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Minimax Lower Bounds
1 · Prerequisites
- Absolute and Conditional Convergence; Rearrangement; Products
- Algebraic Closure, Embeddings, and Separability
- Algebraic Extensions, Extension Degree, and Finite Fields
- Areas of Elementary Plane Figures
- Binary Operations, Monoids, Groups and Subgroups
- Central Limit Theorems
- Characteristic Functions Inversion and Continuity
- Compactness
- Compactness in Metric Spaces
- Completeness, Completion, and Uniform Continuity
- Complex Lp Spaces and Test-Function Conventions
- Composition Series, the Jordan–Hölder Theorem and Solvable Groups
- Conditional Distributions and Regular Conditional Probability
- Congruences, the Integers Modulo n and the Chinese Remainder Theorem
- Construction of the Natural Numbers
- Construction of the Real Numbers via Cauchy Sequences
- Construction of the Real Numbers via Dedekind Cuts
- Continuity, IVT, EVT, and Uniform Continuity
- Convexity
- Cosets, Index and Lagrange's Theorem
- Countability and Uncountability
- Countability Axioms and Cardinal Functions
- Cyclic Groups and Direct Products
- Darboux, L'Hôpital, and Taylor's Theorem
- Density Separability and Convolution in Lᵖ
- Determinants of Matrices over a Commutative Ring
- Diagonalisation and the Minimal Polynomial
- Divisibility, Euclidean Domains, Principal Ideal Domains and Unique Factorisation
- Divisibility, Greatest Common Divisors and Bézout's Identity
- Domination and Likelihood Ratios
- Dual Spaces, Bilinear and Quadratic Forms, and Sylvester's Law of Inertia
- Eigenvalues, Eigenvectors and the Characteristic Polynomial
- Estimators and Randomized Procedures
- Filters and Ultrafilters
- Finite Counting, Factorials and Binomial Coefficients
- Finite Probability and the Probabilistic Method
- Foundations of the Real Numbers for Analysis
- Fourier Transform Convolution and Approximate Identities
- Fubini and Change of Variables
- Fundamental Trigonometric Identities
- Gaussian Elimination, Elementary Matrices and Reduced Row Echelon Form
- Group Actions, Orbits, Stabilisers and Cayley's Theorem
- Group Homomorphisms and the Isomorphism Theorems
- Hausdorff via the Diagonal
- Ideals, Quotient Rings and the Isomorphism Theorems for Rings
- Improper and Parameter-Dependent Multiple Integrals
- Improper Integrals
- Independence Borel Cantelli and Zero One Laws
- Infinite Product Measures and Kolmogorov Extension
- Inner Product Spaces, Gram-Schmidt, Projections and Adjoints
- Lebesgue Measure on Euclidean Space
- Limits of Real Functions
- limsup, liminf, and Subsequential Limits
- Linear Independence, Bases and Dimension
- Linear Transformations, Rank-Nullity and Quotient Spaces
- Loss, Risk and Decision Theory
- Matrices, the Matrix of a Linear Map, and Change of Basis
- Measurable Functions and Simple Approximation
- Measures and Their Basic Properties
- Metric Spaces
- Mixed Partials, Taylor Formulae, and Extrema
- Modes of Convergence Egorov and Lusin
- Monotone Functions, Discontinuities, and Continuity Sets
- Monotone Sequences, Bolzano-Weierstrass, and Cauchy Completeness
- Normal Subgroups and Quotient Groups
- Order, Zorn's Lemma, and the Axiom of Choice
- Outer Measure and the Caratheodory Extension Theorem
- Partitions of Unity and Paracompactness
- Pointwise Extended-Real Function Products
- Polynomial Rings, the Division Algorithm and Roots
- Power Series and Real-Analytic Functions
- Primes, Euclid's Lemma and the Fundamental Theorem of Arithmetic
- Probability Spaces Random Variables and Expectation
- Product Measures and the Fubini Tonelli Theorems
- Properties of the Integral and the Working FTC
- Radon Measures and the Riesz Markov Kakutani Theorem
- Relations, Functions, and Quotients
- Rings, Subrings, Integral Domains and Fields
- Rⁿ as a Normed Space; Vector-Valued Functions
- Roots, Rational Powers, and Classical Inequalities
- Separation Axioms: the Hierarchy
- Sequences and Limits
- Sequences and Series of Functions; Uniform Convergence
- Series: Convergence and the Nonnegative Tests
- Sigma Algebras and Borel Sets
- Signed and Complex Measures Hahn and Jordan
- Simple Field Extensions and the Construction of the Complex Numbers
- Sine, Cosine, and the Definition of Pi
- Splitting Fields
- Stationary Markov Chains and Ergodic Limits
- Statistical Experiments, Models and Identifiability
- Subspaces, Products, and Quotients
- Suprema and Infima
- Sylow's Theorems, p-Groups and Nilpotent Groups
- Symmetric Groups, Cycle Decomposition and the Sign Homomorphism
- The Cantor Set, Baire Category, and Measure Zero in ℝ
- The Complex Exponential and Euler's Formula
- The Derivative and the Mean Value Theorems
- The Determinant of a Linear Operator, Cofactors and Cramer's Rule
- The Exponential Function
