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Herglotz spectral measure and the summable-covariance density

Statement

Assume the Axiom of Choice and Dependent Choice. Let X=(Xt)t∈Z be a real weakly stationary process with mean μ and autocovariance γ(h)=Cov⁡(Xt+h,Xt). Then there is a unique finite positive Radon measure F on T such that γ(h)=∫Teihλ F(dλ)(h∈Z), and F(T)=γ(0). This is the spectral measure in Spectral measures and the known-mean periodogram.

If, in addition, ∑h∈Z∣γ(h)∣<∞, then F is absolutely continuous with respect to angular Lebesgue measure dλ and has the continuous nonnegative density f(λ)=12π∑h∈Zγ(h)e−ihλ,λ∈T. No mixing, central limit theorem, raw-periodogram consistency, or interval coverage follows from these conclusions.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The Axiom of Choice, Dependent Choice, and a real weakly stationary process X=(Xt)t∈Z with mean μ and autocovariance γ(h)=Cov⁡(Xt+h,Xt). For the density conclusion also assume ∑h∈Z∣γ(h)∣<∞.

[F1]

Strict and weak stationarity for integer-indexed time series: every Xt has finite second moment, E[Xt]=μ is constant, and Cov⁡(Xt+h,Xt) is independent of t.

[F2]

Autocovariance and sample autocovariance: the autocovariance function is γ(h)=Cov⁡(Xt+h,Xt) for h∈Z.

[F3]

Positive definite functions on an abelian group: a function ϕ:G→C is positive definite when every finite quadratic form ∑j,kcjck‾ϕ(xj−xk) is a nonnegative real number.

[F4]

Bochner's theorem for LCA groups: assuming AC and DC, a continuous positive-definite function on a locally compact Hausdorff abelian group G has a unique finite positive Radon representing measure on G^, with total mass ϕ(0) and representation ϕ(x)=∫G^χ(x) dF(χ).

[F5]

The Pontryagin dual of the discrete integers is the circle: for discrete additive Z, the dual characters are χλ(h)=eihλ under λ↦eiλ.

[F6]

Radon measure on an LCH space: a Radon Borel measure is finite on compact sets, outer regular on Borel sets, and inner regular on open sets.

[F7]

The Borel sigma-algebra of a topological space and Homeomorphism, open map, closed map, embedding, and what it means for a property to be topological: a homeomorphism and its inverse carry Borel sets to Borel sets, since they carry open sets to open sets.

[F8]

Every nonnegative measurable function is the increasing limit of simple measurable functions and Monotone convergence for the integral: nonnegative Borel functions are increasing limits of simple functions, and their integrals pass to that limit.

[F9]

Integrable real and complex functions, and their integrals and Monotonicity and nonnegative homogeneity of the nonnegative integral: bounded real or complex Borel functions are integrable against a finite measure, and complex integrals are defined from the real and imaginary parts.

[F11]

Integer exponentials are orthogonal for angular Lebesgue measure: for each integer k, ∫Teikλ dλ=2π if k=0 and is 0 otherwise.

[F12]

The indefinite integral of a nonnegative measurable function is a measure: for nonnegative measurable f, the set function B↦∫Bf dλ is a measure.

[F13]

The Lebesgue integral is linear on L1(μ): integrals of integrable real functions are linear; together with [F9] this justifies integrating the real and imaginary parts separately.

[F14]

A uniform limit of continuous complex-valued functions is continuous: a uniform limit of continuous complex functions is continuous.

[A1]

The Axiom of Choice: every family of nonempty sets has a choice function; this is assumed in the Bochner theorem [F4].

Proof

technique · Apply Bochner's theorem to the covariance sequence, then construct and identify the density directly by absolutely convergent Fourier series
1.1F1F2F3givenalgebra

For any finite integers h1,…,hm and complex numbers c1,…,cm, finite second moments make ∑jcj(Xhj−μ) square-integrable. Expanding its squared modulus and using stationarity gives ∑j,k=1mcjck‾γ(hj−hk)=E∣∑j=1mcj(Xhj−μ)∣2≥0. Thus γ is positive definite on the additive group Z by [F1]–[F3].

1.2F14givenalgebra

Now assume absolute summability and define f(λ)=(2π)−1∑h∈Zγ(h)e−ihλ. For every N, the tail is bounded uniformly in λ by (2π)−1∑∣h∣>N∣γ(h)∣, which tends to zero; finite partial sums are continuous, so the series converges uniformly to a continuous function f by [F14].

1.3F3givenalgebra

For each N≥0, set fN(λ):=12π∑∣h∣≤N(1−∣h∣N+1)γ(h)e−ihλ. Using cj=e−ijλ in [F3] for j=0,…,N and grouping pairs by h=j−k gives fN(λ)=12π(N+1)∑j,k=0Ne−i(j−k)λγ(j−k)≥0. Moreover, 2π∣fN(λ)−f(λ)∣≤∑∣h∣>N∣γ(h)∣+∑∣h∣≤N∣h∣N+1∣γ(h)∣, and the right side tends to zero: first make the absolutely summable tail small, then let N→∞ on the remaining finite sum. Thus fN→f uniformly, so f is real and nonnegative.

