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General-state MCMC ergodicity and mixing — Examples

1 · Prerequisites

2 · Summary

Summary

These examples isolate the hypotheses behind general-state MCMC convergence. An invariant Gibbs target may have reducible dynamics; a periodic chain oscillates in total variation; a non-Harris chain can fail from a pi-null start; a Harris chain may converge without a geometric rate; and drift plus minorization gives a geometric certificate. A two-state near-lazy family shows that a qualitative uniform rate need not give a useful common mixing time across a family.

3 · Logical flowchart

4 · Definitions, theorems and proofs

None yet.

5 · Examples, counterexamples and false statements

ExampleConstruction: Literature-sourcedVerification: AI-adaptedOpen item page →

A phi-irreducible chain can fail to converge from a pi-null start

Statement

On X={1,2,…} define P(1,{1})=1 and, for x≥2, P(x,{1})=x−2,P(x,{x+1})=1−x−2. Then P is ϕ-irreducible and aperiodic for ϕ=δ1, has invariant law π=δ1, and is not Harris recurrent. From every x≥2, Pn(x,⋅) fails to converge to π in total variation.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The state space and transition rule in the Statement.

[F1]

Phi-irreducibility for a general-state Markov kernel: every set of positive ϕ-measure is reachable from every state with positive probability at some finite time.

[F2]

Aperiodicity for a general-state Markov kernel: a cyclic decomposition needs at least two positive-π classes.

[F3]

Harris recurrence relative to an irreducibility measure: Harris recurrence requires almost-sure hitting of every positive-ϕ set from every start.

[F4]

Invariant and stationary distribution for a Markov kernel: an invariant probability is unchanged by one transition.

[F5]

Total variation distance for probability laws: total variation is the supremum over measurable events.

[F6]

Measure kernel and probability kernel: a transition kernel has probability sections and measurable evaluations.

Verification

Given: The transition rule and facts [F1]–[F5].

1.1F1F2F4F6given

The only nonempty ϕ-positive set contains state 1. From 1 it is already reached, and from x≥2 the one-step probability of reaching it is x−2>0. Thus the chain is ϕ-irreducible. The point mass δ1 is invariant because state 1 is absorbing. Since π has only one positive-mass state, no partition into d≥2 classes all of positive π-mass exists; the chain is aperiodic under [F2].

1.2F3algebra

Starting from x≥2, the probability of avoiding absorption through time n is sn(x)=∏j=xx+n−1(1−1j2)=x−1xx+nx+n−1. The identity follows by writing 1−j−2=((j−1)/j)((j+1)/j) and canceling adjacent factors. Thus sn(x)→(x−1)/x>0, so the probability of ever hitting the ϕ-positive set {1} is less than one. The chain is not Harris recurrent by [F3].

2.1F4F5step 1.2∎

At time n, the mass outside {1} is exactly sn(x). By [F5], ∥Pn(x,⋅)−δ1∥TV=∣Pn(x,{1})−1∣=sn(x), which has positive limit. Therefore the stationary-a.e. convergence conclusion cannot be strengthened to all starts without Harris recurrence.

ExampleConstruction: Literature-sourcedVerification: AI-adaptedOpen item page →

A finite periodic chain need not converge in total variation

Statement

The deterministic two-state chain that alternates 0↔1 is ϕ-irreducible for counting measure ϕ and has invariant law π=(δ0+δ1)/2, but from either fixed starting state its laws do not converge in total variation to π.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The state space {0,1} and transition matrix in the Statement.

[F1]

Transition matrices and n-step probabilities: the rows specify the one-step probabilities and matrix powers specify Pn.

[F2]

Phi-irreducibility for a general-state Markov kernel: every positive-ϕ set must be reached at some finite positive time from every state.

[F3]

Aperiodicity for a general-state Markov kernel: a period-two cyclic partition violates aperiodicity.

