How statement and proof provenance work
The first chip identifies the source of the statement or construction; the second identifies the source of its local proof or verification.
- Literature-sourced: the exact statement appears in a cited source; only wording and notation differ.
- AI-adapted: a semantically identical restatement of literature-sourced material, modulo indexing, notation, and boundary cases adopted by the library.
- AI-generated: a genuinely novel statement formulated by AI, with no source for the claim itself.
These labels describe origin, not correctness: citations and verification chips remain separate evidence.
Strong Laws of Large Numbers
1 · Prerequisites
- Absolute and Conditional Convergence; Rearrangement; Products
- Binary Operations, Monoids, Groups and Subgroups
- Compactness in Metric Spaces
- Completeness, Completion, and Uniform Continuity
- Construction of the Natural Numbers
- Construction of the Real Numbers via Cauchy Sequences
- Construction of the Real Numbers via Dedekind Cuts
- Continuity, IVT, EVT, and Uniform Continuity
- Cosets, Index and Lagrange's Theorem
- Countability and Uncountability
- Divisibility, Euclidean Domains, Principal Ideal Domains and Unique Factorisation
- Equivalent Forms of Completeness
- Finite Counting, Factorials and Binomial Coefficients
- Finite Probability Spaces and Random Variables
- Foundations of the Real Numbers for Analysis
- Ideals, Quotient Rings and the Isomorphism Theorems for Rings
- Independence Borel Cantelli and Zero One Laws
- Infinite Product Measures and Kolmogorov Extension
- Limits of Real Functions
- limsup, liminf, and Subsequential Limits
- Measurable Functions and Simple Approximation
- Measure-Preserving Systems and Mixing Criteria
- Measures and Their Basic Properties
- Metric Spaces
- Modes of Convergence Egorov and Lusin
- Modes of Convergence for Random Variables
- Monotone Functions, Discontinuities, and Continuity Sets
- Monotone Sequences, Bolzano-Weierstrass, and Cauchy Completeness
- Normal Subgroups and Quotient Groups
- Order, Zorn's Lemma, and the Axiom of Choice
- Outer Measure and the Caratheodory Extension Theorem
- Polynomial Rings, the Division Algorithm and Roots
- Power Series and Real-Analytic Functions
- Probability Spaces Random Variables and Expectation
- Product Measures and the Fubini Tonelli Theorems
- Properties of the Integral and the Working FTC
- Relations, Functions, and Quotients
- Rings, Subrings, Integral Domains and Fields
- Roots, Rational Powers, and Classical Inequalities
- Sequences and Limits
- Sequences and Series of Functions; Uniform Convergence
- Series: Convergence and the Nonnegative Tests
- Sigma Algebras and Borel Sets
- Simple Field Extensions and the Construction of the Complex Numbers
- Suprema and Infima
- The Derivative and the Mean Value Theorems
- The Exponential Function
- The Lebesgue Integral and the Convergence Theorems
- The Logarithm and General Powers
- The Lᵖ Spaces Holder Minkowski and Riesz Fischer
- The Riemann Integral: Definition and Integrability
- The ZFC Axioms and the Basic Set Constructions
- Topological Spaces and Continuity
- Topology of ℝ
- Triangularisation, Generalised Eigenspaces and Jordan Canonical Form
- Vector Spaces, Linear Subspaces, Span and Direct Sums
- Weak Laws and Series of Independent Random Variables
2 · Summary
Truncation and variance summability establish the IID integrable strong law. The converse identifies integrability as necessary for finite almost-sure limits; Etemadi uses only pairwise independence. A separate maximal-ergodic argument proves the probability-space Birkhoff theorem and recovers the IID result on coordinate shifts. Finite variance gives the stated logarithmic normalization. Product constructions explicitly assume AC.
3 · Logical flowchart
4 · Definitions, theorems and proofs
Strong law of large numbers for a sequence
Definition
Let be integrable real random variables on one probability space, with . The centered strong law means almost surely. If the variables have a common law, their finite expectations equal , so this is equivalent to almost surely. Independence is not part of this definition.
Kolmogorov strong law for independent uniformly bounded variances
Statement
Independent square-integrable real with satisfy almost surely.
Facts & Assumptions
Strong law under summable normalized variances: Let be independent square-integrable real random variables. Let be deterministic and nondecreasing with . If then In particular, for IID centered square-integrable variables and any , almost surely (the displayed normalization is used for ).