2.1F4F5F6F7F8F9F15A1A2step 1.1given

Give Z the discrete topology. Every singleton is compact and open, distinct integers have disjoint open singleton neighborhoods, and maps from a discrete space are continuous; hence Z is a locally compact Hausdorff abelian topological group and γ is continuous. By [F4] and step 1.1, there is a unique finite positive Radon measure M on Z^ with γ(h)=∫Z^χ(h) M(dχ),M(Z^)=γ(0). Use the homeomorphism Ψ:T→Z^ from [F5] and define F(B):=M(Ψ(B)) for Borel B⊆T. Images of Borel sets are Borel by [F7], so this is a finite positive Borel measure. It is finite on compact sets because Ψ maps compact sets to compact sets. For Borel E⊆T, outer regularity of M gives an open V⊇Ψ(E) with M(V)<M(Ψ(E))+ε; then U=Ψ−1(V) is open, contains E, and F(U)=M(V). For open O⊆T, inner regularity gives compact C⊆Ψ(O) with M(C)>M(Ψ(O))−ε; then K=Ψ−1(C) is compact in O and F(K)=M(C). Thus F is Radon by [F6]. For any nonnegative Borel q on Z^, ∫Tq(Ψ(z)) F(dz)=∫Z^q(χ) M(dχ). Indeed the identity holds for indicators by the definition of F, hence for nonnegative simple functions by finite addition, and for nonnegative Borel functions by increasing simple approximation and monotone convergence [F8]. It also holds for bounded complex Borel q by applying that argument to its positive and negative real and imaginary parts; these are integrable by [F9] because both measures are finite. Taking q(χ)=χ(h) and using [F5] proves γ(h)=∫TeihλF(dλ). Also F(T)=M(Z^)=γ(0). If another finite positive Radon measure G on T represents γ, let G~(E):=G(Ψ−1(E)) for Borel E⊆Z^. It is finite on compact sets because Ψ−1 maps compact sets to compact sets. For Borel E, outer regularity of G gives open U⊇Ψ−1(E) with G(U)<G(Ψ−1(E))+ε; then Ψ(U) is open, contains E, and G~(Ψ(U))=G(U). For open V⊆Z^, inner regularity gives compact K⊆Ψ−1(V) with G(K)>G(Ψ−1(V))−ε; then Ψ(K) is compact in V and G~(Ψ(K))=G(K). Thus G~ is Radon by [F6] and [F7]. The same indicator/simple/monotone argument gives ∫Z^q(χ) G~(dχ)=∫Tq(Ψ(z)) G(dz) for bounded Borel q. Taking q(χ)=χ(h) shows G~ represents γ; uniqueness in [F4] gives G~=M. Hence G(B)=G~(Ψ(B))=M(Ψ(B))=F(B) for every Borel B⊆T. The integrands χ↦χ(h) are Borel by [F15], so the representing integrals are defined.

3.1F1F4F6F9F10F11F12F13A1A2givenstep 1.2step 1.3step 2.1algebra∎

Put sN(λ):=(2π)−1∑∣k∣≤Nγ(k)e−ikλ. Absolute summability gives ∥sN−f∥∞→0. For N≥∣h∣, the finite sum and [F11] give ∫TeihλsN(λ) dλ=12π∑∣k∣≤Nγ(k)∫Tei(h−k)λ dλ=γ(h). If qN=eihλ(f−sN) and τN=∥f−sN∥∞, then ∣Re⁡qN∣,∣Im⁡qN∣≤τN. By [F9], [F13], and dλ(T)=2π, the integrals of the real and imaginary parts each lie between −2πτN and 2πτN: subtracting either part from the constant τN or adding it to that constant gives a nonnegative function, so monotonicity and linearity apply. The complex integral is the real-part integral plus i times the imaginary-part integral [F9], hence its modulus is at most the sum of the two absolute values, 4πτN. This tends to zero. Hence ∫Teihλf(λ) dλ=γ(h). By [F12], ν(B):=∫Bf dλ is a measure; it is finite and positive since 0≤f≤∥f∥∞ and dλ(T)=2π. It is Radon: for a Borel E, outer regularity of dλ [F10] gives open U⊇E with dλ(UsetminusE)<ε/(∥f∥∞+1), hence ν(UsetminusE)<ε. Countable additivity [F12] then yields ν(U)<ν(E)+ε. For open O, inner regularity gives compact K⊆O with dλ(OsetminusK)<ε/(∥f∥∞+1), hence ν(OsetminusK)<ε and ν(O)<ν(K)+ε by [F12]. These are the regularity clauses in [F6]. Thus ν is a finite positive Radon measure representing γ, and uniqueness in [F4] gives F=f dλ, with the stated density.

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