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Planar random clusters, sharpness and the exact square-lattice critical point

1 · Prerequisites

2 · Summary

3 · Logical flowchart

4 · Definitions, postulates, theorems and proofs

DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicableprecheck passverified 2026-10-22 (gpt-6.1-sol)Open item page →

Finite FK random-cluster weights for real q and boundary partitions

Definition

Let G=(V,E,∂) be a finite undirected multigraph: V and the edge-label set E are finite, and each e∈E has a singleton or two-element endpoint set ∂e⊆V. Distinct labels may have the same endpoint set. Let B⊆V be a designated boundary set and let ξ be an equivalence relation on B; vertices in each ξ-class are wired together, while vertices outside B remain separate. For A⊆E, let kξ(A) be the number of connected components, including isolated vertices, after wiring the ξ-classes and opening exactly the edges in A. A loop does not join distinct vertices.

For q∈[1,∞) and p∈(0,1), the finite FK weight of A and its partition function are

wG,p,qξ(A):=p∣A∣(1−p)∣E∖A∣qkξ(A),ZG,p,qξ:=∑A⊆EwG,p,qξ(A).

The finite FK random-cluster probability is ϕG,p,qξ(A):=wG,p,qξ(A)/ZG,p,qξ. Every weight is positive and finite, and the finite sum ZG,p,qξ is positive and finite. The free boundary condition is the identity partition on B; the wired boundary condition identifies all vertices of B in one class.

When G is a finite simple graph with the Potts/FK convention of the earlier finite Potts definition, ξ is free, q=Q is an integer at least two, and every activity equals v=p/(1−p), this definition gives the same normalized FK law, since wFK(A)=(1−p)−∣E∣wG,p,Qξ(A).

DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicableprecheck passverified 2026-10-22 (gpt-6.1-sol)Open item page →

Free, wired, and subsequential infinite-volume FK states on the square lattice

Definition

Let E∞ be the nearest-neighbor edge set of Z2, and let Λn=[−n,n]2∩Z2. Let En contain the edges with both endpoints in Λn, and let ∂Λn be the vertices of Λn adjacent to a vertex outside it. Fix q≥1 and p∈(0,1). For each boundary partition ξn on ∂Λn, let ϕn,p,qξn be the finite FK law on (Λn,En) with mass proportional to p∣A∣(1−p)∣En∖A∣qkξn(A) for A⊆En, where kξn(A) counts components after wiring the partition classes and extend its configurations to {0,1}E∞ by setting all edges outside En closed.

An infinite-volume FK state at (p,q) is any probability measure on {0,1}E∞ that is a cylinder-probability limit of such extended finite-volume laws along a sequence nj→∞ and boundary partitions ξnj. Cylinder-probability convergence means convergence of the probability of every assignment on every finite set of edges. When they exist, the free FK state and wired FK state are the cylinder limits for the identity and one-class partitions, respectively, at every n. Their existence and uniqueness as probability-measure cylinder limits are established by a later A-page lemma under its stated measure-extension hypothesis. For either state ϕp,qb, b∈{0,1}, define θb(p,q):=ϕp,qb(0↔∞), where 0↔∞ means that the open cluster of the origin is not contained in any finite box, and define

pcb(q):=inf⁡{p∈(0,1):θb(p,q)>0}.

No equality of free and wired states at p=pc is part of this definition.

LemmaStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedprecheck passverified 2026-10-22 (gpt-6.1-sol)Open item page →

Finite FK association, spatial Markov property, and boundary monotonicity

Statement

For every finite undirected multigraph G=(V,E,∂), boundary set B⊆V, boundary partition ξ on B, q≥1, and p∈(0,1), the finite FK law defined by the stated finite weights is strictly positive and log-supermodular on the Boolean lattice 2E: for A,C⊆E,

ϕG,p,qξ(A∪C)ϕG,p,qξ(A∩C)≥ϕG,p,qξ(A)ϕG,p,qξ(C).

Consequently it is positively associated: ϕ(fg)≥ϕ(f)ϕ(g) for increasing real functions f,g:2E→R. Conditioning on the states of all edges outside a finite edge set F gives a finite FK law on F whose boundary partition wires exactly the vertices joined by the fixed exterior open edges and the original partition ξ. Given all other edge states, an edge is open with conditional probability p if its endpoints are already connected, and p/(p+q(1−p)) otherwise. If p1≤p2 and ξ1 refines ξ2 (each ξ1-class lies in a ξ2-class), then ϕp1,qξ1≤stϕp2,qξ2.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: A finite multigraph, a boundary set and partition, q≥1, and p∈(0,1) with the finite FK weight of Finite FK random-cluster weights for real q and boundary partitions.

[F1]

The finite FK mass of A⊆E is proportional to p∣A∣(1−p)∣E∖A∣qkξ(A), with kξ(A) counting components after the boundary classes are wired (Finite FK random-cluster weights for real q and boundary partitions).

[F2]

In an undirected multigraph, connected components are the path-connected components; parallel edges and loops retain distinct edge labels (Multigraphs, loops and directed graphs as variants distinct from the default finite simple graph).

Proof

1.1givenF1F2algebra

Form the quotient vertex set Vξ by identifying each ξ-class. For an edge with distinct quotient endpoints u,v, let its incidence vector be eu+ev∈F2Vξ; a quotient loop has zero vector. In a component C of the opened quotient graph (Vξ,A), every edge vector has even coordinate sum, so their span lies in the even-sum subspace, of dimension ∣C∣−1. Conversely choose a root r∈C. For every v∈C∖{r}, connectedness [F2] gives an open path from r to v; summing its edge vectors over F2 cancels each internal vertex twice and gives er+ev. These ∣C∣−1 vectors are linearly independent by their distinct v-coordinates. Thus the incidence rank on C is ∣C∣−1, and summing over components gives r(A)=∣Vξ∣−kξ(A), including isolated vertices and quotient loops. If UA and UC are the spans of incidence vectors from edge sets A and C, then UA∪C=UA+UC and UA∩C⊆UA∩UC. The subspace dimension formula therefore gives r(A)+r(C)≥r(A∪C)+r(A∩C), hence kξ(A∪C)+kξ(A∩C)≥kξ(A)+kξ(C).

1.2F1algebra

Fix the exterior edge states outside a finite F⊆E. For an interior edge set A⊆F, the total number of components of the combined graph is the number of exterior-only components disjoint from the boundary of F, plus the number of components of the graph on F after identifying its boundary vertices that are connected by the fixed exterior open edges or by ξ. The first summand and all exterior edge factors are constant in A; they cancel when the conditional weights are normalized. Hence the conditional law on F is exactly the finite FK law with this induced boundary partition.

2.1F1step 1.1algebra

Since ∣A∪C∣+∣A∩C∣=∣A∣+∣C∣, the factors p∣A∣(1−p)∣E∖A∣ have equality in the lattice condition. The component inequality in step 1.1 and q≥1 give the displayed log-supermodular inequality; every mass is positive by 0<p<1 and q≥1.

2.2F1step 1.2algebra

Given all edges except e, let s be the conditional number of components when e is closed. If its endpoints are already connected, opening it leaves s unchanged, so open-to-closed odds are p/(1−p) and the open probability is p. If the endpoints are not connected, opening it changes the component factor from qs to qs−1, so the odds are p/[q(1−p)] and the open probability is p/(p+q(1−p)). Both expressions increase with p; opening other edges or making the boundary partition coarser can only turn the second case into the first.

3.1step 2.1algebrainduction

We prove positive association for a strictly positive log-supermodular measure on {0,1}n by induction on n. It is trivial at n=0. For the last coordinate s∈{0,1}, each conditional measure μs on the first n−1 coordinates remains log-supermodular, so induction makes each μs positively associated. The ratio R(x)=μ(Xn=1,x)/μ(Xn=0,x) is increasing in x: for x≤y, apply log-supermodularity to (y,0) and (x,1) to obtain R(y)≥R(x). Thus for every increasing h, Eμ1h=Eμ0(hR)/Eμ0R≥Eμ0h by positive association under μ0. For increasing f,g, their conditional means Fs=E[f∣Xn=s] and Gs=E[g∣Xn=s] therefore satisfy F1≥F0 and G1≥G0. The conditional association and the nonnegative covariance of two increasing functions of the single Bernoulli coordinate give E(fg)≥∑sμ(Xn=s)FsGs≥Ef Eg.

4.1step 2.2constructalgebra∎

For two parameter/boundary choices ordered by p1≤p2 and by refinement ξ1≤ξ2, run random-scan heat-bath chains from the all-closed configuration, choosing the same edge and uniform random number at each update. Each update resamples one edge from its conditional FK law, so it preserves the corresponding FK law. Step 2.2 makes every coupled update preserve coordinatewise order. To prove marginal convergence, fix j∈{1,2} and couple two copies of the chain with this same fixed kernel (pj,q,ξj), one from any configuration and one from its stationary FK law. If there are r>0 labels, a block of r updates chooses them in a prescribed order with probability r−r. If all its uniforms exceed p2<1, every label is closed at the block end in both copies, regardless of their initial configurations. This event has probability δ=r−r(1−p2)r>0. Once these same-kernel copies meet they remain equal under shared updates. Independence of the update blocks bounds their disagreement probability after k blocks by (1−δ)k, proving convergence of each marginal to its FK law. No absorbing equality is claimed between the different-kernel chains. For every increasing real f on the finite configuration space, their order at every time gives Ef(Xt(1))≤Ef(Xt(2)); taking the two marginal limits proves stochastic domination. When r=0 there is one configuration and the conclusion is immediate.

Remarks

The association is derived from the component-count lattice condition; no independence assumption is used.

For probability laws on 2E, μ1≤stμ2 means Eμ1f≤Eμ2f for every increasing real function f:2E→R.

LemmaStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedprecheck passverified 2026-10-22 (gpt-6.1-sol)Open item page →

Planar FK duality with the free exterior-face convention

Statement

Let G=(V,E) be a finite connected plane graph with a fixed embedding and ∣V∣≥1. Use the free partition on all primal vertices, B=V. Its plane dual multigraph G∗ has one vertex for each face, including the unbounded face, and one dual edge e∗ crossing each primal edge e; use the identity partition on the dual face-vertices. The unbounded face is one dual vertex, so this convention retains the exterior-face connection in the dual. For a primal open set A⊆E, let A∗:={e∗:e∈E∖A}, so a dual edge is open exactly when its crossing primal edge is closed. For q≥1 and p∈(0,1) define p∗∈(0,1) by

p∗1−p∗=q1−pp.

Then complementing the primal edges sends the finite FK law ϕG,p,qfree to the dual FK law ϕG∗,p∗,qfree: the random dual edge set A∗ has exactly that distribution. The unnormalized weight ratio is the configuration-independent factor q∣V∣−1((1−p)/p∗)∣E∣; the exponent ∣V∣−1 includes the exterior-face contribution under this identity-partition convention.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: A finite connected plane graph with its fixed embedding, its dual multigraph including the unbounded face, A⊆E, q≥1, and p∈(0,1).

[F1]

The finite FK weight is p∣A∣(1−p)∣E∖A∣qk(A); components count isolated vertices (Finite FK random-cluster weights for real q and boundary partitions).

[F3]

For a plane graph with c components, including isolated vertices, ∣V∣−∣E∣+∣F∣=1+c (For a plane graph with c components, ∣V∣−∣E∣+∣F∣=1+c, including the null graph).

[F4]

A cycle edge has two distinct incident faces and a bridge has one face on both local sides (Face frontiers are unions of whole edges; a cycle edge borders two faces and a bridge borders one).

Proof

1.1F2F3F4algebrainduction

For the spanning subgraph (V,A), write FA for its faces. Starting with A=E, the dual open set is empty, so its components are the individual faces of G. Delete primal edges one at a time. If a deleted edge is a bridge of the current subgraph, its component count increases by one while its edge count decreases by one; [F3] therefore leaves the face count unchanged. By [F4] its two local sides lie in one current face, hence in one current dual component by induction, so adding its dual edge does not change the dual component count (the edge may be a loop in the original dual or may join vertices already connected by previously opened dual edges). If it is not a bridge, its component count is unchanged while its edge count decreases by one; [F3] therefore lowers the face count by one. By [F4], the edge has two distinct incident current faces, hence two distinct current dual components by induction; opening its dual edge merges exactly those components. Induction over the finitely many deleted edges proves that dual components correspond to faces of the current primal subgraph; in particular kG∗(A∗)=∣FA∣.

2.1F3step 1.1algebra

Apply [F3] to (V,A), whose number of components is kG(A). It gives ∣V∣−∣A∣+∣FA∣=1+kG(A). Substituting step 1.1 and rearranging yields kG(A)=kG∗(A∗)+∣V∣−∣A∣−1.

3.1F1step 2.1algebra

Let a=∣A∣ and m=∣E∣. By step 2.1, the ratio of primal and dual unnormalized weights is pa(1−p)m−aqkG(A)(p∗)m−a(1−p∗)aqkG∗(A∗)=q∣V∣−1(pq(1−p∗))a(1−pp∗)m−a. The defining relation for p∗ gives p/[q(1−p∗)]=(1−p)/p∗, so this ratio is q∣V∣−1((1−p)/p∗)m, independent of A.

4.1F1F2step 3.1algebra∎

Since A↦A∗ is a bijection from primal edge subsets to dual edge subsets, normalizing the proportional weights in step 3.1 proves the asserted equality of probability laws. The factor q∣V∣−1 is the contribution of the unique exterior face under this free dual convention; the identity is not a criticality argument.

LemmaStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedprecheck passverified 2026-10-22 (gpt-6.1-sol)Open item page →

Existence of the free and wired infinite-volume FK limits

Statement

For every q≥1 and p∈(0,1), the free finite-volume FK laws on Λn are stochastically increasing under restriction as n grows, and the wired finite-volume FK laws are stochastically decreasing under restriction. The probabilities of every finite-coordinate atom therefore have unique nonnegative normalized consistent numerical limits. Under Countable Choice, each limiting family extends uniquely to a probability measure on the cylinder-generated Borel sigma-algebra of {0,1}E∞. Thus the free and wired infinite-volume states exist under this measure-extension hypothesis.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: q≥1, p∈(0,1), the free and wired finite-volume FK laws on the boxes Λn, and, for the measure-existence clause only, Countable Choice.

[F1]

Finite FK laws have the spatial Markov property and are stochastically increasing in boundary wiring (Finite FK association, spatial Markov property, and boundary monotonicity).

[A1]

For the measure-existence clause only, assume Countable Choice The Axiom of Countable Choice (ACω). No such assumption is used for the numerical cylinder limits.

[F2]

Under Countable Choice, a consistent family of finite-coordinate probabilities on a finite-alphabet countable product extends to a probability measure, and sequences of such measures have cylinder-convergent subsequences (Finite-alphabet product and probability compactness).

[F3]

The free and wired finite-volume edge sets, extension convention, and cylinder-limit definition are those in Free, wired, and subsequential infinite-volume FK states on the square lattice.

Proof

1.1F1F3algebra

Fix n<m and condition the law on Em on every edge outside En. By [F1], the conditional law on En is an FK law whose boundary partition records connections made by those fixed exterior edges. This partition is at least as wired as the free partition, so averaging the conditional laws gives ϕm,p,q0∣En≥stϕn,p,q0. For the wired law on Em, each induced partition on ∂Λn is at most as wired as the one-class wired partition, so the same conditional comparison gives ϕm,p,q1∣En≤stϕn,p,q1.

2.1step 1.1algebra

For each finite edge set F⊂E∞ and each S⊆F, the event that every edge in S is open is increasing. Its free probabilities therefore have a bounded monotone limit by step 1.1, and its wired probabilities also have a bounded monotone limit. Every atom on F is recovered from these all-open probabilities by finite inclusion-exclusion: if O is the prescribed open set and C=F∖O the prescribed closed set, then P(ω∣F=O)=∑T⊆C(−1)∣T∣P(ωe=1 for all e∈O∪T). Hence every finite-dimensional atom probability converges for both sequences.

3.1A1F2F3step 2.1∎

The limits in step 2.1 are consistent under restriction, because the finite-volume atom probabilities are consistent whenever the smaller edge set lies inside En. Under [A1], use a fixed explicit enumeration of the countable edge set to apply the finite-alphabet extension in [F2]. Each limiting consistent family extends uniquely to a probability measure on the cylinder-generated Borel sigma-algebra; the same cylinder limits make it the unique subsequential limit of the corresponding sequence. Therefore the free and wired cylinder limits exist and are unique.

LemmaStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedprecheck passverified 2026-10-22 (gpt-6.1-sol)Open item page →

Opposite crossings of a rectangular grid intersect

Statement

Let a,b≥1 be integers and let Qa,b={0,…,a}×{0,…,b} have its nearest-neighbor square-grid edges, drawn as unit horizontal and vertical segments. A left-to-right path is a finite edge path whose endpoints lie on the sides x=0 and x=a; a bottom-to-top path is defined analogously using y=0 and y=b. Every left-to-right path and every bottom-to-top path in Qa,b share a vertex.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: Positive integers a,b, the embedded square-grid rectangle Qa,b, and finite edge paths with the stated opposite-side endpoints.

[F1]

A simple polygonal closed curve separates the plane into a bounded and an unbounded component, with the curve as their common frontier (Polygonal Jordan curve theorem: a polygon has exactly two complementary regions and is the frontier of each).

Proof

1.1givenconstruct

Delete loops from each finite path until it is simple, preserving its endpoints. In the square grid, two unit edges can meet only at a shared endpoint, so if the paths do not share a vertex their polygonal realizations are disjoint compact sets. Their distance is then positive.

2.1step 1.1construct

Suppose the paths are disjoint and denote the simple left-to-right path by γ. Perturb its finitely many interior vertices and boundary contacts by less than one third of the distance in step 1.1, pushing every nonendpoint boundary contact slightly into the rectangle. Since γ is a finite simple polygonal arc, choose disjoint small neighborhoods of its nonadjacent segments; local polygonal detours inside those neighborhoods preserve simplicity, keep its endpoints on the left and right sides, and preserve disjointness from the other path. The resulting simple arc γ~ meets the rectangle boundary only at its two endpoints.

3.1F1step 2.1construct∎

Join the endpoints of γ~ by a simple polygonal arc lying outside the rectangle and running around its top side. Their union is a simple polygonal closed curve by the boundary-contact property in step 2.1. By [F1], its bounded component contains the part of the rectangle immediately below the top side and above γ~, while the bottom side lies in the unbounded component. A bottom-to-top path staying in the rectangle must therefore cross this Jordan curve; it cannot meet the outside closing arc, so it must meet γ~. This contradicts the preserved disjointness in step 2.1. Thus the original paths intersect; grid edges intersect only at shared vertices, proving the claim.

Remarks

The lemma is a finite topological consequence of polygonal Jordan separation. It does not assert anything about FK probabilities.

LemmaStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-generatedprecheck passverified 2026-10-22 (gpt-6.1-sol)Open item page →

Maximum endpoint influence for an increasing finite-box set

Statement

Let n≥2 be an integer and let C⊆[0,1]n be coordinatewise increasing and a finite union of axis-parallel boxes, with specified open or closed endpoint conventions. Degenerate boxes are allowed. Let vr denote elementary r-dimensional box volume: a box has the product of its side lengths as volume, and finite unions are evaluated by a common coordinate-endpoint subdivision, with coordinate faces assigned volume zero. Put f=1C, a=vn(C), and

Fi=vn−1{x−i∈[0,1]n−1:f(x−i,1)−f(x−i,0)=1},M=max⁡1≤i≤nFi.

If M=0, then a(1−a)=0. If M>0, then

a(1−a)≤2∑i=1nFi1+log⁡(1/M).

In every case,

max⁡1≤i≤nFi≥14a(1−a)log⁡nn.

Logarithms are natural. Endpoint influence uses the actual values on the faces. The assertion and proof use only finite box volumes, finite probability spaces and elementary real calculus; they require no countable product measure or choice principle.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: An integer n≥2 and an increasing finite-box set C as in the statement. A rectangular step function is constant on every open cell of a finite coordinate grid, with its restrictions to grid hyperplanes also rectangular step functions in the remaining coordinates. Its elementary integral is the sum of its full-dimensional cell values times products of cell lengths. To integrate an endpoint section, first restrict the actual function to the specified face and then use the same rule in the remaining dimensions. Dimension-zero integration means evaluation. All continuous-cube integrals below have this finite meaning. Norms on finite probability spaces are normalized probability norms.

Proof

1.1givenconstructalgebra

The elementary integral is well-defined: adjoining an endpoint splits an interval into two whose lengths sum to its original length, so finite common refinement leaves each integral unchanged. Indicators of finite-box sets, their fixed-coordinate sections, and their finite products and differences are rectangular step functions. Common refinement proves linearity, positivity and the integral triangle inequality. It also proves equality of iterated and full integrals, because both sum the same finitely many cell values times products of lengths; outer grid endpoints have zero length. A translation preserves side lengths, so a piecewise translation bijectively exchanging finitely many boxes preserves these integrals. These are all the continuous-cube integration rules used below.

1.2givenalgebra

For 1≤p≤2 and real u,v, we prove (u2+(p−1)v2)1/2≤((∣u+v∣p+∣u−v∣p)/2)1/p. At p=1 this follows from the triangle inequality, and at p=2 it is equality. For 1<p<2 signs can be removed. If ∣v∣>∣u∣, interchange their absolute values: the right side is unchanged and the squared left side increases by (2−p)(v2−u2). It therefore suffices to take u>0 and 0≤t=v/u≤1, apart from the trivial zero case. For t<1 put H(t)=((1+t)p+(1−t)p)/2. The convexity of sp−2, obtained by two differentiations, gives H′′(t)≥p(p−1). Since H(0)=1 and H′(0)=0, integration twice gives H(t)≥1+p(p−1)t2/2. Concavity of sp/2 gives (1+(p−1)t2)p/2≤1+p(p−1)t2/2. Multiply by up and take the pth root; continuity includes t=1. This proves the claimed two-point inequality.

2.1step 1.2constructalgebra

On a uniform bit x∈{−1,1} define Tρ(u+vx)=u+ρvx, for 0≤ρ≤1. Step 1.2 with p=1+ρ2 proves ∥Tρh∥2≤∥h∥p. To extend this to d bits, first note that finite-sum Minkowski gives ∥h∥Ly2(Lxp)≤∥h∥Lxp(Ly2) for finite probability spaces and 1≤p≤2: its pth-power form is the triangle inequality for Ex∣h(x,⋅)∣p in Ly2/p. For completeness, finite weighted Minkowski at exponent r>1 follows by multiplying ∣z+w∣≤∣z∣+∣w∣ by ∣z+w∣r−1, summing, applying Hölder and dividing by ∥z+w∥rr−1 if nonzero. Weighted Hölder follows by normalizing the two norms and summing Young's inequality ab≤ar/r+br′/r′, which follows by minimizing ar/r−ab in a≥0; zero norms and r=1 are immediate. If TX,TY contract Lp into L2 on two blocks, apply the X contraction pointwise in y, the mixed-norm inequality, and then the Y contraction pointwise in x to obtain ∥TXTYh∥2≤∥TYh∥Ly2(Lxp)≤∥TYh∥Lxp(Ly2)≤∥h∥p. Induction therefore gives ∥Tρh∥2≤∥h∥1+ρ2 on every finite Boolean cube, where Tρ applies the one-bit operator in each coordinate.

2.2givenstep 1.1constructalgebra

Put N=2m for m≥1 and partition [0,1)n into the dyadic cells Qa=∏i[ai/N,(ai+1)/N), with 0≤ai<N. On Qa let ℓm=f(a/N), um=f((a+1)/N) and gm=Nn∫Qaf. Faces at coordinate one may be assigned arbitrary values for integration. Monotonicity gives ℓm≤f,gm≤um. Telescope each difference um−ℓm one coordinate at a time. For coordinate i, summation over ai at fixed remaining upper/lower corner coordinates telescopes to a difference of values at coordinate one and zero, at most one. There are Nn−1 choices of the other indices, hence ∫(um−ℓm)≤n/N and δm:=∫∣gm−f∣≤n/N. Cell averaging gives ∫gm=∫f=a, while ∣gm2−f2∣≤2∣gm−f∣. Therefore ∣Var⁡(gm)−a(1−a)∣≤2δm→0. This uses an explicit numerical error bound, not a theorem interchanging a limit and an integral.

3.1givenstep 2.1constructalgebra

On {−1,1}d let x(j) flip bit j and set Djh=(h(x)−h(x(j)))/2. Suppose numbers bj∈[0,1] satisfy ∥Djh∥p≤bj1/p/2 for every 1≤p≤2. We will prove Var⁡(h)≤∑jbj/(1+log⁡(1/bj)), interpreting the summand at zero as zero. For S⊆{1,…,d} define χS(x)=∏j∈Sxj. Independence and zero mean of each bit show these 2d functions are orthonormal. Since the function space has dimension 2d, they form a basis; write h=∑Sh^(S)χS. Then Djh=∑S∋jh^(S)χS and TρχS=ρ∣S∣χS. Parseval and finite-sum integration yield the exact identity Var⁡(h)=2∑j∫01∥TρDjh∥22 dρρ, because the coefficient of each h^(S)2 for nonempty S is 2∣S∣∫01ρ2∣S∣−1 dρ=1. These are ordinary one-variable Riemann integrals of finite polynomials after cancellation of the factor ρ; no singularity at zero occurs.

4.1step 1.1step 2.2step 3.1constructalgebra

Identify each cell index ai with its m binary digits, most significant first; the uniform distribution of the nm bits is the uniform distribution of the equal-volume cells. Regard gm as a real function on this finite Boolean cube. For 1≤k≤m, let Rik flip the kth binary digit of coordinate i on [0,1): in every prefix interval of length 21−k translate its lower half up by 2−k and its upper half down by 2−k. Define it arbitrarily at coordinate one. This is a finite piecewise translation preserving elementary integrals, and it pairs the level-m cells with that digit flipped. Let bik=∫∣f−f∘Rik∣. The bit derivative of gm on a cell is the cell average of (f−f∘Rik)/2. For such an average z=∣Q∣−1∫Q(f−f∘Rik), the finite triangle inequality gives ∣z∣≤∣Q∣−1∫Q∣f−f∘Rik∣≤1, so ∣z∣p≤∣z∣ for p≥1. Multiplying by 2−p∣Q∣ and summing cells yields ∥Dikgm∥pp≤2−pbik, the hypothesis of step 3.1.

4.2step 2.1step 3.1algebra

Write Djh=xjgj(x−j). The product noise operator gives TρDjh=ρxjTρgj, so step 2.1 and the norm hypothesis in step 3.1 imply ∥TρDjh∥22≤ρ2bj2/(1+ρ2)/4. For b=bj>0 put L=log⁡(1/b). Its contribution to the integral in step 3.1 is at most 12∫01ρb2/(1+ρ2) dρ≤b4∫01e−Ls/2 ds≤b1+L. The middle inequality substitutes s=1−ρ2 and uses 2/(1+ρ2)≥1+(1−ρ2)/2. The last integral is at most one, proving the last inequality when 0≤L≤1, and at most 2/L, proving it when L≥1. At bj=0 the norm hypothesis gives Djh=0. Summing establishes the variance estimate claimed in step 3.1.

5.1givenstep 1.1step 4.1algebra

Fix the coordinates other than i. The fiber indicator is an increasing zero-one function of one real variable, hence a threshold indicator except possibly at its threshold. If the endpoint values agree it is constant everywhere. Otherwise flipping the kth digit can change its value only in the single prefix interval of length 21−k containing the threshold. If the threshold is a prefix endpoint, disagreement at that endpoint has length zero; other intervals are constant. Thus the disagreement length is at most 21−k(f(x−i,1)−f(x−i,0)). All these sections and disagreement sets are finite-box sets. Finite-sum iterated integration from step 1.1 gives bik≤21−kFi, and consequently ∑k=1mbik≤2Fi and bik≤M.

6.1step 4.2step 2.2step 4.1step 5.1algebra

If M=0, steps 4.1–5.1 make every bit derivative of every gm zero, so every gm is constant, and step 2.2 gives a(1−a)=0. If M>0, apply the variance bound of step 4.2 to gm, using steps 4.1–5.1. Each nonzero denominator is at least 1+log⁡(1/M), giving Var⁡(gm)≤2∑iFi/(1+log⁡(1/M)). Taking the limit with the explicit error in step 2.2 proves the first stated inequality.

7.1step 6.1algebra∎

If 0<M<n−1/2, step 6.1 gives a(1−a)≤4nM/log⁡n, which is the required lower bound on M. If M≥n−1/2, use a(1−a)≤1/4 and log⁡n≤n to get a(1−a)log⁡n/(4n)≤1/(16n)≤M. The elementary bound log⁡t≤t for t≥1 follows by differentiating (log⁡t)/t: its maximum is 2/e<1. The case M=0 was settled in step 6.1. This proves the stated bound for every integer n≥2.

Remarks

The finite-box hypothesis permits every cube integral to be evaluated by finite endpoint subdivision. The only limits are explicit real sequences and one-variable Riemann integrals. This does not assert a choice-free construction of general Lebesgue product measure or the stronger null-invariant influence theorem for arbitrary measurable sets.

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Cellular component counts and self-dual FK likelihoods on a finite square torus

Statement

For an integer m≥1, let Tm be the labelled square cellulation obtained by quotienting the unit square cellulation of R2 by mZ2. Its vertices are V=(Z/mZ)2. For every (i,j)∈V, retain a horizontal edge label h(i,j) from (i,j) to (i+1,j), a vertical edge label v(i,j) from (i,j) to (i,j+1), and a square face label f(i,j). All indices are modulo m. Distinct labels remain distinct even when their endpoints agree: for m=2 this retains parallel edges, and for m=1 it retains two loops. In a face boundary retain its four edge occurrences before reducing coefficients modulo two. Thus ∣V∣=∣F∣=m2 and ∣E∣=2m2. The dual has vertices f(i,j) and a separate label e∗ crossing each primal label e; specifically h(i,j)∗ joins f(i,j−1) to f(i,j) and v(i,j)∗ joins f(i−1,j) to f(i,j). Its faces correspond to primal vertices and use the dual square cellulation.

Let F2={0,1} be the field with addition and multiplication modulo two. Let C0=F2V, C1=F2E, and C2=F2F have the indicated labelled bases. Define ∂1:C1→C0 by summing the two endpoint occurrences of each edge, so a loop has zero boundary, and define ∂2:C2→C1 by

∂2f(i,j)=h(i,j)+v(i+1,j)+h(i,j+1)+v(i,j).

Then ∂1∂2=0 and H:=ker⁡∂1/im⁡∂2 has dimension two. For A⊆E, let C1(A) be the coordinate subspace generated by its labels, put Z(A)=C1(A)∩ker⁡∂1, and define

r(A):=dim⁡F2im⁡(Z(A)⟶H).

Let k(A) count all components of the spanning graph (V,A), including isolated vertices. Let A∗={e∗:e∈E∖A}, and let k∗(A∗) count all components of this dual spanning graph. Define r∗(A∗) by the same matrix construction on the dual cellulation. Then

r(A)∈{0,1,2},k∗(A∗)−1=∣A∣−∣V∣+k(A)−r(A),r∗(A∗)=2−r(A).

For every real q≥1, set p=q/(1+q). Give both primal and dual graphs the finite FK law with parameter (p,q) and identity boundary partition. Write w(A) and w∗(A∗) for their unnormalized weights, ϕ and ϕ∗ for their laws, and ν for the image of ϕ under A↦A∗. Then

w(A)w∗(A∗)=qr(A)−1.

For every dual configuration B⊆E∗, the two partition functions are equal and the exact normalized likelihood is

ν(B)ϕ∗(B)=q1−r∗(B).

In particular this likelihood lies in [q−1,q], and hence also in [q−2,q2]. For every event E⊆2E∗,

q−2ϕ∗(E)≤ν(E)≤q2ϕ∗(E).

The same event bounds hold after any labelled graph isomorphism identifying the dual torus with the primal torus.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The labelled primal and dual square cellulations, their finite vector spaces and boundary maps, an open label set A, and, for the probabilistic conclusions, real q≥1 and p=q/(1+q).

[F1]

With the identity boundary partition, the finite FK weight is p∣A∣(1−p)∣E∣−∣A∣qk(A), all weights are positive, and normalization divides by their finite positive sum (Finite FK random-cluster weights for real q and boundary partitions).

Proof

1.1givenalgebra

In the boundary of each face, every vertex occurrence occurs twice after applying ∂1, so ∂1∂2=0. This includes identifications in a thin quotient: occurrences are added in F2, so repeated edges and endpoints cancel with their multiplicity rather than being removed beforehand. Both primal and dual graphs are connected, since horizontal and vertical steps modulo m reach every coordinate pair. For m=1 each graph has a single vertex and is connected even though its edge labels are loops.

