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Iid strong law fails at infinite absolute mean
Statement refuted
Assume AC. IID standard Cauchy variables have standard Cauchy sample means for every positive n. Their averages cannot converge in probability to a finite constant, and cannot converge almost surely to any finite random limit. Here the standard Cauchy law has CDF .
Facts & Assumptions
For ,
At the endpoint, the ordinarily convergent alternating series satisfies
Probability laws correspond to distribution functions: Assume the Axiom of Countable Choice.
- Let be a real random variable, let be its law, and let . Then is nondecreasing and right-continuous, satisfies and obeys
- Conversely, if is nondecreasing and right-continuous with then there is a unique Borel probability measure on such that equivalently
The recursion theorem: Let be a Peano system (def-peano-system), in particular the natural numbers (def-natural-numbers). For any set , any element , and any function , there is a unique function such that and for all .
Countably many independent copies of a prescribed law exist: Assume countable choice and dependent choice. Every probability measure on is the common law of a countable independent family of -valued random elements.
A continuous function on is Riemann integrable, by Heine-Cantor and Riemann's criterion: Let be reals and let be continuous on (def-continuity-real). Then is bounded (def-bounded-set) and Riemann integrable on (def-darboux-integral).
The proof gives more than integrability: it gives a partition that works. For every real the uniform partition into parts already satisfies , as soon as is large enough that is below the that uniform continuity supplies for . Uniform continuity is exactly what makes one serve all subintervals at once, and it is the only place where the compactness of is used.
The second fundamental theorem: if is differentiable on with and is integrable, then : Let be reals, let be differentiable at every point of as a function on (def-derivative; at and this is the one-sided derivative), let , and suppose is integrable on (def-darboux-integral). Then
Both hypotheses are needed and neither is removable. A function may be differentiable everywhere with not integrable — then the left-hand side does not exist (an everywhere differentiable function with unbounded derivative) — and an integrable need not be the derivative of anything (the sign function); both witnesses are on the companion page.
No continuity of is assumed, which is what makes this the working form: the theorem evaluates for every integrable derivative, not only for continuous integrands.
A bounded Riemann integrable function on a closed bounded interval is Lebesgue measurable and has the same integral: Assume the Axiom of Countable Choice. Let and let be bounded and Riemann integrable. Then is Lebesgue measurable on and is integrable there, and its Lebesgue integral equals its Riemann integral:
This is the point at which the completeness of Lebesgue measure is used essentially: the proof obtains a Borel function equal to almost everywhere, and measurability of itself is then a completeness statement.
Monotone convergence for the integral: Let be measurable and suppose for every . Then
The indefinite integral of a nonnegative measurable function is a measure: Let be measurable and define Then is a measure on .
Measures agreeing on a generating pi-system are equal under an increasing finite-measure exhaustion from that pi-system: Let be a -system on generating , and let be measures on that agree on . Suppose there is an increasing sequence in with
Then on .
The natural logarithm has derivative 1/x and equals the integral from 1 to x of 1/t: For , is differentiable and
Order, continuity, range, and the product, quotient, and reciprocal laws for the natural logarithm: The function is continuous and strictly increasing, is onto , and satisfies, for , Also .
Integrability is necessary for an iid finite mean strong law: If IID real have converging almost surely to a finite, possibly random, limit , then and almost surely.
Independent random elements have product joint law: Let , and let for be independent random elements. Define
Then is a random element of , and its law is the finite product of the marginal laws:
Tonelli's theorem for nonnegative measurable functions on a sigma-finite product: Let and be -finite measure spaces, and let be product-measurable. Then and are measurable, and
The principal inverse tangent : By lem-tangent-principal-branch-is-bijective, tangent restricts to a continuous strictly increasing bijection
Its inverse is the principal inverse tangent
Thus for every real , while precisely for in the displayed principal interval. The inverse is continuous and strictly increasing by thm-continuous-inverse.
A box in with parameters is Lebesgue measurable of measure , whichever of its faces are included: Let , assume the Axiom of Countable Choice (def-countable-choice), and let be reals for . Write
(def-multidimensional-rectangle-and-volume). Then is open and is closed, so both are Borel and Lebesgue measurable, and every set with is Lebesgue measurable with
In particular this covers the four one-dimensional face conventions in each coordinate — the open box, the closed box , the half-open box of def-half-open-box, and every mixture of them, in any combination of coordinates — and it gives measure to all of them whenever for some . For a half-open box with infinite parameters the value is already (thm-lebesgue-measure-is-a-complete-measure).
