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An unbounded stopped exponential martingale needs uniform integrability
Statement refuted
The inference "if is a positive continuous local martingale with and almost surely, then for all implies " is false: the equality of the stopped expectations at finite times does not by itself justify optional stopping at an unbounded stopping time. Assume AC and the standing hypothesis (H) of Elementary predictable Brownian integrands. Choose an everywhere-continuous zero-start Brownian realization as in Wiener measure on continuous path space, normalizing the zero-start event as well, and equip this representative with its own usual augmented natural filtration Natural and usual augmented Brownian filtrations. The witness is and ; for this pair for every finite , almost surely, yet almost surely and , and the stopped family is not uniformly integrable.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: AC, (H), an everywhere-continuous zero-start standard Brownian motion equipped with its usual augmented natural filtration, the process , the level , the stopping time , and .
Exponential martingale. is a positive continuous martingale with for every , and for the same statement applied to gives , hence . The exponential Brownian martingale Brownian motion
The level set is hit. On the full-measure event of continuity, as because almost surely by the law of the iterated logarithm; hence , while , so the intermediate value theorem gives that the continuous path attains the value at some finite time and almost surely. Brownian law of the iterated logarithm at infinity Continuity of at a point of and on : the - condition, its agreement with at a limit point, and continuity at an isolated point Brownian motion Intermediate value theorem, by bisection with a canonical left-half rule: a continuous function on takes every value between and
is a stopping time. Every path of is continuous, so for the event equals identically. A finite infimum of hit times is itself a hit, by continuity and a sequence of hit times decreasing to that infimum. A hit in is approximated by rational times; conversely, approximate contacts have a convergent subsequence by Bolzano–Weierstrass, and continuity gives a hit at its limit. AC permits these countable selections, with positive indices reindexed from zero if required. At the hit event is empty since . Every displayed event is -measurable, so no null-set transfer is needed. Continuous-time stopping times and stopped sigma-algebras Bolzano-Weierstrass: every bounded real sequence has a convergent subsequence The rationals embed densely in the reals Continuity of at a point of and on : the - condition, its agreement with at a limit point, and continuity at an isolated point
Finite-grid sampling and maximal domination. The restriction of the all-pairs martingale to a finite deterministic grid is a discrete martingale; extend it constantly after the last index. The bounded discrete optional-sampling theorem and the discrete Doob inequality then apply on that grid. Monotone convergence applies to the increasing squares of maxima over nested grids, and Cauchy–Schwarz turns the resulting bound into an integrable dominating supremum. The grid passage is proved in step 1.1. Optional sampling for bounded stopping times Doob Lp maximal inequality Monotone convergence for the integral Cauchy-Schwarz for random variables Dominated convergence Continuous-time filtrations and all-pairs martingales
Uniform integrability and limits. If a sequence converges almost surely and is uniformly integrable, then it converges in (a.s. convergence implies probability convergence by dominated convergence of the error-event indicators). Hence its expectations converge to that of the limit. Uniform integrability plus convergence in probability implies convergence A uniformly integrable family Convergence in probability
AC bookkeeping. AC is inherited from the Brownian and conditional-expectation interfaces and permits the countable selections of hit times and rational approximate contacts in [F3]. The Axiom of Choice
Counterexample
Finite-time means: fix and the nested grids , . Put . Discrete Doob and [F1] give . The grids are nested and dense, and all paths are continuous, so . Thus is measurable, and monotone convergence gives ; Cauchy–Schwarz with the constant one yields . Let , an integer-valued stopping time for this grid, since belongs to . It is bounded by . Discrete optional sampling therefore gives . These sampled variables converge pointwise to by continuity and are bounded by the integrable . Dominated convergence proves . At the identity is immediate.
Limit of the stopped variables: since almost surely by [F2], for almost every and every one has , so almost surely as . Define the terminal variable as on the null event as well; it is measurable by finite-time stopped approximation on .
The contradiction: if the family were uniformly integrable, then its subfamily at integer times would be uniformly integrable, so [F5] and step 1.2 would give convergence of that sequence and ; but step 1.1 gives for every finite . Since , the family is not uniformly integrable, and the unsupported unit-mean conclusion at the unbounded time fails: .
Boundary and consistency cases: for bounded stopping times the identity does hold, whereas no deterministic bound on can hold almost surely: if a.s., step 1.1 at would give ; the stopping time is finite almost surely, so almost-sure finiteness alone is not enough; the martingale is positive and has for every finite , so terminal integrability at finite times is not the missing hypothesis; the witness exhibits both the failed conclusion () and the failed hypothesis (uniform integrability of the stopped family); and AC enters only through [F6].
Source notes
The witness is verified directly from the exponential martingale's Gaussian-conditioning argument, the Brownian LIL and discrete sampling. Only the martingale and moment conclusions of cor-exponential-brownian-martingale are used; its separate Ito integral representation is not invoked. The nested-grid argument supplies the continuous supremum bound required for finite-time dominated convergence.
Depends on
- The exponential Brownian martingale
- Brownian motion
- Continuous-time stopping times and stopped sigma-algebras
- A uniformly integrable family
- Uniform integrability plus convergence in probability implies $L^1$ convergence
- Brownian law of the iterated logarithm at infinity
- Doob Lp maximal inequality
- Doob L1 maximal inequality
- Absolute value and powers of a martingale are submartingales
- Optional sampling for bounded stopping times
- Dominated convergence
- Continuous-time filtrations and all-pairs martingales
- Continuity of $f : A \to \mathbb{R}$ at a point of $A$ and on $A$: the $\varepsilon$-$\delta$ condition, its agreement with $\lim_{x \to c} f(x) = f(c)$ at a limit point, and continuity at an isolated point
- Heine-Cantor in $\mathbb{R}$: a continuous real function on a compact subset of $\mathbb{R}$ is uniformly continuous, proved $\mathbb{R}$-natively from sequential compactness
- Convergence in probability
- Elementary predictable Brownian integrands
- Conditional expectation as an ae class
- The Axiom of Choice
- AC supplies countable selections and prescribed serial paths
- Wiener measure on continuous path space
- Natural and usual augmented Brownian filtrations
- Monotone convergence for the integral
- Cauchy-Schwarz for random variables
- Bolzano-Weierstrass: every bounded real sequence has a convergent subsequence
- The rationals embed densely in the reals
- Intermediate value theorem, by bisection with a canonical left-half rule: a continuous function on $[a,b]$ takes every value between $f(a)$ and $f(b)$
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Sources
- Gregory F. Lawler, Stochastic Calculus: An Introduction with Applications, Sections 3.3 and 4.1 (standard reference, not scraped)