Proof
Given: The objects, hypotheses and definitions in the statement. Its conclusions are to be established below.
For , . Therefore ; these nonnegative partial sums have a finite supremum, so the variance series converges.
The normalizers are positive, nondecreasing and tend to infinity. The independence and square-integrability are given, and step 1.1 verifies the summability hypothesis of F1. Its almost-sure conclusion is exactly the stated centered law.
Iid finite variance strong law
Statement
IID square-integrable real variables satisfy almost surely.
Facts & Assumptions
Identical distribution and IID families: Let be random elements with the same measurable target . They are identically distributed if for all and , that is, their laws in def-law-or-distribution-of-a-random-element agree. They are independent and identically distributed (IID) if, in addition, the whole family is independent in def-independent-random-elements. Independence means mutual independence, not merely pairwise independence. No moment assumption is part of either definition. The empty family satisfies these universal conditions vacuously.
Kolmogorov strong law for independent uniformly bounded variances: Independent square-integrable real with satisfy almost surely.
Proof
Given: The objects, hypotheses and definitions in the statement. Its conclusions are to be established below.
By F1, every coordinate has the same law and the whole family is independent. Integrating and against that common law gives common finite mean and common variance . In particular .
Apply F2 using step 1.1. Its centered sum is , so adding gives the claimed limit.
Tail sum integrability equivalence
Statement
For a measurable on a probability space, . Thus if and only if the tail series is finite.
Facts & Assumptions
Monotone convergence for the integral: Let be measurable and suppose for every . Then
Proof
Given: The objects, hypotheses and definitions in the statement. Its conclusions are to be established below.
For , let count positive integers strictly less than . When the count is zero; when is an integer it is ; between consecutive integers it is the lower integer. Thus . At both and are infinite, and the extended inequalities remain valid.
The functions increase pointwise to . F1 therefore gives . Integrate both inequalities in step 1.1 and use to obtain the bracket.
If is finite, the left inequality in step 2.1 bounds the series. Conversely a finite series makes the right inequality finite. This proves both directions, including extended-valued X.
Iid linear truncation occurs only finitely often
Statement
For identically distributed integrable real , put . Almost surely for all sufficiently large . Consequently . Independence is unnecessary.
Facts & Assumptions
Tail sum integrability equivalence: For a measurable on a probability space, . Thus if and only if the tail series is finite.
First Borel-Cantelli lemma for events: Let be events in a probability space. If then
No independence hypothesis is needed.
Proof
Given: The objects, hypotheses and definitions in the statement. Its conclusions are to be established below.
The common law gives . By F1 their sum is at most .
Apply F2 to these events. Outside their null limsup, a finite bounds all exceptional indices and for . Hence for the numerator is the fixed finite real sum , and its quotient by tends to zero.
Summability of truncated normalized variances
Statement
For identically distributed integrable real and , . No independence is required.
Facts & Assumptions
Variance and covariance identities for random variables: Let be square-integrable real random variables on one probability space. Then Moreover, covariance is symmetric and bilinear on finite linear combinations. On finite full-power-set probability spaces these formulas reduce to the published finite identities.
Change of variables for expectation: Let be a random element, let be its law, and let or be measurable.
- If , then
- If is integrable, then is integrable with respect to and the same formula holds:
Integer part: for every real there is exactly one integer with : Identify with its canonical copy inside , along the embeddings (lem-nat-embeds-int, lem-int-embeds-rat, lem-rat-embeds-dense, def-integers). Then for every real there is exactly one integer with
It is written and called the integer part, or floor, of .
Two independent ingredients are needed and neither may be dropped. Existence is the Archimedean property (thm-of-archimedean) together with the well-ordering of (thm-well-ordering-principle): the first says that is caught between two integers at all, the second picks the least integer above . Uniqueness is the discreteness of : no integer lies strictly between and .
This lemma is stated once here and reused. It is what turns "the nearest integer to " from a picture into an object, and the companion page's oscillator is computed from it in one line.
Monotone convergence for the integral: Let be measurable and suppose for every . Then
Proof
Given: The objects, hypotheses and definitions in the statement. Its conclusions are to be established below.
The truncations satisfy , so they are square-integrable. The variance identity F1 yields . By the common law and F2, the latter is .
