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Finite products of probability kernels are probability kernels

Statement

Let (S,Σ) and (Ti,Ti) for i<n be measurable spaces, with n<∞, and let Ki:S→Ti be probability kernels with the same source. There is a unique probability kernel K:S→∏i<nTi whose evaluation on every measurable rectangle is K(s,∏i<nBi)=∏i<nKi(s,Bi). For n=0, the target is the empty-product singleton and K is its point mass. For n>0, the product sigma-algebra is the recursive finite product sigma-algebra.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The finite family of probability kernels and the stated product-space conventions.

[F1]

The product of two probability measures exists, is a probability measure, and has the rectangle formula. For sigma-finite factors, the product measure exists, has the rectangle formula, is sigma-finite, and is unique

[F2]

Measurable rectangles generate the finite product sigma-algebra. The product sigma-algebra and its finite iterates

[F4]

A lambda-system containing a generating pi-system contains its generated sigma-algebra. Dynkin's pi-lambda theorem

Proof

technique · define the product measure at each source point, then prove evaluation measurability on the rectangle generators

Given: The hypotheses in the statement.

1.1givenF1F2construct

If n=0, use the point mass on the empty-product singleton; if n=1, use K0(s). For n≥2, fix s∈S and build the product recursively: start with K0(s), and at stage j+1 apply [F1] to the probability measure already constructed on the first j factors and the probability measure Kj(s). This constructs a probability measure on the recursively defined first j+1 factors, with the product rectangle formula. Finite induction gives K(s,⋅)=⨂i<nKi(s,⋅) and its formula for every s.

2.1givenstep 1.1F2F4algebra

For a rectangle R=∏i<nBi, step 1.1 gives s↦K(s,R)=∏i<nKi(s,Bi), a finite product of measurable real functions, hence measurable. Let D be the product-measurable sets E for which s↦K(s,E) is measurable. The class contains the whole space and all rectangles. If E∈D, then K(s,Ec)=1−K(s,E) is measurable. For pairwise disjoint Ej∈D, countable additivity gives K(s,⋃jEj)=lim⁡N→∞∑j≤NK(s,Ej), a pointwise limit of measurable functions. Thus D is a lambda-system. Rectangles form a pi-system and generate the product sigma-algebra by [F2], so [F4] gives D=⨂i<nTi. Hence K is a probability kernel.

3.1step 1.1step 2.1F3∎

Any other probability kernel with the rectangle formula agrees with K(s,⋅) on the generating rectangle pi-system for each fixed s. The measures are finite, so uniqueness [F3] gives equality on the full product sigma-algebra at every s. This proves uniqueness, including the empty product case.

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Sources