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Metropolis–Hastings kernels
1 · Prerequisites
- Absolute and Conditional Convergence; Rearrangement; Products
- Binary Operations, Monoids, Groups and Subgroups
- Complete Metrizability, Čech-Completeness, and Baire Category
- Completeness, Completion, and Uniform Continuity
- Conditional Distributions and Regular Conditional Probability
- Conformal Prediction and Exchangeable Ranks
- Construction of the Natural Numbers
- Construction of the Real Numbers via Cauchy Sequences
- Construction of the Real Numbers via Dedekind Cuts
- Cosets, Index and Lagrange's Theorem
- Countability and Uncountability
- Countability Axioms and Cardinal Functions
- Divisibility, Euclidean Domains, Principal Ideal Domains and Unique Factorisation
- Domination and Likelihood Ratios
- Finite Counting, Factorials and Binomial Coefficients
- Foundations of the Real Numbers for Analysis
- General-state Markov kernels, invariance, and reversibility
- Ideals, Quotient Rings and the Isomorphism Theorems for Rings
- Infinite Product Measures and Kolmogorov Extension
- limsup, liminf, and Subsequential Limits
- Loss, Risk and Decision Theory
- Markov Kernels and Markov Chains
- Measurable Functions and Simple Approximation
- Measures and Their Basic Properties
- Metric Spaces
- Monotone Sequences, Bolzano-Weierstrass, and Cauchy Completeness
- Normal Subgroups and Quotient Groups
- Order, Zorn's Lemma, and the Axiom of Choice
- Pointwise Extended-Real Function Products
- Polynomial Rings, the Division Algorithm and Roots
- Probability Spaces Random Variables and Expectation
- Product Measures and the Fubini Tonelli Theorems
- Recurrence Transience and Hitting Times for Markov Chains
- Relations, Functions, and Quotients
- Rings, Subrings, Integral Domains and Fields
- Roots, Rational Powers, and Classical Inequalities
- Sequences and Limits
- Series: Convergence and the Nonnegative Tests
- Sigma Algebras and Borel Sets
- Signed and Complex Measures Hahn and Jordan
- Simple Field Extensions and the Construction of the Complex Numbers
- Stationary Markov Chains and Ergodic Limits
- Statistical Experiments, Models and Identifiability
- Suprema and Infima
- The Lebesgue Integral and the Convergence Theorems
- The Radon Nikodym Theorem and Lebesgue Decomposition
- The ZFC Axioms and the Basic Set Constructions
- Topological Spaces and Continuity
- Topology of ℝ
2 · Summary
This page constructs the Metropolis–Hastings transition kernel from a target probability and a general proposal kernel. It defines the accepted flow as the greatest measure dominated by the forward and reverse proposal flows, selects a measurable Radon–Nikodym acceptance version, and retains rejected proposals as self-transitions. A local common-density calculation recovers the familiar pointwise minimum density for the accepted flow and the familiar proposal ratio when the target and proposal have compatible densities. The common-density version fixes acceptance at one on the forward-zero set; versions agree only almost everywhere under the forward flow. The main theorem proves reversibility and target invariance; these facts alone do not imply irreducibility, uniqueness, convergence, mixing rates, or a central limit theorem. See general-state-mcmc-kernels-and-reversibility for the general-state kernel and reversibility interface.
3 · Logical flowchart
4 · Definitions, theorems and proofs
The common submeasure of two finite densities
Statement
Assume the Axiom of Choice (AC). Let be a sigma-finite positive measure on , and let and be finite positive measures absolutely continuous with respect to . Suppose finite-valued nonnegative measurable functions satisfy Then is the greatest measure dominated by both and , where domination means inequality on every measurable set.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: AC, a sigma-finite positive measure , finite positive measures , and finite-valued nonnegative measurable densities satisfying the displayed integral identities.
The Axiom of Choice: AC says every family of nonempty sets has a choice function.
Measures on sigma-algebras and Finite, sigma-finite, and semifinite measures: are countably additive and finite, while has a countable measurable cover by finite- sets.
