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Influence and Breakdown
1 · Prerequisites
- Absolute and Conditional Convergence; Rearrangement; Products
- Areas of Elementary Plane Figures
- Binary Operations, Monoids, Groups and Subgroups
- Bounded Linear Operators and Quotient Spaces
- Compactness
- Compactness in Metric Spaces
- Completeness, Completion, and Uniform Continuity
- Complex Lp Spaces and Test-Function Conventions
- Complex Norms and Realification
- Complexification, Realification and Real Structures
- Construction of the Natural Numbers
- Construction of the Real Numbers via Cauchy Sequences
- Construction of the Real Numbers via Dedekind Cuts
- Contamination and Robust Risk
- Continuity, IVT, EVT, and Uniform Continuity
- Cosets, Index and Lagrange's Theorem
- Countability and Uncountability
- Countability Axioms and Cardinal Functions
- Density Separability and Convolution in Lᵖ
- Determinants of Matrices over a Commutative Ring
- Divisibility, Euclidean Domains, Principal Ideal Domains and Unique Factorisation
- Domination and Likelihood Ratios
- Dual Spaces, Bilinear and Quadratic Forms, and Sylvester's Law of Inertia
- Filters and Ultrafilters
- Finite Counting, Factorials and Binomial Coefficients
- Foundations of the Real Numbers for Analysis
- Fubini and Change of Variables
- Gaussian Elimination, Elementary Matrices and Reduced Row Echelon Form
- Group Actions, Orbits, Stabilisers and Cayley's Theorem
- Hilbert Space Geometry and Riesz Representation
- Ideals, Quotient Rings and the Isomorphism Theorems for Rings
- Influence Functions and Efficient Scores
- Inner Product Spaces, Gram-Schmidt, Projections and Adjoints
- Lebesgue Measure on Euclidean Space
- Limits of Real Functions
- limsup, liminf, and Subsequential Limits
- Linear Independence, Bases and Dimension
- Linear Transformations, Rank-Nullity and Quotient Spaces
- Matrices, the Matrix of a Linear Map, and Change of Basis
- Measurable Functions and Simple Approximation
- Measures and Their Basic Properties
- Metric Spaces
- Mixed Partials, Taylor Formulae, and Extrema
- Modes of Convergence Egorov and Lusin
- Monotone Functions, Discontinuities, and Continuity Sets
- Monotone Sequences, Bolzano-Weierstrass, and Cauchy Completeness
- Normal Subgroups and Quotient Groups
- Normed and Banach Spaces
- Norming and Separation under Hahn–Banach
- Order, Zorn's Lemma, and the Axiom of Choice
- Orthonormal Bases, Parseval and Fourier Series
- Outer Measure and the Caratheodory Extension Theorem
- Pointwise Extended-Real Function Products
- Polynomial Rings, the Division Algorithm and Roots
- Power Series and Real-Analytic Functions
- Probability Spaces Random Variables and Expectation
- Product Measures and the Fubini Tonelli Theorems
- Properties of the Integral and the Working FTC
- Relations, Functions, and Quotients
- Rings, Subrings, Integral Domains and Fields
- Rⁿ as a Normed Space; Vector-Valued Functions
- Roots, Rational Powers, and Classical Inequalities
- Semiparametric Models and Tangent Spaces
- Separation Axioms: the Hierarchy
- Sequences and Limits
- Sequences and Series of Functions; Uniform Convergence
- Series: Convergence and the Nonnegative Tests
- Sigma Algebras and Borel Sets
- Signed and Complex Measures Hahn and Jordan
- Simple Field Extensions and the Construction of the Complex Numbers
- Statistical Experiments, Models and Identifiability
- Subspaces, Products, and Quotients
- Suprema and Infima
- Symmetric Groups, Cycle Decomposition and the Sign Homomorphism
- The Analytic Hahn Banach Theorem
- The Cantor Set, Baire Category, and Measure Zero in ℝ
- The Derivative and the Mean Value Theorems
- The Exponential Function
- The Inverse and Implicit Function Theorems
- The Lebesgue Integral and the Convergence Theorems
- The Logarithm and General Powers
- The Lᵖ Spaces Holder Minkowski and Riesz Fischer
- The Radon Nikodym Theorem and Lebesgue Decomposition
- The Riemann Integral in Rᵐ and Jordan Content
- The Riemann Integral: Definition and Integrability
- The Topology of Euclidean Space
- The Total Derivative in ℝᵐ → ℝⁿ
- The ZFC Axioms and the Basic Set Constructions
- Topological Spaces and Continuity
- Topology of ℝ
- Triangularisation, Generalised Eigenspaces and Jordan Canonical Form
- Vector Spaces, Linear Subspaces, Span and Direct Sums
2 · Summary
Objective
Define statistical functionals and pointwise gross-error influence, then distinguish their local sensitivity from finite-sample replacement breakdown. Prove the M-location influence formula under explicit differentiation and local-root hypotheses, derive the median formula with its pointwise tie convention, and establish exact mean and odd-sample median replacement breakdown fractions. The earlier A-page requirements are contamination-models-and-robust-risk for the gross-error path and pathwise-differentiability-influence-functions-and-efficient-scores for the distinction between robust and semiparametric influence notions.
