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Discrete Time Martingales

1 · Prerequisites

2 · Summary

A filtration records the information available at each nonnegative integer time. This page defines adaptedness, integrability and the three martingale signs separately, then proves the equivalence of adjacent-time and all-pairs conditional identities. Conditional expectations are almost-sure classes; AC is stated where inherited from their Radon–Nikodym existence proof or used to select countably many measurable versions.

Martingale differences turn the conditional fairness condition into a statement about increments. Their square-integrable products are shown integrable before conditioning, yielding orthogonality. Conditional Jensen gives convex submartingales with an explicit transformed-integrability hypothesis.

A predictable transform is defined only when every product increment is integrable. Timewise bounds suffice, and the preservation proof also covers the full integrable-product domain. The Doob decomposition separates an integrable adapted process into a martingale and a predictable compensator normalized to zero initially. Its uniqueness includes a single measurable null set for all times. The compensator is increasing exactly for submartingales.

Predictable quadratic variation sums conditional squared increments and differs from the optional sum of actual squared increments. The square-minus-bracket theorem allows a random initial variable, and centering by that known variable proves the zero-initial version separately. Every result concerns finite times; convergence and maximal inequalities require their further arguments.

3 · Logical flowchart

4 · Definitions, theorems and proofs

DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicablejudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Filtration and filtered probability space

Definition

A discrete filtered probability space is (Ω,F,(Fn)nN0,P), where (Ω,F,P) is a probability space Probability measures and probability spaces, each Fn is a sigma-algebra on Ω Sigma-algebras, and FnFn+1F. The sequence (Fn) is a filtration. Time starts at zero. Neither completeness nor triviality of F0 is required.

Restriction of P to Fn has total mass one and is countably additive: a disjoint sequence in Fn is also such a sequence in F, with the same union and the same values of P. Thus each restriction is a probability measure. This specifies a structure and uses no choice principle. Real-valued processes will be the default.

DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicablejudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Adapted and integrable stochastic process

Definition

On a filtered probability space Filtration and filtered probability space, a real stochastic process is a sequence (Xn)nN0 of real random variables Random elements and real random variables on the same space. It is adapted when Xn1(B)Fn for every n and every real Borel set B. It is integrable when EXn< for every n, using Expectation of a nonnegative or integrable random variable.

An integrable adapted process satisfies both conditions at each fixed time. Integrability here does not mean supnEXn<: the deterministic process Xn=n has EXn=n< at every time but unbounded supremum. Measurability and finiteness of each integral are separate requirements. No versions, limits or choices are selected.

DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicablejudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Natural filtration of a process

Definition

For a real process X Adapted and integrable stochastic process, its natural filtration is FnX=σ({Xk1(B):0kn, BB(R)}),nN0. The generated-sigma-algebra theorem Nonempty intersections of sigma-algebras are sigma-algebras, so the generated sigma-algebra exists and is minimal applies because the displayed sets are subsets of Ω. The ambient F contains every generator, so minimality gives FnXF. The generator family at n is contained in that at n+1; hence minimality gives FnXFn+1X.

Every Borel preimage under Xn is a generator at time n, so X is adapted. If (Gn) is any other filtration making X adapted, then for kn every Xk1(B) belongs to GkGn. Minimality therefore gives FnXGn. This proves the claimed smallest-filtration property. At time zero the generators come from X0; the resulting sigma-algebra need not be trivial. No completion or arbitrary null-set modification is included, and the defining intersection requires no choice.

DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicablejudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Martingale submartingale and supermartingale

Definition

Assume AC The Axiom of Choice. An integrable adapted real process X Adapted and integrable stochastic process is a martingale, submartingale, or supermartingale when, respectively, for every n0, E[Xn+1Fn]=Xn,E[Xn+1Fn]Xn,E[Xn+1Fn]Xnalmost surely. These are three separate conditions, with the convention that a submartingale has conditional future mean at least its present value. The conditional expectations are the almost-sure classes of Conditional expectation as an ae class; that supplier inherits AC from its Radon–Nikodym existence proof. The definition itself selects no representative and assumes no completed filtration.

The condition is imposed at each adjacent pair of times. An all-pairs formulation requires a proof. No boundedness or independence is part of this definition, and no trivial or deterministic initial value is imposed.

LemmaStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedjudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Multistep martingale characterization

Statement

Assume AC. For an integrable adapted real process X, the one-step martingale, submartingale or supermartingale condition is equivalent, respectively, to E[XnFm]=Xm,E[XnFm]Xm,E[XnFm]Xma.s. for every 0mn. The conditions are understood separately as in Martingale submartingale and supermartingale.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.

[F1]

Conditional expectations on nested sigma-algebras satisfy the tower identity. Tower property of conditional expectation.

[F2]

Conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.

[F3]

An integrable variable measurable for the conditioning sigma-algebra conditions to itself. Conditioning a known variable and an independent variable.

[F4]

AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.

Proof

technique · direct
1.1

For n=m, adaptedness and integrability give E[XmFm]=Xm. For the submartingale case fix m and induct on nm. If n>m, nesting and the tower identity give E[XnFm]=E[E[XnFn1]Fm]E[Xn1Fm]Xm. The first inequality uses the one-step hypothesis and conditional order; the second is the induction hypothesis. All conditioned variables are integrable.

givenF1F2F3
2.1

For the supermartingale case the identical tower identity has both inequalities reversed, since conditional order preserves the relation . For the martingale case the inner conditional expectation equals Xn1, so induction gives equality at every pair. Each induction uses only finitely many almost-sure identities. AC here is inherited from the existence of the conditional classes; no representatives at all pairs are selected.

givenF1F2F4step 1.1
3.1

Conversely, each all-pairs condition evaluated at (m,n)=(k,k+1) is its defining one-step condition. This includes k=0, and proves each equivalence.

givenstep 1.1step 2.1
LemmaStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedjudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Conditional expectation process is a martingale

Statement

Assume AC. For XL1(P) on a discrete filtered probability space, choose at each n0 a real Fn-measurable version Mn of E[XFn]. Then M is a martingale.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.

[F1]

Under AC every integrable input has a measurable integrable conditional version. Conditional expectation as an ae class.

[F2]

Conditional expectations on nested sigma-algebras satisfy the tower identity. Tower property of conditional expectation.

[F3]

AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.

[F4]

A countable union of measurable null sets is null. Finite and countable subadditivity of measures.

Proof

technique · direct
1.1

By conditional existence the set of real measurable integrable versions at every time is nonempty. AC selects one member for each nN0. Thus each Mn is Fn-measurable and integrable, so M is an integrable adapted process. AC also covers the RN existence assumption.

givenF1F3
2.1

Since FnFn+1, the tower identity gives E[Mn+1Fn]=E[E[XFn+1]Fn]=E[XFn]=Mn a.s. for each n0. This is the martingale condition Martingale submartingale and supermartingale. If representatives of these identities are specified, their measurable failure sets have probability zero; their countable union is measurable and null. This does not complete any Fn or alter its representatives.

F1F2F4step 1.1
DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicablejudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Martingale difference sequence

Definition

Assume AC The Axiom of Choice for conditional-expectation existence. A martingale difference sequence relative to (Fn)n0 is a sequence (Dn)n1 of real integrable variables such that Dn is Fn-measurable and E[DnFn1]=0a.s. for every n1. Integrability and adaptedness have the timewise meanings of Adapted and integrable stochastic process. Conditional expectations have the class convention of Conditional expectation as an ae class, which is the exact inherited use of AC here. No representative is selected by this definition. There is no D0, and F0 need not be trivial or generated by the differences.

TheoremStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedjudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Martingales and martingale differences correspond

Statement

Assume AC. If M is a martingale, then Dn=MnMn1, n1, is a martingale difference sequence. Conversely, given a martingale difference sequence D and any integrable F0-measurable real M0, the process Mn=M0+k=1nDk is a martingale. For fixed M0 these constructions are inverse.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.

[F1]

Conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.

[F2]

An integrable variable measurable for the conditioning sigma-algebra conditions to itself. Conditioning a known variable and an independent variable.

[F3]

Finite linear combinations remain integrable and their integrals are linear. The Lebesgue integral is linear on L1(μ).

[F4]

Finite real sums, differences and products are measurable. Arithmetic and lattice operations preserve measurability whenever they are defined.

[F5]

AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.

[F6]

A martingale difference is integrable and has zero conditional mean given the preceding sigma-algebra. Martingale difference sequence.