Absolute continuity of a signed or complex measure with respect to a positive measure, A sigma-finite signed measure that is absolutely continuous with respect to a sigma-finite positive measure has a unique almost-everywhere density, The Radon-Nikodym derivative as an almost-everywhere equivalence class, and A sigma-finite positive measure has a nonnegative Radon–Nikodym density version: a finite positive measure absolutely continuous with respect to the sigma-finite has, under AC, a finite-valued nonnegative measurable density whose integrals recover it on every measurable set.
The indefinite integral of a nonnegative measurable function is a measure: for nonnegative measurable , is a measure.
Monotonicity and nonnegative homogeneity of the nonnegative integral and Additivity of the nonnegative Lebesgue integral: the nonnegative integral is monotone and homogeneous by nonnegative scalars, and it is additive for sums of nonnegative measurable functions.
Arithmetic and lattice operations preserve measurability whenever they are defined: finite measurable sums, scalar multiples, and pointwise minima are measurable.
A nonnegative integral over a null set vanishes: a nonnegative measurable function has integral zero over a -null set.
Proof
Given: The hypotheses in the statement.
Put . It is measurable and nonnegative by [F5]. Thus is a measure by [F3]. Since , monotonicity [F4] gives and for every . In particular , so is finite.
Let be any measure with and . Then , so is finite. If , then ; hence . Therefore . It is sigma-finite because it is finite [F1]. By [A1] and [F2], choose a finite-valued nonnegative measurable density with for every .
For each integer , set . This set is measurable by [F5]. Monotonicity, additivity, and homogeneity [F4] give But , so . The same argument with and shows that each is -null. Hence is -null, and and , thus , on .
Absolute continuity gives for every , and [F6] gives . On , , so monotonicity [F4] yields Thus every common lower measure is dominated by .
Step 1.1 shows that is dominated by both and ; step 3.1 shows every measure dominated by both is itself dominated by . Therefore is the greatest common submeasure.
The common submeasure and its bounded density
Statement
Assume the Axiom of Choice (AC). Let and be finite positive measures on a measurable space . Put . Choose nonnegative measurable Radon–Nikodym density representatives and , modified on a -null set so that everywhere. Then is the greatest measure dominated by both and . The measurable function takes values in and is a version of . Here means for every .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: AC, finite positive measures on , and .
The Axiom of Choice: AC says that every family of nonempty sets has a choice function.
Nonnegative scalar multiples and countable weighted sums of measures are measures: a finite sum of measures is a measure. Finite, sigma-finite, and semifinite measures: a finite measure is sigma-finite, since the whole space is a one-set finite-measure cover.
A sigma-finite signed measure that is absolutely continuous with respect to a sigma-finite positive measure has a unique almost-everywhere density, The Radon-Nikodym derivative as an almost-everywhere equivalence class, and Absolute continuity of a signed or complex measure with respect to a positive measure: under AC, if are finite positive measures and , there is a real-valued measurable density whose integral on every measurable set recovers , unique -almost everywhere. Indeed, the constant exhaustion meets the theorem's hypotheses, since a positive measure equals its total variation.
A sigma-finite positive measure has a nonnegative Radon–Nikodym density version: under AC, if are sigma-finite positive measures and , the class has a finite-valued nonnegative measurable representative.
The indefinite integral of a nonnegative measurable function is a measure and Measures on sigma-algebras: if is measurable, then is a measure.
Monotonicity and nonnegative homogeneity of the nonnegative integral and Monotone convergence for the integral: the nonnegative integral is monotone, and increasing limits pass through it.
Every nonnegative measurable function is the increasing limit of simple measurable functions and Integrating against a Radon-Nikodym derivative recovers integration against the measure: a nonnegative measurable function is an increasing limit of simple functions; for simple , when is finite positive and .
Closure properties of measurable functions used by the integral and Extended-real-valued measurable functions: finite sums, scalar multiplies, pointwise infima, and Borel preimages of measurable functions are measurable.
