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Fixed-interval Gaussian smoothing and RTS recursion — Examples

1 · Prerequisites

2 · Summary

Examples

The first example carries out both passes exactly in a two-transition scalar random walk and identifies the smoothed marginals at the selected data. The second separates forecast-covariance invertibility from Kalman-filter admissibility: the filter remains defined with a zero forecast covariance, and the smoothing law exists, but the ordinary RTS inverse does not. It does not claim a pseudoinverse formula.

3 · Logical flowchart

4 · Definitions, theorems and proofs

None yet.

5 · Examples, counterexamples and false statements

ExampleConstruction: AI-generatedVerification: AI-adaptedprecheck passjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

Exact two-time scalar Rauch–Tung–Striebel smoothing calculation

Example

Consider the scalar random walk X0∼N(0,1), Xj=Xj−1+qj, Yj=Xj+rj for j=1,2, with mutually independent qj,rj∼N(0,1). Fix the data y1=1,y2=2. Every innovation and one-step forecast covariance is positive, so both forward filtering and the RTS backward recursion are defined.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The scalar model and observations in the Example.

[A1]

AC is used by the multivariate-normal model and conditional-law suppliers. The Axiom of Choice.

[F1]

The model has mutually independent Gaussian initial, process, and measurement variables with the displayed state and observation equations. Linear-Gaussian state-space models with independent noises.

[F2]

The Kalman filter computes the prediction, innovation, gain, and update by the stated recursions. Exact linear-Gaussian Kalman filter.

[F3]

The RTS procedure initializes at the final filter and applies the backward gain, mean, and covariance updates. Rauch–Tung–Striebel fixed-interval Gaussian smoother.

[F4]

Under positive-definite innovation and forecast covariances, the RTS outputs are fixed-interval conditional-law versions. The Rauch–Tung–Striebel recursion gives fixed-interval Gaussian smoothing laws.

Verification

Given: X0∼N(0,1), unit process and measurement variances, unit transition and observation coefficients, and (y1,y2)=(1,2).

1.1A1F1F2givenalgebra

At time 1, the filter predicts m1∣0=0 and P1∣0=2. Hence S1=3, v1=1, and K1=2/3, so m1∣1=2/3 and P1∣1=2−(2/3)3(2/3)=2/3. In particular S1>0.

2.1F2step 1.1algebra

At time 2, the prediction is m2∣1=2/3 and P2∣1=5/3. Thus S2=8/3, v2=4/3, and K2=5/8, giving m2∣2=2/3+(5/8)(4/3)=3/2 and P2∣2=5/3−(5/8)(8/3)(5/8)=5/8. Both S2 and P2∣1 are positive.

3.1F3F4step 1.1step 2.1algebra∎

The first backward gain is C1=(2/3)/(5/3)=2/5. Therefore m1∣2=2/3+(2/5)(3/2−2/3)=1 and P1∣2=2/3+(2/5)(5/8−5/3)(2/5)=1/2. The next gain is C0=1/2, so m0∣2=0+(1/2)(1−0)=1/2 and P0∣2=1+(1/2)(1/2−2)(1/2)=5/8. The theorem [F4] identifies the resulting smoothing kernels as N(1/2,5/8) for X0, N(1,1/2) for X1, and N(3/2,5/8) for X2 at the selected data history.

ExampleConstruction: AI-generatedVerification: AI-adaptedprecheck passjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)Open item page →

Singular forecast covariance lies outside the ordinary RTS inverse domain

Example

Take T=1, X0∼N(0,0), F1=1, Q1=0, H1=0, and R1=1, with independent noises and observation y1=0. Then the forward Kalman innovation covariance is positive, but the state forecast covariance is zero. The fixed-interval smoothing law still exists and is the point mass at zero; the ordinary RTS gain formula is outside its stated domain.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The scalar model and observation in the Example.

[A1]

AC is the Axiom of Choice assumed by the Gaussian model and normal-law definition. The Axiom of Choice.

[F1]

A linear-Gaussian state-space model permits positive-semidefinite covariances, including zero covariance. Linear-Gaussian state-space models with independent noises.

[F2]

Under the multivariate-normal convention, N(0,0) is the point mass at zero. Multivariate normal law, including singular covariance.

[F3]

The forward filter requires positive-definite innovation matrices and updates by the stated Kalman recursions. Exact linear-Gaussian Kalman filter.

[F4]

The ordinary RTS procedure requires a positive-definite one-step forecast covariance wherever it solves for a backward gain. Rauch–Tung–Striebel fixed-interval Gaussian smoother.

[F5]

A fixed-interval smoothing kernel is an everywhere probability kernel whose composition with the observation is an RCD of the state. Fixed-interval smoothing law in a linear-Gaussian model.

Verification

Given: X0∼N(0,0), q1∼N(0,0), r1∼N(0,1), X1=X0+q1, Y1=r1, and y1=0.

1.1A1F1F2givenalgebra

By [F2], X0=0 and q1=0 almost surely, so X1=0 almost surely. The observation is Y1=r1 and the model covariances are positive semidefinite.

2.1F2F3F4step 1.1algebra

The forward recursion gives P1∣0=1⋅0⋅1+0=0 and m1∣0=0. Since H1=0 and R1=1, its innovation covariance is S1=1>0, gain K1=0, and filtered state remains N(0,0). Thus the forward filter is admissible, while the RTS step would require the ordinary inverse of P1∣0=0, which does not exist by [F4]. No pseudoinverse substitution follows from that algorithm.

3.1F5step 1.1step 2.1construct∎

Define ψ0∣1(y,⋅)=δ0 for every y∈R. For any Borel sets A,B⊆R, P(X0∈A,Y1∈B)=1{0∈A}P(Y1∈B)=∫Bδ0(A) PY1(dy) by step 1.1. Hence this everywhere-defined kernel satisfies the RCD identity in [F5]; it is the fixed-interval smoothing law even though the ordinary RTS recursion is undefined.

Sources