For put , as supplied by F3. Then and . For , the same telescoping bound from gives . Thus in all cases .
Apply F4 to the increasing finite sums of the nonnegative functions in step 1.2 evaluated at . Combining step 1.1 and step 1.2 gives .
Cesaro limit of truncated means
Statement
For identically distributed integrable real , with , one has .
Facts & Assumptions
Change of variables for expectation: Let be a random element, let be its law, and let or be measurable.
- If , then
- If is integrable, then is integrable with respect to and the same formula holds:
Dominated convergence: Let and be measurable complex-valued functions such that almost everywhere and almost everywhere for a single nonnegative measurable function with . Then , and hence
If then : convergence implies -summability to the same value: Let be a sequence of reals that converges (def-sequence, def-real-limit), and let be its sequence of Cesaro means (def-cesaro-mean). Then converges as well, and
Both limits are asserted to exist: the right-hand one by hypothesis, the left-hand one as part of the conclusion. Equivalently: a convergent sequence is -summable, to its own limit. The notation is licensed by uniqueness of limits of real sequences (lem-limit-unique).
The converse is false (fs-cesaro-converse).
Proof
Given: The objects, hypotheses and definitions in the statement. Its conclusions are to be established below.
F1 and the common law give . The integrands tend pointwise to and their absolute values are bounded by the integrable . Thus F2 gives .
Apply F3 to the numerical sequence of finite expectations in step 1.1; reindexing its initial index from zero to one does not change its averages or their limit.
Kolmogorov iid l1 strong law
Statement
For IID real with , almost surely.
Facts & Assumptions
Measurable coordinatewise functions preserve independence: Let be an independent family of random elements . For each , let be measurable. Then the family is independent.
Summability of truncated normalized variances: For identically distributed integrable real and , . No independence is required.
Strong law under summable normalized variances: Let be independent square-integrable real random variables. Let be deterministic and nondecreasing with . If then In particular, for IID centered square-integrable variables and any , almost surely (the displayed normalization is used for ).
Cesaro limit of truncated means: For identically distributed integrable real , with , one has .
Iid linear truncation occurs only finitely often: For identically distributed integrable real , put . Almost surely for all sufficiently large . Consequently . Independence is unnecessary.
Proof
Given: The objects, hypotheses and definitions in the statement. Its conclusions are to be established below.
Set . The truncation maps are Borel, so F1 makes mutually independent. They are bounded by n and hence square-integrable.
F2 gives . With , F3 applies to step 1.1 and yields almost surely.
By F4, . By F5, almost surely. Intersecting the two conull events with step 2.1 and adding these three terms gives .
Integrability is necessary for an iid finite mean strong law
Statement
If IID real have converging almost surely to a finite, possibly random, limit , then and almost surely.
Facts & Assumptions
Second Borel-Cantelli lemma under pairwise independence: Let be pairwise independent events with Then
Tail sum integrability equivalence: For a measurable on a probability space, . Thus if and only if the tail series is finite.
Kolmogorov iid l1 strong law: For IID real with , almost surely.
Proof
Given: The objects, hypotheses and definitions in the statement. Its conclusions are to be established below.
On the given conull convergence event, for one has . Therefore the events occur only finitely often almost surely.
The events are independent because each belongs to the -algebra of its own coordinate. If were infinite, F1 would make their limsup conull, contradicting step 1.1. The series is therefore finite, and identical laws turn it into .
F2 applied to step 2.1 gives . Now F3 gives almost surely. Uniqueness of a finite real limit on the intersection of the two conull events identifies L as claimed.
Etemadi strong law for pairwise independent iid variables
Statement
Pairwise independent, identically distributed integrable real satisfy almost surely.
Facts & Assumptions
Measurable coordinatewise functions preserve independence: Let be an independent family of random elements . For each , let be measurable. Then the family is independent.
Independence forces covariance to vanish: If and are independent square-integrable real random variables, then
Thus independence implies zero covariance. The converse is false in general.
Variance and covariance identities for random variables: Let be square-integrable real random variables on one probability space. Then Moreover, covariance is symmetric and bilinear on finite linear combinations. On finite full-power-set probability spaces these formulas reduce to the published finite identities.
Integer part: for every real there is exactly one integer with : Identify with its canonical copy inside , along the embeddings (lem-nat-embeds-int, lem-int-embeds-rat, lem-rat-embeds-dense, def-integers). Then for every real there is exactly one integer with
It is written and called the integer part, or floor, of .