3 · Logical flowchart
4 · Definitions, theorems and proofs
Finite-sample replacement breakdown
Definition
Let , let be a total statistic, and fix a sample . For , define its maximum replacement displacement by
When the set is nonempty, the finite-sample replacement breakdown fraction is
Only coordinate replacements are counted, and the replacement values range over all of . This is a property of the statistic at the fixed sample; it is not a probability or contamination-neighborhood statement.
The lower median of a real probability law
Definition
Let be a probability measure on the Borel subsets of , and put . For any such that is nonempty and bounded below, define its lower median by
The stated condition makes a finite real number. This convention chooses the left endpoint when the set of medians is an interval; it assumes neither a density nor uniqueness.
A finite empirical measure is a probability law
Statement
Let be a measurable space, let , and let . Define
Then is a probability measure on .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: A measurable space , an integer , points , and the displayed set function .
The Dirac set function at a point: when and otherwise.
Probability measures and probability spaces: a probability measure is a countably additive measure of total mass one.
Proof
Each summand in is nonnegative, , and by [F1].
Let be pairwise disjoint. For each , let . The sets are pairwise disjoint, and at most of them are nonempty, because each index belongs to at most one . Their union is . Hence the number of sample indices in is , and dividing by gives .
Steps 1.1–1.2 show that is a nonnegative countably additive set function with total mass one; by [F2] it is a probability measure.
The lower median of an odd empirical sample is its middle order statistic
Statement
Let and . Let be their empirical probability law and write for the sorted sample. Then the lower median is .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: An odd sample size , real observations , and their empirical law .
A finite empirical measure is a probability law: is a probability law.
Proof
If , at most sample coordinates are at most . Therefore , so no such belongs to the defining set in [F2].
At , at least sample coordinates are at most . Hence , so belongs to that defining set.
Steps 1.1–1.2 show that the defining set has no point below and contains itself. Its infimum is therefore , as claimed.
Replacement breakdown of the sample mean and odd-sample median
Statement
For any fixed sample , the sample mean has finite-sample replacement breakdown fraction . If is odd and the conventional sample median is the -st order statistic, its finite-sample replacement breakdown fraction is .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: A sample , the mean statistic , and, when , the sample median after sorting the observations in nondecreasing order.
Finite-sample replacement breakdown: breakdown is the smallest replacement count for which the supremum displacement over changes to at most coordinates is infinite, divided by .
Proof
With no replacements the mean displacement is zero. Replacing coordinate by changes the sample mean to , whose displacement is unbounded as . Thus the smallest breaking count for the mean is one, and [F1] gives .
Let . If at most coordinates are replaced, at least original observations remain. Writing and , at least resulting observations are at most and at least are at least . Therefore the -st order statistic lies in , so its displacement from the original median is bounded uniformly over all such replacements.
Replace coordinates by the same value . The unchanged observations are the first order statistics and the copies of occupy positions through . The median is therefore , which is unbounded as .
