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Discrete Time Martingales
1 · Prerequisites
- Absolute and Conditional Convergence; Rearrangement; Products
- Binary Operations, Monoids, Groups and Subgroups
- Compactness in Metric Spaces
- Completeness, Completion, and Uniform Continuity
- Conditional Expectation
- Construction of the Natural Numbers
- Construction of the Real Numbers via Cauchy Sequences
- Construction of the Real Numbers via Dedekind Cuts
- Continuity, IVT, EVT, and Uniform Continuity
- Convexity
- Cosets, Index and Lagrange's Theorem
- Countability and Uncountability
- Darboux, L'Hôpital, and Taylor's Theorem
- Divisibility, Euclidean Domains, Principal Ideal Domains and Unique Factorisation
- Finite Counting, Factorials and Binomial Coefficients
- Foundations of the Real Numbers for Analysis
- Ideals, Quotient Rings and the Isomorphism Theorems for Rings
- Limits of Real Functions
- limsup, liminf, and Subsequential Limits
- Measurable Functions and Simple Approximation
- Measures and Their Basic Properties
- Metric Spaces
- Monotone Functions, Discontinuities, and Continuity Sets
- Monotone Sequences, Bolzano-Weierstrass, and Cauchy Completeness
- Normal Subgroups and Quotient Groups
- Order, Zorn's Lemma, and the Axiom of Choice
- Polynomial Rings, the Division Algorithm and Roots
- Power Series and Real-Analytic Functions
- Probability Spaces Random Variables and Expectation
- Properties of the Integral and the Working FTC
- Relations, Functions, and Quotients
- Rings, Subrings, Integral Domains and Fields
- Roots, Rational Powers, and Classical Inequalities
- Sequences and Limits
- Sequences and Series of Functions; Uniform Convergence
- Series: Convergence and the Nonnegative Tests
- Sigma Algebras and Borel Sets
- Signed and Complex Measures Hahn and Jordan
- Simple Field Extensions and the Construction of the Complex Numbers
- Suprema and Infima
- The Derivative and the Mean Value Theorems
- The Exponential Function
- The Lebesgue Integral and the Convergence Theorems
- The Logarithm and General Powers
- The Lᵖ Spaces Holder Minkowski and Riesz Fischer
- The Radon Nikodym Theorem and Lebesgue Decomposition
- The Riemann Integral: Definition and Integrability
- The ZFC Axioms and the Basic Set Constructions
- Topological Spaces and Continuity
- Topology of ℝ
- Triangularisation, Generalised Eigenspaces and Jordan Canonical Form
- Vector Spaces, Linear Subspaces, Span and Direct Sums
2 · Summary
A filtration records the information available at each nonnegative integer time. This page defines adaptedness, integrability and the three martingale signs separately, then proves the equivalence of adjacent-time and all-pairs conditional identities. Conditional expectations are almost-sure classes; AC is stated where inherited from their Radon–Nikodym existence proof or used to select countably many measurable versions.
Martingale differences turn the conditional fairness condition into a statement about increments. Their square-integrable products are shown integrable before conditioning, yielding orthogonality. Conditional Jensen gives convex submartingales with an explicit transformed-integrability hypothesis.
A predictable transform is defined only when every product increment is integrable. Timewise bounds suffice, and the preservation proof also covers the full integrable-product domain. The Doob decomposition separates an integrable adapted process into a martingale and a predictable compensator normalized to zero initially. Its uniqueness includes a single measurable null set for all times. The compensator is increasing exactly for submartingales.
Predictable quadratic variation sums conditional squared increments and differs from the optional sum of actual squared increments. The square-minus-bracket theorem allows a random initial variable, and centering by that known variable proves the zero-initial version separately. Every result concerns finite times; convergence and maximal inequalities require their further arguments.
3 · Logical flowchart
4 · Definitions, theorems and proofs
Filtration and filtered probability space
Definition
A discrete filtered probability space is , where is a probability space Probability measures and probability spaces, each is a sigma-algebra on Sigma-algebras, and . The sequence is a filtration. Time starts at zero. Neither completeness nor triviality of is required.