Proof

technique · direct
1.1

First reconstruct the finite-integral interface used below. Augment every finite disjoint display of a nonnegative simple function by the complement of its displayed sets with coefficient 0. Intersections of two augmented displays partition the whole space, and equality of the functions makes their coefficients agree on every nonempty cell. Finite additivity and 0(+)=0 therefore prove representation independence. Common augmented refinements give monotonicity and additivity term by term; homogeneity is direct when the scalar is zero and termwise when it is positive. Taking suprema over simple minorants gives nonnegative monotonicity, and increasing simple approximations together with the sets {fjcs}, 0<c<1, give monotone convergence. Applying this to sums of increasing simple approximants gives nonnegative additivity. Positive/negative and real/imaginary decompositions now give the finite real and complex L1 linearity used in [F3]. With this replacement for the affected foundation, the event-integral construction and uniqueness proof of the cited conditional-expectation algebra apply. For a martingale M, both Mn and Mn1 are Fn-measurable. Their difference Dn is measurable and integrable, with EDnEMn+EMn1<. By linearity and conditioning the known Mn1, E[DnFn1]=Mn1Mn1=0. This meets the difference definition.

givenF1F2F3F4F6construct
1.2

Conversely every summand Dk for kn is Fn-measurable, as is M0. The finite sum is adapted and integrable by [F3]–[F4]. Its next increment is Dn+1, so E[Mn+1Fn]=E[Mn+Dn+1Fn]=Mn+0=Mn. Thus it is a martingale Martingale submartingale and supermartingale. AC is inherited from the conditional classes; if versions of a class sequence are to be chosen, AC permits those countably many selections.

givenF1F2F3F4F5F6
2.1

The finite identities k=1n(MkMk1)=MnM0 and (M0+k=1nDk)(M0+k=1n1Dk)=Dn prove inverse reconstruction. For n=0 the sum is empty and equals zero, so the initial value is exactly the prescribed M0. For class representatives these finite equalities hold almost surely.

step 1.1step 1.2
LemmaStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedjudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Martingale differences are orthogonal in l2

Statement

Assume AC. Let (Fn)n0 be a filtration, and let (Dk)k1 be real square-integrable martingale differences relative to it. For 1i<j, E[DiDj]=0, so their real L2 inner product is zero. For every n0, E[(k=1nDk)2]=k=1nE[Dk2].

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.

[F1]

Square-integrable variables have an integrable product by Cauchy–Schwarz. Cauchy-Schwarz for random variables.

[F2]

Under AC for conditional-expectation existence, a finite measurable factor may be taken out when its product with the integrable input is integrable. Taking out what is known.

[F3]

Under AC for existence, conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.

[F4]

Finite linear combinations remain integrable and their integrals are linear. The Lebesgue integral is linear on L1(μ).

[F5]

We assume AC: every family of nonempty sets has a choice function. The Axiom of Choice.

[F6]

A filtration is increasing: FnFn+1. Filtration and filtered probability space.

[F7]

Each difference is measurable at its time and has zero conditional mean given its preceding time. Martingale difference sequence.

Proof

technique · direct
1.1

To justify finite integral linearity independently of the affected published proof, augment every finite disjoint simple display by its zero-coefficient complement. Pairwise intersections of two augmented displays partition the whole space and carry equal coefficients wherever nonempty, so finite additivity and 0(+)=0 prove representation independence. Common refinements give simple monotonicity and additivity; scalar zero is handled directly and positive scalars termwise. Supremum over simple minorants, followed by increasing simple approximation and the standard sets {fjcs} for 0<c<1, gives monotone convergence and nonnegative additivity. Positive/negative and real/imaginary decompositions therefore give finite L1 linearity. This repairs the exact foundation used by [F4] and by the cited conditional-expectation identities. For i<j, Cauchy–Schwarz gives EDiDj(EDi2)1/2(EDj2)1/2<. Iterating [F6] gives FiFj1, so [F7] makes Di measurable for the latter sigma-algebra. Both Dj and DiDj are integrable, so the unbounded-factor clause applies: E[DiDjFj1]=DiE[DjFj1]=0. Expectation preservation gives E[DiDj]=0. The AC assumption [F5] meets the existence hypotheses of [F2, F3, F7]. All conditional identities are identities of almost-sure classes; this argument selects no sequence of representatives.

givenF1F2F3F5F6F7construct
2.1

For a fixed positive n, expand the finite square as k=1nDk2+21i<jnDiDj. Every term is integrable by the assumptions and step 1.1. Finite integral linearity makes its expectation k=1nEDk2, because every off-diagonal term vanishes. For n=0 both sides are zero by the empty-sum convention, and for n=1 there are no off-diagonal terms.

givenF4step 1.1
TheoremStatement: AI-adaptedProof: AI-adaptedjudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Convex functions of martingales are submartingales

Statement

Assume AC. If M is a real martingale and ϕ:RR is finite convex with ϕ(Mn)L1(P) for every n, then (ϕ(Mn)) is a submartingale. If X is instead a submartingale and ϕ is also nondecreasing, the same conclusion holds provided ϕ(Xn)L1(P) for every n.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.