Two independent ingredients are needed and neither may be dropped. Existence is the Archimedean property (thm-of-archimedean) together with the well-ordering of (thm-well-ordering-principle): the first says that is caught between two integers at all, the second picks the least integer above . Uniqueness is the discreteness of : no integer lies strictly between and .
This lemma is stated once here and reused. It is what turns "the nearest integer to " from a picture into an object, and the companion page's oscillator is computed from it in one line.
Integer powers : Let , where is the ambient ordered field (def-ordered-field, def-field).
Natural exponents. By the recursion theorem (thm-recursion) applied to the set , the starting element and the function , there is a unique function , written , with
Thus , , and so on. Note that this is defined for every , including .
Negative exponents. If and with , set
Why that is legitimate. The right-hand side presupposes that is
invertible, that is, that . This is a proof obligation and not an
observation, and it is discharged by claim 2 of lem-power-laws: for
in a field, for every , proved there by induction on
from the fact that a field has no zero divisors (lem-of-no-zero-divisors).
That lemma is a statement about the operation introduced here, so it depends on
this definition and is recorded in this item's justified_by rather than in its
deps (SCHEMA §3). Given , the value is a single
well-determined element, because multiplicative inverses in a field are unique
(lem-of-inverse-unique).
Integer exponents. Every integer (def-integers) is either or for a unique natural , where is the embedding (lem-nat-embeds-int, def-int-operations). This too is a citation and not a slogan: the order on is total (thm-int-ordered-ring), so or ; the image of is exactly the set of nonnegative integers, and each of them is for a unique natural (lem-nat-embeds-int); and if then , by compatibility of the order with addition (thm-int-ordered-ring), so and , with unique because is injective. The two clauses above therefore define for every whenever , and for every for arbitrary . The clauses are consistent where they overlap: the only overlap is , where and .
For , , and for the series diverges: Let and let be the integer power (def-integer-power), so that for every , including .
- If then the series converges (def-series) and
- If then diverges.
The series starts at and its first term is ; in particular , while the series starting at sums to . Which starting index is meant has to be said, and it is said here.
Summability of truncated normalized variances: For identically distributed integrable real and , . No independence is required.
Chebyshev's inequality for random variables: If is a square-integrable real random variable and , then
First Borel-Cantelli lemma for events: Let be events in a probability space. If then
No independence hypothesis is needed.
Cesaro limit of truncated means: For identically distributed integrable real , with , one has .
Iid linear truncation occurs only finitely often: For identically distributed integrable real , put . Almost surely for all sufficiently large . Consequently . Independence is unnecessary.
Proof
Given: The objects, hypotheses and definitions in the statement. Its conclusions are to be established below.
First suppose . Put , , and . Pairwise independence survives these coordinatewise Borel maps by applying F1 separately to each independent pair. F2 and F3 give .
Fix an integer and . By F4 set for , using F5. For large j, and ; this follows on dividing by . The sequence is eventually strictly increasing, since tends to infinity.
For each m, let be the first nonnegative j with . Apart from finitely many small j, by F6. The omitted finitely many j affect only m<=max , so increasing the constant gives for every m.
Interchanging finite nonnegative double sums and then taking suprema, step 1.1 and step 1.3 give , the last inequality by F7. For each positive integer l, F8 bounds by . F9 and a countable intersection over l imply almost surely.
F10 gives . For , nonnegativity makes . Consequently step 1.2 and step 2.1 give on a conull event.
Intersect these events over . Since and is finite and nonnegative, step 3.1 gives . F11 removes the truncation error. For general real variables, apply this nonnegative result separately to and ; their integrability and pairwise independence follow from the given hypotheses and coordinatewise measurability. Subtracting the two finite limits proves the assertion.
Iid strong law implies the weak law
Statement
For IID integrable real variables, in probability.
Facts & Assumptions
Kolmogorov iid l1 strong law: For IID real with , almost surely.
Almost-sure convergence implies convergence in probability: If almost surely, then in probability.
Proof
Given: The objects, hypotheses and definitions in the statement. Its conclusions are to be established below.
F1 applies to the given IID integrable sequence and gives almost surely.
The sample means and the constant limit are real random variables on that same probability space. Thus F2 applies to step 1.1 and gives the claimed probability convergence.