Restriction of to has total mass one and is countably additive: a disjoint sequence in is also such a sequence in , with the same union and the same values of . Thus each restriction is a probability measure. This specifies a structure and uses no choice principle. Real-valued processes will be the default.
Adapted and integrable stochastic process
Definition
On a filtered probability space Filtration and filtered probability space, a real stochastic process is a sequence of real random variables Random elements and real random variables on the same space. It is adapted when for every and every real Borel set . It is integrable when for every , using Expectation of a nonnegative or integrable random variable.
An integrable adapted process satisfies both conditions at each fixed time. Integrability here does not mean : the deterministic process has at every time but unbounded supremum. Measurability and finiteness of each integral are separate requirements. No versions, limits or choices are selected.
Natural filtration of a process
Definition
For a real process Adapted and integrable stochastic process, its natural filtration is The generated-sigma-algebra theorem Nonempty intersections of sigma-algebras are sigma-algebras, so the generated sigma-algebra exists and is minimal applies because the displayed sets are subsets of . The ambient contains every generator, so minimality gives . The generator family at is contained in that at ; hence minimality gives .
Every Borel preimage under is a generator at time , so is adapted. If is any other filtration making adapted, then for every belongs to . Minimality therefore gives . This proves the claimed smallest-filtration property. At time zero the generators come from ; the resulting sigma-algebra need not be trivial. No completion or arbitrary null-set modification is included, and the defining intersection requires no choice.
Martingale submartingale and supermartingale
Definition
Assume AC The Axiom of Choice. An integrable adapted real process Adapted and integrable stochastic process is a martingale, submartingale, or supermartingale when, respectively, for every , These are three separate conditions, with the convention that a submartingale has conditional future mean at least its present value. The conditional expectations are the almost-sure classes of Conditional expectation as an ae class; that supplier inherits AC from its Radon–Nikodym existence proof. The definition itself selects no representative and assumes no completed filtration.
The condition is imposed at each adjacent pair of times. An all-pairs formulation requires a proof. No boundedness or independence is part of this definition, and no trivial or deterministic initial value is imposed.
Multistep martingale characterization
Statement
Assume AC. For an integrable adapted real process , the one-step martingale, submartingale or supermartingale condition is equivalent, respectively, to The conditions are understood separately as in Martingale submartingale and supermartingale.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.
Conditional expectations on nested sigma-algebras satisfy the tower identity. Tower property of conditional expectation.
Conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.
An integrable variable measurable for the conditioning sigma-algebra conditions to itself. Conditioning a known variable and an independent variable.
AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.
Proof
For , adaptedness and integrability give . For the submartingale case fix and induct on . If , nesting and the tower identity give . The first inequality uses the one-step hypothesis and conditional order; the second is the induction hypothesis. All conditioned variables are integrable.
For the supermartingale case the identical tower identity has both inequalities reversed, since conditional order preserves the relation . For the martingale case the inner conditional expectation equals , so induction gives equality at every pair. Each induction uses only finitely many almost-sure identities. AC here is inherited from the existence of the conditional classes; no representatives at all pairs are selected.
Conversely, each all-pairs condition evaluated at is its defining one-step condition. This includes , and proves each equivalence.
Conditional expectation process is a martingale
Statement
Assume AC. For on a discrete filtered probability space, choose at each a real -measurable version of . Then is a martingale.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.
Under AC every integrable input has a measurable integrable conditional version. Conditional expectation as an ae class.
Conditional expectations on nested sigma-algebras satisfy the tower identity. Tower property of conditional expectation.
AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.
A countable union of measurable null sets is null. Finite and countable subadditivity of measures.
Proof
By conditional existence the set of real measurable integrable versions at every time is nonempty. AC selects one member for each . Thus each is -measurable and integrable, so is an integrable adapted process. AC also covers the RN existence assumption.
Since , the tower identity gives a.s. for each . This is the martingale condition Martingale submartingale and supermartingale. If representatives of these identities are specified, their measurable failure sets have probability zero; their countable union is measurable and null. This does not complete any or alter its representatives.