1.2givenF1constructalgebra

The labelled graph map sending f(i,j) to (i,j), h(i,j)∗ to v(i,j−1), and v(i,j)∗ to h(i−1,j) is an isomorphism from the dual graph to the primal graph. It is bijective on both vertices and edge labels and preserves both endpoint occurrences; it also retains all parallel labels and loops at m=2 and m=1. The induced bijection on edge subsets preserves their cardinalities and component counts. Consequently the ordinary primal and dual FK partition functions Z and Z∗ are equal.

2.1givenstep 1.1constructalgebra

For any finite multigraph with s vertices and c components, its endpoint-incidence map over F2 has rank s−c. Indeed, within one component every edge vector has even coordinate sum, a subspace of dimension at most one less than the number of vertices. Fix a root in that component. For every other vertex, the sum of edge vectors along a path from the root to that vertex is the vector consisting of the root plus that vertex. These vectors are independent by their nonroot coordinates and attain that dimension. Summing over the disjoint components proves the rank formula; isolated vertices contribute zero rank and loops have zero incidence vector. In particular rank⁡∂1=∣V∣−1, and restriction to C1(A) gives dim⁡Z(A)=∣A∣−∣V∣+k(A).

3.1givenstep 1.1step 2.1algebra

Write a two-chain as c=∑fcff. Its coefficient on a primal edge with incident face occurrences f,g is cf+cg, including the zero sum when those faces agree. Thus ∂2c=0 exactly when the coefficients agree across every edge of the connected dual graph. Such coefficients are constant on all faces, and conversely every constant two-chain has zero boundary. Hence dim⁡ker⁡∂2=1 and rank⁡∂2=∣F∣−1. Together with ∣E∣=2m2 and ∣V∣=∣F∣=m2, step 2.1 gives dim⁡H=(∣E∣−∣V∣+1)−(∣F∣−1)=2. The dimension formulas used here follow by taking a basis of the kernel of a finite linear map and extending it to a basis of its domain: the images of the added vectors form a basis of its image. The corresponding quotient dimension is obtained by extending a basis of its subspace.

4.1givenstep 3.1algebra

A two-chain c satisfies ∂2c∈C1(A) exactly when its coefficients agree across every dual edge crossing a primal label outside A. These are precisely the labels of A∗. Its coefficients may therefore be chosen independently, and constantly, on the k∗(A∗) connected components of the dual spanning graph. The vector space UA:={c∈C2:∂2c∈C1(A)} has dimension k∗(A∗). The restriction of ∂2 to UA has image im⁡∂2∩C1(A) and kernel ker⁡∂2, the one-dimensional space of constant chains. Therefore dim⁡(im⁡∂2∩C1(A))=k∗(A∗)−1.

5.1givenstep 1.1step 2.1step 3.1step 4.1algebra

Because ∂1∂2=0, the kernel of Z(A)→H is exactly im⁡∂2∩C1(A). Its image has dimension r(A) by definition, so steps 2.1 and 4.1 give k∗(A∗)−1=∣A∣−∣V∣+k(A)−r(A). The image is a subspace of the two-dimensional space H, so r(A)∈{0,1,2}. This proves the component identity without assuming that any open component is cellular or that any open boundary is a simple curve.

6.1givenstep 1.1step 2.1step 3.1step 4.1step 5.1algebra

The dual cellulation is again a labelled square cellulation with ∣V∗∣=∣F∣=m2 and ∣E∗∣=2m2. Its endpoint and face-boundary maps have the same incidence descriptions used in the preceding matrix argument, including all thin-quotient occurrences. Applying the proved component identity to its open set A∗, whose complementary double-dual set is A, gives k(A)−1=∣A∗∣−∣F∣+k∗(A∗)−r∗(A∗). Substitute ∣A∗∣=2∣V∣−∣A∣, ∣F∣=∣V∣, and the identity from step 5.1; the resulting equality is k(A)−1=k(A)+1−r(A)−r∗(A∗). Thus r∗(A∗)=2−r(A).

6.2F1givenstep 5.1algebra

At the stated parameter, p/(1−p)=q. By [F1], ∣A∗∣=∣E∣−∣A∣, and ∣E∣=2∣V∣, the primal-to-dual weight ratio is w(A)/w∗(A∗)=(p/(1−p))2∣A∣−∣E∣qk(A)−k∗(A∗)=q∣A∣−∣V∣+k(A)−k∗(A∗). The component identity in step 5.1 makes this exponent r(A)−1. This proves the asserted exact unnormalized ratio.

7.1givenF1step 5.1step 6.1step 6.2step 1.2algebra

For a fixed dual configuration B, let A be its unique complement-edge preimage. The definition of pushforward gives ν(B)=w(A)/Z, while ϕ∗(B)=w∗(B)/Z∗. By steps 6.2 and 1.2 their ratio is qr(A)−1. Step 6.1 gives r(A)−1=1−r∗(B), proving the exact normalized likelihood. Since 0≤r∗(B)≤2 and q≥1, that likelihood belongs to [q−1,q]⊆[q−2,q2]. Positivity in [F1] ensures every denominator is nonzero.

8.1F1step 1.2step 7.1algebra∎

Multiply the weaker pointwise bounds of step 7.1 by ϕ∗(B) and sum over B∈E to obtain the stated event comparison, including empty events. Any labelled graph isomorphism of the dual torus with the primal torus preserves the ordinary FK weights by the same cardinality and component-count argument as in step 1.2. Pushing both laws and the event through that bijection therefore preserves the event bounds. This completes all claims.

Remarks

This is a finite matrix and component-count proof of the torus-sector correction. It does not assume any RSW crossing estimate or any mixed-boundary reflection construction.

The primary source was read through its complete Sections 1--2, printed pp. 3--14, including equations (1.5)--(1.6), Theorem 5, Lemmas 6--7, and Proposition 8. Its Sections 3--5 and cited references were not checked. The proof here replaces its net/cycle sector description by the explicit finite-matrix rank r(A) and proves every component identity used above locally.

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Numerical FK cylinder limits and pressure comparison

Statement

Let q≥1 be a finite real number. On the nearest-neighbor square lattice let Λn={−n,…,n}2, let En consist of edges with both endpoints in Λn, and let Bn={x∈Λn:∥x∥∞=n}. For p∈(0,1) and a partition ξ of Bn, give A⊆En probability proportional to p∣A∣(1−p)∣En∖A∣qkξ(A), where kξ counts components after the partition classes are identified. Write ϕn,p,qb for the free partition when b=0 and the one-class wired partition when b=1.

For every event C determined by finitely many edge coordinates, the numerical limits πp,qb(C):=lim⁡n→∞ϕn,p,qb(C),b∈{0,1}, exist. They are consistent, nonnegative normalized finite-coordinate probability families, invariant under translations and quarter-turns. On increasing cylinder events they are increasing in p, with π0≤π1. Every cylinder-probability limit of arbitrary boundary partitions lies between these two families on increasing cylinder events. There is an at most countable set Dq⊂(0,1) such that πp,q0(C)=πp,q1(C) for every cylinder event C whenever p∉Dq.

Let Dr be the event that actual open edges inside Λr join 0 to Br, and define the real numbers Θb(p,q)=inf⁡r≥1πp,qb(Dr). Then Θ1(p,q)≤Θ0(p′,q) for 0<p<p′<1, and lim⁡n→∞ϕn,p,q1(0↔Bn)=Θ1(p,q). Connections here use actual edges, not artificial boundary-identification paths. These are statements about real limits and finite probability tables; existence of a countably additive probability on the infinite configuration space is not asserted.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: Finite real q≥1, p∈(0,1), the finite box laws in the Statement, and cylinder events depending on a fixed finite set of edges.

[F1]

The positive finite FK weights and arbitrary boundary partitions are defined in Finite FK random-cluster weights for real q and boundary partitions.

[F2]

Finite FK laws have spatial Markov conditioning, positive association and monotonicity in parameter and boundary wiring. Their common-uniform heat-bath coupling preserves coordinatewise order and converges to the corresponding finite laws Finite FK association, spatial Markov property, and boundary monotonicity.

Proof

technique · finite boundary comparison, positive-activity tiling and one-variable convexity

Given: [F1]–[F2] and the data in the Statement.

1.1F1F2algebra

If n<m, condition the law on Em on edges outside En. Its induced partition on Bn refines the wired partition and is coarser than the free partition. By [F2], free laws increase under restriction as volume grows and wired laws decrease. Every all-open event on a fixed finite set therefore has a bounded monotone sequence of probabilities. An atom prescribing open edges O and closed edges H has probability ∑T⊆H(−1)∣T∣ϕ(all edges of O∪T open). Finite inclusion-exclusion gives the limit of every atom and hence every cylinder event. Limits of finite sums preserve positivity, normalization and all restriction-consistency identities. No measure extension is used.

1.2F1algebra

Write h=log⁡(p/(1−p)) and v=eh. For QN={0,…,N−1}2 define the activity sum and its volume normalization YNb(h)=∑A⊆E(QN)eh∣A∣qkb(A),FNb(h)=N−2log⁡YNb(h). The finite law is unchanged by replacing the original weights by these activity weights. Since 1≤qk(A)≤qN2 and ∣E(QN)∣=2N(N−1), one has 0≤FN0(h)≤log⁡q+2log⁡(1+eh). For fixed L, write N=kL+s, 0≤s<L, tile the kL-square by k2 disjoint L-squares, and leave the remaining vertices as singletons. Restricting the sum to configurations closing every interpiece edge gives YN0(h)≥(YL0(h))k2qN2−k2L2. Closed edges have activity factor 1 and component factors multiply over the pieces. Hence lim inf⁡NFN0(h)≥FL0(h) for each L. The finite bound above and FN0≤sup⁡LFL0 prove that F(h)=lim⁡NFN0(h)=sup⁡LFL0(h) exists and is finite.

2.1F2step 1.1algebra

The same comparison holds for any two nested translated boxes. For a fixed z∈Z2, put r=∥z∥∞; then Λn−r⊆Λn+z⊆Λn+r. For every fixed increasing cylinder event, the translated free probability is sandwiched between those from the two unshifted boxes, with reverse order for wired probabilities. Their limits coincide by step 1.1. Inclusion-exclusion gives equality for all cylinders. Quarter-turn invariance holds already in each centered finite box. Thus each edge orientation and position has the same limiting open probability ub(p,q). Parameter monotonicity and π0≤π1 follow from [F2]. For an arbitrary-boundary cylinder limit ν, condition on the exterior of a fixed box Λr, use ϕr0(C)≤νj(C)≤ϕr1(C) for increasing C supported inside it, pass to the given numerical limit, then let r→∞. This proves the asserted sandwich.

2.2F1step 1.2algebra

Wiring boundary vertices lowers component counts by an integer between 0 and ∣∂QN∣−1, so q−(∣∂QN∣−1)YN0(h)≤YNξ(h)≤YN0(h). As ∣∂QN∣≤4N, every boundary partition has the same pressure limit F(h). Differentiating the finite sums gives (FNb)′(h)=N−2EQN,h,qb∣A∣,(FNb)′′(h)=N−2Var⁡QN,h,qb(∣A∣)≥0. Thus these functions and their finite pointwise limit F are convex.

3.1step 2.2algebra

Ordered secant slopes of a finite convex function have finite one-sided limits F−′(h)≤F+′(h), bounded locally by secants to fixed points on either side. If h<k then F+′(h)≤F−′(k). Therefore the nonempty intervals (F−′(h),F+′(h)) at nondifferentiability points are pairwise disjoint. Assign each its first rational in a fixed enumeration: this is an injection into a countable set. Let Dq be the image of these at most countably many h under h↦eh/(1+eh). At a differentiability point, for each t>0 convexity gives FNb(h)−FNb(h−t)t≤(FNb)′(h)≤FNb(h+t)−FNb(h)t. Pass to lower and upper numerical limits as N→∞, then let t↓0; the common pressure limit proves (FNb)′(h)→F′(h) for both boundaries.

4.1F2step 1.1step 2.1step 3.1algebra

Finite free edge probabilities in QN are at most the infinite-volume numerical value u0, and finite wired ones are at least u1, by nested-box comparison and step 2.1. Thus (FN0)′(h)≤(2−2/N)u0≤(2−2/N)u1≤(FN1)′(h). At p∉Dq both outside quantities tend to F′(h), so u0=u1. For an arbitrary cylinder event C supported on H, use the common-uniform ordered finite heat-bath chains from [F2]. At every time the difference of their C probabilities in absolute value is at most their probability of differing on H, which by order and a union bound is at most the sum over e∈H of their mean edge differences. Let time tend to infinity, then the finite box tend to the lattice. This gives ∣πp,q1(C)−πp,q0(C)∣≤∣H∣(u1−u0)=0. This proves equality of the numerical families, without constructing an infinite coupling or law.

5.1F2step 1.1step 4.1algebra∎

If p<p′, select one t∈(p,p′)∖Dq. Such a point exists because a countable set cannot fill a real interval; it requires no sequence of arbitrary choices. For every increasing cylinder event C, πp,q1(C)≤πt,q1(C)=πt,q0(C)≤πp′,q0(C). Apply this to Dr and take the infimum over r to obtain Θ1(p,q)≤Θ0(p′,q). Finally let an=ϕn,p,q1(Dn). For m≥r, truncation of a path at its first smaller-boundary hit and [F2] give am≤ϕm,p,q1(Dr)≤ar. In particular an decreases to a real L. Letting m→∞ gives L≤πp,q1(Dr)≤ar. Taking the infimum over r proves L=Θ1(p,q).

Remarks

The proof constructs finite-coordinate numerical families. Turning them into countably additive Borel laws requires the separately stated measure-extension hypotheses. No equality of free and wired laws is asserted at an exceptional parameter.

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Finite mixed-boundary reflection and gluing on the rotated FK torus

Statement

Let P have vertices (u,v)∈Z2 with u≡v(mod2) and straight edges with displacement (±1,±1). For a positive integer m, quotient its labelled cellulation by the periods (m,m) and (−m,m), retaining distinct edge labels even if endpoints agree. Give this torus the finite FK law ϕ with identity boundary partition, real q≥1, and p=q/(1+q). A closed coordinate rectangle means its induced primal graph on the indicated integer vertices. A horizontal crossing joins its extreme left and right coordinate layers; a vertical crossing joins its extreme bottom and top layers, using only its edges. Paths may be stopped at their first target-layer visit.

Put

r(q)=11+q,a0(q)=11+q2,a(q)=r(q)a0(q),b(q)=a(q)32(1+q2).

For every positive integer N divisible by four and every m>N, the closed square [0,N]2 has horizontal and vertical crossing probabilities at least a(q). If additionally m>3N/2, the closed rectangle [0,3N/2]×[0,N] has horizontal crossing probability at least b(q), and the corresponding vertical crossing bound holds for [0,N]×[0,3N/2]. The same bounds hold after every translation by a vertex of P. Every rectangle in these conclusions embeds in the torus under its stated size condition. No restriction on q beyond real q≥1 is imposed.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The labelled rotated torus, its finite FK law, real q≥1, and positive integers N,m with 4∣N and N<m; for the 3/2-rectangle assertions assume additionally 3N/2<m.

[F1]

Finite FK weights count all components after the specified boundary identifications, retain loops and parallel edge labels, and are strictly positive (Finite FK random-cluster weights for real q and boundary partitions).

[F2]

Complement-edge duality on the labelled square torus has pointwise likelihood in [q−2,q2] relative to ordinary FK on the dual torus, also after any labelled primal-dual graph isomorphism (Cellular component counts and self-dual FK likelihoods on a finite square torus).

[F3]

Finite FK laws are positively associated. Conditioning outside a retained edge set induces the equivalence relation generated by the fixed exterior open connections together with the original boundary partition, restricted to the retained vertices. Coarser boundary wiring stochastically increases increasing events. An edge's conditional open probability is at least p/(p+q(1−p))=r(q) (Finite FK association, spatial Markov property, and boundary monotonicity).

[F4]

A simple closed polygon separates the plane into its bounded and unbounded components, with the polygon as their common frontier (Polygonal Jordan curve theorem: a polygon has exactly two complementary regions and is the frontier of each).

Proof

1.1givenF1F2algebraconstruct

Write D for the dual lattice: its sites have opposite coordinate parity and its edges also have displacements (±1,±1). Each dual edge crosses its corresponding primal edge at their common midpoint. The map (u,v)↦((u−v)/2,(u+v)/2) identifies P with the ordinary square lattice and the two torus periods with (0,m),(−m,0). Thus [F2] applies to this cellulation. A nonzero diagonal period has a coordinate of magnitude at least m, so any rectangle whose two coordinate spans are less than m embeds, with its edge labels distinct. Translation by a primal vertex, coordinate interchange, and quarter-turns preserve the period group and ordinary FK weights.