[F1]

A finite convex real function is Borel measurable. Convex functions have countable supporting line representations.

[F2]

Composition with a Borel outer function preserves measurability. Composition with a Borel measurable outer map preserves measurability.

[F3]

Conditional Jensen applies when the real input and its finite convex image are integrable. Conditional jensen inequality.

[F4]

AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.

Proof

technique · direct
1.1

The function ϕ is Borel, so each ϕ(Mn) is Fn-measurable. Integrability of the image is an explicit assumption. At time n+1 the input Mn+1 is integrable by the martingale definition and its image is integrable by hypothesis. Conditional Jensen therefore gives E[ϕ(Mn+1)Fn]ϕ(E[Mn+1Fn])=ϕ(Mn) a.s. These are exactly the submartingale inequalities Martingale submartingale and supermartingale.

givenF1F2F3
2.1

For a submartingale X, measurability and integrability of ϕ(Xn) hold by the same argument. Jensen and the nondecreasing hypothesis give E[ϕ(Xn+1)Fn]ϕ(E[Xn+1Fn])ϕ(Xn) a.s. Monotonicity is applied to the submartingale inequality at that fixed time. AC is inherited from conditional Jensen and the CE existence used in both computations. No convex image of an arbitrary integrable variable is presumed integrable.

givenF1F2F3F4step 1.1
CorollaryStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedjudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Absolute value and powers of a martingale are submartingales

Statement

Assume AC. If M is a martingale then (Mn) is a submartingale. More generally, for real p1, if EMnp< for every n0, then (Mnp) is a submartingale. We use 0p=0.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.

[F1]

For every real p at least one, the absolute pth power is finite, Borel and convex, including its value zero. Absolute real powers are Borel measurable and convex.

[F2]

A finite convex martingale image is a submartingale when integrable at every time. Convex functions of martingales are submartingales.

[F3]

AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.

Proof

technique · direct
1.1

Fix p1 and set ϕ(t)=tp on all of R, using ϕ(0)=0. The power lemma supplies finiteness, Borel measurability and convexity, including real noninteger p and the endpoint p=1. Since ϕ(Mn)0, the assumed finite pth moment is exactly its L1 condition. The convex-transform theorem therefore gives E[Mn+1pFn]Mnp a.s. for every n.

givenF1F2
2.1

At p=1, EMn< already follows from the martingale definition, so the first assertion requires no extra moment hypothesis. AC is inherited from the convex-transform theorem and its conditional Jensen argument. For p>1 the moment assumption is retained; no assertion for p<1 is made.

givenF2F3step 1.1
DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicablejudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Predictable discrete time process

Definition

On a discrete filtered probability space Filtration and filtered probability space, a real process (Hn)n1 is predictable if Hn is Fn1-measurable for every n1. Real means finite-valued, as in Random elements and real random variables. There is no H0 convention and predictability alone imposes neither integrability nor boundedness.

Since Fn1Fn, every Borel preimage of Hn is also in Fn. Thus predictability implies adaptedness at the positive times. This is a preimage inclusion, requiring no choice or conditional expectation.

DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicablejudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Discrete martingale transform

Definition

Let X be an adapted integrable real process Adapted and integrable stochastic process and let H be finite real predictable Predictable discrete time process. Provided EHk(XkXk1)<(k1), define the discrete transform by (HX)0=0,(HX)n=k=1nHk(XkXk1)(n1). For a martingale integrator this is its martingale transform. The product-integrability condition is part of the domain.

The finite-integral facts used here can be recovered without the published simple-display gap. Augment every finite disjoint display of a nonnegative simple function by the complement of its displayed sets with coefficient 0. Intersections of two augmented displays partition the whole space, and equality of the functions forces equal coefficients on every nonempty cell. Finite additivity and 0(+)=0 prove representation independence. Common refinements give simple monotonicity and additivity; homogeneity is direct for scalar 0 and termwise for a positive scalar. Taking suprema over simple minorants, using increasing simple approximations and the sets {fjcs} for 0<c<1, gives monotone convergence and nonnegative additivity. Positive/negative and real/imaginary decompositions then give finite L1 linearity.

