. If days and operators are crossed, or their separate contributions are needed, the model must use additional indices and terms: this nested model does not separate such effects.

On one probability space, let the real random variables Bij and ϵijk be jointly independent and square-integrable, with E[Bij]=0,Var⁡(Bij)=σB2<∞,E[ϵijk]=0,Var⁡(ϵijk)=σϵ2<∞. The variances are common over the indicated indices and may be zero. Let μ and each τi be fixed real constants. The nested batch measurement model is Yijk=μ+τi+Bij+ϵijk. Here τi represents the fixed process-condition offset, Bij is the random batch offset, and ϵijk is the repeat error. The replicate mean is Yˉij⋅=mij−1∑k=1mijYijk. This is a scalar random-intercept specialization of the finite-moment mixed-model form in Finite-dimensional linear mixed model with explicit longitudinal roles; it adds mutual independence across the finite batch and repeat families and assumes a common repeat-error variance.

In this article, repeatability means variation among readings made under the same stated short-term conditions, represented by the repeat-error term in this model. Reproducibility means variation across the explicitly named conditions being compared, such as days or operators; the parameter σB2 describes only the random batch factor represented by j. A design-based interpretation as variation over a target population requires batches sampled from that population; under a working random-effects model, its interpretation instead depends on the stated model and inferential target. Stability means constancy over the stated time interval of the measurement process law, including its calibration relation and relevant error behavior. These words are used with these declared scopes; terminology in measurement standards can vary.

Choose the batch-effect specification to match the model and inferential target. A design-based interpretation treats Bij as random when observed batches are sampled from a named population and the target includes variation over it. A random-effects distribution may also be used as a working model for selected batches that are not a probability sample, but that choice alone does not justify design-based extrapolation. If the selected batches are the entire target and no distributional model is intended, represent their offsets as fixed batch parameters; the random-effect variance formula below then does not describe extrapolation to unobserved batches. Pool calibration curves only under an explicit common-curve or equivalence model over the stated calibration range. Without that model, report batch-specific calibration descriptions. This definition and its variance consequences assert no empirical adequacy or stability of a particular measurement process. The measurement occasion called a batch and the calibration-curve terminology agree with Measurands, calibration, and measurement uncertainty.

TheoremStatement: AI-adaptedProof: AI-generatedprecheck passjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

Within-batch covariance and replicate-mean variance

Statement

Let I and each Ji be nonempty finite sets, and let mij≥1 be an integer for each i∈I and j∈Ji. On one probability space, suppose the real random variables Bij and ϵijk, for 1≤k≤mij, are jointly independent and square-integrable, with E[Bij]=0,Var⁡(Bij)=σB2<∞,E[ϵijk]=0,Var⁡(ϵijk)=σϵ2<∞, where these two variances are common over their indices. For fixed real constants μ and τi, set Yijk=μ+τi+Bij+ϵijk,Yˉij⋅=1mij∑k=1mijYijk. Then for every i,j and distinct k,ℓ∈{1,…,mij}, Cov⁡(Yijk,Yijℓ)=σB2, and for every i,j, Var⁡(Yˉij⋅)=σB2+σϵ2mij. No Gaussian assumption is needed.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The finite nested model and all moment and independence hypotheses in the Statement.

[F1]

Batch and measurement-process variation: all Bij and ϵijk are square-integrable and jointly independent, have mean zero and common finite variances σB2 and σϵ2, and Yijk=μ+τi+Bij+ϵijk.

[F2]

Moments, variance, and covariance on a probability space: for square-integrable real variables, variance is the expectation of the centered square and covariance is the expectation of the centered product.

[F3]

Linearity, monotonicity, and the modulus bound for expectation: expectation is linear on finite linear combinations of integrable real variables.

[F4]

Expectations factor over finite products of independent random variables: for a finite independent family and integrable coordinate functions, the product is integrable and its expectation is the product of the expectations.

[F5]

Expectation of a nonnegative or integrable random variable: expectation of an integrable real random variable is its Lebesgue integral.

[F6]

Probability measures and probability spaces: the probability measure of the whole sample space is one, so the expectation of a constant c is c.

Proof

1.1givenF1F2F3F5F6algebra

Each variable in [F1] is integrable because it is square-integrable on a probability space and 2∣X∣≤1+X2; finite sums are square-integrable by (x1+⋯+xn)2≤n∑r=1nxr2. Every product used below is integrable by 2∣XZ∣≤X2+Z2. Thus all expectations are finite and the moment definitions and expectation linearity apply.

2.1F1F2F3F4F5F6step 1.1algebra

Fix distinct k,ℓ in one batch. By [F1], [F3], [F5], and [F6], E[Yijk]=E[Yijℓ]=μ+τi. Thus [F2] gives Cov⁡(Yijk,Yijℓ)=E[(Bij+ϵijk)(Bij+ϵijℓ)]. Expand the product and apply [F3] to get E[Bij2]+E[Bijϵijℓ]+E[ϵijkBij]+E[ϵijkϵijℓ]. By [F1] and [F4] each cross-product expectation factors into the product of two zero means; the remaining term is E[Bij2]=Var⁡(Bij)=σB2 by [F1] and [F2].

3.1F1F2F3F4F5F6step 1.1algebra∎

For fixed i,j, [F1], [F3], [F5], and [F6] give E[Yˉij⋅]=μ+τi, so its centered form is Bij+mij−1∑kϵijk. By [F2], its variance is the expectation of the square of this centered form; expanding that square and repeatedly applying [F3] gives E[Bij2]+(2/mij)∑kE[Bijϵijk]+(1/mij2)∑k,ℓE[ϵijkϵijℓ]. By [F1] and [F4], all cross-product expectations vanish and each diagonal term equals E[ϵijk2]=σϵ2. Also E[Bij2]=σB2. Therefore the result is σB2+σϵ2/mij, including mij=1 and zero variance components.

Remarks

The result is a model identity, not an estimate or an empirical claim about a particular instrument. Its proof uses finite sums and no choice axiom.

5 · Examples, counterexamples and false statements

None yet.

Sources