2.1F4constructstep 1.1

We shall use the following elementary consequence of [F4]. A simple polygonal arc in a rectangle whose only boundary points are one point on each of two opposite sides separates the other two sides. Join its endpoints through an exterior collar around one of the remaining sides to form a Jordan polygon and apply [F4]. Boundary contacts of an original finite path can instead be put in the interior of a slightly enlarged rectangle, with its endpoints extended through disjoint collars; this gives the same separation conclusion. Two primal opposite crossings intersect at a vertex: separation gives an intersection, and primal diagonal edges do not cross except at common endpoints. Primal and dual edges, on the other hand, meet transversely exactly at the corresponding diagonal midpoints.

3.1givenconstructstep 2.1

We specify a finite one-sided exploration without artificial FK boundary wiring. For a finite plane rectangle graph and an ordered subset S of its left-side vertices, add a virtual root and disjoint exterior fan arcs to S, ordered top to bottom. They are search instructions only, not labels in the probability space. Put the root in a narrow left collar, with a stem from the enlarged left boundary; extend a successful right-side target through a right collar. Run depth-first search. A vertex, once visited, stays marked. At an actual vertex inspect incident edges clockwise, starting strictly after the incoming parent half-edge and resuming the same list after a recursive return. Skip an edge to a marked neighbour without querying its state. For an unmarked neighbour query its label, unless already known, and recurse precisely when open. At the root iterate its fan children in the specified order. Stop on the first right-side target; an empty stack means failure. Every marked actual vertex is connected to S by its parent-tree edges, and on failure every edge from a marked to an unmarked vertex is closed. Thus it succeeds exactly when a crossing exists, returns a simple open path, and fixes all ties and failure branches in finitely many operations. The artificial fan creates no connection in the FK law.

4.1step 2.1step 3.1construct

Fix a successful complete configuration and let L be the final root-to-target branch, including its fan and collar extensions, oriented left to right. The stack at success consists exactly of L; all other marked vertices have completed their recursive calls. Their queried-open tree edges form completed subtrees attached to vertices of L. Such a subtree has no other vertex on L, because a previously marked vertex cannot be visited anew. At a nonroot attachment, each completed subtree was processed before the final child on L, so its first half-edge lies in the clockwise sector from the reverse incoming L half-edge to the outgoing L half-edge. That sector is exactly the local left side of oriented L, possibly a reflex sector of angle greater than π. At the root the completed fan children are the higher children and lie on that same left side. Each subtree's interior is connected, cannot cross L by planarity, and cannot meet another L vertex by permanent marking. Since L is a proper arc in the collared rectangle, step 2.1 puts the whole subtree on its left, that is, above the actual output path. Skipped marked fan children query no label.

5.1step 2.1step 3.1step 4.1construct

A queried-closed edge whose initial vertex is off L starts in one of those completed subtrees; its interior cannot cross L, so it lies on the same left side, although its other endpoint might later become a vertex of L. If its initial vertex is on L, the query preceded that vertex's final successful child: once that child succeeds, success propagates up the stack and its list never resumes. This edge therefore starts in the same earlier left angular sector, cannot cross L, and remains on the left, possibly ending at another L vertex. The final target makes no query. Edges to marked neighbours, including possible cycle chords, were never queried. Hence every queried actual edge is on or above the returned path, and every edge whose relative interior lies below it is unqueried. Collars handle all old boundary contacts. Reflecting by coordinate interchange reverses clockwise order and gives the corresponding search from any bottom-source subset to the top, querying only on or to the right of its simple output path; its root sources are ordered right to left. These are exact finite algorithms on the actual graph labels.

6.1F3step 3.1step 5.1construct

An adaptive query transcript fixes exactly its queried states: the next query is a deterministic function of earlier queried states, and skipping a marked neighbour does not inspect that edge. Thus fixing the whole transcript imposes no additional condition on unqueried labels. Their conditional law is the spatial Markov law of [F3]. The second search may read states known from the first; it produces the same output and query set as on the same complete configuration from scratch, and the combined transcript merely omits duplicate queries. In particular the two one-sidedness conclusions in step 5.1 remain valid sequentially.

7.1F2step 1.1step 2.1constructalgebrastep 6.1

Let N be even and B={0,…,N−1}2. Put PB=P∩B and DB={(u,v)∈B:u≢v(mod2)}. The primal graph has all diagonal labels with both endpoints in PB; for each such label e, the other diagonal of its unique unit cell is a distinct dual label e∗ joining two vertices in DB. Thus the dual labels are in bijection with the primal labels, including at the boundary, and no label outside B is used. Let L=PB∩{u=0}, R=PB∩{u=N−1}, D0=DB∩{v=0}, and D1=DB∩{v=N−1}. Write HB for an actual open primal path from L to R, and VB∗ for an actual open dual path from D0 to D1 using e∗ exactly when e is closed. We verify the finite alternative HBc=VB∗. If HB fails, mark every primal vertex reachable from L by open labels; this finite search stops after at most ∣PB∣ additions, and no vertex of R is marked. Every label with one marked and one unmarked endpoint is closed. Put its dual label in K∗. Around an interior dual vertex, the marked/unmarked status of the cyclically ordered primal sectors changes an even number of times, so K∗ has even degree there. At a noncorner dual vertex on the left boundary, the two in-box incidences have sector statuses (1,s,1), where both left-side vertices are marked and s∈{0,1} is the interior status; its cut degree is therefore 0 or 2. On the right boundary the corresponding statuses are (0,s,0), so its cut degree is also even. The two corner dual vertices lie on D0 or D1 and are counted there; the other two corners are primal vertices. Along each dual terminal row, the in-box primal sector chain runs from the marked left side to the unmarked right side, so it has an odd number of toggles and hence an odd number of odd-degree vertices of K∗ on that row. Extra contacts of the marked cluster with a boundary row add pairs of toggles, and at corners only in-box incidences are counted. Every component of a finite graph has an even number of odd-degree vertices. If no component of K∗ met both D0 and D1, each component's odd vertices would lie on just one row and occur there in an even number, contradicting the odd total on each row. Thus some component contains a dual path from D0 to D1, using only labels in K∗ and hence only closed-crossing dual-open labels. Conversely, if both crossings existed, erase loops and move nonterminal boundary contacts into thin collars to obtain proper crosscuts with endpoints on the stated terminal sets. By [F4] they intersect. Primal and dual vertices are disjoint and their edges meet only at the midpoint of their paired labels; a label in an open primal path cannot have its dual label open. This proves the exact alternative and explicitly includes boundary contacts without adding exterior or terminal-row edges. The affine quarter-turn (u,v)↦(N−1−v,u) takes DB to PB and VB∗ to the primal horizontal event HB; it preserves the diagonal torus period group and the labels. Therefore [F2] gives 1−ϕ(HB)≤q2ϕ(HB), so ϕ(HB)≥a0(q). Coordinate interchange gives the vertical estimate.

8.1F3step 1.1step 7.1constructalgebra

Reveal only the half-open square's labels and choose a horizontal crossing deterministically when it exists. Its right-layer endpoint is (N−1,v), 0≤v≤N−1. The diagonal edge to (N,v+1) lies outside that revealed label set and inside [0,N]2; it opens with conditional probability at least r(q) by [F3]. Thus the closed square's horizontal probability is at least a(q). Extending a vertical crossing from (u,N−1) to (u+1,N) proves its vertical bound. All these labels are distinct by step 1.1.

9.1F4step 2.1constructstep 8.1

We next construct an auxiliary finite disk, independently of the torus. Reflect in u=c+1/2, writing s for that map. Let a1,a2 be simple primal paths respectively in u≤c and u≥c+1, meeting those limiting layers only at their starts (c,h),(c+1,b), with b<h; singleton paths are permitted. Suppose a1 and s(a2) are disjoint and their final vertices are axial neighbours of distance one. The four arcs a1,s(a2),a2,s(a1), connected by the axial unit final connectors and the two horizontal unit initial connectors, form a Jordan polygon. The two arcs in each half-plane are disjoint, opposite half-plane arcs cannot meet, and a unit axial connector has no lattice vertex or diagonal-edge intersection in its interior: a diagonal edge meets an integer horizontal or vertical line only at an integer endpoint. Simplicity excludes further endpoint contacts. These facts also cover singleton paths. Its bounded closed disk Ω is reflection invariant and contains the central strip c<u<c+1, b<v<h.

10.1F1step 9.1construct

List the auxiliary primal vertices as P∩Ω and labels as all primal edges wholly in Ω. Wire a1 separately from a2. Contract their boundary paths to distinct vertices p1,p2 and delete the contracted path-edge labels. These labels were independent loops under the wiring, and summing their factors gives p+(1−p)=1, so their deletion changes neither the remaining marginal nor the event C of an open connection between the two original classes. Call the retained edge set E0 and the resulting plane multigraph Gs. Contract the two boundary paths in thin exterior collars; contracting each nonloop boundary-path edge preserves faces. Every strictly interior dual site is the centre of its entire primal diamond: a primal boundary path cannot cross a diamond interior, and a dual boundary arc has its centres on the boundary, not strictly inside. Thus the bounded faces are exactly those interior diamonds. Every other face sector reaches the exterior along s(a1) or s(a2); successive sectors along either dual arc communicate, and the two arcs communicate through the unbounded complement of the two separately contracted primal paths. They are one exterior face, not two. The plane dual therefore has all strictly interior dual sites and one exterior vertex obtained by identifying the dual boundary sites on both reflected arcs, with exactly the labels e∗ for e∈E0. For edge-event bookkeeping, before this last identification keep the two reflected boundary arcs Q=s(a2) and Q′=s(a1) as separate terminal vertex sets in a cut-open dual graph G^s∗; it has the same labels e∗ crossing E0 and no added edges along Q or Q′. Identifying their boundary vertices to one exterior vertex recovers the plane dual used for component counts. Loops, parallel labels, isolated primal vertices, and both incident face occurrences are retained.

11.1step 9.1step 10.1construct

Before the exterior identification, reflection maps G^s∗ label-for-label to the reduced primal graph Gs, carrying Q,Q′ to the two original primal terminal paths. After the exterior dual vertices are identified, the corresponding primal law is the same graph Gs with the coarser boundary partition j that joins p1,p2. Thus j changes only the component count in the FK weight; it does not add a label to E0. In every edge event below, actual paths are tested in the underlying graph before either boundary partition is applied. Both dual face occurrences adjacent to e∈E0 are represented in the disk, possibly on its dual boundary, so s(e∗) is a retained primal edge, not a deleted primal boundary label. Applying reflection twice gives the inverse label and vertex map. This verifies the edge correspondence and the exterior-face identification.

12.1F1F4step 10.1step 11.1constructalgebra

We prove the finite face count for this contracted multigraph, including its boundary identifications. For A⊆E0, let f(A) be the number of regions of the plane complement of the embedded spanning subgraph (V(Gs),A), including the unbounded region. Choose a spanning forest of this subgraph; it has ∣V(Gs)∣−ks(A) edge labels, counting isolated vertices as components. A finite embedded forest has one face: add its edges from leaves inward, and the two local sides of each added leaf arc can be joined by a detour around its free endpoint, so the complement remains connected. Add the remaining edge labels of A in any order. Their endpoints are already connected by the forest. The new edge has interior disjoint from the current drawing, and together with a simple forest path between its endpoints it forms a simple polygon (a loop label itself is such a polygon). By [F4] its two local sides lie in different regions after insertion, so it splits the single region containing its interior into exactly two. Parallel labels are retained as distinct arcs and obey the same argument. There are ∣A∣−∣V(Gs)∣+ks(A) such labels; hence f(A)=1+∣A∣−∣V(Gs)∣+ks(A). The dual graph with the boundary vertices of Q∪Q′ identified has one vertex for each face of the full drawing and a dual edge crossing each label of E0. The components of its spanning subgraph on A∗={e∗:e∈E0∖A} are exactly the faces counted by f(A): a dual edge crosses precisely a primal edge absent from the open subgraph, so it joins the two incident face sectors without crossing an open edge; conversely a polygonal path inside one such face can be perturbed off vertices and read as a succession of these dual edges. Reflection identifies this component count with kj(s(A∗)). Thus kj(s(A∗))=∣A∣−∣V(Gs)∣+ks(A)+1, also when the spanning subgraph is disconnected or has loops. At p/(1−p)=q, the ratio of the separate weight of A to the joined weight of s(A∗) is ws(A)wj(s(A∗))=(p1−p)2∣A∣−∣E0∣qks(A)−kj(s(A∗))=q∣V(Gs)∣−1−∣E0∣/2, which is independent of A. The complement/reflection pushforward of the separate law is therefore exactly the joined law.

13.1F1step 7.1step 10.1step 11.1step 12.1constructalgebra

Define the edge-only terminal events before making either boundary identification. Let P1,P2 be the original primal boundary paths contracted to p1,p2. Let C(A) mean that actual open labels in A⊆E0 contain a path from some vertex of P1 to some vertex of P2; the contraction of each path separately makes this exactly the event p1↔p2 in the separate law. Let C∗(A∗) mean that actual open dual labels in A∗ contain a path from the boundary vertex set of Q to that of Q′ in G^s∗, with no use of the exterior-vertex identification and no added boundary edge. The four boundary arcs occur in alternating order P1,Q,P2,Q′. Exactly one of C(A) and C∗(A∗) holds. They cannot both hold: erase loops from both paths and move any nonterminal boundary contacts into disjoint thin collars, keeping their endpoints on their terminal arcs. The resulting primal and dual crosscuts must meet by [F4]. In this cellulation primal and dual edges meet only at the midpoint of their paired labels, but a primal label in A has its dual label absent from A∗, a contradiction. For the converse, suppose C(A) fails. In the uncontracted disk graph let S be the set of primal vertices reachable by actual A-edges from P1, taking all vertices of P1 as starting vertices. Then S contains P1, misses P2, and every retained edge with one endpoint in S and one outside is closed. Take the dual labels crossing exactly these cut edges. At every interior dual vertex their degree is even, since the cyclic list of adjacent primal sectors changes from S to its complement an even number of times. Along each of the two dual boundary arcs Q,Q′, the number of odd-degree cut-dual vertices is odd: read the in-disk primal sectors along that arc from its end adjacent to P1 (in S) to its end adjacent to P2 (outside S); a boundary dual vertex has odd degree exactly when the sector status toggles there. Additional contacts of S with either boundary arc contribute pairs of toggles, so this parity remains odd. The cut contains no labels outside E0, and the collar ordering at corners retains the in-disk incidences only. Every finite graph component has an even number of odd-degree vertices. Since the total number on each of Q and Q′ is odd, some component contains an odd-degree vertex on each arc. Its dual edges therefore contain a path from Q to Q′ using only labels in A∗, proving C∗(A∗). By step 12.1, reflection sends the separate law to the joined law and sends C∗ to the same edge-only event C on Gs. Thus ϕj(C)=ϕs(C∗)=1−ϕs(C). Identifying p1,p2 changes the component count by one exactly when C fails: kj(A)=ks(A)−1 on Cc and kj(A)=ks(A) on C. Hence wj(A)/ws(A)∈[q−1,1], and the ratio of partition functions lies in the same interval. The normalized density ϕj(A)/ϕs(A) is therefore in [q−1,q], so 1−ϕs(C)=ϕj(C)≤qϕs(C). This gives ϕs(C)≥1/(1+q)≥1/(1+q2). The auxiliary mixed-disk estimate has no torus embedding hypothesis.

14.1F4step 2.1step 3.1step 5.1constructstep 13.1

For the remaining 3/2-rectangle assertion assume additionally 3N/2<m. Put R1=[0,N]2, R2=[N/2,3N/2]×[0,N], and R=[0,3N/2]×[0,N]. On success of the first search in R1, let g1 be its left-to-right output, with its unique right-layer vertex x=(N,h). On success of the second search in R2 with bottom sources N/2≤u≤N, let g2 be its bottom-to-top output. Suppose the full paths are disjoint. Reflect in u=N+1/2 and let A=s(g1) run backwards from s(x). The full g1, connector x--s(x), and A form a simple horizontal crosscut of [0,2N+1]×[0,N] after adding collars as in step 2.1; extend g2 through bottom/top collars. They intersect, not on g1 or the connector, hence on A. Choose z to be the first intersection along the full g2 from its bottom source, not the first along A. Its prefix lies in the bottom component of the full horizontal crosscut. That crosscut meets u=N+1 only at height h, since the first-target rule makes x the only right-layer vertex of g1. The axis ray below h connects to the bottom collar without meeting the crosscut and the ray above h to the top collar. Thus every prefix visit to u=N+1 is strictly below h; equality is also excluded by opposite parity.