The two factors of the kth summand are Fk-measurable because Fk1Fk. Measurable arithmetic Arithmetic and lattice operations preserve measurability whenever they are defined makes the product measurable; it is integrable by hypothesis. Every finite sum is therefore Fn-measurable and integrable by the locally reconstructed linearity (the unaffected remainder of The Lebesgue integral is linear on L1(μ) gives the same calculation). At zero the sum is empty and equals zero.

A useful sufficient condition is HkCk a.s. with deterministic 0Ck<, separately at each time. On the complement of its measurable null failure set, Hk(XkXk1)Ck(Xk+Xk1). The integral on the failure set is zero by A nonnegative integral over a null set vanishes; the locally reconstructed monotonicity, positive homogeneity and finite linearity give EHk(XkXk1)Ck(EXk+EXk1)<. No uniform bound in time is needed. Changing measurable representatives at finitely many relevant times changes a finite sum only on the finite union of their measurable null discrepancy sets. Outside the stipulated domain the same algebraic sum may be finite pointwise but is not an integrable transform. These finite arithmetic and integral arguments are choice-free.

TheoremStatement: AI-adaptedProof: AI-adaptedjudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Bounded predictable transforms preserve martingales

Statement

Assume AC. Let M be a martingale and H a finite real predictable process. If HkCk a.s. for each k1, with finite deterministic constants Ck, then HM is a martingale starting at zero. Uniform boundedness is a special case. More generally the same conclusion holds whenever every Hk(MkMk1) is integrable, without a bound on Hk.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.

[F1]

Product integrability makes the transform an adapted integrable finite sum; timewise bounds imply this domain. Discrete martingale transform.

[F2]

A finite measurable factor may be taken out when its product with the integrable input is integrable. Taking out what is known.

[F3]

Conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.

[F4]

An integrable variable measurable for the conditioning sigma-algebra conditions to itself. Conditioning a known variable and an independent variable.

[F5]

AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.

[F6]

Conjugate-moment hypotheses on two real variables imply integrability of their product. Holder's inequality for random variables.

Proof

technique · direct
1.1

Put Dk=MkMk1. It is integrable since EDkEMk+EMk1. In the bounded case [F1] gives EHkDkCk(EMk+EMk1)<; in the general case this is assumed. Consequently Z=HM is adapted, integrable, and Z0=0. This is verified before conditioning any product.

givenF1
2.1

For each n0, Hn+1 is finite Fn-measurable and Dn+1,Hn+1Dn+1 are integrable. The unbounded clause of [F2] therefore gives E[Hn+1Dn+1Fn]=Hn+1E[Dn+1Fn]=Hn+1(MnMn)=0. Linearity and known-variable conditioning now give E[Zn+1Fn]=Zn. This proves the martingale assertion Martingale submartingale and supermartingale even for signed H. AC is inherited from the conditional classes in this calculation.

givenF2F3F4F5step 1.1
3.1

If a uniform bound C is supplied, choose Ck=C in step 1.1. Another sufficient domain condition at a fixed k is HkLp and DkLq with conjugate p,q under the clauses of [F6]: then EHkDkHkpDkq<. The proof of step 2.1 only needs the resulting product integrability.

F6step 1.1step 2.1
CorollaryStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedjudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Nonnegative predictable transforms preserve submartingale gains

Statement

Assume AC. Let X be a submartingale and H a finite nonnegative predictable process. If EHk(XkXk1)< for every k1, then HX is a submartingale starting at zero. In particular the conclusion holds for timewise bounded nonnegative H.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.

[F1]

The product hypothesis gives adapted integrable sums, and timewise bounds suffice. Discrete martingale transform.

[F2]

A finite measurable factor may be taken out when its product with the integrable input is integrable. Taking out what is known.

[F3]

Conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.

[F4]

An integrable variable measurable for the conditioning sigma-algebra conditions to itself. Conditioning a known variable and an independent variable.

[F5]

AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.