Steps 1.2–1.3 show that the smallest breaking count for the odd-sample median is . By [F1] its breakdown fraction is .
Statistical functionals and gross-error influence functions
Definition
Let be a measurable space, let be a collection of probability measures on it, and let be a single-valued map with finite . Such a map is a statistical functional. For and , suppose the point-contamination path belongs to for all sufficiently small (Gross-error contamination path). The gross-error influence function at is
when this finite right limit exists. Its domain may be a proper subset of .
Remarks
This is a pointwise derivative along one point-contamination direction. Its definition supplies no remainder bound uniform in or in a general contaminating law .
There are two other notions also called influence functions in semiparametric work. Pathwise differentiability and parameter influence curves defines pathwise differentiability through allowed differentiable-in-quadratic-mean paths and a continuous linear derivative on the score tangent space; this definition neither assumes nor asserts that the gross-error path is one of those paths. Asymptotically linear estimators and influence functions defines an estimator influence function through an empirical-average expansion with an remainder. Neither notion is identified with the pointwise gross-error derivative here. The pathwise supplier's Riesz-representation and choice-dependent conclusions are cited only as terminology context; no such conclusion or axiom is used in this definition.
Gross-error sensitivity of a functional
Definition
For a statistical functional at a law , let . When , its gross-error sensitivity is the extended nonnegative number
For a real-valued functional the norm is absolute value. This supremum only ranges over directions where the influence function exists; it makes no claim that the derivative exists in every direction.
Remarks
Finite gross-error sensitivity is a local pointwise stability bound. It does not, without a uniform remainder hypothesis, bound the maximum bias over an entire contamination neighborhood.
Influence function for a regular M-location functional
Statement
Let be a Borel probability law on , let be , and let satisfy
Assume and that there is an open interval containing and a nonnegative such that for -almost every and every . Put and assume . For each fixed , let be the locally unique root near of
Then, for all sufficiently small , this local root exists and
Here denotes this local root. In the special case and has a finite first absolute moment, and .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The law , the function , the root , the open interval , the integrable derivative majorant , and as in the Statement. Fix one contamination point .
Gross-error contamination path: for , is the point-contamination specialization of the gross-error path.
Dominated convergence: pointwise almost-everywhere convergence under one integrable majorant permits passing limits through the integral.
The mean value theorem, as the case of Cauchy's: for continuous on with and differentiable on there is with : for a differentiable real function, a difference quotient over an interval equals a derivative at an intermediate point.
The Euclidean implicit function theorem with derivative formula: if is , , and , then a unique local root exists and .
Statistical functionals and gross-error influence functions: the gross-error influence function is the right derivative of at , when finite.
For the mean specialization, .
Proof
For , the mean value theorem [F3] gives for -almost every , so is finite. For any and nonzero with , the difference quotient of in converges pointwise to and is bounded in absolute value by , again by [F3]. Dominated convergence [F2] therefore gives . If in , continuity of gives pointwise convergence of to , and the same majorant with [F2] shows . Thus is on .
Define for real near and . By step 1.1 and , is ; also and . Applying [F4] gives a unique local root through . For small, [F1] identifies its equation with the stated M-location equation under .
At , and . The derivative formula in [F4] therefore yields . Since a two-sided derivative implies the same right derivative, [F5] identifies this value with .
If , then , so its unique root is and . Substitution in step 3.1 gives .
Remarks
The argument is pointwise in : the implicit-function neighborhood and the remainder are not asserted to be uniform over contamination points. No Axiom of Choice is used.
Influence function and sensitivity of the median
Statement
Let be a Borel probability law on , let be its lower median, and assume . Suppose that on an open interval containing there is a continuous density version satisfying
For each fixed , the right point-contamination influence function of the lower-median functional is
Consequently, its gross-error sensitivity is .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: A Borel probability law , its lower median , the equality , and a continuous local density on an interval with . Fix a contamination point .
The lower median of a real probability law: on its stated domain.
Statistical functionals and gross-error influence functions: is the right derivative of at , when finite.