15.1step 9.1step 14.1construct

Let a be the dual vertex before z along A, y the primal vertex before z along g2, and t=(N+1,b) the last prefix visit to u=N+1 before or at y. It exists since the source has u≤N and the crossing is to the right of N+1. Step 14.1 gives b<h. Let a1 be g1 backwards from x to s(a) and a2 the g2 segment from t to y. The whole g2 prefix avoids the whole A before z, so a1 and s(a2) are disjoint. Their final primal/dual vertices are axial neighbours, and the last-return and first-target rules give the half-plane conditions of step 9.1, including possible singletons. Hence the precise auxiliary disk of steps 9.1--13.1 exists. Its free left and right arcs are Q=s(a2) and Q′=s(a1).

16.1step 14.1step 15.1constructalgebra

We check the local exit at y completely. The unshaved right-half lobe is traversed up the axis from b to h, then along A to z, then backwards along g2 to t. Its bounded component is on the right of its upward axis segment, so it is clockwise. The first bottom-to-top crossing of the full horizontal crosscut has det⁡(A′,g2′)>0. There are exactly four direction pairs: ((1,1),(−1,1)), ((−1,1),(−1,−1)), ((−1,−1),(1,−1)), and ((1,−1),(1,1)). Their connectors a→y point respectively east, north, west, south, and the forward g2 edge enters respectively north, west, south, east: always the connector's left side. Equivalently y−a=(A′−g2′)/2, so det⁡(y−a,g2′)=1 in every case. The shaved disk is on the connector's right, with exactly conv⁡{a,y,z} removed. Thus the forward half-edge at y exits the disk immediately. The global b<h fixed the clockwise orientation before these local cases; no inference from a local turn at a possibly reflex corner was made. Reflection gives the other empty half-diamond check.

17.1F4step 9.1step 15.1step 16.1construct

Choose a point r∗ in the central strip N<u<N+1, b<v<h, sufficiently close to x to be on the left side of the compact path g2, and let U be its component in the interior of Ω minus the two full paths. Clip the portions of the full paths off their distinguished arcs a1,a2 to Ω. They are a finite family of disjoint proper crosscuts. Intersections with dual boundary arcs are transverse; simple paths cannot return to their own distinguished primal boundary arc, and the two full paths do not meet. Their full original endpoints are not interior points of Ω: its vertical coordinates lie in [0,N], its left coordinate is nonnegative, and the original endpoints not on a distinguished arc cannot coincide with a dual boundary site or connector interior by parity. Corner endpoints are read in the two incident interior collar sectors, retaining the same labels and identifications; outside-only touches add no crosscut. Step 16.1 handles the forward endpoint at y. Cutting a disk along one proper crosscut gives two disks by [F4]. Repeated cutting gives a finite adjacency tree, one vertex per complementary disk and one edge per crosscut: every cut splits one previous vertex into two and adds the joining edge. Root the tree at U and color each edge by the full path, 1 or 2, containing that crosscut.

18.1step 15.1step 17.1construct

The original terminal wiring must be tracked in this tree. No color-2 crosscut separates a1 from the root when color-1 cuts are ignored: the whole connected boundary arc a1 is disjoint from the compact full g2, so a uniformly thin interior collar along a1, joined to r∗ near x, avoids g2. No color-1 crosscut separates a2 from the root when color-2 cuts are ignored: all of g1 lies in u≤N, whereas one can join r∗ down the central strip to t and follow an interior collar of a2 on the right. Therefore a root-tree branch whose first edge has color 1 contains no original terminal of a2, and a branch first cut off by color 2 contains none of a1. Indeed, after erasing cuts of the other color that branch is still behind its first crosscut, while the opposite terminal and root have the avoiding connection just described. Same-color terminals in a branch are allowed.

19.1step 10.1step 17.1step 18.1construct

Let F be exactly the auxiliary primal labels not on either full path whose relative interiors lie in U, retaining all their endpoints. All other nonpath labels have relative interior in another disk region. Keep all full-path labels outside F, including path labels on the root boundary; distinguished boundary-path loops may equivalently be deleted as in step 10.1. Let Ui consist of vertices of gi incident to F, retaining isolated original terminal vertices when needed for the connection event. Each Ui is joined by the known full actual path gi. Each graph component of outside-F labels, including the original separate a1,a2 identifications, attaches to F through at most one Ui. For a detailed verification, collapse each root-tree branch to a symbol of its first-crosscut color. It attaches to the root only through that crosscut. To join two branch symbols outside U, a path must run along a full cut path; if that path has color j, it can enter or leave a branch across its first crosscut only when that crosscut also has color j, since different full paths neither cross nor meet. The original terminal identifications join only same-color symbols by step 18.1. Thus every compressed outside component with root attachments is monochromatic. Nested opposite-color pieces inside a branch are harmless; they cannot leave it across the other path. Ordinary primal labels cannot cross a cut path except at its primal vertices, and the dual free boundary arcs contain no primal boundary vertices joining branches. This proves the assertion including all path-edge labels and the original wired terminals.

20.1F3step 13.1step 18.1step 19.1construct

Condition the auxiliary mixed model on every outside-F state. Step 19.1 shows its induced partition refines separate wiring of U1,U2. In the actual FK model, condition on the complete exploration transcript and then any additional outside-F states. Its induced partition is at least as wired as separate U1,U2, because each full gi is known open. Provided F is unqueried and has the asserted actual label correspondence, [F3] compares these conditional laws; averaging gives domination of the auxiliary marginal by the actual conditional marginal on every increasing F event. Let BF be the event of an open F connection between U1,U2, allowing within-class identifications. Erase every maximal outside-F excursion of an auxiliary a1--a2 path and replace it by its single-color attachment identification. Initial/final excursions from terminals in branches have that same color by step 18.1. No erased component joins the two colors. The resulting F connection witnesses BF, so step 13.1 gives auxiliary probability at least (1+q2)−1. In the actual model all within-class connections are realized by the full known paths, so BF implies their actual connection.

21.1step 2.1step 14.1step 15.1step 17.1constructstep 20.1

We verify the two remaining hypotheses of step 20.1 without requiring the entire auxiliary disk to embed in the torus. Under the corrected stopping rule it may extend to the right of R2; no outside-F auxiliary label is mapped to an actual torus label. In the wide rectangle [0,2N+1]×[0,N], the full g2 is a proper vertical separator after collar extension. The point x is in its left component, since the full g1 joins it to the left boundary without meeting g2. Thus r∗ and all U are in that left component. Every point with u>3N/2 is in the right component because all of g2 lies in R2. All of Ω has u≥0 and 0≤v≤N. Therefore F lies in R.

22.1step 1.1step 2.1step 5.1step 15.1step 17.1step 21.1construct

Inside R1, the root component is below g1. The only path-arc contacts of ∂Ω with u=N are x at height h and the start of Q at height b: a1 meets its limiting layer only at x, and a2 its limiting layer only at t. A unit connector adds no other height except, in the double-singleton case, the unit segment between b and h. Hence Ω∩{u=N} is precisely the interval from b to h. A curve in Ω avoiding g1 cannot pass around x into the upper side of R1, since reentry would require height above h on that line. It cannot pass around the other endpoint of g1, because Ω has u≥0 and that endpoint is on u=0. Jordan separation, also with the collars for intermediate side contacts, puts F in R1 below g1. In R2 it is left of g2 by step 21.1. Every F edge belongs to R1 or R2, since the overlap has width N/2≥2. Path labels were excluded from F, so step 5.1 shows neither exploration queried it. Finally R has spans below m, so step 1.1 maps F and its attachment vertices injectively to actual torus labels. This proves all hypotheses of step 20.1 under the original m>3N/2, even if auxiliary Ω itself does not embed.

23.1F3step 1.1step 8.1constructalgebrastep 22.1

Let A require horizontal crossings of R1,R2 and a bottom-to-top R2 path with source in its inclusive bottom half N/2≤u≤N. The genuine primal symmetry u↦2N−u interchanges its two inclusive bottom halves. Their connection-to-top events cover the square vertical-crossing event; by symmetry and step 8.1 each therefore has probability at least a(q)/2. Translation by N/2 preserves the primal lattice since 4∣N, so both square horizontal probabilities are at least a(q). Association [F3] gives ϕ(A)≥a(q)3/2.

24.1F3step 2.1step 6.1step 20.1step 22.1step 23.1constructalgebra

Use the full combined query transcript T. On successful disjoint outputs, steps 20.1 and 22.1 give ϕ(BF∣T)≥(1+q2)−1; intersecting outputs already give a connection with probability one. The additional event H(R2) in A need not be T-measurable. Conditional on T, it and BF are increasing in the unqueried labels, whose law is associated by steps 6.1 and [F3]. Hence ϕ(BF∣T,H(R2))≥ϕ(BF∣T) whenever defined. On A, the full g2 intersects its horizontal R2 crossing by step 2.1, so connection of g1 and g2 gives a horizontal crossing of R. Integrating this conditional inequality yields ϕ(H(R))≥ϕ(H(R)∩A)≥ϕ(A)/(1+q2)≥b(q). This does not move an unmeasurable preparatory-event indicator inside a conditional expectation.

25.1givenF1step 1.1step 8.1step 24.1algebra∎

Coordinate interchange gives the stated vertical 3/2 estimate. Lattice-preserving translations and quarter-turns preserve labelled torus FK weights as in step 1.1, so the conclusions hold for all stated translates. The square bounds were proved in step 8.1, and each rectangle in the statement embeds under its own stated size hypothesis by step 1.1. All constants are positive for every real q≥1, and no limiting or integer-q argument occurred. This proves every assertion.

Remarks

The finite disk is an auxiliary planar graph. Only its retained unqueried labels are identified with the actual torus; forcing the whole auxiliary disk to embed would impose an unnecessary stronger size hypothesis.

The source's first-hit description is replaced here by first intersection along the vertical path. The complete proof uses that corrected rule, explicit finite source sets and searches, a colored crosscut tree that retains the original wired-terminal data, and conditional association for the unrevealed preparatory crossing. Source reading covered Lemma 7 and Proposition 8 in the complete primary PDF; no assertion about uninspected references or source acceptance is made.

TheoremStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedprecheck passverified 2026-10-22 (gpt-6.1-sol)Open item page →

Periodic-torus RSW lower bounds at the FK self-dual point

Statement

For each q≥1 and aspect ratio α>1, there is a constant c(α,q)>0 such that the following holds. Let n,m be positive integers with m>⌈αn⌉, let Tm=(Z/mZ)2 with its nearest-neighbor horizontal and vertical edges and periodic boundary conditions, and give its edges the FK law with no boundary wiring, parameter q, and psd(q)=q/(1+q). The probability of a horizontal open crossing of the vertex rectangle {0,…,⌈αn⌉}×{0,…,n} is at least c(α,q), uniformly in n and m.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: Real q≥1, α>1, positive integers n,m with m>⌈αn⌉, and the finite periodic square-torus FK law at p=q/(1+q).

[F1]

Finite FK laws on labelled multigraphs use the stated component weights (Finite FK random-cluster weights for real q and boundary partitions).

[F2]

Finite FK has positive association, exact spatial Markov conditioning, and conditional edge-open probability at least ρ=p/[p+q(1−p)] (Finite FK association, spatial Markov property, and boundary monotonicity).

[F3]

The dual-complement law on every labelled square torus has likelihood bounded by q−2 and q2 relative to the ordinary dual FK law, including thin quotients (Cellular component counts and self-dual FK likelihoods on a finite square torus).

[F4]

In the rotated lattice P={(u,v)∈Z2:u≡v(mod2)} with diagonal edges, use diagonal torus periods (m,m) and (−m,m). For N∈4Z>0 the closed square has each crossing probability at least a=ρ/(1+q2) when N<m, and the closed width-3N/2, height-N rectangle has horizontal crossing probability at least b=a3/[2(1+q2)] when 3N/2<m (Finite mixed-boundary reflection and gluing on the rotated FK torus). These are actual-edge crossing events with the literal closed-side conventions.

[F5]

A simple polygonal Jordan curve separates the plane into two components (Polygonal Jordan curve theorem: a polygon has exactly two complementary regions and is the frontier of each). Consequently opposite-direction paths in any of the finite planar rotated rectangles intersect: a loop-erased horizontal path, completed through exterior side collars, separates the bottom from the top. All primal diagonal edges meet only at common vertices.

Proof

1.1F1F3F4givenconstructalgebra

The invertible linear map u=x+y, v=y−x sends the ordinary square lattice to P and its nearest-neighbor edges to the diagonal edges. Its inverse is x=(u−v)/2, y=(u+v)/2. Ordinary periods (m,0),(0,m) become (m,−m),(m,m), generating exactly the diagonal-period lattice in [F4]. It is therefore a labelled graph isomorphism, preserving the weights in [F1]. A rotated patch with both coordinate spans less than m embeds: every nonzero period has at least one coordinate of absolute value at least m. We may compute probabilities of such patches in these coordinates. The cellular torus comparison [F3] is the likelihood input used in [F4], not an unproved planar substitution for torus topology.

1.2F2F4F5constructalgebra

A closed rotated vertical rectangle of width S∈4Z>0 and height 2S has crossing probability at least d=b2a if 2S<m. Indeed take the vertical crossings of [0,S]×[0,3S/2] and [0,S]×[S/2,2S], and a horizontal crossing of their overlap square [0,S]×[S/2,3S/2]. The vertical bounds are [F4] after coordinate interchange; the shift S/2 is even and preserves P. The square bound is also [F4]. Each horizontal path intersects both vertical paths by [F5], so their union gives the required vertical crossing. FKG [F2] gives b2a. Translation by any integer vector with even coordinate sum preserves the lattice, the periodic FK law, and this estimate. Restricting a taller crossing at its first hit of any intermediate integer height gives a crossing of the truncated rectangle.

2.1F4step 1.1step 1.2givenconstructalgebra

Suppose n≥32. Set k=⌊n/32⌋, L=16k, h=4k=L/4, W=⌈αn⌉ and J=⌈W/h⌉. For 0≤j≤J put aj=jh, bj=−jh, and take the closed squares Qj=[aj,aj+L]×[bj,bj+L]. For 0≤j<J take the closed connectors Cj=[aj+h,aj+L]×[bj−h,bj+L]. Each connector has width 12k and height 20k. Since aj+bj=0, every vertex of every square and connector has original coordinate 0≤y=(u+v)/2≤L≤n. The corner translations (jh,−jh) preserve P. Every square embeds and has horizontal crossing probability at least a by [F4], since L<m. A vertical aspect-two rectangle of the same connector width S=12k, starting at its bottom, has height 24k<n<m. Step 1.2 bounds its vertical crossing probability below by d. Truncation at height 20k implies a vertical crossing of Cj, so that event too has probability at least d. Its witness may use the taller box to establish the numerical bound, but the event being intersected below is supported on Cj itself.

3.1F5step 1.1step 2.1constructalgebra

Require horizontal crossings of all Qj and vertical crossings of all Cj. In Qj∩Cj the horizontal path has a subpath crossing its width-12k span, while the vertical path has a subpath crossing its full height-L span. They intersect by [F5]. The same applies to Qj+1∩Cj, whose height-L span is shifted down by h. Thus the union is a connected actual-open-edge set. A left endpoint of the Q0 crossing has u=0 and hence x≤0. A right endpoint of the QJ crossing has u=Jh+L and v≤−Jh+L, hence x≥Jh≥W. Their joined path stays in 0≤y≤n by step 2.1. Truncate this path between its last vertex on x=0 before its first hit of x=W. It gives the required ordinary-grid crossing of {0,…,W}×{0,…,n}. The patches need not jointly embed: lift the periodic configuration to the plane and choose the guaranteed crossings in these fixed lifts. Their adjacent overlaps are literal planar overlaps. The final target itself embeds, since W<m and n<m, so its projected crossing is unambiguous.

4.1F2step 2.1step 3.1algebra∎

By finite FKG [F2], the joint event in step 3.1 has probability at least aJ+1dJ≥min⁡(a,d)2J+1. Because k≥n/64 for n≥32, h≥n/16 and h≥4. Hence J≤W/h+1≤16α+5/4 and 2J+1≤32α+7/2. Its probability is at least min⁡(a,d)⌈32α+5⌉>0, independently of n,m. When 1≤n<32, use the fixed ordinary horizontal row of W edges. All its labels are distinct since W<m. Repeated conditioning with [F2] gives probability at least ρW≥ρ⌈32α⌉. The minimum of these two positive constants is a permissible c(α,q). This proves the stronger ceiling-width statement for all stated sizes.