The maximal ergodic inequality on a probability space
Statement
Let preserve a probability measure , and let be integrable, real-valued and measurable. Put , and for . Then , and also for .
Facts & Assumptions
Measure-preserving transformations and systems: Let be a measure space. A measurable self-map is measure preserving if for every . The quadruple is a measure-preserving system; it is a probability system if . Here denotes an inverse image, whether or not is invertible. Neither completeness nor finiteness is implicit. The measure-space and measurable-map conventions are def-measure-space and def-measurable-function-between-measurable-spaces.
Arithmetic and lattice operations preserve measurability whenever they are defined: Let be a measurable space and let be measurable. Then:
- is measurable for every real scalar ;
- , , , , and are measurable;
- if is pointwise defined, then is measurable;
- with the convention of rem-zero-times-infinity-convention-for-pointwise-products, the pointwise product is measurable.
Integral invariance under measure-preserving maps: If preserves and is measurable, then , allowing infinity. If is integrable real or complex valued, is integrable and the same equality holds. Conversely, for a measurable self-map, equality for every measurable indicator implies measure preservation.
The Lebesgue integral is linear on : The class is a complex vector space, and the Lebesgue integral is complex-linear on it:
Dominated convergence: Let and be measurable complex-valued functions such that almost everywhere and almost everywhere for a single nonnegative measurable function with . Then , and hence
Proof
Given: The objects, hypotheses and definitions in the statement. Its conclusions are to be established below.
The measurable self-map in F1 and F2 make all finite sums and maxima measurable. Also , whose integral is by F3. Thus M_N and its composition with T are integrable.
For , , with . On E_N take a maximizing k to get . On the complement M_N=0 and . Hence everywhere .
Integrate the inequality in step 1.2. Integrability is supplied by step 1.1; F4 and F3 give .
The sets E_N increase to E. Since and pointwise, F5 takes step 2.1 to .
Birkhoff's theorem for an ergodic probability system
Statement
If is an ergodic measure-preserving transformation of a probability space and is an integrable real-valued measurable function, then, for , the averages satisfy almost surely and in . Invertibility is not required.
Facts & Assumptions
The Lebesgue integral is linear on : The class is a complex vector space, and the Lebesgue integral is complex-linear on it:
Arithmetic and lattice operations preserve measurability whenever they are defined: Let be a measurable space and let be measurable. Then:
- is measurable for every real scalar ;
- , , , , and are measurable;
- if is pointwise defined, then is measurable;
- with the convention of rem-zero-times-infinity-convention-for-pointwise-products, the pointwise product is measurable.
Sequential suprema, infima, limsup, liminf, and pointwise limits of measurable functions are measurable: Let be a measurable space and let be measurable for every . Then the functions
are measurable. The set
is measurable. In particular, if pointwise, then is measurable.
The maximal ergodic inequality on a probability space: Let preserve a probability measure , and let be integrable, real-valued and measurable. Put , and for . Then , and also for .
Ergodicity relative to an invariant measure: A measure-preserving system is ergodic for if each has or , with as in def-strict-and-mod-null-invariant--algebras. For a probability system this means . The definition is relative to the invariant measure; no probability assumption is implicit in the general null/conull formulation.
Finite and countable subadditivity of measures: Let be a measure and let be measurable. Then
For every one also has
including , where both sides are .
Dominated convergence: Let and be measurable complex-valued functions such that almost everywhere and almost everywhere for a single nonnegative measurable function with . Then , and hence
Integral invariance under measure-preserving maps: If preserves and is measurable, then , allowing infinity. If is integrable real or complex valued, is integrable and the same equality holds. Conversely, for a measurable self-map, equality for every measurable indicator implies measure preservation.
Proof
Given: The objects, hypotheses and definitions in the statement. Its conclusions are to be established below.
Set so by F1. For , the finite averages are measurable by F2, and is extended-real measurable by F3.
At every and every , . This implies even if is infinite: multiplying a real sequence by positive factors tending to one preserves finite limsup by eventual upper bounds and a subsequence tending to that limsup; if the limsup is positive infinity there is a subsequence tending to positive infinity, and if it is negative infinity all sufficiently late terms lie below every fixed negative bound. Subtraction of tends to zero because is finite everywhere. Thus for every the measurable set is strictly invariant.