Gross-error sensitivity of a functional: is the supremum of the absolute influence values over the directions where they exist.
Proof
Since is open, is continuous at , and , choose and so that and throughout this closed interval. For in it, the density identity gives . Thus is continuous and strictly increasing there, with .
Suppose first that , and shrink so that . For sufficiently small , the number lies strictly between and . Continuity and strict increase give a unique with . Since as , for every eventually , so and . Since , the mixture cdf at is . For , the contamination term is zero and, by monotonicity and , the mixture cdf is . At , monotonicity gives , so . For , the contamination term is and : below the local interval this follows from monotonicity and , and inside it from strict increase. Therefore the mixture cdf at such is . Together with the cases and , this puts the mixture cdf below for every , while it equals at , so [F2] gives .
If , shrink so that . For small , lies strictly between and . There is a unique with . Since as , for every eventually , so and . Now , so the mixture cdf at is . For every , the contamination term is zero; if , strict increase on the local interval gives , and if then monotonicity gives . Thus the mixture cdf is below for every , while it equals at , so [F2] gives .
In the case , step 2.1 gives and . The density identity and continuity of imply . Dividing these two relations yields .
In the case , step 2.2 gives and . The same density quotient tends to , hence .
If , continuity of at gives and . Monotonicity then puts every below the median threshold, while itself is above it, so the lower median remains exactly and its right derivative is . By [F3] and steps 3.1–3.2, these three cases give the displayed pointwise influence function.
The absolute influence value is for every and zero at . Both sides of are nonempty in , so the supremum over all directions is by [F4]. Since has a density near , ; therefore the conventional expression agrees with this pointwise derivative -almost everywhere, though its value at is not the literal right derivative.
Remarks
The conventional indicator formula in the Statement of the controlling design is an -almost-everywhere representative. At the single point , the right point-contamination derivative of the lower median is ; retaining this pointwise value makes the definition agree exactly with the computed limit.
5 · Examples, counterexamples and false statements
None yet.
Sources
- P. B. Stark, Statistics 240 Lecture Notes, Part 9: Robustness and Related Topics, §1.2, PDF pp. 2–3, 11–12
- Elvezio Ronchetti, Introduction to Robust Statistics, slides 22–23
- Elvezio Ronchetti, Introduction to Robust Statistics, slide 13
- Pavlo Mozharovskyi, Introduction to Robust Statistics, slide ‘Sample median: influence function’ (PDF p. 32)
- P. B. Stark, Statistics 240 Lecture Notes, Part 9: Robustness and Related Topics, §1.3, PDF pp. 13–14
- Elvezio Ronchetti, Introduction to Robust Statistics, slides 15 and 18
- P. B. Stark, Statistics 240 Lecture Notes, Part 9: Robustness and Related Topics, §1.2, PDF pp. 2–3
- Elvezio Ronchetti, Introduction to Robust Statistics, slides 13 and 22
- P. B. Stark, Statistics 240 Lecture Notes, Part 9: Robustness and Related Topics, §1.3, PDF pp. 13–18
- Elvezio Ronchetti, Introduction to Robust Statistics, slides 15–21
- A. W. van der Vaart, Semiparametric Statistics, Lecture 1, Definition 1.14, printed pp. 13–14
- Edward H. Kennedy, Semiparametric theory, §§3–4, PDF pp. 4–6
- P. B. Stark, Statistics 240 Lecture Notes, Part 9: Robustness and Related Topics, §1.3.3, PDF pp. 15–16
- Elvezio Ronchetti, Introduction to Robust Statistics, slides 12 and 17
- P. B. Stark, Statistics 240 Lecture Notes, Part 9: Robustness and Related Topics, §1.4, PDF pp. 17–19
- Elvezio Ronchetti, Introduction to Robust Statistics, slides 24–25
- P. B. Stark, Statistics 240 Lecture Notes, Part 9: Robustness and Related Topics, §§1.2–1.3, PDF pp. 2–3, 13–18
- Elvezio Ronchetti, Introduction to Robust Statistics, slides 15–23