Remarks

The auxiliary rotated boxes have closed sides and scales divisible by four; these conventions are used only in the proof. The target is the stated ordinary square-grid rectangle for every positive integer size. The local mixed-reflection supplier uses first intersection along the vertical path; the earlier first-along-reflected-path prescription is not used. Its finite counterexample and correction history are retained in the owner research directory.

LemmaStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedprecheck passverified 2026-10-22 (gpt-6.1-sol)Open item page →

A maximum conditional edge influence bound for finite FK measures

Statement

Let G=(V,E,∂) be a finite undirected multigraph, let B⊆V have boundary partition ξ, fix q≥1, ε∈(0,1/2), and p∈[ε,1−ε], and let ϕ=ϕG,p,qξ be the finite FK law. For every increasing event A⊆2E with 0<ϕ(A)<1 and ∣E∣≥2, define the conditional influence of edge e by

IA(e):=ϕ(A∣ωe=1)−ϕ(A∣ωe=0).

There is a constant c(q,ε)>0 such that

max⁡e∈EIA(e)≥c(q,ε) ϕ(A)(1−ϕ(A))log⁡∣E∣∣E∣.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: A finite FK law with q≥1, ε∈(0,1/2), p∈[ε,1−ε], an increasing event A with 0<ϕ(A)<1, and ∣E∣≥2.

[F1]

The finite FK law is positive and log-supermodular, and its conditional laws inherit the FKG association inequality (Finite FK association, spatial Markov property, and boundary monotonicity).

[F2]

The mass, boundary partition, and finite configuration space are those of Finite FK random-cluster weights for real q and boundary partitions.

[F3]

For an increasing finite union of axis-parallel boxes C⊆[0,1]n, n≥2, its elementary volume a and endpoint influences Fi satisfy max⁡iFi≥a(1−a)log⁡n/(4n); the finite-volume conventions and complete proof are given in Maximum endpoint influence for an increasing finite-box set.

Proof

1.1F1algebra

We first establish two conditional comparisons. Fix some coordinates and change one prescribed value from zero to one. The resulting laws μ0,μ1 on the unprescribed coordinates are strictly positive and associated by [F1]. For z≤z′, apply log-supermodularity to the incomparable configurations (z′,0) and (z,1) to obtain μ1(z′)μ0(z)≥μ0(z′)μ1(z); normalizing constants cancel. Thus R=μ1/μ0 is increasing, Eμ0R=1, and association gives Eμ1h=Eμ0(hR)≥Eμ0h for every increasing h. Successively changing prescribed coordinates proves conditional monotonicity for ordered assignments on the same prescribed set. Separately, in any fixed-prefix conditional law, association gives Cov⁡(h,Xj)≥0, whence E[h∣Xj=0]≤Eh≤E[h∣Xj=1] for increasing h. Strict positivity makes both conditional expectations defined. This second comparison allows an additional coordinate to be prescribed.

2.1F1F2F3step 1.1constructalgebra

Label the edges 1,…,n. For a prefix η put ar(η)=ϕ(Xr=1∣Xs=ηs, s<r) and tr(η)=1−ar(η); positivity gives 0<tr<1. For U∈[0,1]n define recursively Φr(U)=1{Ur>tr(Φ<r(U))}. The first comparison in step 1.1 makes each ar increasing, so induction makes Φ coordinatewise increasing. For every ω∈{0,1}n, its exact inverse image is the box Qω=∏rIr(ω), where Ir(ω)=(tr(ω<r),1] if ωr=1 and Ir(ω)=[0,tr(ω<r)] if ωr=0. Indeed membership in these intervals recursively forces exactly the prefix ω<r and then bit ωr. These boxes form a disjoint partition of the entire cube, including all threshold values and endpoint faces. Their elementary volumes are vn(Qω)=∏rar(ω<r)ωr(1−ar(ω<r))1−ωr=ϕ(ω) by the finite chain rule. Consequently C=Φ−1(A)=⋃ω∈AQω is an increasing finite-box set of elementary volume ϕ(A).

3.1step 1.1step 2.1constructalgebra

Fix j and use the same uniforms attached to the same edge labels to construct Ψ in order j,1,…,j−1,j+1,…,n. First set Uj=1. Both outputs have jth bit one. For r<j, suppose inductively Ψ<r≥Φ<r. The two comparisons in step 1.1 give ϕ(Xr=1∣X<r=Ψ<r,Xj=1)≥ϕ(Xr=1∣X<r=Φ<r,Xj=1)≥ϕ(Xr=1∣X<r=Φ<r). The common Ur therefore gives Ψr≥Φr. After coordinate j, both constructions condition on the same set of previous labels, including j=1, with ordered values, so the first comparison alone continues the induction for r>j. Thus Ψ(U−j,1)≥Φ(U−j,1) pointwise. With Uj=0, both jth bits are zero. For r<j, induction and the same two comparisons instead give ϕ(Xr=1∣X<r=Ψ<r,Xj=0)≤ϕ(Xr=1∣X<r=Φ<r,Xj=0)≤ϕ(Xr=1∣X<r=Φ<r), provided Ψ<r≤Φ<r. For r>j the first comparison continues this reversed order. Hence Ψ(U−j,0)≤Φ(U−j,0) pointwise as well.

4.1F3step 2.1step 3.1algebra

Since A is increasing, the pointwise comparisons in step 3.1 imply, by elementary (n−1)-dimensional box integration, Fj(C)≤∫1A(Ψ(U−j,1)) dU−j−∫1A(Ψ(U−j,0)) dU−j=IA(j). The equality follows from the finite conditional chain rule: after the first, forced bit j, the reordered algorithm samples the successive conditional probabilities given that bit. Its output inverse images and their sections are finite boxes, exactly as in step 2.1, so the displayed integrals are finite volume sums. These are literal endpoint evaluations of the defined maps, not conditioning a uniform variable on a null-probability event.

5.1F1F3step 2.1step 4.1algebra∎

Apply [F3] to C from step 2.1, with n=∣E∣≥2 and a=ϕ(A). For some j its endpoint influence is at least ϕ(A)(1−ϕ(A))log⁡n/(4n). Step 4.1 bounds that influence above by IA(j), proving the stated inequality with c(q,ε)=1/4. All conditional laws used exist for every real q≥1 and p∈[ε,1−ε]⊂(0,1).

Remarks

The argument uses the finite-box cube estimate, proved from finite Fourier expansion and two-point hypercontractivity. It does not assume a separate continuous-cube influence theorem, integer q, independent FK edges, or an infinite-volume construction.

LemmaStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-generatedprecheck passverified 2026-10-22 (gpt-6.1-sol)Open item page →

Wired FK annuli and the numerical self-dual threshold

Statement

Let q≥1 be real, p∈(0,1), Λn=[−n,n]2∩Z2, and ϕn,p,qb the finite square-lattice FK law with free boundary partition b=0 or wired partition b=1. All paths below use actual open lattice edges, not artificial wiring edges. For each cylinder event A let πp,qb(A)=lim⁡n→∞ϕn,p,qb(A) be its numerical cylinder limit. Put ps=q/(1+q) and let Dr be the cylinder event that 0 connects inside Λr to its vertex boundary. Then an(p,q)=ϕn,p,q1(Dn) decreases, and Θ1(p,q):=lim⁡n→∞an(p,q)=inf⁡r≥1πp,q1(Dr). For p>ps, Θ1(p,q)>0; for p<ps, Θ1(p,q)=0. Consequently inf⁡{p∈(0,1):Θ1(p,q)>0}=ps. No value at ps is asserted. These numerical conclusions do not require Countable Choice or the extension of cylinder weights to an infinite-volume measure.

More precisely, fix p>ps and any real α>1. Put rk=⌊αk⌋. For all sufficiently large k, let Ak be the cylinder event that an actual open simple circuit surrounds Λrk, lies outside Λrk and strictly inside Λrk+1, and is connected inside Λrk+2 to its vertex boundary. There are C,ε>0 and an integer K such that dk=Ce−εk<1/2 for k≥K and, for every n≥m≥N≥K, ϕrn+2,p,q1(⋂k=NmAk)≥∏k=Nn(1−dk),πp,q1(⋂k=NmAk)≥1−∑k=N∞dk. For 0<p<t<1 and Hn the finite Hamming distance to Dn, the finite cylinder expectation satisfies πp,q1(Dn)≤exp⁡{−4(t−p)Eπt,q1Hn}. For every 0<s<ps and every d>0, there are Cd,nd such that πs,q1(Dn)≤Cdn−(2d+4) for n≥nd. The expectation here is a finite sum of cylinder atom weights.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The finite FK laws for real q≥1, their deterministic cylinder limits, and the finite torus RSW and influence interfaces in the cited suppliers.

[F1]

Finite FK is positively associated, has the spatial Markov property, is increasing in parameter and boundary wiring, and has conditional edge-open probability at least ρ=p/[p+q(1−p)] (Finite FK association, spatial Markov property, and boundary monotonicity).

[F2]

Numerical free/wired cylinder limits exist, are translation and quarter-turn invariant, obey parameter and boundary comparison, and agree outside an at most countable parameter set Jq (Numerical FK cylinder limits and pressure comparison). These are numerical identities, not an assumed Borel extension.

[F3]

Every fixed-aspect rectangle strictly inside a periodic torus has a uniform positive self-dual crossing probability (Periodic-torus RSW lower bounds at the FK self-dual point).

[F4]

The finite conditional-influence bound is that of A maximum conditional edge influence bound for finite FK measures.

[F5]

Complement-edge planar duality has parameter p∗/(1−p∗)=q(1−p)/p and includes the exterior-face convention (Planar FK duality with the free exterior-face convention).

[F6]

Opposite-direction grid crossings intersect, and simple polygonal circuits separate their bounded and unbounded components (Opposite crossings of a rectangular grid intersect, Polygonal Jordan curve theorem: a polygon has exactly two complementary regions and is the frontier of each).

Proof

1.1F1F4algebra

For an increasing event B on a finite graph, differentiation of its finite FK weights gives ϕp′(B)=Cov⁡p(1B,∣ω∣)/[p(1−p)]. Writing ue=ϕp(e open) and IB(e)=ϕp(B∣e open)−ϕp(B∣e closed) yields ϕp′(B)=∑eue(1−ue)IB(e)/[p(1−p)]. By [F1] the coefficients have a positive lower bound on a compact parameter interval inside (0,1). On an L-torus a translation-invariant B has equal influences on each of the two edge orbits, each of size L2. Thus [F4] implies ϕp′(B)≥cϕp(B)(1−ϕp(B))log⁡L. Integrating its logistic derivative between ps and fixed p>ps shows that ϕps(B)≥b>0 implies 1−ϕp(B)≤CL−η, with constants independent of L.

1.2F6construct

We specify the finite stopping operation used for an outer circuit. In a finite ambient box list all simple circuits disjoint from Λrk+1, strictly inside Λrk+2, and surrounding the inner square. For a candidate γ, let I(γ) be the edges whose relative interiors lie in its bounded component, including edges entering that component from circuit vertices. Let O(γ) contain all other ambient edges, including circuit edges. The event selecting Γ=γ is: every edge of γ is open and there is no surrounding open circuit in O(γ) whose bounded interior strictly contains that of γ. These tests involve only O(γ). To verify that exactly one candidate is selected whenever a surrounding circuit exists, splice any exterior excursion of another surrounding circuit with the outer arcs of γ, keeping the unbounded face on the outside, and erase subloops not surrounding the inner square. This gives a surrounding circuit in the union, on or outside γ, with strictly larger interior if that excursion protrudes. Applying this finite operation to all candidates yields an outermost circuit; two different maximal circuits would enlarge each other by the same surgery. Equal interiors have the same Jordan boundary. Thus the selected candidate is unique. For each output (γ,τ), where τ is the full assignment on O(γ), the output fiber is precisely the fixed-exterior cylinder {ω∣O(γ)=τ} if τ passes the tests, and is empty otherwise. Every interior assignment is admitted. This fiber identity, rather than a claim about a particular probing order, certifies that conditioning on the output never conditions an interior edge.

1.3F1F2algebra

For m≥r, reaching ∂Λm entails Dr, and wired domain comparison gives am≤ϕm,p,q1(Dr)≤ar. In particular an decreases, so Θ1=inf⁡nan exists. Taking m→∞ in the displayed inequalities gives Θ1≤πp,q1(Dr)≤ar. Infimizing over r proves Θ1=inf⁡rπp,q1(Dr). This is a pair of real inequalities, not an exchange of two limits.

1.4F1F2algebra

On a finite edge set and for an increasing event D, its Hamming distance HD is the minimum number of closed edges to open to enter D. Opening one coordinate lowers it by zero or one; hence ∣ω∣+HD is increasing, HD is decreasing, and HD1D=0. Finite differentiation and FKG give ddpϕp(D)={Cov⁡p(1D,∣ω∣+HD)+ϕp(D)EpHD}/[p(1−p)]≥4ϕp(D)EpHD. Integrate from p to t>p and use monotonicity of the decreasing HD to obtain ϕp(D)≤exp⁡{−4(t−p)EtHD}. Apply this to Dn in wired Λm with m>n and take m→∞. Both sides involve only fixed finite cylinder sums, proving the claimed Hamming inequality.

1.5F1F2F5constructalgebra

We derive the exact numerical free/wired duality from a concrete free plane graph. Let Hm be the free rectangular grid on the (2m)2 unit-cell centers of Λm. Each bounded face of Hm surrounds one interior vertex of Λm; its one unbounded face represents all vertices of Bm identified together. A dual edge of Hm crosses exactly one nonperimeter edge of Λm, with precisely those interior-vertex or boundary-class endpoints. Thus Hm∗ is the wired quotient graph with the perimeter edge labels omitted. Each omitted perimeter edge is a loop after wiring, so its open/closed weight sums to p+(1−p)=1 independently and changes no retained-edge law. Apply [F5] to the connected free plane graph Hm at parameter t∗, whose dual parameter is t. The inverse complement bijection sends the wired retained-edge law at t to the free law on Hm at t∗. This proves the finite identity before taking any limit; the exterior face is one of the wired-quotient vertices, not an additional cell-center vertex. The cell-center grids exhaust the translated dual lattice, and, after its fixed half-unit identification with Z2, lie between centered boxes with radii differing by a fixed constant. Finite domain comparison and [F2] therefore give, for every dual cylinder E, πt,q1(dual-complement E)=πt∗,q0(E). This is a numerical cylinder identity, not a claim of an unconstructed infinite law.

2.1F1F3F6step 1.1construct

To turn this estimate into a bound for one specified rectangle, first take width 2u, height 2bu with integer b≥1, and torus side L=16b2u. Let B mean that some translate of a width-u, height-L/2 rectangle has a vertical crossing. It is translation invariant and has self-dual probability bounded below by [F3], since its fixed aspect is 8b2 and its height is strictly less than L. Every such narrow strip is contained horizontally in one of the width-2u strips starting on the u-grid, and its height interval contains a full height-2bu band starting on the 2bu-grid. Its crossing therefore crosses one of M=(L/u)(L/(2bu)) fixed translates of the target rectangle. Wrapping translates are lifted to the plane for this containment. If their crossing events are Bi, positive association of their decreasing complements gives (1−ϕp(B1))M≤ϕp(⋂iBic)≤ϕp(Bc). Step 1.1 proves ϕp(B1)≥1−Cu−η/M. The number M is independent of u.

3.1F1step 2.1constructalgebra

For a rectangle of width w and height h with 1≤h/w≤β, take u=⌊w/2⌋ and a fixed integer b depending only on β with 2bu≥h. A crossing of the narrower, taller rectangle restricts to a crossing of the target. Rotating handles the other orientations. A fixed enlargement of L/u in step 2.1 preserves the proof and accommodates any surrounding planar box of size comparable to w. Condition that torus law on all edges outside the box; its induced partition is bounded above by the wired partition. Hence the wired box gives the specified rectangle a crossing probability at least 1−Cw−δ. The finitely many small widths are absorbed into C.

4.1F6step 3.1constructalgebra

Fix α>1. For large k put a=rk+2, b=rk+1−2, R=rk+2. Use vertical crossings of [a,b]×[−b,b] and [−b,−a]×[−b,b], horizontal crossings of [−b,b]×[a,b] and [−b,b]×[−b,−a], and a horizontal crossing of [−R,R]×[−b,b]. In each corner square the adjacent side crossings intersect by [F6]; their union contains a surrounding closed walk, from which erasing nonsurrounding loops gives a simple circuit. The last crossing intersects the two vertical sides and connects that circuit to the outer boundary. All widths are comparable to αk and all aspects are fixed. Step 3.1 and a union bound give ϕrk+2,p,q1(Ak)≥1−dk with dk=Ce−εk. Enlarge K until b>a and dk<1/2 for k≥K.