Let , an integrable function. Strict invariance in step 1.2 gives for . Outside all these sums vanish; inside the defining strict limsup gives some positive sum. Thus , and F4 gives .
By F5, P(D) is zero or one. If it were one, step 1.1 would give , contrary to step 2.1. Hence P(D)=0. Apply this conclusion to h and -h and to =1/m for every positive integer m. F6 makes the union of the exceptional events null, so almost surely. This proves the almost-sure assertion.
For each integer put and . Step 3.1 applied to f_K gives almost surely, and . F7 yields .
By F8 and F9, and . Consequently . Dominated convergence makes the first term tend to zero as K increases, uniformly in n; step 4.1 then handles the second term with K fixed. This proves convergence.
Birkhoff strong law for iid coordinate shifts
Statement
Assume AC. On the canonical countable product of an integrable real probability law, the left shift is measure preserving and ergodic. Its coordinate averages converge almost surely and in to the common mean by the ergodic theorem.
Facts & Assumptions
The Axiom of Choice: The Axiom of Choice (AC) is the following statement.
Every family of nonempty sets has a choice function (def-choice-function).
Written out: for every set all of whose members are nonempty, there exists a function with domain satisfying for all .
An equivalent formulation is that a product of nonempty sets is nonempty: if for every , then . Here is the set of functions with domain such that for every ; when a family of nonempty sets is indexed by itself, such an is precisely a choice function for it.
The Axiom of Countable Choice (): The Axiom of Countable Choice, written , is the following statement.
For every family of nonempty sets indexed by there is a function with domain such that for every .
Equivalently, in the vocabulary of def-choice-function: every at most countable family of nonempty sets (def-countable) has a choice function.
The recursion theorem: Let be a Peano system (def-peano-system), in particular the natural numbers (def-natural-numbers). For any set , any element , and any function , there is a unique function such that and for all .
The axiom of dependent choice: a relation in which every element is related to something admits an -indexed chain: Let be a set and let be a binary relation on . Call entire on when
The Axiom of Dependent Choice, written , is the following statement.
For every nonempty set , every relation entire on , and every , there is a function (def-function, def-natural-numbers) with
Here a sequence in means a function from to , not necessarily a real-valued sequence. As everywhere in this library contains , and the sequence is indexed from ; the term is the prescribed starting point and every later term is related to its predecessor.
What DC adds to what came before. def-choice-function and def-axiom-of-choice select one element from each member of a family that is fixed in advance, and def-countable-choice does the same for a family indexed by . In both, the family is given before any selection is made. DC is the principle needed when the -th set to select from is not known until the first selections have been made: here the admissible values of are exactly the -successors of , so the family being chosen from is built along the choosing. That is precisely the situation does not cover, and it is why a construction "pick depending on , for every at once" is not licensed by countable choice.
The starting point may be dropped. The formally weaker statement obtained by deleting the clause — for every nonempty and every entire there is a sequence with for all — is an immediate consequence of the form above, since is nonempty and any of its elements may be taken as . The reverse derivation is standard and is not needed anywhere in this library, so it is not carried out; every use below prescribes .
need not be an order and the terms need not be distinct. What DC delivers is a sequence, that is a function , not a chain in the order-theoretic sense (def-chain). The relation may be symmetric, and the sequence may repeat a value or be constant; all that is asserted is at every index.
Assuming countable and dependent choice, countable products of arbitrary probability spaces: Assume countable choice and dependent choice. For probability spaces there is a unique probability measure on the canonical countable-product sigma-algebra having the prescribed finite product marginals.
Coordinate random elements of a countable product are independent: Under the measure of F5, the coordinate maps have laws and are independent.
Measure preservation can be checked on a generating pi-system: Let be measurable on . Let be a -system generating , with an increasing sequence covering and satisfying . If for every , then preserves . For finite , a generating -system can be enlarged by to meet the exhaustion condition.
Kolmogorov zero-one law: Let be an independent sequence of random elements, and let be its tail -algebra. Then every event satisfies
Ergodicity relative to an invariant measure: A measure-preserving system is ergodic for if each has or , with as in def-strict-and-mod-null-invariant--algebras. For a probability system this means . The definition is relative to the invariant measure; no probability assumption is implicit in the general null/conull formulation.
Birkhoff's theorem for an ergodic probability system: If is an ergodic measure-preserving transformation of a probability space and is an integrable real-valued measurable function, then almost surely and in . Invertibility is not required.