Additivity of the nonnegative Lebesgue integral: on any measure space, the integral of the sum of two nonnegative measurable functions is the sum of their integrals. Applied to indicator-restricted functions, this also holds for integrals over every measurable set.
Proof
Given: AC and the finite positive measures .
The measure is finite, and . By [A1], [F1]–[F3], choose finite-valued nonnegative measurable representatives and . For every , Uniqueness in [F2] gives -almost everywhere. On the measurable null set where this fails, replace by and by ; the modified functions remain representatives and now satisfy everywhere.
The function is measurable and nonnegative by [F7]. By [F4], defines a measure. Since , monotonicity in [F5] and the density identities in step 1.1 give and for every . In particular, , so is finite.
Let be any measure with and . It is finite because , and : if , nonnegativity gives , and hence . By [A1], [F1]–[F3], choose a finite-valued nonnegative density . For each integer , the measurable set satisfies Since , this forces . Thus is null; the same argument using gives almost everywhere. Therefore outside a measurable -null set. Integrals on that null set vanish by simple approximation and [F5]–[F6], so monotonicity yields for all . Together with step 2.1, this proves that is the greatest common submeasure.
For each real , ; for , and for the set is empty. By [F7], each such set is measurable, so is measurable. It lies in , and everywhere: on this follows by multiplying the ratio by , while on both sides are zero. For a fixed , approximate increasingly by simple functions. [F6] gives equality of their integrals against and against ; applying [F5] to both limits gives Thus is a nonnegative measurable representative of with values in .
Metropolis–Hastings kernel
Definition
Assume AC. The Metropolis–Hastings procedure takes as input a standard-Borel space (Standard Borel spaces), a target probability measure (Probability measures and probability spaces), and a probability kernel from to itself (Measure kernel and probability kernel).
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On the product sigma-algebra (The product sigma-algebra and its finite iterates), form the proposal-flow measure (Measures on sigma-algebras) on by This is a probability measure by A prior and model kernel define a joint law. Let and set .
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Set , the greatest measure dominated by both flows. Put , which is a finite measure by Nonnegative scalar multiples and countable weighted sums of measures are measures, and choose nonnegative measurable representatives and with everywhere after modification on a -null set. Define This is a jointly measurable version of taking values in .
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For , compute the integrated acceptance probability and rejection probability .
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Return the transition rule The second term retains every rejected proposal as a self-transition.
The item The common submeasure and its bounded density proves the common-submeasure construction and density-version claims in step 2.
Remarks
An RN derivative is an almost-everywhere equivalence class, not a distinguished pointwise function (The Radon-Nikodym derivative as an almost-everywhere equivalence class). The explicit convention in step 2 selects a measurable version. Changing that version on a -null set leaves the accepted joint flow unchanged, though it can change for a -null set of starting states. The theorem Metropolis–Hastings flow is reversible and invariant ↗ proves that is a probability kernel and that is invariant; the procedure alone does not assert irreducibility, uniqueness, convergence, a rate, or a CLT.
The common-density Metropolis–Hastings ratio
Statement
Assume AC. Let be standard Borel (Standard Borel spaces) and let be a sigma-finite positive measure (Finite, sigma-finite, and semifinite measures) on it. Let the target probability have a finite-valued nonnegative measurable density , and suppose the proposal kernel has a finite-valued nonnegative jointly measurable density , so and for every and . Let be the forward proposal flow and let be its transpose. Put There is a jointly measurable version of given by The version chosen by Metropolis–Hastings kernel agrees with this common-density version -almost everywhere; values on a forward-flow null set do not alter the accepted flow.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: AC, a standard-Borel space, a sigma-finite , a probability target with density , and a probability proposal kernel with jointly measurable density as in the statement.
The Axiom of Choice: AC says every family of nonempty sets has a choice function.
Metropolis–Hastings kernel: the forward flow is , and the algorithm chooses a jointly measurable -valued version of , where is the greatest common submeasure.