[F4]

Total variation distance for probability laws: total variation is the supremum of event-probability differences.

Verification

Given: The alternating transition matrix and facts [F1]–[F4].

1.1F1F2given

Let ϕ be counting measure. Every nonempty set is reachable from either state at a positive time of at most two steps, so [F2] holds. The uniform law is invariant because each column sum and row sum of the transition matrix equals one.

2.1F3step 1.1

The partition X0={0}, X1={1} has positive invariant mass in both classes and transitions alternate deterministically, so it is a cyclic decomposition of period two under [F3].

3.1F1F4step 1.1algebra∎

From 0, Pn(0,⋅)=δ0 for even n and δ1 for odd n. Taking event {0} in [F4], the distance to π equals 1/2 for every n. From 1 the even and odd laws are interchanged, giving the same distance. Hence convergence from either fixed state fails despite irreducibility and invariance; an initial law equal to π remains invariant.

ExampleConstruction: Literature-sourcedVerification: AI-adaptedjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

Uniform ergodicity gives no uniform practical mixing time

Statement

For every 0<η<1/2, the two-state kernel Pη=(1−ηηη1−η) is uniformly geometrically ergodic, yet the family has no common finite practical mixing time as η↓0.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The parameter range and transition matrix in the Statement.

[F1]

Aperiodicity for a general-state Markov kernel: positive self-loops rule out a cyclic decomposition.

[F2]

Total variation distance for probability laws: total variation is the supremum of event-probability differences.

[F3]

Whole-space minorization gives uniform geometric ergodicity: a whole-space minorization yields a uniform geometric bound.

[F4]

Phi-irreducibility for a general-state Markov kernel: each positive counting-measure set is accessible from every state.

Verification

Given: The matrix Pη and facts [F1]–[F3].

1.1F1F4givenalgebra

The invariant law is π=(1/2,1/2) by symmetry, and each state has positive holding probability 1−η. Every entry is positive, so it is irreducible by [F4], and each state has positive holding probability, so it is aperiodic. Moreover every row dominates 2η π, because its two entries are at least η. This is a whole-space minorization with m=1, ϵ=2η.

2.1F3step 1.1

The theorem [F3] gives sup⁡x∥Pηn(x,⋅)−π∥TV≤(1−2η)n, so each fixed chain is uniformly geometrically ergodic.

3.1F2step 1.1algebra∎

The nonconstant eigenvector (1,−1) has eigenvalue 1−2η. Direct multiplication, or induction, gives ∥Pηn(0,⋅)−π∥TV=12(1−2η)n. For every fixed n this tends to 1/2 as η↓0. Hence no finite n makes the distance smaller than (for example) 1/4 uniformly over the family. Each chain is uniformly ergodic, but the mixing time depends on η.

ExampleConstruction: Literature-sourcedVerification: AI-adaptedjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

An invariant Gibbs target can still give reducible dynamics

Statement

Let the target on {0,1}2 be π=12δ(0,0)+12δ(1,1), with the exact single-coordinate full conditionals. The random-scan Gibbs kernel leaves π invariant but is reducible.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The finite product state space, target and exact block-update kernels in the Statement.

[F1]

Proper full conditional kernel: a full conditional is a pointwise probability kernel satisfying the target's conditional event identity.

[F2]

Exact Gibbs block update: a block update retains the other coordinate and samples the selected coordinate from its full conditional.

[F3]

Random and systematic Gibbs scan schemes: random scan chooses one of the two coordinate updates with fixed probability 1/2 each.

[F4]

Random-scan Gibbs is reversible and invariant: a finite mixture of exact Gibbs coordinate kernels is invariant for the common target.

[F5]

Reducibility of a finite Markov chain: a finite chain is reducible when it has a nonempty proper closed subset.

Verification

Given: The target and conditional updates in the Statement and facts [F1]–[F5].

