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Conditioning a known variable and an independent variable
Statement
Assume AC for existence. For real , if is -measurable, then . If for every real Borel and , then almost surely.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: AC, real integrable X and sub-sigma-algebra G; separately either X is G-measurable or its Borel events satisfy the displayed independence identity.
Conditional classes are characterized by measurable integrable versions with all event identities. (Conditional expectation as an ae class)
The version class is unique. (Conditional expectation is unique almost surely)
Nonnegative Borel functions admit increasing Borel simple approximations. (Every nonnegative measurable function is the increasing limit of simple measurable functions)
Increasing nonnegative simple limits pass through integrals. (Monotone convergence for the integral)
Finite linear combinations and differences of integrable functions pass through the integral. (The Lebesgue integral is linear on )
Proof
If is -measurable it itself meets every condition for a version: integrability is assumed and every event equality is . Hence uniqueness gives the first identity.
Fix under the independence hypothesis. For , is exactly that hypothesis. For nonnegative Borel simple , multiplication by and addition give the same equality. For any nonnegative Borel , compose the increasing Borel simple approximations from [F3] with and use [F4] on both sides to obtain the equality, allowing infinite values.
Apply step 1.2 to and . Their expectations are finite because , so subtracting yields . The constant is finite, -measurable and integrable, and its integral on is . Since was arbitrary, [F1]–[F2] identify it with .
Source notes
Durrett Examples 4.1.3–4.1.4, printed pp.207–208; van der Vaart Examples 1.4–1.5, printed p.2. The rectangle hypothesis is extended by simple approximation explicitly, without importing a general factorization theorem.
Depends on
Used by
- Nonnegative predictable transforms preserve submartingale gains Corollary
- Submartingale doob decomposition has increasing compensator Corollary
- A submartingale need not have increasing sample paths Counterexample
- An unbounded predictable transform may lose integrability Counterexample
- Conditioning an independent sum on one summand Example
- Conditioning on trivial and full sigma algebras Example
- Law of total variance Example
- Likelihood ratio martingale Example
- Partial sums of independent centered variables are a martingale Example
- Product martingale from independent mean one factors Example
- Square of a martingale minus quadratic compensator Example
- Conditional variance is well-defined and has the second-moment formula Lemma
- Multistep martingale characterization Lemma
- Bounded predictable transforms preserve martingales Theorem
- Conditional expectation is the l2 orthogonal projection Theorem
- Doob decomposition of an integrable adapted process Theorem
- Martingales and martingale differences correspond Theorem
- Square minus predictable quadratic variation is a martingale Theorem
Dependency tree · two levels
24 results within two dependency steps of this one, each drawn at its shortest distance from it. An arrow runs from a result to what uses it, so the chart reads left to right and ends at this result, which carries a heavier outline. Every node is a link to that result. Click elsewhere on the chart to enlarge it.
Sources
- Durrett, Probability: Theory and Examples, 5th ed. (standard reference, not scraped)