- The Fundamental Theorem of Algebra
- The Fundamental Theorem of Finite Abelian Groups
- The Galois Correspondence
- The Integral Logarithm and the Equivalence of Its Characterisations
- The Inverse and Implicit Function Theorems
- The Lebesgue and Riemann Integrals Compared
- The Lebesgue Integral and the Convergence Theorems
- The Logarithm and General Powers
- The Lᵖ Spaces Holder Minkowski and Riesz Fischer
- The Maximal Function and Lebesgue Differentiation
- The Radon Nikodym Theorem and Lebesgue Decomposition
- The Riemann Integral in Rᵐ and Jordan Content
- The Riemann Integral: Definition and Integrability
- The Spectral Theorem, Positive Operators and Singular Value Decomposition
- The Topology of Euclidean Space
- The Total Derivative in ℝᵐ → ℝⁿ
- The ZFC Axioms and the Basic Set Constructions
- Topological Spaces and Continuity
- Topology of ℝ
- Triangularisation, Generalised Eigenspaces and Jordan Canonical Form
- Urysohn's Lemma and the Tietze Extension Theorem
- Vector Spaces, Linear Subspaces, Span and Direct Sums
- Weak Convergence Tightness and Representation
2 · Summary
This page builds finite-sample minimax lower bounds from KL divergence and the event-supremum total-variation convention defined on the stationary Markov-chain page. It defines directional KL and finite uniform-hypothesis mutual information, proves Pinsker’s inequality with the matching factor of , and proves finite-product KL additivity under independence. Two-point testing, Fano packing, and Assouad’s hypercube arguments cover arbitrary randomized kernels and reduce squared loss to testing error explicitly. A local Gaussian KL formula and sparse block-code packing supply the calculations used by the companion examples. AC is stated at the Radon–Nikodym and Gaussian-construction steps; the finite testing and coding arguments add no choice. The plan also lists the concentration page as a prerequisite; no concentration inequality is used by these lower-bound proofs.
3 · Logical flowchart
4 · Definitions, theorems and proofs
A sparse Hamming packing for every
Statement
Let be natural numbers with . Let and be the natural quotients determined by Thus . Write and give the Hamming distance . There is a set such that distinct satisfy and For each , place one in each of the first disjoint coordinate blocks of size , at position in block , and put in all remaining coordinates of . The resulting vectors have exactly nonzero coordinates and satisfy
Facts & Assumptions
Given: Natural numbers and the conventions in the Statement.
The naturals embed in the integers gives an order-preserving and order-reflecting arithmetic embedding whose image is exactly the nonnegative integers. By Discreteness: is the immediate successor, a positive integer has , hence . Identify with their integer images. Division with remainder in : for and there are unique with and gives integers with , , and , . In the ordered ring of The integers form a totally ordered ring, would imply , so , contrary to ; likewise would imply . Thus the quotients and remainders are nonnegative integers. The embedding lemma therefore supplies unique naturals with these integer images, and transfers the identities and inequalities to , , , and . The real-embedding bridge in [F2] transfers to in . If or , the first division identity gives or , contradicting . Thus .
The natural numbers (von Neumann), The cardinality of a finite set, The set of functions between finite sets is finite, with , Exponentiation of natural numbers, , and its agreement with the integer power in , and The binomial theorem in : : is finite with natural cardinality , and a finite set admits a bijection with its cardinality. Let be the canonical natural embedding used by the binomial theorem and natural-power bridge; Clauses 0, 6, and 7 of Laws of finite sums and products in , and establish that it preserves addition and multiplication (including zero arguments), carries finite natural sums and products to the corresponding real sums and products, and is an order-embedding. Applying its finite-product bridge to the constant list of copies of , with the natural-power definition, gives . Throughout the Statement and proof, a natural number or finite cardinality in a real expression means its image under ; in particular, the displayed logarithmic bound means .
The set of -element subsets and the binomial coefficient , The product rule: , and , and The sum rule: a finite disjoint union is finite with and , and a sum over a finite index set splits along a partition: counts -element subsets of ; finite products multiply cardinalities and disjoint finite unions add them.
The binomial theorem in : : for real , the binomial theorem is the real identity ; each natural binomial coefficient is carried into by .