Proof
Given: The objects, hypotheses and definitions in the statement. Its conclusions are to be established below.
AC (F1) selects a member of each set in any prescribed countable nonempty family, giving F2. For an entire relation R on a nonempty A, AC selects for every a. F3 iterates s from any prescribed , yielding and thus F4. Hence F5 has its CC and DC hypotheses satisfied and constructs the canonical countable product; F6 gives its coordinate maps their common law and independence.
Write . Pullbacks of finite coordinate cylinders are cylinders with shifted indices, so T is measurable. The product of the marginal probabilities of any such cylinder is unchanged on shifting all indices. F7 therefore extends equality of cylinder probabilities to all product-measurable sets, proving measure preservation.
If a measurable E is strictly invariant, for every n. For each n, the class of sets B whose belongs to is a -algebra containing the cylinders, hence contains E. Thus E belongs to the coordinate tail -algebra. F8 gives P(E) in {0,1}, which is precisely F9.
The zeroth coordinate f(x)= is integrable with integral equal to the common mean. Step 1.2 and step 1.3 verify the system hypotheses of F10. Its averages are exactly for , so both asserted modes of convergence follow without using the IID strong-law proof.
Strong law does not assert a rate
Remarks
The conclusion of Kolmogorov iid l1 strong law is almost-sure convergence of sample means. It specifies no numerical rate of decay of the error. The finite-variance logarithmic-rate theorem requires an additional second-moment assumption; neither that assumption nor a law of the iterated logarithm is implicit in the law.
Finite variance logarithmic rate for iid sums
Statement
If IID real variables have mean and finite variance v, then for every , almost surely, with the displayed normalization used for .
Facts & Assumptions
Order, continuity, range, and the product, quotient, and reciprocal laws for the natural logarithm: The function is continuous and strictly increasing, is onto , and satisfies, for , Also .
Continuity and derivatives of positive-base real powers: For , the function is continuous on and For , the function is continuous and differentiable on , with
If eventually, convergence of gives convergence of , and divergence of gives divergence of : Let and be sequences of reals and suppose there is with
Then:
- if converges then converges (def-series);
- if diverges then diverges.
The same statement holds verbatim for series with a general starting index , applied to the shifted sequences of def-series.
The hypothesis is on the terms from some index on, not on all of them: finitely many terms of either sequence may violate it, or be negative, without affecting the conclusion. What may not be dropped is nonnegativity of from that index on.
Strong law under summable normalized variances: Let be independent square-integrable real random variables. Let be deterministic and nondecreasing with . If then In particular, for IID centered square-integrable variables and any , almost surely (the displayed normalization is used for ).
Proof
Given: The objects, hypotheses and definitions in the statement. Its conclusions are to be established below.
Fix >0 and put /2+. By F1, log for . The derivatives in F2 show that positive powers are increasing; thus is positive and increasing for and tends to infinity. Set = to obtain a positive nondecreasing sequence at every index.
Using integer powers of 2 and F3, for with , . There are terms in this block, so its sum is at most . F4 and F5 bound all partial sums of the nonnegative block series, because 1+2epsilon>1. Therefore , including the single finite term.
The original variables are independent and square-integrable. Step 1.1 and step 1.2 verify all hypotheses of the general normalized-variance conclusion of F6. It gives almost surely, as required for the arbitrarily fixed .
5 · Examples, counterexamples and false statements
None yet.
Sources
- Durrett, §§2.4–2.5, pp. 76–87
- Roch, Note 5, Theorems 5.8–5.9, printed pp. 5–6 (mutual independence specialization only)
- Durrett, Theorem 2.3.8 and §2.4
- Durrett, Theorem 2.4.1, Lemmas 2.4.2–2.4.4 and complete proof, pp. 76–78
- Durrett, Probability: Theory and Examples, 5th ed., Lemma 6.2.2, printed p.335; complete proof read
- Durrett, Probability: Theory and Examples, 5th ed., Theorem 6.2.1 and its complete proof, printed pp.335–337; ergodic specialization proved without conditional expectation
- Durrett, Examples 6.1.4–6.1.5 pp.332–333; Theorem 6.2.1, Lemma 6.2.2 and Example 6.2.3, pp.335–337
- Durrett, Theorem 2.5.11, p. 87; Roch, Theorem 5.9, pp. 5–6