Martingale difference sequence
Definition
Assume AC The Axiom of Choice for conditional-expectation existence. A martingale difference sequence relative to is a sequence of real integrable variables such that is -measurable and Integrability and adaptedness have the timewise meanings of Adapted and integrable stochastic process. Conditional expectations have the class convention of Conditional expectation as an ae class, which is the exact inherited use of AC here. No representative is selected by this definition. There is no , and need not be trivial or generated by the differences.
Martingales and martingale differences correspond
Statement
Assume AC. If is a martingale, then , , is a martingale difference sequence. Conversely, given a martingale difference sequence and any integrable -measurable real , the process is a martingale. For fixed these constructions are inverse.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.
Conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.
An integrable variable measurable for the conditioning sigma-algebra conditions to itself. Conditioning a known variable and an independent variable.
Finite linear combinations remain integrable and their integrals are linear. The Lebesgue integral is linear on .
Finite real sums, differences and products are measurable. Arithmetic and lattice operations preserve measurability whenever they are defined.
AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.
A martingale difference is integrable and has zero conditional mean given the preceding sigma-algebra. Martingale difference sequence.
Proof
First reconstruct the finite-integral interface used below. Augment every finite disjoint display of a nonnegative simple function by the complement of its displayed sets with coefficient . Intersections of two augmented displays partition the whole space, and equality of the functions makes their coefficients agree on every nonempty cell. Finite additivity and therefore prove representation independence. Common augmented refinements give monotonicity and additivity term by term; homogeneity is direct when the scalar is zero and termwise when it is positive. Taking suprema over simple minorants gives nonnegative monotonicity, and increasing simple approximations together with the sets , , give monotone convergence. Applying this to sums of increasing simple approximants gives nonnegative additivity. Positive/negative and real/imaginary decompositions now give the finite real and complex linearity used in [F3]. With this replacement for the affected foundation, the event-integral construction and uniqueness proof of the cited conditional-expectation algebra apply. For a martingale , both and are -measurable. Their difference is measurable and integrable, with . By linearity and conditioning the known , . This meets the difference definition.
Conversely every summand for is -measurable, as is . The finite sum is adapted and integrable by [F3]–[F4]. Its next increment is , so . Thus it is a martingale Martingale submartingale and supermartingale. AC is inherited from the conditional classes; if versions of a class sequence are to be chosen, AC permits those countably many selections.
The finite identities and prove inverse reconstruction. For the sum is empty and equals zero, so the initial value is exactly the prescribed . For class representatives these finite equalities hold almost surely.
Martingale differences are orthogonal in l2
Statement
Assume AC. Let be a filtration, and let be real square-integrable martingale differences relative to it. For , , so their real inner product is zero. For every , .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.
Square-integrable variables have an integrable product by Cauchy–Schwarz. Cauchy-Schwarz for random variables.
Under AC for conditional-expectation existence, a finite measurable factor may be taken out when its product with the integrable input is integrable. Taking out what is known.
Under AC for existence, conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.
Finite linear combinations remain integrable and their integrals are linear. The Lebesgue integral is linear on .
We assume AC: every family of nonempty sets has a choice function. The Axiom of Choice.
A filtration is increasing: . Filtration and filtered probability space.
Each difference is measurable at its time and has zero conditional mean given its preceding time. Martingale difference sequence.
Proof
To justify finite integral linearity independently of the affected published proof, augment every finite disjoint simple display by its zero-coefficient complement. Pairwise intersections of two augmented displays partition the whole space and carry equal coefficients wherever nonempty, so finite additivity and prove representation independence. Common refinements give simple monotonicity and additivity; scalar zero is handled directly and positive scalars termwise. Supremum over simple minorants, followed by increasing simple approximation and the standard sets for , gives monotone convergence and nonnegative additivity. Positive/negative and real/imaginary decompositions therefore give finite linearity. This repairs the exact foundation used by [F4] and by the cited conditional-expectation identities. For , Cauchy–Schwarz gives . Iterating [F6] gives , so [F7] makes measurable for the latter sigma-algebra. Both and are integrable, so the unbounded-factor clause applies: . Expectation preservation gives . The AC assumption [F5] meets the existence hypotheses of [F2, F3, F7]. All conditional identities are identities of almost-sure classes; this argument selects no sequence of representatives.