Proof

technique · direct
1.1

Set Z=HX and dk=E[XkXk1Fk1]. By the transform domain Z is adapted and integrable with Z0=0. Linearity and the known-variable identity give dk=E[XkFk1]Xk10 a.s. by the submartingale hypothesis Martingale submartingale and supermartingale.

givenF1F3F4
2.1

Apply [F2] with input XkXk1 and finite known factor Hk. The input and its product are integrable, so [F2] also guarantees HkdkL1 and gives E[ZkZk1Fk1]=Hkdk0 a.s. Adding the known Zk1 yields E[ZkFk1]Zk1 for every k1. For timewise bounds, [F1] verifies the product hypothesis. AC is inherited from the conditional classes; no positivity of X or boundedness of an unbounded H is inferred.

givenF1F2F3F4F5step 1.1
DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicablejudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Compensator and doob decomposition

Definition

Assume AC The Axiom of Choice for the conditional classes in the martingale definition. For an integrable adapted real X Adapted and integrable stochastic process, a Doob decomposition is Xn=Mn+Ana.s. for each n0, where M is a martingale Martingale submartingale and supermartingale, An is integrable at every time, An is Fn1-measurable for n1 Predictable discrete time process, and A0=0. The process A is its compensator. In particular M0=X0 a.s.

This defines the requirements on a decomposition; existence and uniqueness require proof. The normalization fixes the possible transfer of an integrable F0-measurable variable between M and A: such a transfer would change A0. No monotonicity of A is included for a general integrable adapted X. The AC assumption is inherited from conditional-expectation existence, and this definition selects no versions.

TheoremStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedjudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Doob decomposition of an integrable adapted process

Statement

Assume AC. Every integrable adapted real X has a unique Doob decomposition up to almost-sure equality at each time. It is given by A0=0 and An=k=1nE[XkXk1Fk1],Mn=XnAn. Two decompositions agree outside a single measurable null set at all times. The normalization is that of Compensator and doob decomposition.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.

[F1]

Under AC every integrable input has a measurable integrable conditional version. Conditional expectation as an ae class.

[F2]

Finite linear combinations remain integrable and their integrals are linear. The Lebesgue integral is linear on L1(μ).

[F4]

Conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.

[F5]

An integrable variable measurable for the conditioning sigma-algebra conditions to itself. Conditioning a known variable and an independent variable.

[F6]

Martingales have conditionally centered increments, and sums of such increments with an integrable known initial value are martingales. Martingales and martingale differences correspond.

[F7]

Countable measurable null unions are null. Finite and countable subadditivity of measures.

[F8]

AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.

Proof

technique · direct
1.1

First repair the integral foundation inherited by RN and conditional expectation. Augment any finite disjoint display of a nonnegative simple function by the complement with coefficient 0. Intersections of two augmented displays partition the whole space and have equal coefficients wherever nonempty, so finite additivity and 0(+)=0 prove representation independence. Common refinements give simple monotonicity and additivity; handle scalar 0 directly and positive scalars termwise. Supremum over simple minorants and the sets {fjcs}, 0<c<1, give monotone convergence; increasing simple approximations then give nonnegative additivity. Positive/negative and real/imaginary decompositions give finite L1 linearity. With these facts substituted at the affected foundation, the cited RN proof gives its density, and its event-integral existence and uniqueness argument gives the conditional-expectation class and algebra in [F1], [F4] and [F5]. Each Vk=XkXk1 is therefore real measurable and integrable, since EVkEXk+EXk1. AC permits choosing a finite real integrable Fk1-measurable version ak of its conditional expectation for every k1. Set A0=0, An=k=1nak, and Mn=XnAn. For kn one has Fk1Fn1; therefore An is predictable for n1. Finite sums and differences show that A is integrable and M is adapted and integrable.

givenF1F2F3F8construct
2.1

The increment MnMn1=Vnan has conditional expectation anan=0 given Fn1, by linearity and known-variable conditioning. Since M0=X0 is integrable and F0-measurable, [F6] makes M a martingale. The displayed decomposition holds pointwise for the chosen representatives.

F4F5F6step 1.1
3.1

If X=M~+A~ is another normalized decomposition, then A~nA~n1 is integrable and Fn1-measurable: for n=1 use A~0=0, and for n>1 use predictability and nesting. Conditioning the decomposition increment and using the zero martingale drift gives E[VnFn1]=A~nA~n1 a.s. Thus these increments equal an a.s. Induction from zero gives A~n=An and then M~n=Mn a.s. for each n. The sets where either equality fails are ambient measurable null sets; their countable union is null by [F7]. Off that one set both entire sequences agree. No completeness of the filtration is used.

givenF4F5F6F7step 1.1step 2.1
CorollaryStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedOpen item page →

Submartingale doob decomposition has increasing compensator

Statement

Assume AC. An integrable adapted real X is a submartingale if and only if its Doob compensator satisfies AnAn1 a.s. for every n1. Equivalently its compensator has nondecreasing sample paths outside a single measurable null set.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.