The integral logarithm for , The natural logarithm as the inverse of the exponential function, Higher derivatives and the classes and , The integral logarithm satisfies for and , The integral logarithm satisfies for all positive and , Order, continuity, range, and the product, quotient, and reciprocal laws for the natural logarithm, Sums, scalar multiples, products and quotients: , , , and when , The chain rule, in one line from Carathéodory: if is differentiable at and is differentiable at , then is differentiable at with , The mean value theorem, as the case of Cauchy's: for continuous on with and differentiable on there is with , The integral logarithm is continuous and strictly increasing on , , , and in particular , and The integral logarithm is the published natural logarithm: , it is the inverse of with derivative , is strictly increasing, its derivative obeys the chain and algebra rules, and it satisfies the product and integer-power identities.
The real exponential function and the number by a power series and The exponential function is strictly increasing: because and is strictly increasing; the inverse identity is recorded in [F5].
Proof
Put and fix a bijection from the finite initial segment of size onto , whose existence is [F2]. Scan that finite segment in its natural order, retaining a word exactly when its Hamming distance from every previously retained word is greater than . The scan terminates; its retained set has pairwise distances greater than , and every word not retained lies in a radius- ball about an earlier retained word.
A Hamming ball of radius has cardinality : choose the coordinates that differ and then one of the other symbols at each such coordinate; different values of give disjoint sets, so [F3] counts the union.
Regard natural quantities as their real images under as fixed in [F2]. Since and , , and the natural-power bridge in [F2] and the integer-power identity in [F5] give . Put and . The binomial weight equals ; its exponent decreases with because . Hence for every this weight is at least . Applying [F4] and retaining only gives . Since preserves finite sums, products and natural powers, the ball count then satisfies .
Each greedy selection deletes at most words and all words are eventually deleted. Thus the natural counts satisfy . The code is nonempty and , so after applying all logarithms below have positive arguments; [F2] gives . Combining this with step 2.1 and the logarithm product and integer-power identities in [F5] yields , where for real .
If , then : the lower right-endpoint sum on gives , while . By [F1] and [F2], and , since ; also . Hence .
For real , monotonicity of gives , since and step 4.1 gives . The chain and algebra rules in [F5] give and , so the derivative of their difference is at least . The mean value theorem in [F5] makes increasing for . At , it exceeds , since . Since , take . The division identity gives , so .
Steps 3.1, 4.1, and 5.1 prove the claimed cardinality bound. Index the coordinates by and map each word to the vector specified in the Statement; the first coordinates contain the blocks because by [F1]. Each word gives one nonzero coordinate in each block, so has exactly ones. If two words differ in blocks, their vectors differ in exactly two coordinates per such block. Since , discreteness of gives , and [F1] gives ; after applying the order-preserving map in [F2], . Therefore .
Remarks
The cited sparse Varshamov–Gilbert lemma in Rigollet–Hütter is stated for . The proof above supplies the wider range used by the example through a block code; the source citation is context, not a substitute for this local proof.
Kullback–Leibler divergence
Definition
Let be probability measures on the same measurable space (Probability measures and probability spaces). Absolute continuity has the convention of Absolute continuity of a signed or complex measure with respect to a positive measure. If , define . If , assume AC (The Axiom of Choice) as in Likelihood ratio as a Radon–Nikodym derivative and let be a finite-valued nonnegative measurable representative of its Radon–Nikodym class; such a representative exists by A sigma-finite positive measure has a nonnegative Radon–Nikodym density version. On set , and on set . This function is measurable: for , , and for , , by the inverse and monotonicity properties of the natural logarithm (The natural logarithm as the inverse of the exponential function, Order, continuity, range, and the product, quotient, and reciprocal laws for the natural logarithm). These are measurable sets by Extended-real-valued measurable functions. Since by Likelihood-ratio change of measure, the value chosen there does not affect . Define where is the natural logarithm (The natural logarithm as the inverse of the exponential function).
The definition is independent of the representative: two representatives agree -almost everywhere, hence -almost everywhere. Put The function is continuous at zero: for , Thus as ; here by The integral logarithm is the published natural logarithm and The integral logarithm for . On , is a product of continuous functions by Order, continuity, range, and the product, quotient, and reciprocal laws for the natural logarithm and Sums, scalar multiples, products, absolute values, maxima, minima and quotients with nonvanishing denominator of continuous functions are continuous, as are constants, the identity and every polynomial function, so is continuous on and is measurable by Extended-real-valued measurable functions. Its signed integral is defined by the positive and negative parts (The positive and negative parts of a function, The nonnegative Lebesgue integral).