For a fixed positive , expand the finite square as . Every term is integrable by the assumptions and step 1.1. Finite integral linearity makes its expectation , because every off-diagonal term vanishes. For both sides are zero by the empty-sum convention, and for there are no off-diagonal terms.
Convex functions of martingales are submartingales
Statement
Assume AC. If is a real martingale and is finite convex with for every , then is a submartingale. If is instead a submartingale and is also nondecreasing, the same conclusion holds provided for every .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.
A finite convex real function is Borel measurable. Convex functions have countable supporting line representations.
Composition with a Borel outer function preserves measurability. Composition with a Borel measurable outer map preserves measurability.
Conditional Jensen applies when the real input and its finite convex image are integrable. Conditional jensen inequality.
AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.
Proof
The function is Borel, so each is -measurable. Integrability of the image is an explicit assumption. At time the input is integrable by the martingale definition and its image is integrable by hypothesis. Conditional Jensen therefore gives a.s. These are exactly the submartingale inequalities Martingale submartingale and supermartingale.
For a submartingale , measurability and integrability of hold by the same argument. Jensen and the nondecreasing hypothesis give a.s. Monotonicity is applied to the submartingale inequality at that fixed time. AC is inherited from conditional Jensen and the CE existence used in both computations. No convex image of an arbitrary integrable variable is presumed integrable.
Absolute value and powers of a martingale are submartingales
Statement
Assume AC. If is a martingale then is a submartingale. More generally, for real , if for every , then is a submartingale. We use .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.
For every real p at least one, the absolute pth power is finite, Borel and convex, including its value zero. Absolute real powers are Borel measurable and convex.
A finite convex martingale image is a submartingale when integrable at every time. Convex functions of martingales are submartingales.
AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.
Proof
Fix and set on all of , using . The power lemma supplies finiteness, Borel measurability and convexity, including real noninteger and the endpoint . Since , the assumed finite pth moment is exactly its condition. The convex-transform theorem therefore gives a.s. for every .
At , already follows from the martingale definition, so the first assertion requires no extra moment hypothesis. AC is inherited from the convex-transform theorem and its conditional Jensen argument. For the moment assumption is retained; no assertion for is made.
Predictable discrete time process
Definition
On a discrete filtered probability space Filtration and filtered probability space, a real process is predictable if is -measurable for every . Real means finite-valued, as in Random elements and real random variables. There is no convention and predictability alone imposes neither integrability nor boundedness.
Since , every Borel preimage of is also in . Thus predictability implies adaptedness at the positive times. This is a preimage inclusion, requiring no choice or conditional expectation.
Discrete martingale transform
Definition
Let be an adapted integrable real process Adapted and integrable stochastic process and let be finite real predictable Predictable discrete time process. Provided define the discrete transform by For a martingale integrator this is its martingale transform. The product-integrability condition is part of the domain.
The finite-integral facts used here can be recovered without the published simple-display gap. Augment every finite disjoint display of a nonnegative simple function by the complement of its displayed sets with coefficient . Intersections of two augmented displays partition the whole space, and equality of the functions forces equal coefficients on every nonempty cell. Finite additivity and prove representation independence. Common refinements give simple monotonicity and additivity; homogeneity is direct for scalar and termwise for a positive scalar. Taking suprema over simple minorants, using increasing simple approximations and the sets for , gives monotone convergence and nonnegative additivity. Positive/negative and real/imaginary decompositions then give finite linearity.
The two factors of the th summand are -measurable because . Measurable arithmetic Arithmetic and lattice operations preserve measurability whenever they are defined makes the product measurable; it is integrable by hypothesis. Every finite sum is therefore -measurable and integrable by the locally reconstructed linearity (the unaffected remainder of The Lebesgue integral is linear on gives the same calculation). At zero the sum is empty and equals zero.