[F1]

The normalized compensator increment is the conditional mean of the original increment. Doob decomposition of an integrable adapted process.

[F2]

Conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.

[F3]

An integrable variable measurable for the conditioning sigma-algebra conditions to itself. Conditioning a known variable and an independent variable.

[F4]

Countable measurable null unions are null. Finite and countable subadditivity of measures.

[F5]

AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.

Proof

technique · direct
1.1

The Doob formula and conditional linearity give AnAn1=E[XnXn1Fn1]=E[XnFn1]Xn1 a.s., since Xn1 is known and integrable. If X is a submartingale the right side is nonnegative for every n1, hence so is the compensator increment. Conversely nonnegative compensator increments imply E[XnFn1]Xn1 for every n1, which is the submartingale definition Martingale submartingale and supermartingale. AC is inherited from the Doob construction and its conditional classes.

givenF1F2F3F5
2.1

If every increment is nonnegative a.s., the measurable sets Nn={An<An1} are null. Their union N=n1Nn is measurable and null. For ωN every successive inequality holds, so finite chaining gives Am(ω)An(ω) whenever mn. Conversely, if all paths off a measurable null N are nondecreasing, each Nn is contained in N, and hence has probability zero. This proves the path formulation for any chosen measurable versions.

F4step 1.1
DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicablejudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Predictable quadratic variation in discrete time

Definition

Assume AC The Axiom of Choice. For a real martingale M Martingale submartingale and supermartingale with EMn2< at every time, its predictable quadratic variation is M0=0,Mn=k=1nE[(MkMk1)2Fk1]. Here conditional expectations denote the classes of Conditional expectation as an ae class. To obtain a process of versions, note first that Dk=MkMk1 has a measurable square Arithmetic and lattice operations preserve measurability whenever they are defined and Dk22Mk2+2Mk12,EDk2<. Choose a finite real integrable Fk1-measurable version bk of E[Dk2Fk1] for each k. Conditional positivity Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation gives bk0 a.s. Replace bk by max(bk,0): this is measurable for the same sigma-algebra and changes it only on its own measurable null set. Use these nonnegative versions in the finite sum.

For the finite-integral interface, augment every finite disjoint display of a nonnegative simple function by the complement with coefficient 0. Intersections of two augmented displays partition the space and carry equal coefficients wherever nonempty, so finite additivity and 0(+)=0 prove representation independence. Common refinements give simple addition and monotonicity; scalar zero is direct and positive scalars are termwise. Taking suprema over simple minorants, using increasing simple approximations and the sets {fjcs} for 0<c<1, gives monotone convergence and nonnegative additivity. Positive/negative and real/imaginary decompositions give finite L1 linearity. Substituting this repair at the foundation also validates the event-integral RN construction used by the cited conditional-expectation class and its positivity.

Every bk with kn is Fn1-measurable; therefore Mn is predictable Predictable discrete time process. The locally reconstructed finite linearity gives integrability. The chosen version has nonnegative increments at every point, and any other measurable versions define the same class at each time. AC is used in the supplied RN existence and in selecting the countable family of versions.

The optional quadratic sum is instead [M]0=0,[M]n=k=1n(MkMk1)2. It too is integrable, adapted and increasing by the same square bound and finite-sum argument. Its summands are only required to be Fk-measurable; predictability or equality to M is not part of this definition. Neither sum includes a term M02.

TheoremStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedjudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Square minus predictable quadratic variation is a martingale

Statement

Assume AC. For every real square-integrable martingale M, the process Zn=Mn2Mn is a martingale with Z0=M02. Also Wn=(MnM0)2Mn is a martingale starting at zero. The initial variable M0 may be random and need not vanish.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.

[F1]

The bracket is integrable predictable and its increment is the conditional squared martingale increment. Predictable quadratic variation in discrete time.

[F2]

Martingale increments have zero past conditional expectation. Martingales and martingale differences correspond.

[F3]

Square-integrable variables have an integrable product by Cauchy–Schwarz. Cauchy-Schwarz for random variables.

[F4]

A finite measurable factor may be taken out when its product with the integrable input is integrable. Taking out what is known.

