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LemmaStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedPipeline-generatedprecheck passjudge pass (gpt-6-sol)audited 2026-09-30
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Matrix Chapman–Kolmogorov equations

Statement

For m,n≥0 and x,y in countable E,

p(m+n)(x,y)=∑z∈Ep(m)(x,z)p(n)(z,y).

Facts & Assumptions

Given: A countable state space E, a probability kernel K on (E,2E), m,n∈N0, and x,y∈E.

[F1]

Iterated kernels start with K0=I and satisfy Kj+1=KjK. Iterated transition kernels

[F2]

Kernel composition is defined by (KL)(s,A)=∫TL(t,A) K(s,dt). Composition of probability kernels

[F3]

Kernel composition is associative at each source point and measurable set. Kernel composition is well defined and associative

[F4]

A measure on a countable discrete space is determined by its singleton weights and is their weighted sum. Every measure on a countable discrete space is its weighted sum of Dirac measures

[F5]

An increasing sequence of nonnegative measurable functions passes to the limit under the integral. Monotone convergence for the integral

[F6]

The transition probabilities are p(j)(x,y)=Kj(x,{y}). Transition matrices and n-step probabilities

Proof

technique · direct induction and monotone convergence
1.1

For all m,n≥0, Km+n=KmKn. For n=0, the composition formula in [F2] and K0=I in [F1] give KmK0=Km. If the identity holds at n, then [F1] and associativity [F3] give

Km+n+1=Km+nK=(KmKn)K=Km(KnK)=KmKn+1.

Induction proves the kernel identity. [F1, F2, F3, given, induction]

2.1F2F3F6step 1.1given

Apply step 1.1 to the singleton {y}. By [F2] and [F6], p(m+n)(x,y)=∫EKn(z,{y}) Km(x,dz). The integrand is measurable and between zero and one because Kn is a probability kernel, so the integral is defined.

3.1F4F5F6step 2.1

If E is finite, list it without repetition as e(0),…,e(r−1); if it is countably infinite, fix a bijection e:N→E. Let J={0,…,r−1} in the finite case and J=N in the infinite case, and set gN(z)=∑k∈J, k<NKn(e(k),{y})1{z=e(k)}. These finite-support functions increase pointwise to g(z)=Kn(z,{y}) and are constant once N≥r in the finite case. By [F4], the singleton weights of Km(x,⋅) are p(m)(x,e(k)); [F5] therefore gives ∫Eg dKm(x,⋅)=lim⁡N∑k∈J, k<Np(m)(x,e(k))p(n)(e(k),y)=∑z∈Ep(m)(x,z)p(n)(z,y). Combining with step 2.1 proves the formula, with the nonnegative series interpreted by its finite partial sums.

4.1F1F6step 3.1given∎

If m=0, the row p(0)(x,z)=1{x=z} leaves only the term z=x; if n=0, p(0)(z,y)=1{z=y} leaves only z=y. When m=n=0, both sides are 1{x=y}. Thus the zero-time endpoints, including the one-state and deterministic cases, agree. If E=∅, there are no x,y and the assertion is vacuous. The proof uses kernel algebra and nonnegative sums only; no AC or conditional-probability version enters.

Depends on

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