5.1F1F6step 4.1step 1.2construct

Suppose Ak+1,…,An hold. Apply step 1.2 to the next annulus. The selected Γ has an outgoing open connection to ∂Λrk+3: an outgoing path from any surrounding circuit meets Γ. These outer events are measurable in its returned exterior data. For Ak+1 one may use Γ itself, and any path excursion inside it can be replaced by an open circuit arc; circuits of Aj for j≥k+2 are outside it. On each output fiber, [F1] gives the interior FK law with all vertices of Γ wired together by its actual open edges. Let Gk(Γ) mean that a circuit of the inner annulus connects to Γ inside its bounded domain. In wired Λrk+2, Ak implies Gk(Γ) by separation, even when the fixed geometric Γ is not open in that comparison law. Wired FK inside Γ dominates the restriction of wired FK on the larger square. Step 4.1 therefore gives conditional probability at least 1−dk for Gk(Γ). Its connection then follows the already exposed outgoing path through Γ to ∂Λrk+2, giving Ak. Averaging the exterior fibers proves P(Ak∣Ak+1,…,An)≥1−dk. No square boundary is asserted to be wired in the random configuration.

6.1F2step 4.1step 5.1algebra

Start in wired Λrn+2, where An has probability at least 1−dn, and descend using step 5.1. This proves the finite product bound for ⋂k=NnAk, and hence for ⋂k=NmAk. For fixed m, take the deterministic outer-box limit along n→∞; finite additivity and ∏k=Nn(1−dk)≥1−∑k=Nndk prove the stated cylinder lower bound. No probability of an infinite intersection or measure extension is used.

7.1F1F2F6step 6.1step 1.3construct

For p>ps choose N≥K with ∑k≥Ndk≤1/2. Fix a deterministic nearest-neighbor tree containing all vertices of ΛrN+1; if it has M0 edges, its all-open event T has probability at least ρM0 by successive edge conditioning. Finite FKG and step 6.1 give ϕrn+2,p,q1(T∩⋂k=NmAk)≥ρM0/2 for n≥m≥N. Consecutive circuits connect because an outgoing path meets the next surrounding circuit. For any prescribed R, take the least m≥N with rm+2>R; this finite chain and the tree imply DR. Taking only the outer-box limit gives πp,q1(DR)≥ρM0/2 for every R, with the same constant. Step 1.3 proves Θ1(p,q)>0.

7.2F2step 6.1step 1.5construct

Fix 0<s<ps and choose one t∈(s,ps) such that t∗∉Jq. The preimage of Jq under the explicit dual bijection is countable. A point outside it can be specified without Countable Choice: enumerate that exceptional set, start with a rational closed interval inside (s,ps), and recursively take the first smaller rational closed interval in a fixed enumeration which avoids the next exceptional point and has diameter at most half the previous diameter. Its unique limit lies outside the exceptional set. Since t∗>ps, step 6.1 at the dual parameter, for any chosen α>1, supplies N such that every finite intersection of dual annulus events with indices from N onward has numerical wired weight at least 1/2. By equality of the free/wired cylinder weights at t∗ and step 1.5, the same finite dual-circuit intersections have primal wired cylinder weight at least 1/2 at t.

8.1F6step 1.3step 1.4step 7.2algebra

Retain every other annulus, so its dual circuits have disjoint edge supports. Among the annuli strictly inside Λn−2 there are at least (log⁡n)/(2log⁡α)−O(N+1) retained circuits; the fixed dual-lattice translation changes only the cutoff. Every primal path realizing Dn must cross each such circuit at a distinct closed primal edge. On the finite cylinder supporting these circuits and Hn, multiply this pointwise inequality by its nonnegative atom weights and sum. Step 7.2 gives Eπt,q1Hn≥(log⁡n)/(8log⁡α) for large n. Taking log⁡α=(t−s)/(4d+8) in step 1.4 gives πs,q1(Dn)≤n−(2d+4) for sufficiently large n, proving the claimed bound after enlarging Cd. In particular these probabilities tend to zero, so step 1.3 yields Θ1(s,q)=0. All intersections and expectations used here are finite.

9.1step 7.1step 8.1algebra∎

Every parameter strictly above ps belongs to the set defining the numerical threshold by step 7.1, and none strictly below belongs by step 8.1. Its infimum is therefore ps. The proof never assigns a value at ps and never invokes an infinite-volume probability measure or Countable Choice.

LemmaStatement: AI-adaptedProof: AI-generatedprecheck passverified 2026-10-22 (gpt-6.1-sol)Open item page →

Independent connected-set envelopes and a greedy lattice-animal bound

Statement

Let (Ω,F,P) be a given probability space. For each y∈Z2, let Sy be a measurable random finite nearest-neighbor-connected vertex set containing y, with the discrete sigma-algebra on the countable collection of such sets. Assume the sets Sy−y are independent and identically distributed and that E∣S0∣r<∞ for every real r>0. A lattice animal is a finite nearest-neighbor-connected vertex set containing 0. Define the extended measurable envelope Mz=sup⁡{∣Sy∣:y∈Z2, z∈Sy}. Almost surely every Mz is a finite maximum, and there is a deterministic finite constant K0 such that, almost surely, every sufficiently large lattice animal Γ satisfies ∑z∈ΓMz≤K0∣Γ∣. More generally, for any given independent identically distributed field Xy≥1 with finite moments of every positive order, there is a deterministic finite K such that almost surely ∑y∈ΓXy≤K∣Γ∣ for every sufficiently large lattice animal. The random cutoff may depend on the realization. This result assumes the stated random family on a probability space; it does not construct an infinite product law or require a choice axiom to supply that law.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The stated probability space and random families, with independence meaning factorization for every finite list of distinct sites.

[F1]

Nonnegative integrals and their monotonicity are those of Measure space and integral.

[F2]

Integrals commute with increasing nonnegative limits, so expectations of nonnegative countable sums are the sums of their expectations (Monotone convergence for the measure integral).

Proof

1.1F1F2givenalgebra

Every supremum defining Mz is measurable because the roots are countable and each Sy has countably many possible finite values. Translation of the common set law and [F2] give ∑yP(z∈Sy,∣Sy∣>u)=E[∣S0∣1{∣S0∣>u}]. This tail tends to zero: for example it is at most u−1E∣S0∣2. The union bound therefore shows P(Mz>u)→0, hence Mz<∞ almost surely. At least Sz contains z, and every size is a positive integer, so a finite supremum is attained. Taking the countable union of the null exceptional events proves this simultaneously for all z. No independence of the Mz is asserted.

1.2givenconstructalgebra

We first prove the assertion for the independent field X. Suppose sites are independently marked with probability r. If an animal of size at most m contains k distinct marked sites, a depth-first traversal of a spanning tree of that animal, rooted at 0, visits them in some order using at most 2m steps. The successive displacement vectors v1,…,vk∈Z2, starting at 0, have total ℓ1 length at most 2m. There are at most 22k(2m+2k2k)≤(Cm/k)2k such ordered lists for 1≤k≤m: choose signs of their two coordinates and distribute at most 2m units among 2k nonnegative coordinate magnitudes. Repeated sites and zero coordinates only cause overcounting. For a list of distinct visited sites, all its sites are marked with probability rk. Thus P(some animal of size at most m has k marked sites)≤(C′rm2/k2)k. This counts marked-site lists rather than all animals and is uniform over all their shapes.

2.1F1step 1.2choosealgebra

Put m=2l, rj=P(X0≥2j) and fix ϵ=1/4. Choose a deterministic a such that C′/a2≤e−2, and a fixed B≥2. For 0≤j≤⌊ϵlog⁡2m⌋ set kj=⌈max⁡{amrj,Blog⁡m}⌉. If kj>m the corresponding forbidden event is empty; otherwise step 1.2 bounds its probability by e−2kj≤m−2B. The union over these O(log⁡m) values of j is summable along dyadic m. For a moment order Q>2/ϵ, the elementary inequality P(X0>v)≤v−QEX0Q and the fact that every size-at-most-m animal lies in Λm=[−m,m]2∩Z2 give P(max⁡ΛmXy>mϵ)≤(2m+1)2EX0Qm−ϵQ, also summable in l.

3.1F1step 2.1algebra

If events El have summable probabilities, then P(⋃l≥LEl)≤∑l≥LP(El)→0; countable additivity implies that only finitely many El occur almost surely. Apply this elementary argument to the failures in step 2.1. Almost surely, for every sufficiently large dyadic m, all weights in Λm are at most mϵ, and every size-at-most-m animal has fewer than kj sites with Xy≥2j at each relevant level. The pointwise layer bound Xy≤1+∑j≥02j+11{Xy≥2j} then gives, for every animal with m/2<∣Γ∣≤m, ∣Γ∣−1∑y∈ΓXy≤1+4a∑j≥02jrj+O(mϵ−1log⁡m). Levels above ϵlog⁡2m contribute zero; the error comes from the additive Blog⁡m+1 in kj. The constants are deterministic.

4.1F1step 3.1choosealgebra

A fixed moment order Q>2 gives rj≤(EX0Q)1/22−Qj/2, so the series in step 3.1 converges. Its value is deterministic, and the error tends to zero. Choose K larger than 2+4a∑j≥02jrj. Every sufficiently large animal belongs to one of the dyadic size ranges in step 3.1. Thus almost surely its average X-weight is at most this same K, proving the general independent-field assertion.

5.1step 1.1step 4.1constructalgebra

Apply step 4.1 to Xy=∣Sy∣2, which is an independent identically distributed field with all moments. Work on the probability-one event where its large-animal bound holds and all Mz are finite. Let Γ be any sufficiently large animal, m=∣Γ∣, A=∑z∈ΓMz, and t=A/(2m)>0. For each of the finitely many z∈Γ with Mz>t, choose a root y(z) attaining its maximum; to avoid even a selection convention take the first such root in a fixed enumeration of Z2. Let Y be the distinct chosen roots, sy=∣Sy∣, U=∑y∈Ysy2, and V=∑y∈Ysy. Low-weight sites contribute at most A/2, and at most sy sites can be assigned to a given Sy. Hence U≥A/2=mt. Since sy>t for chosen roots, V≤U/t.

6.1step 4.1step 5.1algebra∎

The set Δ=Γ∪⋃y∈YSy is a finite connected animal containing every root in Y, because every chosen set meets Γ and is connected. Its size is at least m and at most m+V. Therefore the same large-animal bound gives U≤∑y∈Δ∣Sy∣2≤K∣Δ∣≤K(m+U/t). If t>2K, this would imply U<2Km while step 5.1 gives U≥mt>2Km, a contradiction. Thus t≤2K and A≤4Km. Taking the deterministic constant K0=4K proves the envelope assertion uniformly over every sufficiently large animal. Only the given probability laws and countable additivity were used, without constructing any new infinite family.

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Subcritical FK exponential connectivity under Countable Choice

Statement

Assume the Axiom of Countable Choice. For every real q≥1 and 0<p<q/(1+q), the square-lattice wired FK cluster Cx has E∣Cx∣d<∞ for every real d>0. There are constants C(p,q),c(p,q)>0 such that every probability measure ϕ obtained as a cylinder limit of finite-volume FK laws on boxes with arbitrary boundary partitions satisfies ϕ(x↔y)≤C(p,q)e−c(p,q)∥x−y∥2(x,y∈Z2). Here x↔y means connection by a finite path of actual open lattice edges. In particular every such state has zero probability of an infinite cluster at a given vertex. The constants are uniform over all these cylinder-limit states at the fixed (p,q). No conclusion at the self-dual parameter or equality of the critical free and wired measures is asserted. Countable Choice is used for probability-law extension and selection of countably many coupling kernels in this proof; it is not a premise of the separate numerical finite-volume threshold theorem.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: Countable Choice, real q≥1, a sub-self-dual parameter, and the actual free/wired Borel laws extending their finite-cylinder limits.

[A1]

Countable Choice is the axiom in The Axiom of Countable Choice (ACω). It is spent in the indicated measure-extension and countable-kernel steps, without invoking arbitrary-index choice or dependent choice.

[F1]

The actual free/wired probability laws exist under [A1] and have the numerical cylinder weights supplied by Existence of the free and wired infinite-volume FK limits and Numerical FK cylinder limits and pressure comparison; cylinder-limit states are defined in Free, wired, and subsequential infinite-volume FK states on the square lattice.

[F2]

Finite FK has spatial Markov, association, common-uniform heat-bath monotone couplings, and parameter/boundary comparison (Finite FK association, spatial Markov property, and boundary monotonicity).

[F3]

For every 0<s<ps=q/(1+q) and d>0, the numerical one-arm bound is πs,q1(Dn)≤Cdn−(2d+4) for large n; for p<s, πp,q1(Dn)≤exp⁡{−4(s−p)Eπs,q1Hn}, where Hn is finite Hamming distance to Dn (Wired FK annuli and the numerical self-dual threshold). Its proof supplies all annulus ratios and intermediate nonexceptional dual parameters, without a critical-state assumption.

[F4]

Given independent shifted finite connected sets with all size moments on a probability space, their envelope has a deterministic uniform large-animal average bound (Independent connected-set envelopes and a greedy lattice-animal bound).

[F5]

Under [A1], consistent finite-alphabet probabilities on a countable coordinate set extend uniquely to a probability law, and such laws have cylinder-convergent subsequences (Finite-alphabet product and probability compactness).

[F6]

Nonnegative monotone convergence and Fatou's inequality hold on the actual measure spaces (Monotone convergence for the measure integral, Fatou's lemma).

Proof

1.1F1F3F5F6algebra

Fix any 0<s<ps:=q/(1+q) and let Rx=sup⁡{∥z−x∥∞:z∈Cx}, allowing infinity initially. The event Rx≥n is the translate of Dn: a path reaching that distance has an initial segment inside the centered box to its boundary. Its probability under the wired law is its numerical cylinder weight by [F1]. Thus [F3], with arbitrarily large d, gives polynomial tails of arbitrarily high order for Rx. Since ∣Cx∣≤(2Rx+1)2, nonnegative monotone convergence applied to successive integer layers proves Es1∣Cx∣d<∞ for every d>0; explicitly the layer bound for Rx2d is a constant times ∑n≥1n2d−1P(Rx≥n), which converges after choosing [F3] with that d. Every Cx is finite almost surely, simultaneously at all countably many vertices. Translation invariance follows from the numerical cylinder identities in [F1] and uniqueness in [F5].

2.1F1F2step 1.1constructalgebra

We establish a conditional cluster comparison before constructing a new law. Enumerate the vertices deterministically. Suppose a finite number of complete finite clusters have been discovered, with union E. Revealing their vertex sets says that each discovered set is connected by its internal open edges and every edge from it to its complement is closed. These are finite-edge events. In each finite FK box, after all edges between E and its complement are fixed closed, the component factors and edge weights internal to E factor from the remaining weights; summing over allowed internal configurations preserves that factorization. Hence the law outside E depends on the discovered sets only through the closed boundary edges. Passing fixed finite-cylinder conditional probabilities to the wired limit proves the same identity there. A positive-probability history has a positive denominator because its defining finite edge event does; null histories may be assigned arbitrary normalized kernels and are never reached.

3.1A1F2F5step 1.1step 2.1construct

If the next vertex y is outside E, its conditional cluster law is dominated, by inclusion of vertex sets, by the unconditional wired cluster law of y. Indeed in a finite box compare the original wired law with the same law constrained to close every edge from E to its complement. The common-uniform heat-bath update in [F2] preserves order; fixed-closed coordinates stay below the upper chain, and all other conditional edge probabilities remain ordered. Taking stationary limits gives an ordered finite-box coupling. Apply [F5] to the pair of binary edge fields along growing boxes and take a joint cylinder limit. Its upper marginal is the wired law; its lower marginal outside E is the conditional law in step 2.1, since conditioning a fixed positive-probability cylinder commutes with these limits. The order event is a countable intersection of coordinatewise closed conditions and holds in the limit. Project to the two clusters of y. Both are finite almost surely, by the upper marginal and step 1.1. This proves existence of an ordered coupling on pairs of finite connected vertex sets for each possible positive-probability history.

