Alphabeta Math
ExampleConstruction: Literature-sourcedVerification: AI-adaptedPipeline-generatedprecheck passjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)
How statement and proof provenance work

The first chip identifies the source of the statement or construction; the second identifies the source of its local proof or verification.

  • Literature-sourced: the exact statement appears in a cited source; only wording and notation differ.
  • AI-adapted: a semantically identical restatement of literature-sourced material, modulo indexing, notation, and boundary cases adopted by the library.
  • AI-generated: a genuinely novel statement formulated by AI, with no source for the claim itself.

These labels describe origin, not correctness: citations and verification chips remain separate evidence.

A flat prior gives a proper known-variance normal-mean posterior

Example

Let n≥1, let the observed real values be y1,…,yn, and let the known variance be σ2>0, with σ=σ2. The parameter space is (R,L(R)) with Lebesgue measure λ. Equip the data space Rn with the finite product of L(R) and the recursively defined product measure λ⊗n. For each parameter μ, define the one-observation law by the density qμ(x)=1σ2πexp⁡ ⁣(−(x−μ)22σ2) relative to λ and take the n-observation sampling law to be the product of these one-coordinate laws. Its likelihood density at y=(y1,…,yn) is Ly(μ)=∏i=1nqμ(yi). Take the flat prior measure λ on R. Writing yˉ=n−1∑i=1nyi, the evidence is finite and positive, and the fiberwise posterior has Lebesgue density (n2πσ2)1/2exp⁡ ⁣(−n(μ−yˉ)22σ2). Its restriction to Borel sets is the normal law N(yˉ,σ2/n).

Facts & Assumptions

[A1]

The Axiom of Choice: the Axiom of Choice is assumed for the stated choice-dependent Lebesgue-measure, standard-normal, and change-of-variables suppliers.

[F1]

Evidence normalizer and fiberwise posterior update: the fiberwise update divides the likelihood section times the prior measure by its evidence only on a finite positive fiber.

[F2]

Fiberwise posterior propriety is equivalent to finite positive evidence: a finite positive evidence normalizer yields a probability after division by that normalizer.

[F3]

Lebesgue measure is sigma-finite, and every metrically bounded subset of Rn has finite outer measure: assuming countable choice, Lebesgue measure on Rd is sigma-finite, and the boxes (−k,k]d have measure (2k)d and cover the space.

[F4]

Measures are monotone: if A⊆B are measurable, then λ(A)≤λ(B).

[F5]

The standard normal density has total mass one: under the Axiom of Choice, ϕ(t)=(2π)−1/2e−t2/2 is positive and Borel measurable with ∫Rϕ dλ=1.

[F6]

AC implies DC implies countable choice: the Axiom of Choice implies the Axiom of Countable Choice.

[F7]

A C^1 diffeomorphism satisfies the change-of-variables formula for nonnegative Lebesgue measurable functions: under countable choice, a C1 diffeomorphism between open Euclidean sets obeys the change-of-variables formula for every nonnegative Lebesgue-measurable integrand.

[F8]

The product sigma-algebra and its finite iterates: the finite product sigma-algebra is defined recursively from measurable rectangles.

[F9]

The product measure of two sigma-finite measure spaces: for sigma-finite factors, the product measure is defined by integrating section measures.

[F10]

For sigma-finite factors, the product measure exists, has the rectangle formula, is sigma-finite, and is unique: for sigma-finite factors, the product measure exists, satisfies the rectangle formula, and is sigma-finite.

[F11]

Tonelli's theorem for nonnegative measurable functions on a sigma-finite product: a nonnegative product-measurable function on a sigma-finite product has equal iterated and product integrals.

[F12]

Continuous functions on Euclidean spaces are Borel measurable: under countable choice, a continuous map between finite-dimensional Euclidean spaces is Borel measurable.

[F13]

The Borel sigma-algebra of a topological space: B(R) is the sigma-algebra generated by the open subsets of R.

[F14]

Standard normal and normal laws: N(0,1) has density ϕ and N(m,s2) for s>0 is the pushforward of N(0,1) by z↦m+sz.

[F15]

Assuming countable choice, every Borel subset of Rn is Lebesgue measurable: under countable choice, every Borel subset of a Euclidean space is Lebesgue measurable.

[F16]

The indefinite integral of a nonnegative measurable function is a measure: the set function A↦∫Af dμ is a measure for every nonnegative measurable f.

[F17]

Probability measures and probability spaces: a probability measure is a measure of total mass one.

Given: The model and data in the Example, the Axiom of Choice, and Lebesgue measure on the indicated real spaces.