Counterexample
Given: The objects, hypotheses and definitions in the statement. Its conclusions are to be established below.
The inverse in F16 is increasing onto . Its limit at positive infinity is the supremum of that range, : for each in the range, implies . The analogous argument at negative infinity gives . Inverse-tangent calculus F1 gives derivative . Thus F is increasing, continuous and has limits 0 and 1. AC gives CC by restriction to any countable family of nonempty sets, so F2 constructs the law. For a serial relation, AC selects a successor map; F3 iterates it, giving DC and licensing the IID construction in F4.
For set . Its primitive is . Continuous integrability F5, F6, and the CC-qualified compact comparison F7 therefore evaluate its Lebesgue integral on every compact interval. F8 and the primitive limits give total mass one. F9 makes this a measure; equality of finite-interval increments and F10 identify its CDF as . In particular is the standard density.
For fixed real x and a, put and . If , multiplication by the two denominators verifies the identity , where , , . The cubic coefficient cancels; the quadratic and linear coefficients are zero; the constant is one.
For , F11 gives . This tends to infinity by F12. The compact comparison and nonnegative MCT in step 1.2 show . Consequently F13 excludes any finite almost-sure limit of the sample means.
For independent variables with densities and , F14 and F15 give, on an interval (u,v], probability . For fixed y, the affine substitution z=x-y on the finite interval is justified by the continuous primitive in step 1.2, and changes the inner integral to . Tonelli then gives interval probability . This defines a mass-one density measure; interval uniqueness extends the equality to all Borel sets.
A singleton is a degenerate closed box of length zero by F17. Integrate step 1.3 on [-R,R] using the logarithm and inverse-tangent primitives in step 1.2 and step 2.1. The logarithmic contribution is , which tends to zero, while the arctangent contributions tend to . Since , the limit is . Multiplying by ab/^2 gives . The only excluded case is a=b and . A singleton is Lebesgue-null, so this almost-everywhere equality suffices for the density measures; no subtraction of divergent integrals was made.
Induction with step 2.2 and step 3.1 gives density for . Its CDF at nx is , so /n has density for every n. For any finite c, this law gives , independently of n, since the arctangent difference is strictly less than . Thus convergence in probability to c fails. Step 2.1 supplies the stronger obstruction to finite random almost-sure limits.
Depends on
- Countably many independent copies of a prescribed law exist
- Integrability is necessary for an iid finite mean strong law
- Independent random elements have product joint law
- Tonelli's theorem for nonnegative measurable functions on a sigma-finite product
- Change of variables for expectation
- Probability laws correspond to distribution functions
- Principal arctangent: derivative, integral, power series, and the Gregory–Leibniz series
- Change of variable in an improper integral
- The natural logarithm has derivative 1/x and equals the integral from 1 to x of 1/t
- Order, continuity, range, and the product, quotient, and reciprocal laws for the natural logarithm
- The Axiom of Countable Choice ($\mathrm{AC}_\omega$)
- The Axiom of Choice
- The second fundamental theorem: if $G$ is differentiable on $[a,b]$ with $G' = f$ and $f$ is integrable, then $\int_a^b f = G(b)-G(a)$
- A continuous function on $[a,b]$ is Riemann integrable, by Heine-Cantor and Riemann's criterion
- A bounded Riemann integrable function on a closed bounded interval is Lebesgue measurable and has the same integral
- Monotone convergence for the integral
- The indefinite integral of a nonnegative measurable function is a measure
- Measures agreeing on a generating pi-system are equal under an increasing finite-measure exhaustion from that pi-system
- The axiom of dependent choice: a relation in which every element is related to something admits an $\mathbb{N}$-indexed chain
- The recursion theorem
- The principal inverse tangent $\arctan:\mathbb R\to(-\pi/2,\pi/2)$
- A box in $\mathbb{R}^n$ with parameters $a_i\le b_i$ is Lebesgue measurable of measure $\prod_{i<n}(b_i-a_i)$, whichever of its faces are included
Used by
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Sources
- Durrett, Example 2.2.15 p.65 and Theorem 2.3.8 pp.70–71; convolution evaluated locally without characteristic functions (standard reference, not scraped)