A prior and model kernel define a joint law: a probability target and probability kernel define a probability measure on the product sigma-algebra, and integration of a nonnegative product-measurable function against it is iterated integration.
The product sigma-algebra and its finite iterates and For sigma-finite factors, the product measure exists, has the rectangle formula, is sigma-finite, and is unique: exists, has the rectangle formula, and is sigma-finite.
Measures agreeing on a generating pi-system are equal under an increasing finite-measure exhaustion from that pi-system: two measures agree on the product sigma-algebra if they agree on its generating rectangles and on an increasing finite-measure exhaustion of rectangles.
Tonelli's theorem for nonnegative measurable functions on a sigma-finite product: nonnegative product-measurable functions on may be integrated in either order.
Arithmetic and lattice operations preserve measurability whenever they are defined and Extended-real-valued measurable functions: finite products, minima, finite sums, scalar multiples, and threshold sets of measurable functions are measurable.
Coordinate maps and permutations are measurable on finite products and Composition with a Borel measurable outer map preserves measurability: the coordinate swap is measurable, as are compositions of measurable maps.
The common submeasure of two finite densities: if two finite flows have nonnegative densities with respect to the same sigma-finite measure , their greatest common submeasure has density with respect to .
Every nonnegative measurable function is the increasing limit of simple measurable functions and Monotone convergence for the integral: nonnegative measurable functions are increasing limits of simple functions, and those limits pass through nonnegative integrals.
Integrating against a Radon-Nikodym derivative recovers integration against the measure: for simple and a measure with density , ; applying [F9] extends this identity to nonnegative measurable integrands.
The Radon-Nikodym derivative as an almost-everywhere equivalence class and A sigma-finite signed measure that is absolutely continuous with respect to a sigma-finite positive measure has a unique almost-everywhere density: a Radon–Nikodym derivative is an almost-everywhere class, and two measurable densities for the same measure agree almost everywhere.
Proof
Given: The hypotheses in the statement and the accepted-flow construction.
Put . The lift is product-measurable because the preimage of each Borel set is the rectangle . Each section is measurable: for fixed , the class of all with is a sigma-algebra containing every measurable rectangle, so it contains . Since and are product-measurable, [F6] makes their product measurable, and [F5] makes measurable, where the equality is the given density identity for . The density identity for and [F10], first for simple functions and then for by [F9] and monotone convergence, give Substituting the expression for and applying Tonelli [F5] yields Thus is a density of the forward probability flow with respect to .
Let and define . By [F7], is measurable, so is a measure. On a rectangle , using the product-measure convention . Choose increasing measurable with . The rectangles increase to and have equal finite measure for and . Measurable rectangles form a generating pi-system, so [F3]–[F4] give . For every nonnegative product-measurable , the identity holds first for indicators from , then for simple functions by finite addition, and for all such by [F9]. Applying it to yields Hence is the reverse-flow density.
Apply [F8] to the finite probability measures and the sigma-finite reference measure . Their greatest common submeasure has density , so
Define on and on . It takes values in . For a real , ; for , for the set is empty. Each set is measurable by [F6], so is jointly measurable. By its definition, everywhere. For any , choose nonnegative simple . The simple density identity [F10] gives ; monotone convergence on both sides then gives Thus is a version of .
On , algebra gives On its specified value is , which is permissible because . The algorithm's chosen derivative and are two versions of the same Radon–Nikodym derivative, so [F11] makes them equal -almost everywhere. This proves the common-density ratio and the forward-zero convention without asserting pointwise uniqueness on null sets.
Metropolis–Hastings flow is reversible and invariant
Statement
Assume AC and the hypotheses of Metropolis–Hastings kernel. Its output is a probability kernel, the joint measure is symmetric under , and is invariant for . Symmetry of this joint measure is reversibility. No irreducibility, uniqueness, convergence-rate, or central limit theorem conclusion is asserted.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: AC, a standard-Borel space, a target probability , a proposal probability kernel , and the Metropolis–Hastings construction.
The Axiom of Choice: AC states that every family of nonempty sets has a choice function.