1.1F1given

Each coordinate marginal under π is uniform on {0,1}. Given Y=y, the conditional law of X is the point mass δy; given X=x, the conditional law of Y is δx. These are valid full conditionals because the target assigns mass only to the two diagonal points.

2.1F2F3F4F5step 1.1

From (0,0) either coordinate update leaves the state at (0,0); from (1,1) either update leaves it at (1,1). The random-scan mixture in [F3] therefore makes each singleton a closed class. The target is invariant by [F4], but {(0,0)} is nonempty and proper, so reducibility follows from [F5].

3.1F4step 2.1algebra∎

Starting from (0,0), the time-n law is δ(0,0), whose total-variation distance from π is 1/2. Thus target invariance alone does not imply convergence from every start, uniqueness of the invariant law, or irreducibility.

ExampleConstruction: Literature-sourcedVerification: AI-adaptedOpen item page →

A sticky general-state chain can converge without a geometric rate

Statement

On X=(0,1], let λ be Lebesgue probability and P(x,A)=(1−x)1A(x)+xλ(A). Then P is Lebesgue-irreducible, aperiodic and Harris recurrent, with invariant law π(dx)=dx/(2x). It converges from every state, but it is not geometrically ergodic in the standard sense: there are no r∈(0,1) and function M:X→[0,+∞], finite π-almost everywhere, such that ∥Pn(x,⋅)−π∥TV≤M(x)rn(n≥1) for π-almost every x.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The state space, refresh kernel and Lebesgue probability in the Statement.

[F1]

Phi-irreducibility for a general-state Markov kernel: every positive-Lebesgue-measure set is accessible.

[F2]

Aperiodicity for a general-state Markov kernel: no positive-mass cyclic decomposition exists.

[F3]

Harris recurrence relative to an irreducibility measure: every positive-Lebesgue-measure set must be hit almost surely from every state.

[F5]

Total variation distance for probability laws: event differences lower-bound total variation.

[F6]

General-state Markov-chain convergence under recurrence conditions: an irreducible aperiodic Harris chain with invariant probability converges from every state.

[F7]

Measure kernel and probability kernel: each section is a probability and measurable evaluation in the state gives a probability kernel.

[F8]

Canonical Markov chain on path space: under Choice, every specified probability kernel and initial probability admit a canonical Markov path law.

[A1]

Assume The Axiom of Choice for [F8] and the inherited path-law assumptions of [F6].

Verification

Given: The kernel and facts [F1]–[F7], with [A1].

1.1F1F2F7given

For any A with λ(A)>0, P(x,A)≥xλ(A)>0, so [F1] holds. For x<1, the kernel has a positive self-loop of mass 1−x; since π({1})=0, a cyclic decomposition with positive π-mass classes would contain a π-positive set of states with positive self-loop probability, contradicting deterministic movement to a disjoint next class. Thus the chain is aperiodic.

1.2F3F7F8A1givenconstructalgebra

To realize refreshes, use the marked state space X×{0,1} and the probability kernel K((x,b),A×{1})=xλ(A), K((x,b),A×{0})=(1−x)1A(x). Every measurable set is a disjoint union of these two slice forms, so [F7] verifies countable additivity and measurable evaluations. Its first-coordinate transition is P. Apply [F8] with initial state (x,0). Direct multiplication of the transition probabilities gives probability (1−x)t−1xλ(A) that the first marked refresh occurs at time t≥1 with new state in A. Summing over t shows that the waiting time is finite almost surely and the new state has law λ. The same finite-history calculation, iterated for any finite number of marked refreshes, gives independent λ refresh states and almost-surely finite waiting times. A countable intersection then gives infinitely many refreshes almost surely. For λ(A)>0, the probability that the first N refresh draws all miss A is (1−λ(A))N→0. Hence every positive-λ set is hit almost surely from every start, proving [F3].