A useful sufficient condition is a.s. with deterministic , separately at each time. On the complement of its measurable null failure set, The integral on the failure set is zero by A nonnegative integral over a null set vanishes; the locally reconstructed monotonicity, positive homogeneity and finite linearity give No uniform bound in time is needed. Changing measurable representatives at finitely many relevant times changes a finite sum only on the finite union of their measurable null discrepancy sets. Outside the stipulated domain the same algebraic sum may be finite pointwise but is not an integrable transform. These finite arithmetic and integral arguments are choice-free.
Bounded predictable transforms preserve martingales
Statement
Assume AC. Let be a martingale and a finite real predictable process. If a.s. for each , with finite deterministic constants , then is a martingale starting at zero. Uniform boundedness is a special case. More generally the same conclusion holds whenever every is integrable, without a bound on .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.
Product integrability makes the transform an adapted integrable finite sum; timewise bounds imply this domain. Discrete martingale transform.
A finite measurable factor may be taken out when its product with the integrable input is integrable. Taking out what is known.
Conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.
An integrable variable measurable for the conditioning sigma-algebra conditions to itself. Conditioning a known variable and an independent variable.
AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.
Conjugate-moment hypotheses on two real variables imply integrability of their product. Holder's inequality for random variables.
Proof
Put . It is integrable since . In the bounded case [F1] gives ; in the general case this is assumed. Consequently is adapted, integrable, and . This is verified before conditioning any product.
For each , is finite -measurable and are integrable. The unbounded clause of [F2] therefore gives . Linearity and known-variable conditioning now give . This proves the martingale assertion Martingale submartingale and supermartingale even for signed . AC is inherited from the conditional classes in this calculation.
If a uniform bound is supplied, choose in step 1.1. Another sufficient domain condition at a fixed is and with conjugate under the clauses of [F6]: then . The proof of step 2.1 only needs the resulting product integrability.
Nonnegative predictable transforms preserve submartingale gains
Statement
Assume AC. Let be a submartingale and a finite nonnegative predictable process. If for every , then is a submartingale starting at zero. In particular the conclusion holds for timewise bounded nonnegative .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.
The product hypothesis gives adapted integrable sums, and timewise bounds suffice. Discrete martingale transform.
A finite measurable factor may be taken out when its product with the integrable input is integrable. Taking out what is known.
Conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.
An integrable variable measurable for the conditioning sigma-algebra conditions to itself. Conditioning a known variable and an independent variable.
AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.
Proof
Set and . By the transform domain is adapted and integrable with . Linearity and the known-variable identity give a.s. by the submartingale hypothesis Martingale submartingale and supermartingale.
Apply [F2] with input and finite known factor . The input and its product are integrable, so [F2] also guarantees and gives a.s. Adding the known yields for every . For timewise bounds, [F1] verifies the product hypothesis. AC is inherited from the conditional classes; no positivity of or boundedness of an unbounded is inferred.
Compensator and doob decomposition
Definition
Assume AC The Axiom of Choice for the conditional classes in the martingale definition. For an integrable adapted real Adapted and integrable stochastic process, a Doob decomposition is where is a martingale Martingale submartingale and supermartingale, is integrable at every time, is -measurable for Predictable discrete time process, and . The process is its compensator. In particular a.s.
This defines the requirements on a decomposition; existence and uniqueness require proof. The normalization fixes the possible transfer of an integrable -measurable variable between and : such a transfer would change . No monotonicity of is included for a general integrable adapted . The AC assumption is inherited from conditional-expectation existence, and this definition selects no versions.
Doob decomposition of an integrable adapted process
Statement
Assume AC. Every integrable adapted real has a unique Doob decomposition up to almost-sure equality at each time. It is given by and Two decompositions agree outside a single measurable null set at all times. The normalization is that of Compensator and doob decomposition.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.
Under AC every integrable input has a measurable integrable conditional version. Conditional expectation as an ae class.
Finite linear combinations remain integrable and their integrals are linear. The Lebesgue integral is linear on .
Finite real arithmetic preserves measurability. Arithmetic and lattice operations preserve measurability whenever they are defined.
Conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.
An integrable variable measurable for the conditioning sigma-algebra conditions to itself. Conditioning a known variable and an independent variable.
Martingales have conditionally centered increments, and sums of such increments with an integrable known initial value are martingales. Martingales and martingale differences correspond.