Metropolis–Hastings kernel: the algorithm defines , where is a jointly measurable -valued version of the accepted-flow density and .
Measure kernel and probability kernel: a probability kernel is a measurable family of measures with mass one at every source point.
A prior and model kernel define a joint law: for a probability measure and probability kernel , the formula defines a probability measure and integrates nonnegative product-measurable functions by iterated integration.
The common submeasure and its bounded density: the accepted flow is the greatest measure dominated by both flows, and .
Measurability of integration against a kernel: integration of a nonnegative product-measurable function against a probability kernel is a measurable function of the source point.
Invariant and stationary distribution for a Markov kernel: is invariant for when for every measurable .
The product sigma-algebra and its finite iterates: measurable rectangles generate the product sigma-algebra, so the coordinate-swap map is measurable.
Every section of a product-measurable function is measurable: each section of a product-measurable function is measurable.
The indefinite integral of a nonnegative measurable function is a measure: for a nonnegative measurable , is a measure.
Nonnegative scalar multiples and countable weighted sums of measures are measures: a finite sum of measures with nonnegative coefficients is a measure.
General-state reversibility by symmetric flow measure: reversibility means that the joint flow measure is symmetric under coordinate swap.
General-state reversibility implies invariance: on any measurable state space, a probability kernel reversible with respect to a probability measure leaves that measure invariant.
Measures on sigma-algebras: a measure vanishes on the empty set and is countably additive on pairwise disjoint measurable sets.
Proof
Given: AC, , , and the procedure in [F1].
The acceptance function satisfies . For each , because is a probability measure. The function is measurable by [F5], so is measurable and takes values in .
For fixed , the accepted term is a measure by [F9], since the section is measurable by [F8]. The rejection term is a measure: for disjoint sets at most one can contain . Their sum is a measure by [F10], and its total mass is . For each fixed , the accepted term is measurable in by [F5], and the rejection term is measurable since and are measurable. Thus [F2] applies pointwise and is a probability kernel.
Define . For every measurable rectangle , . Since these rectangles generate by [F7], is measurable. By [F9], is a measure on ; it is finite because and . Define . It vanishes at the empty set, and preimages of disjoint sets under are disjoint; countable additivity of therefore makes a finite measure on the product sigma-algebra.
Step 2.1 has established that is a probability kernel, so [F3] now supplies the joint measure . Applying the same joint-law result to the input kernel gives the proposal flow and its iterated-integral identity. Thus, for every product-measurable , where the last equality uses from [F4].
The coordinate swap is measurable by [F7] and is an involution. Define . This is a measure: measurability of makes the preimages measurable, and preimages preserve the empty set and disjoint countable unions, so [F4, F13] give the measure properties. Since is the greatest measure dominated by both and , its transpose is also dominated by both: for every , and . Maximality gives ; transposing this inequality and using gives . Hence .
Since , step 2.2 gives for every product-measurable . Step 4.1 gives the same symmetry for , so the decomposition in step 3.1 yields for every . Thus the joint flow is symmetric, so is reversible by [F11].
Steps 2.1 and 5.1 prove that is a probability kernel reversible with respect to . The general-state result [F12] applies on this measurable space and gives for every . Thus is invariant in the sense of [F6].
5 · Examples, counterexamples and false statements
None yet.
Sources
- John K. Hunter, Measure Theory, Theorem 6.27 and proof, §6.8, printed pp. 75–77
- Art B. Owen, Monte Carlo Theory, Methods and Examples, Ch. 11 §11.4, printed pp. 16–20
- Gareth O. Roberts and Jeffrey S. Rosenthal, General State Space Markov Chains and MCMC Algorithms, §2.1 and Proposition 2, printed pp. 4–6
- Art B. Owen, Monte Carlo Theory, Methods and Examples, Ch. 11 §§11.3–11.4, printed pp. 15–20
- Gareth O. Roberts and Jeffrey S. Rosenthal, General State Space Markov Chains and MCMC Algorithms, §2 and Proposition 2, printed pp. 4–6