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Absolutely summable linear filters preserve weak stationarity
Statement
Let be a centered real weakly stationary process with autocovariance . For a real two-sided sequence define . Then this filter is well-defined almost surely and in , is centered and weakly stationary, and has autocovariance For their filter composition is the convolution filter All sums are absolutely convergent in the senses justified below. This argument uses no choice axiom.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: A centered weakly stationary real process on one probability space, its autocovariance , and a real sequence .
Autocovariance and sample autocovariance gives , independent of .
Moments, variance, and covariance on a probability space defines the second moment, variance, and covariance used here.
Cauchy-Schwarz for random variables gives for square-integrable real variables.
Variance and covariance identities for random variables expands covariance bilinearly for finite linear combinations.
Tonelli's theorem for nonnegative measurable functions on a sigma-finite product interchanges a nonnegative sum and expectation by applying Tonelli to counting measure times the probability measure.
Tonelli's theorem for double series of nonnegative extended real numbers permits interchanging the order of summation for nonnegative double series.
Fatou's lemma bounds the integral of an almost-sure limit by the liminf of the nonnegative integrals.
Proof
Weak stationarity makes for every . Applying [F3] to and the constant one gives , while applying it to the centered variables gives . Consequently Tonelli [F5] on counting measure over times the probability measure shows that the random series of absolute values has finite expectation, hence is finite almost surely. Thus is defined by an absolutely convergent sum.
For any finite , the finite filter satisfies, by [F4], The equality is a finite covariance expansion; the inequality follows from from step 1.1. Applying the same bound to a finite tail gives .
Enumerate as and let be the partial sum through the first terms. The absolute almost-sure convergence from step 1.1 gives almost surely. Fatou [F7] and the finite-tail bound of step 2.1 therefore give Thus in and is square-integrable.
Each finite filter is centered. The convergence in step 3.1 implies convergence by [F3] applied to the difference and the constant one; hence . For finite , covariance bilinearity [F4] gives As increases through the enumeration, the left side converges to by convergence and [F3]. The right side converges absolutely because with order of summation justified by [F6]. Its limit is independent of , so is weakly stationary with the stated autocovariance.
Let . The triangle inequality and [F6] give so . Tonelli [F5] and the uniform bound from step 1.1 give Hence this double random series is absolutely convergent almost surely. Reindexing the absolutely convergent terms by gives Both sides are the filter limits defined in the Statement, and the equality holds almost surely and in by the bounds of steps 2.1 and 3.1. This proves the composition formula.
Depends on
- Linear processes, white noise, and ARMA models
- Autocovariance and sample autocovariance
- Moments, variance, and covariance on a probability space
- Cauchy-Schwarz for random variables
- Variance and covariance identities for random variables
- Tonelli's theorem for nonnegative measurable functions on a sigma-finite product
- Tonelli's theorem for double series of nonnegative extended real numbers
- Fatou's lemma
Used by
- ARMA causality and invertibility root criteria Theorem
- Sample-mean CLT for stable linear processes Theorem
- Spectral density of a stationary ARMA solution Theorem
Cited to discharge well-definedness by Linear processes, white noise, and ARMA models.
Dependency tree · two levels
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Sources
- Dewei Wang, STAT 720 Time Series Analysis, Sections 4.3–4.4 (standard reference, not scraped)
- Nicolai Meinshausen, Time Series Analysis: Notes for the course HS 2022, Section 2.6 (standard reference, not scraped)