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Martingale central limit theorem
Statement
Assume AC. Let be a square-integrable martingale-difference array such that, for every , and converge almost surely as to finite limits and . If and, for every , then .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The hypotheses, objects, and conventions in the Statement.
Square-integrable martingale-difference array and variance clock supplies , , and with the required measurability.
Second-order characteristic-function expansion gives the scalar remainder bounds .
Tower property of conditional expectation and Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation permit conditional centering and iteration. The defining event-integral identity is in Conditional expectation as an ae class.
Characteristic function of a normal law identifies , and Characteristic function criterion for weak convergence converts convergence of characteristic functions to weak convergence.
Converging together lemma removes variance-clock localization.
The Axiom of Choice states AC, assumed here because F1 and F3 use conditional moments and chosen countable families of representatives.
Dominated convergence passes bounded simple-function approximations through integrable products.
Proof
Write . For every , Taking the supremum in , bounding it by the sum of the nonnegative tail terms, and taking expectations gives Consequently after first taking and then .
First suppose almost surely for one deterministic . Fix and put The exact telescoping identity is Here the prefactor before the parentheses is -measurable and has modulus at most .
For any bounded -measurable complex and integrable complex , the defining conditional-expectation event integrals in F3 give : prove it first for simple real , approximate bounded real and imaginary parts by bounded simple functions, and apply F7 to each integrable product. The prefactor in step 1.2 is such an , so this pull-out identity licenses conditioning the telescoping increment. Conditional centering, F2, and a split at give where is deterministic. The elementary exponential remainder also gives Sum the expected telescoping errors from step 1.2. Since , step 1.1 and the Lindeberg hypothesis yield after and then . The infinite telescoping limit is legitimate because converge almost surely and ; the displayed summable error bound controls passage of expectation through the partial telescopes.
Still under the bounded clock assumption, The first term tends to zero by bounded convergence from in probability (every subsequence has an almost-surely convergent subsubsequence), and the second tends to zero by step 2.1. Thus the characteristic functions converge to . F4 proves in the bounded-clock case.
For the general case fix and define predictable truncated differences The event is -measurable because . Their variance clock is bounded by , their Lindeberg sums do not increase, and on their terminal sum equals . Moreover their clock equals on that event, so it still converges in probability to . step 3.1 gives , while F5 transfers the weak limit to . No independence was used: the clock hypothesis and the unconditional Lindeberg hypothesis entered separately. AC has precisely the role in F6.
Depends on
- Square-integrable martingale-difference array and variance clock
- Second-order characteristic-function expansion
- Characteristic function of a normal law
- Characteristic function criterion for weak convergence
- Converging together lemma
- Tower property of conditional expectation
- Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation
- Conditional expectation as an ae class
- Dominated convergence
- The Axiom of Choice
Used by
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Sources
- Roch, Notes 19: Martingale CLT, Theorem 19.15 and proof, pp. 4–8 (standard reference, not scraped)