4.1A1step 2.1step 3.1constructalgebra

The possible finite histories, finite connected lattice sets, and pairs of such sets have explicit countable encodings by integer vertex lists. Apply [A1] to the fixed countable family of nonempty sets of coupling kernels from step 3.1, choosing one kernel for every history in advance. At a stage whose vertex y is already discovered, its actual-cluster output is its earlier cluster and the second output is a fresh independent set with the unconditional cluster law of y. At an undiscovered y, use its selected ordered kernel: its first marginal is the conditional cluster law from step 2.1 and its second marginal is again that fixed unconditional law. Each kernel is a probability on a countable set of pairs of finite sets. The product of the successive kernels defines normalized consistent finite-prefix atomic probabilities; summing the last kernel's mass one verifies consistency. A kernel's second marginal is fixed for every history, including the earlier second outputs, so these second outputs have product marginals for every finite list of stages. Countable Choice here selects kernels for a countable set fixed in advance, rather than successive unspecified choices from a relation.

5.1A1F5step 4.1constructalgebra

Here is an explicit extension of the process, to avoid assuming a countable-alphabet extension theorem. Enumerate each stage's possible output pairs by integers j≥0, and encode j by a bit row consisting of j ones, a zero, and then zeros. For every finite set of coordinates in the countable array of bits, sum the appropriate finite-prefix atomic probabilities from step 4.1. All sums are nonnegative countable sums over explicitly enumerated finite tuples of integers. Summing the last kernel verifies consistency of the binary finite-dimensional laws. Identify the bit array with the countable coordinates in [F5] and extend under [A1]. For a given row the weight of its first K bits being all ones is the atomic tail P(j≥K), tending to zero, so the all-ones row has probability zero by countable additivity. Each finite pattern having a one after its first zero also has prescribed probability zero. A countable union shows that almost surely every row is a valid integer code. Decode on this measurable full-probability set, assigning a fixed default on its null complement. The resulting process has exactly the specified finite-prefix laws. This constructs the required law without an additional invocation of a process-extension or independent-uniform theorem.

6.1F5step 1.1step 4.1step 5.1constructalgebra

Write Sy for the second output at the stage of y, and C^z for the actual cluster assigned by the first outputs. Step 4.1 shows that the Sy−y are independent and identically distributed as the translated wired cluster; their sizes have all moments by step 1.1. The first outputs have precisely the original wired cluster-exploration laws by induction on every finite prefix. The complete cluster at each fixed z is assigned by the stage reaching z, so all finite lists of complete cluster sets have the actual wired joint law. Equality of the whole countably indexed cluster-set law follows as well: unary encode these finite-set labels; its binary cylinder values determine its law uniquely by [F5]. Whenever a new cluster is discovered at y, it is a subset of Sy by the ordered kernel. Every z in that cluster therefore satisfies ∣C^z∣≤Mz:=sup⁡{∣Sy∣:z∈Sy}. The enumeration eventually assigns every vertex. This coupled object is a cluster partition, not an edge configuration reconstructed from clusters.

7.1F4step 6.1algebra

Apply [F4] to the given independent family Sy on the constructed probability space. There is a deterministic finite K0 such that almost surely all sufficiently large animals Γ satisfy ∑z∈Γ∣C^z∣≤∑z∈ΓMz≤K0∣Γ∣. This countably measurable property of the cluster partition transfers to the actual wired law by step 6.1. An animal is a finite connected vertex set containing 0, so this applies simultaneously to every sufficiently long self-avoiding path starting at 0. No claim that the dependent envelope variables are independent is made.

8.1step 7.1algebra

In any edge configuration with such a cluster partition, let γ be a self-avoiding path from 0 to ∂Λn, with m vertices. It has m≥n+1. If it visits J distinct open clusters, its number T(γ) of closed edges is at least J−1. Each visited cluster C contributes at most one to ∑z∈γ∣Cz∣−1, because the path visits distinct vertices. Cauchy–Schwarz therefore gives T(γ)+1≥∑z∈γ∣Cz∣−1≥m2/(∑z∈γ∣Cz∣)≥m/K0 for all sufficiently long paths, by step 7.1. The subtraction of one is necessary even for a path contained in a single cluster. Since this inequality holds for every edge configuration with that partition, transferring the partition law was sufficient; no internal open edges had to be selected in the coupling.

9.1F6step 7.1step 8.1algebra

A path minimizing the number of closed edges in the finite box may be taken self-avoiding by erasing loops without increasing that number. The uniform large-animal cutoff in step 7.1 and step 8.1 give Hn≥(n+1)/K0−1 for all sufficiently large n, almost surely in the actual wired law at s. Fatou's inequality from [F6], applied to the nonnegative measurable variables Hn/n, gives lim inf⁡nEs1Hn/n≥1/K0. Thus for all sufficiently large deterministic n, Es1Hn≥n/(2K0). This expectation conclusion does not assume a deterministic bound on the random almost-sure cutoff.

10.1F1F3step 9.1choosealgebra

Now fix the parameter p in the statement and choose s∈(p,ps). The preceding moment, coupling, and Hamming-expectation arguments apply at this s. Since Hn is a finite-coordinate function, its expectation under the wired Borel law is exactly the finite sum of its numerical cylinder atom weights in [F3]. That supplier's Hamming inequality therefore gives ϕp,q1(Dn)≤exp⁡{−2(s−p)n/K0} for sufficiently large n. Increasing a prefactor covers all n≥1. In particular the probability of an infinite cluster at 0 is zero: that event is contained in every Dn, whose probabilities tend to zero.

11.1F1step 10.1algebra

By translation invariance, the same one-arm bound holds at every center. If x≠y and r=∥x−y∥∞, any finite open path from x to y has an initial segment from x to the vertex boundary of x+Λr inside that box. Thus its wired connection probability is at most the translated one-arm bound at radius r. Since r≥∥x−y∥2/2, changing constants proves ϕp,q1(x↔y)≤C(p,q)e−c(p,q)∥x−y∥2, also for x=y after enlarging C.

12.1A1F1F2F6step 10.1step 11.1algebra∎

Let ϕ be any cylinder limit in the statement. An increasing event supported on a fixed inner box has finite-volume conditional laws with boundary partitions at most wired; passing its cylinder probabilities to the limit bounds them above by the wired inner-box law. Then increase that inner box to infinity, using the wired cylinder limit in [F1], to obtain domination by the wired state on increasing cylinder events. The event that x connects y by a path in a fixed box is such an event. These events increase to {x↔y} as boxes grow; countable additivity, or [F6] applied to their indicators, therefore gives the identical upper bound in step 11.1 for ϕ. Similarly the translated Dn events dominate any infinite cluster at their center, giving probability zero. Constants depend only on p,q, not on the cylinder-limit state. The proof has made no assertion at ps and has used Countable Choice exactly in the stated extensions and kernel selection.

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Crossing sharpness and subcritical decay for square-lattice FK

Statement

Assume Countable Choice. For every real q≥1, put psd(q)=q/(1+q). The square-lattice free and wired cylinder-limit FK probability laws exist. For every p>psd(q), both have positive percolation probability. For every p<psd(q), there are C(p,q),c(p,q)>0 such that every arbitrary-boundary cylinder-limit FK state ϕ satisfies ϕ(x↔y)≤C(p,q)e−c(p,q)∥x−y∥2(x,y∈Z2). In particular, both percolation probabilities vanish below psd(q) and pc0(q)=pc1(q)=psd(q). These conclusions do not identify the free and wired measures at the critical parameter.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: Real q≥1, parameters p∈(0,1), and the square-lattice model and percolation thresholds of Free, wired, and subsequential infinite-volume FK states on the square lattice.

[A1]

Countable Choice, in the sense of The Axiom of Countable Choice (ACω), is assumed for the countably additive probability-law and countable coupling constructions below.

[F1]

Under [A1], free and wired finite-box FK laws have countably additive Borel cylinder-limit probability laws (Existence of the free and wired infinite-volume FK limits).

[F2]

Write Dr for the cylinder event of an origin path to ∂Λr within Λr, and πpb for the numerical cylinder weights. With Θb(p)=inf⁡rπpb(Dr), the numerical pressure comparison proves Θ1(t)≤Θ0(p) whenever t<p (Numerical FK cylinder limits and pressure comparison).

[F3]

The numerical threshold construction proves Θ1(t)>0 for every t>psd(q) (Wired FK annuli and the numerical self-dual threshold).

[F4]

Under [A1], the subcritical exponential-decay lemma gives the displayed two-point bound uniformly for every arbitrary-boundary cylinder-limit state whenever p<psd(q) (Subcritical FK exponential connectivity under Countable Choice).

Proof

1.1A1F1F2givenalgebra

By [A1] and [F1] the free and wired probability laws exist. In either law the events Dr decrease with r. Their intersection is precisely the event that the origin cluster is unbounded: connection to every box boundary is equivalent to an unbounded cluster, and every finite path reaching a farther boundary contains an initial path to the nearer boundary. Countable additivity gives continuity from above, hence θb(p,q)=inf⁡rπpb(Dr)=Θb(p). This uses actual existing probability laws, rather than inferring their existence from consistent numerical cylinder weights.

2.1F2F3step 1.1algebra

Fix p>psd(q) and set t=(p+psd(q))/2. Then psd(q)<t<p. By [F2] and [F3], Θ0(p)≥Θ1(t)>0, while [F3] directly gives Θ1(p)>0. Step 1.1 proves positive percolation for both laws at p. No equality of free and wired laws is used.

3.1F4givenstep 1.1step 2.1algebra∎

For p<psd(q) apply [F4]. In particular, each free or wired law satisfies the displayed bound. An origin path to ∂Λr reaches one of its 8r vertices, each of Euclidean norm at least r. A finite union bound gives ϕ(Dr)≤8rC(p,q)e−c(p,q)r→0. Step 1.1 then gives zero percolation. Both defining infima are psd(q), since every parameter above it belongs to each positive-percolation set and none below it does. The bound for all other cylinder-limit states is already exactly [F4].

Remarks

The finite numerical annulus construction and pressure comparison are choice-free. Countable Choice is stated explicitly where the proof requires actual infinite-volume Borel laws and the subcritical countable coupling process. Free/wired threshold coincidence is proved here by comparison across two distinct parameters, without an additional planar threshold-coincidence assumption.

TheoremStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedprecheck passverified 2026-10-22 (gpt-6.1-sol)Open item page →

Exact square-lattice FK critical point and subcritical decay

Statement

Assume Countable Choice. For every real q≥1, put psd(q)=q/(1+q). For every p>psd(q), the wired state has θ1(p,q)>0; for every p<psd(q), both free and wired states have zero percolation probability and the free and wired critical thresholds pc0(q),pc1(q) equal psd(q). For every p<psd(q), there are constants C(p,q),c(p,q)>0 such that every cylinder-limit FK state ϕ on Z2 satisfies ϕ(x↔y)≤C(p,q)e−c(p,q)∥x−y∥2(x,y∈Z2). No equality of the free and wired measures at p=psd(q), critical exponent, or order of transition is asserted.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: Countable Choice (The Axiom of Countable Choice (ACω)), real q≥1, p∈(0,1), the square-lattice free and wired cylinder-limit FK states, and the crossing/sharpness interface of Crossing sharpness and subcritical decay for square-lattice FK.

[F1]

For b∈{0,1}, θb(p,q) and pcb(q)=inf⁡{p:θb(p,q)>0} have the definitions in Free, wired, and subsequential infinite-volume FK states on the square lattice.

[F2]

Wired positivity above psd, zero free and wired percolation below psd, subcritical exponential decay for every cylinder-limit state, and free/wired threshold coincidence are proved in Crossing sharpness and subcritical decay for square-lattice FK.

Proof

1.1F1F2algebra

Fix q≥1 and write ps=psd(q). By [F2], θ1(p,q)>0 for every p>ps and θ1(p,q)=0 for every p<ps. Therefore the infimum defining pc1(q) is ps: no parameter below ps belongs to the defining set, while every parameter above ps does.

2.1F1F2step 1.1

The free/wired threshold-coincidence conclusion in [F2] gives pc0(q)=pc1(q)=ps. This is a statement about the two infima; it does not identify the measures or their percolation probabilities at p=ps.

3.1F1F2∎

For p<ps, [F2] directly supplies constants C(p,q),c(p,q)>0 for which the displayed two-point bound holds uniformly for every arbitrary-boundary cylinder-limit FK state. These are exactly the cylinder-limit states in the statement, with the definition in [F1]. The stated choice hypothesis is the one used by the supplier to construct the probability laws and its countable subcritical coupling.

Remarks

The threshold and subcritical conclusions apply to all real q≥1. Countable Choice binds the actual infinite-volume probability-law and coupling construction; the underlying finite numerical threshold result has a separate choice-free local proof. No assertion at criticality is added.

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Square-lattice Potts critical inverse temperature

Statement

Let Q≥2 be an integer, J>0, and β>0. On Λn=[−n,n]2∩Z2, let Bn={x∈Λn:∥x∥∞=n} and let En be the nearest-neighbor edges with both endpoints in Λn. The Q-state Potts model has spins σ:Λn→{1,…,Q}, fixed plus boundary σ∣Bn=1, and finite-volume Gibbs probabilities proportional to e−βHn(σ), where Hn(σ)=−J∑{x,y}∈En1{σx=σy}. Define its plus-boundary order parameter by mQ+(β):=lim⁡n→∞Pβ,n+(σ0=1)−Q−1, when the limit exists, and define βc:=inf⁡{β>0:mQ+(β)>0}. Then the limit exists and βcJ=log⁡(1+Q). This is a numerical limit of finite-volume probabilities; no infinite-volume probability-law extension is required.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: Integer Q≥2, coupling J>0, inverse temperature β>0, the finite plus-boundary Potts laws on (Λn,En), and the finite wired FK laws at p=1−e−βJ.

[F1]

On a finite simple graph, the Potts edge weight is ∏e(1+ve1{σx=σy}) and the FK edge-subset weight is Qk(A)∏e∈Ave (Finite Potts and Fortuin–Kasteleyn weights).

[F2]

For integer Q≥2, the finite Edwards–Sokal joint law has Potts and FK marginals and colors every FK component independently and uniformly when there is no pinned boundary (Finite Edwards–Sokal coupling and correlation identity). The pinned-boundary version used below is derived directly by the same finite summation with all vertices of Bn fixed to color 1.

[F3]

For real q≥1, finite FK weights with a boundary partition use qkξ(A) and p/(1−p) is the edge activity (Finite FK random-cluster weights for real q and boundary partitions).

[F4]

If an(p,Q) is the finite wired probability of 0↔Bn, its numerical limit L(p,Q) exists, is positive for p>Q/(1+Q), and is zero for p<Q/(1+Q) (Wired FK annuli and the numerical self-dual threshold).

Proof

1.1F1F2F3givenalgebra

Put v=eβJ−1 and p=v/(1+v)=1−e−βJ. On the finite spin-edge configurations with σ∣Bn=1, define the joint weight Wn+(σ,A)=v∣A∣∏{x,y}∈A1{σx=σy}. For fixed σ, summing over A⊆En gives ∏e∈En(1+v1{σx=σy})=e−βHn(σ). For fixed A, every component meeting Bn has color 1 and each remaining component has Q choices. After wiring all of Bn into one class, the number of unpinned components is kξn(A)−1. Thus the edge marginal has weight Qkξn(A)−1v∣A∣, proportional by the configuration-independent factor Q−1 to the wired FK weight in [F3]. Normalization therefore gives exactly the finite wired FK law. This supplies the pinned version of [F2] by an explicit finite sum.

2.1F4step 1.1algebra

Conditional on A, the origin has color 1 with probability one if it connects to Bn, and with probability 1/Q otherwise. Indeed every unpinned component has its independent uniform color by the finite count of step 1.1. Consequently Pβ,n+(σ0=1)=Q−1+(1−Q−1)an(p,Q). By [F4] the right side has a numerical limit. Hence mQ+(β)=(1−Q−1)L(1−e−βJ,Q).

3.1F4step 2.1algebra∎

The map β↦1−e−βJ is strictly increasing from 0 to 1. By [F4] and the positive prefactor in step 2.1, mQ+(β) is zero below the unique parameter solving 1−e−βJ=Q/(1+Q) and positive above it. Its defining positive-set infimum is therefore that parameter, regardless of its value at the critical point. Solving gives e−βcJ=1/(1+Q) and βcJ=log⁡(1+Q).

Remarks

The pinned-boundary component count is Qkξn(A)−1; its constant factor relative to the wired FK weight cancels on normalization. The order parameter is defined by finite-volume probabilities and its limit is established numerically, so this deduction does not use a choice-dependent infinite-volume measure extension. The coupling J is the Potts indicator-interaction coupling displayed in the statement.

5 · Examples, experiments and counterexamples

None yet.

Sources