Countable measurable null unions are null. Finite and countable subadditivity of measures.
AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.
Proof
First repair the integral foundation inherited by RN and conditional expectation. Augment any finite disjoint display of a nonnegative simple function by the complement with coefficient . Intersections of two augmented displays partition the whole space and have equal coefficients wherever nonempty, so finite additivity and prove representation independence. Common refinements give simple monotonicity and additivity; handle scalar directly and positive scalars termwise. Supremum over simple minorants and the sets , , give monotone convergence; increasing simple approximations then give nonnegative additivity. Positive/negative and real/imaginary decompositions give finite linearity. With these facts substituted at the affected foundation, the cited RN proof gives its density, and its event-integral existence and uniqueness argument gives the conditional-expectation class and algebra in [F1], [F4] and [F5]. Each is therefore real measurable and integrable, since . AC permits choosing a finite real integrable -measurable version of its conditional expectation for every . Set , , and . For one has ; therefore is predictable for . Finite sums and differences show that is integrable and is adapted and integrable.
The increment has conditional expectation given , by linearity and known-variable conditioning. Since is integrable and -measurable, [F6] makes a martingale. The displayed decomposition holds pointwise for the chosen representatives.
If is another normalized decomposition, then is integrable and -measurable: for use , and for use predictability and nesting. Conditioning the decomposition increment and using the zero martingale drift gives a.s. Thus these increments equal a.s. Induction from zero gives and then a.s. for each . The sets where either equality fails are ambient measurable null sets; their countable union is null by [F7]. Off that one set both entire sequences agree. No completeness of the filtration is used.
Submartingale doob decomposition has increasing compensator
Statement
Assume AC. An integrable adapted real is a submartingale if and only if its Doob compensator satisfies a.s. for every . Equivalently its compensator has nondecreasing sample paths outside a single measurable null set.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.
The normalized compensator increment is the conditional mean of the original increment. Doob decomposition of an integrable adapted process.
Conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.
An integrable variable measurable for the conditioning sigma-algebra conditions to itself. Conditioning a known variable and an independent variable.
Countable measurable null unions are null. Finite and countable subadditivity of measures.
AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.
Proof
The Doob formula and conditional linearity give a.s., since is known and integrable. If is a submartingale the right side is nonnegative for every , hence so is the compensator increment. Conversely nonnegative compensator increments imply for every , which is the submartingale definition Martingale submartingale and supermartingale. AC is inherited from the Doob construction and its conditional classes.
If every increment is nonnegative a.s., the measurable sets are null. Their union is measurable and null. For every successive inequality holds, so finite chaining gives whenever . Conversely, if all paths off a measurable null are nondecreasing, each is contained in , and hence has probability zero. This proves the path formulation for any chosen measurable versions.
Predictable quadratic variation in discrete time
Definition
Assume AC The Axiom of Choice. For a real martingale Martingale submartingale and supermartingale with at every time, its predictable quadratic variation is Here conditional expectations denote the classes of Conditional expectation as an ae class. To obtain a process of versions, note first that has a measurable square Arithmetic and lattice operations preserve measurability whenever they are defined and Choose a finite real integrable -measurable version of for each . Conditional positivity Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation gives a.s. Replace by : this is measurable for the same sigma-algebra and changes it only on its own measurable null set. Use these nonnegative versions in the finite sum.
For the finite-integral interface, augment every finite disjoint display of a nonnegative simple function by the complement with coefficient . Intersections of two augmented displays partition the space and carry equal coefficients wherever nonempty, so finite additivity and prove representation independence. Common refinements give simple addition and monotonicity; scalar zero is direct and positive scalars are termwise. Taking suprema over simple minorants, using increasing simple approximations and the sets for , gives monotone convergence and nonnegative additivity. Positive/negative and real/imaginary decompositions give finite linearity. Substituting this repair at the foundation also validates the event-integral RN construction used by the cited conditional-expectation class and its positivity.
Every with is -measurable; therefore is predictable Predictable discrete time process. The locally reconstructed finite linearity gives integrability. The chosen version has nonnegative increments at every point, and any other measurable versions define the same class at each time. AC is used in the supplied RN existence and in selecting the countable family of versions.