Verification

1.1givenA1F3F4F6algebra

By [A1] and [F6], countable choice is available for [F3]. The boxes Ek=(−k,k] have finite measure 2k and cover R by [F3], so λ is sigma-finite. Since Ek⊆R, [F4] gives λ(R)≥2k for every k, hence λ(R)=+∞ and the flat prior is improper.

1.2givenA1F5F6F7F12F13F14F15F16F17algebra

Fix μ and set T(x)=(x−μ)/σ. This is a C1 diffeomorphism of R with inverse t↦μ+σt and ∣T′(x)∣=1/σ. The formula for qμ is continuous in x, hence Borel by [F12] and Lebesgue measurable by [F15]. Since ϕ is also Lebesgue measurable by [F5, F15], [F7] gives ∫Rqμ dλ=∫Rϕ dλ=1. The set function Pμ(A)=∫Aqμ dλ is a measure by [F16], and its total mass one makes it a probability by [F17]. For a Borel A, apply [F7] to f=1Aqμ and S(z)=μ+σz: N(μ,σ2)(A)=∫1A(S(z))ϕ(z) dλ(z)=∫Aqμ(x) dλ(x), since σqμ(S(z))=ϕ(z) and [F14] defines N(μ,σ2) as this affine pushforward. Thus each coordinate law has the stated density.

1.3givenA1F1F6F12F15algebra

Put S=∑i=1n(yi−yˉ)2. Expanding and using ∑i(yi−yˉ)=0 gives ∑i(yi−μ)2=S+n(μ−yˉ)2. Hence Ly(μ)=(2πσ2)−n/2e−S/(2σ2)e−n(μ−yˉ)2/(2σ2). This is continuous in μ, hence Borel by [F12] and L(R)-measurable by [F15]; therefore its evidence integral is defined by [F1].

2.1givenA1F3F6F8F9F10F11F16F17step 1.2

For k≥1, recursively form the finite product data measure νk=λ⊗k on L(R)⊗k using [F8] and [F9]. Starting from the sigma-finite λ, [F10] ensures that each νk exists and is sigma-finite. The coordinate projections are measurable by [F8], so each pullback of qμ is measurable by step 1.2; finite multiplication is continuous, making fk(y1,…,yk)=∏i=1kqμ(yi) product-measurable. Step 1.2 gives ∫f1 dν1=1. If ∫fk dνk=1, the recursive product definition and Tonelli [F11] give ∫fk+1 dνk+1=∫fk dνk∫qμ dλ=1. Thus Pμ,n(E):=∫Efn dνn is a measure by [F16] and a probability by [F17]. For measurable rectangles E=A1×⋯×An, repeated Tonelli gives Pμ,n(E)=∏i=1nPμ(Ai). The product measure theorem [F10], iterated over the finite factors, identifies Pμ,n as the product of the one-coordinate laws. Therefore these coordinates are independent and Ly(μ) is their joint density.

2.2givenA1F1F5F6F7F15step 1.3algebra

Set T(μ)=n(μ−yˉ)/σ, a C1 diffeomorphism of R with inverse u↦yˉ+σu/n and derivative n/σ. Since e−u2/2=2π ϕ(u) is nonnegative and Lebesgue measurable by [F5, F15], [F7] gives ∫Re−n(μ−yˉ)2/(2σ2) dλ(μ)=σn2π. Integrating the factorization in step 1.3 against the flat prior gives Z(y)=(2πσ2)−n/2e−S/(2σ2)σ2πn, which is strictly positive and finite for every finite data vector.

3.1givenA1F2F6F7F12F13F14F15step 1.1step 1.3step 2.2algebra∎

Dividing step 1.3 by the finite positive evidence in step 2.2 gives h(μ)=nσϕ ⁣(n(μ−yˉ)σ), the displayed Lebesgue density. Put s=σ/n>0; S(z)=yˉ+sz is a C1 diffeomorphism with inverse μ↦(μ−yˉ)/s. For every Borel A, [F14] defines N(yˉ,s2) as this pushforward; [F7] applied to f=1Ah, which is Lebesgue measurable by [F12, F13, F15], gives ∫Ah(μ) dλ(μ)=∫1A(S(z))h(S(z))s dλ(z)=∫1A(S(z))ϕ(z) dλ(z)=N(yˉ,s2)(A). The update on the full Lebesgue sigma-algebra is a probability by [F2]. If n=0 were allowed, its empty-product likelihood would be 1 and the evidence would be λ(R)=+∞ by step 1.1, so no normalized update would exist.

Depends on

Used by

Nothing in the library uses this result yet.

Dependency tree · two levels

87 results within two dependency steps of this one, each drawn at its shortest distance from it. An arrow runs from a result to what uses it, so the chart reads left to right and ends at this result, which carries a heavier outline. Every node is a link to that result. Click elsewhere on the chart to enlarge it.

Sources