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A curved normal family can make a sufficient statistic incomplete
Statement refuted
Assume AC. A curved exponential subfamily can have a sufficient canonical statistic that is not complete.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: AC; iid for ; ; and .
The Axiom of Choice: AC is required by the normal-law construction and the RN criterion below.
Exponential families and full rank: in the representation , the coordinates in the exponential are the canonical statistic.
Standard Borel spaces, Statistics and estimators, and Continuous functions on Euclidean spaces are Borel measurable: with its Borel sigma-algebra is standard Borel, and the polynomial map is a statistic.
Complete statistics: an integrable mean-zero function of that is nonzero with positive probability disproves completeness.
Standard normal and normal laws and Gaussian even moments for Brownian increments: has the law of for ; symmetry gives and .
Lebesgue measurable sets, the family , and the restricted set function , Assuming countable choice, every Borel subset of is Lebesgue measurable, Lebesgue measure is sigma-finite, and every metrically bounded subset of has finite outer measure, A box in with parameters is Lebesgue measurable of measure , whichever of its faces are included, and Independent random elements have product joint law: Lebesgue measure is sigma-finite, boxes have their side-length volume, and the independent coordinates have product law.
Tonelli's theorem for nonnegative measurable functions on a sigma-finite product: the product normal density integrates by iterated integration.
Common-reference factorization criterion for sufficiency: if an in-model reference dominates the family and its likelihood ratios are Borel functions of , then is sufficient.
Linearity, monotonicity, and the modulus bound for expectation: expectation is linear for integrable terms.
The measure with density relative to and For sigma-finite factors, the product measure exists, has the rectangle formula, is sigma-finite, and is unique: a nonnegative product density defines a measure, and a product measure is determined by its values on measurable rectangles.
A C^1 diffeomorphism satisfies the change-of-variables formula for nonnegative Lebesgue measurable functions: the affine diffeomorphism transforms the standard normal density into the density.
The Borel product of R^m and R^n is the Borel sigma-algebra of R^{m+n}: Borel rectangles generate the Borel sigma-algebra of .
Proof
The map is polynomial and hence a statistic by [F2]. Let be one-dimensional Lebesgue measure restricted to ; the Borel half-open intervals give it a sigma-finite cover of finite measure by [F5]. By [F4] and the affine change of variables [F10] for , each has Borel density relative to . Independence [F5] gives the joint law . The measure with density relative to exists by [F9]; Tonelli [F6] shows that it has total mass one and agrees with this product law on every measurable rectangle. By [F11], these rectangles generate the Borel sigma-algebra of , so the product-measure uniqueness clause [F9] identifies this density measure with the joint law. Expanding its density gives . Put , , , and . Then , with normalizer ; the normalization follows from the product normal density just derived. Thus the canonical statistic is , and the natural parameter set lies on , so it contains no open subset of . Both densities are strictly positive, so for any fixed . Their ratio is a Borel function of ; since is a model member, [F7] proves sufficiency.
From and [F4], and . The bound gives , hence . Let be the one-dimensional normal density from step 1.1 and write , . Independence [F5] identifies the joint law with the product of the two marginal laws, each having density . Tonelli [F6] therefore gives, for every , , where all four factors are finite by . Subtracting the four finite identities yields ; linearity [F8] now gives , while . Hence for every . Also , whose expectation is finite, so is integrable.
At , . By continuity it is nonzero on a neighborhood. The density in step 1.1 is continuous and strictly positive at this point, so there is a smaller nondegenerate rectangle inside that neighborhood on which the density is bounded below by half its value at . The rectangle has positive measure by the one-dimensional box formula and the product rectangle formula [F5, F9], hence it has positive probability under every . Therefore is not zero almost surely, contradicting completeness [F3].
Depends on
- Exponential families and full rank
- Complete statistics
- Common-reference factorization criterion for sufficiency
- Standard normal and normal laws
- Gaussian even moments for Brownian increments
- Independent random elements have product joint law
- Linearity, monotonicity, and the modulus bound for expectation
- The Axiom of Choice
- Standard Borel spaces
- Statistics and estimators
- Continuous functions on Euclidean spaces are Borel measurable
- Lebesgue measure is sigma-finite, and every metrically bounded subset of $\mathbb{R}^n$ has finite outer measure
- Tonelli's theorem for nonnegative measurable functions on a sigma-finite product
- A box in $\mathbb{R}^n$ with parameters $a_i\le b_i$ is Lebesgue measurable of measure $\prod_{i<n}(b_i-a_i)$, whichever of its faces are included
- Lebesgue measurable sets, the family $\mathcal{L}(\mathbb{R}^n)$, and the restricted set function $\lambda_n$
- The measure with density $f$ relative to $\mu$
- For sigma-finite factors, the product measure exists, has the rectangle formula, is sigma-finite, and is unique
- Assuming countable choice, every Borel subset of $\mathbb{R}^n$ is Lebesgue measurable
- A C^1 diffeomorphism satisfies the change-of-variables formula for nonnegative Lebesgue measurable functions
- The Borel product of R^m and R^n is the Borel sigma-algebra of R^{m+n}
Used by
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Sources
- Ryan Martin, Lecture Notes on Advanced Statistical Theory (standard reference, not scraped)
- Joshua M. Tebbs, STAT 512 Mathematical Statistics Lecture Notes (standard reference, not scraped)
- Peter Kempthorne, MIT 18.655 Lecture Note 6: Sufficiency (standard reference, not scraped)
- Noah Fithian, Stat 210a Reader: Sufficiency (standard reference, not scraped)
- Noah Fithian, Stat 210a Reader: Completeness, Ancillarity, and Basu’s Theorem (standard reference, not scraped)
- Jiahao Tian, Chapter 2: Sufficiency and Exponential Families (standard reference, not scraped)