2.1F4F6step 1.2

The one-step law under π has a holding part with density (1−x)/(2x) and a refresh part of total mass ∫xπ(dx)=1/2, distributed as λ. For every measurable A, ∫P(x,A)π(dx)=∫A1−x2xdx+12λ(A)=∫Adx2x=π(A). Thus π is invariant. By [F6], convergence holds from every state.

3.1F5givenstep 2.1algebra∎

Fix any r∈(0,1) and set Br=(0,(1−r)2). Since π(Br)=1−r>0, this set meets every full-π-measure set on which a proposed geometric bound with rate r holds and its multiplier is finite. For each x∈Br, a refresh draw has no atom at x, so Pn(x,{x})=(1−x)n, while π({x})=0. Hence ∥Pn(x,⋅)−π∥TV≥(1−x)n. Choose x in the intersection just described. Then 1−x>r, so no finite M(x) can satisfy (1−x)n≤M(x)rn for every n≥1. As this holds for every r∈(0,1), the chain is not geometrically ergodic, despite convergence from every start.

ExampleConstruction: Literature-sourcedVerification: AI-adaptedOpen item page →

Drift and minorization certify geometric ergodicity

Statement

On N0, define a birth-death kernel by P(0,1)=1/4, P(0,0)=3/4, and for n≥1, P(n,n+1)=1/4,P(n,n−1)=1/2,P(n,n)=1/4. It has invariant probability πn=2−n−1 and satisfies a geometric drift and small-set minorization, so it is geometrically ergodic.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The state space and transition probabilities in the Statement.

[F1]

Phi-irreducibility for a general-state Markov kernel: positive counting-measure sets are reachable from every state.

[F2]

Aperiodicity for a general-state Markov kernel: a self-loop on the irreducible class prevents a cyclic decomposition.

[F3]

Small-set minorization and geometric drift: a drift inequality and a fixed-time small-set minorization are the hypotheses used by the geometric theorem.

[F5]

Geometric ergodicity under drift and small-set minorization: irreducibility, aperiodicity, invariant probability, small set and drift imply a V-weighted geometric total-variation bound.

[F6]

Measure kernel and probability kernel: transition rows are probability measures and the statewise evaluations are measurable.

[A1]

Assume The Axiom of Choice when invoking [F5], retaining the choice assumptions declared by that theorem and its suppliers.

Verification

Given: The kernel and facts [F1]–[F6], with [A1].

1.1F1F2F4F6given

The transition rows sum to one. Every adjacent move has positive probability, so every state reaches every other state, proving counting-measure irreducibility. Each state has a positive holding probability, so no positive-mass cyclic family can move deterministically to a disjoint successor. The proposed masses sum to one. At state 0, the incoming mass is π0P(0,0)+π1P(1,0)=3/8+1/8=1/2=π0. For n≥1, it is ∑jπjP(j,n)=πn−1/4+πn/4+πn+1/2=2−n−2+2−n−3+2−n−3=2−n−1=πn. Thus πP=π. Also πnP(n,n+1)=2−n−1/4=2−n−3=πn+1P(n+1,n); these detailed-balance equalities and ∑n≥02−n−1=1 provide a second check.

1.2F3algebra

Let C={0}, ν=P(0,⋅), m=1, and ϵ=1. Then P(0,⋅)=ν, so C is small. Set V(n)=(2)n. For n≥1, PV(n)V(n)=142+1212+14=14+22<2425. Since 2/2<71/100 (squaring gives 1/2<5041/10000), the preceding ratio is less than 96/100=24/25. At 0, PV(0)=3/4+2/4<5/4<49/25=24/25+b with b=1. Hence PV≤(24/25)V+1C.

2.1F1F2F3F4F5F6A1step 1.1step 1.2∎

The hypotheses of [F5] now hold, so there are M<∞ and r<1 with ∥Pn(x,⋅)−π∥TV≤MV(x)rn for all x,n. The example supplies a concrete certificate: the target is invariant and the drift/minorization conditions are checked directly.

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