The optional quadratic sum is instead It too is integrable, adapted and increasing by the same square bound and finite-sum argument. Its summands are only required to be -measurable; predictability or equality to is not part of this definition. Neither sum includes a term .
Square minus predictable quadratic variation is a martingale
Statement
Assume AC. For every real square-integrable martingale , the process is a martingale with . Also is a martingale starting at zero. The initial variable may be random and need not vanish.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.
The bracket is integrable predictable and its increment is the conditional squared martingale increment. Predictable quadratic variation in discrete time.
Martingale increments have zero past conditional expectation. Martingales and martingale differences correspond.
Square-integrable variables have an integrable product by Cauchy–Schwarz. Cauchy-Schwarz for random variables.
A finite measurable factor may be taken out when its product with the integrable input is integrable. Taking out what is known.
Conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.
An integrable variable measurable for the conditioning sigma-algebra conditions to itself. Conditioning a known variable and an independent variable.
Finite linear combinations remain integrable and their integrals are linear. The Lebesgue integral is linear on .
Finite real sums and products are measurable. Arithmetic and lattice operations preserve measurability whenever they are defined.
AC supplies the inherited conditional-expectation existence and any stated choice of versions. The Axiom of Choice.
Proof
Put for . It is in by , and its conditional mean given is zero. Cauchy–Schwarz gives . The factor is finite and known at time , so taking-out is legitimate and gives .
For the finite integral and conditional linearity used here, augment every finite disjoint nonnegative-simple display by its zero-coefficient complement. Intersections of two augmented displays partition the space and carry equal coefficients on nonempty cells, so finite additivity and prove representation independence. Common refinements give simple addition and monotonicity; scalar zero is direct and positive scalars are termwise. Supremum over simple minorants, increasing simple approximation and the sets for give monotone convergence and nonnegative additivity. Positive/negative and real/imaginary decompositions give finite linearity; substituting these facts at the base validates the event-integral construction and algebra of the cited conditional expectations. The square and bracket are adapted and integrable, hence so is . Expand . Every term is integrable. Conditional linearity and step 1.1 give . The last difference is known at time . Subtracting it and conditioning the known proves . The initial bracket is zero, so .
Set . Since is -measurable, it is known for every . Linearity gives . Also is integrable, so is a square-integrable martingale with . Its increments equal , hence as classes. Apply the already proved step 2.1 to to conclude that is a martingale with . AC is inherited from CE and bracket version construction; no unproved assertion about the product is used.
Second moment is the expected predictable quadratic variation
Statement
Assume AC. For a real square-integrable martingale and every , with all three terms finite. In particular, gives .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.
The square-minus-bracket process is a martingale with initial M0 squared. Square minus predictable quadratic variation is a martingale.
Conditional expectation is linear, order preserving and expectation preserving. Basic algebra and order properties of conditional expectation.
Finite linear combinations remain integrable and their integrals are linear. The Lebesgue integral is linear on .
Assume AC. The Axiom of Choice.
For a square-integrable martingale, predictable quadratic variation is an integrable finite sum of conditional square increments. Predictable quadratic variation in discrete time.
Proof
By [F1], is integrable and for each . Expectation preservation gives . Induction over the finitely many times up to yields , also at . The invocations of F1 and F2 are made under the AC assumption F4.
For the finite integral linearity used here, augment each finite disjoint display of a nonnegative simple function by its zero-coefficient complement. Pairwise intersections of two augmented displays partition the whole space and have equal coefficients on nonempty cells, so finite additivity and prove representation independence. Common refinements give simple addition and monotonicity, while scalar zero is direct and positive scalars are termwise. Supremum over simple minorants, increasing simple approximation and the sets for give monotone convergence and nonnegative additivity. Positive/negative and real/imaginary decompositions then give finite linearity. The square is integrable by the square-integrability hypothesis, and the bracket is integrable by [F5], so this local linearity gives . Rearranging the finite equality from step 1.1 proves the formula. If its second moment is zero. At the bracket is zero and the equation reads .
5 · Examples, counterexamples and false statements
None yet.