[F5]

Conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.

[F6]

An integrable variable measurable for the conditioning sigma-algebra conditions to itself. Conditioning a known variable and an independent variable.

[F7]

Finite linear combinations remain integrable and their integrals are linear. The Lebesgue integral is linear on L1(μ).

[F9]

AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.

Proof

technique · direct
1.1

Put Dn=MnMn1 for n1. It is in L2 by Dn22Mn2+2Mn12, and its conditional mean given Fn1 is zero. Cauchy–Schwarz gives EMn1Dn(EMn12)1/2(EDn2)1/2<. The factor Mn1 is finite and known at time n1, so taking-out is legitimate and gives E[Mn1DnFn1]=Mn1E[DnFn1]=0.

givenF2F3F4
2.1

For the finite integral and conditional linearity used here, augment every finite disjoint nonnegative-simple display by its zero-coefficient complement. Intersections of two augmented displays partition the space and carry equal coefficients on nonempty cells, so finite additivity and 0(+)=0 prove representation independence. Common refinements give simple addition and monotonicity; scalar zero is direct and positive scalars are termwise. Supremum over simple minorants, increasing simple approximation and the sets {fjcs} for 0<c<1 give monotone convergence and nonnegative additivity. Positive/negative and real/imaginary decompositions give finite L1 linearity; substituting these facts at the base validates the event-integral construction and algebra of the cited conditional expectations. The square and bracket are adapted and integrable, hence so is Z. Expand Mn2Mn12=2Mn1Dn+Dn2. Every term is integrable. Conditional linearity and step 1.1 give E[Mn2Mn12Fn1]=E[Dn2Fn1]=MnMn1. The last difference is known at time n1. Subtracting it and conditioning the known Zn1 proves E[ZnFn1]=Zn1. The initial bracket is zero, so Z0=M02.

F1F5F6F7F8step 1.1construct
3.1

Set Nn=MnM0. Since M0 is F0-measurable, it is known for every Fn. Linearity gives E[Nn+1Fn]=MnM0=Nn. Also Nn22Mn2+2M02 is integrable, so N is a square-integrable martingale with N0=0. Its increments equal Dn, hence N=M as classes. Apply the already proved step 2.1 to N to conclude that W=N2M is a martingale with W0=0. AC is inherited from CE and bracket version construction; no unproved assertion about the product M0Mn is used.

givenF1F5F6F7F8F9step 2.1
CorollaryStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedjudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)Open item page →

Second moment is the expected predictable quadratic variation

Statement

Assume AC. For a real square-integrable martingale M and every n0, E[Mn2]=E[M02]+E[Mn], with all three terms finite. In particular, M0=0 gives E[Mn2]=E[Mn].

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.

[F1]

The square-minus-bracket process is a martingale with initial M0 squared. Square minus predictable quadratic variation is a martingale.

[F2]

Conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.

[F3]

Finite linear combinations remain integrable and their integrals are linear. The Lebesgue integral is linear on L1(μ).

[F4]
[F5]

For a square-integrable martingale, predictable quadratic variation is an integrable finite sum of conditional square increments. Predictable quadratic variation in discrete time.

Proof

technique · direct
1.1

By [F1], Zn=Mn2Mn is integrable and E[ZkFk1]=Zk1 for each k1. Expectation preservation gives EZk=EZk1. Induction over the finitely many times up to n yields EZn=EZ0=EM02, also at n=0. The invocations of F1 and F2 are made under the AC assumption F4.

givenF1F2F4
2.1

For the finite integral linearity used here, augment each finite disjoint display of a nonnegative simple function by its zero-coefficient complement. Pairwise intersections of two augmented displays partition the whole space and have equal coefficients on nonempty cells, so finite additivity and 0(+)=0 prove representation independence. Common refinements give simple addition and monotonicity, while scalar zero is direct and positive scalars are termwise. Supremum over simple minorants, increasing simple approximation and the sets {fjcs} for 0<c<1 give monotone convergence and nonnegative additivity. Positive/negative and real/imaginary decompositions then give finite L1 linearity. The square is integrable by the square-integrability hypothesis, and the bracket is integrable by [F5], so this local linearity gives EZn=EMn2EMn. Rearranging the finite equality from step 1.1 proves the formula. If M0=0 its second moment is zero. At n=0 the bracket is zero and the equation reads EM02=EM02.

F1F3F5step 1.1construct

5 · Examples, counterexamples and false statements

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