For , the function has derivative and maximum at : by The real exponential function and the number by a power series and The exponential function is strictly increasing, by The exponential is positive and satisfies , and by Order, continuity, range, and the product, quotient, and reciprocal laws for the natural logarithm and the inverse definition. The mean value theorem gives increase before and decrease after this point (Sums, scalar multiples, products and quotients: , , , and when , The integral logarithm satisfies for and , The integral logarithm is the published natural logarithm, The mean value theorem, as the case of Cauchy's: for continuous on with and differentiable on there is with ). At the negative part is zero. Since is a probability measure, The change-of-measure identity of Likelihood-ratio change of measure, applied to gives , so is well-defined; applying it to both positive and negative parts gives with and a finite negative part. Therefore the extended integral is well-defined without an ambiguity.
This convention is directional: the first argument must be absolutely continuous with respect to the second for the integral formula to apply.
Mutual information for a finite uniform hypothesis experiment
Definition
Let be an integer, let be probability measures on one measurable sample space, and let be uniform on . Conditional on , let the observation have law . Define the mixture law and the mutual information of this finite experiment by The set function is a probability measure: for disjoint measurable sets , countable additivity of the gives The finite sum commutes with the increasing partial-sum limits of these nonnegative series, so so is countably additive; also and . Here is the directional KL divergence of Kullback–Leibler divergence, and logarithms are natural. For every measurable , , so . Let be a finite-valued nonnegative density representative provided by Kullback–Leibler divergence. If , then for some integer the set has positive -measure. The change-of-measure identity Likelihood-ratio change of measure would give contradicting . Hence almost everywhere. The densities also satisfy -almost everywhere: for each measurable , so and the constant function are both densities of with respect to itself. They agree almost everywhere by A sigma-finite signed measure that is absolutely continuous with respect to a sigma-finite positive measure has a unique almost-everywhere density. For , the positive part of is at most , while its negative part is bounded by in Kullback–Leibler divergence. Thus every term in the finite sum is well-defined and finite.
The uniform prior is part of this definition. A nonuniform prior requires its own weights in the mixture and in the KL average.
Pinsker’s inequality with event-supremum total variation
Statement
Assume AC. For probability measures on one measurable space, with the event-supremum convention without a factor , If , the right side is by the definition of KL divergence.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: AC and probability measures on the same measurable space.
The Axiom of Choice: AC supplies the Radon–Nikodym construction used by the KL divergence.
Kullback–Leibler divergence and Likelihood-ratio change of measure: if , then ; if with , then for every measurable , so , and with and finite negative part.
Total variation distance for probability laws: ; this convention has no factor .
Jensen's integral inequality for a probability measure: for a probability measure, an integrable real function , and convex with integrable, .
The natural logarithm as the inverse of the exponential function, Order, continuity, range, and the product, quotient, and reciprocal laws for the natural logarithm, Higher derivatives and the classes and , The integral logarithm satisfies for and , The integral logarithm is the published natural logarithm, Sums, scalar multiples, products and quotients: , , , and when , The chain rule, in one line from Carathéodory: if is differentiable at and is differentiable at , then is differentiable at with , and The mean value theorem, as the case of Cauchy's: for continuous on with and differentiable on there is with : the identity transfers to ; products and compositions obey the derivative rules; and the mean value theorem applies on closed subintervals of . Also as : for , using and .
Proof
If or , the inequality is immediate. Otherwise let and for , with . By [F4] and the product rule, for . The mean value theorem in [F4] makes increasing and hence convex on . The limit in [F4] makes this extension continuous at zero, so is convex on . Since is finite and its negative part is bounded by [F1], is -integrable. Jensen [F3] and give .
Fix a measurable event , and put , . If , absolute continuity gives , so step 1.1 yields . If , normalize on and on . Their averages of are and . Applying [F3] on each normalized probability space and adding yields with by continuity.
For fixed , define on . Differentiating by [F4] gives on . For with , the mean value theorem applied to on shows , and applied to on shows . For with , the same two applications on show and . The limit in [F4] makes continuous at , so the inequality extends to those endpoints. If or , absolute continuity gives and equality. Thus in every case.
Combining steps 2.1 and 3.1 gives for every measurable . Since the square is increasing on , its supremum is the square of the supremum; using [F2] yields , which is the claimed inequality.
Additivity of KL divergence for finite product laws
Statement
Assume AC. Let with . For each , let be a measurable space and let be probability measures on it. On the finite product measurable space set With the KL convention of Kullback–Leibler divergence, where a sum with an infinite term is .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: AC, a natural number , measurable spaces for , probability laws , and their finite product measures .
The Axiom of Choice: AC is assumed by the Radon–Nikodym suppliers in the KL definition.
Kullback–Leibler divergence and The Radon-Nikodym derivative as an almost-everywhere equivalence class: if , its density is an almost-everywhere class satisfying , and ; the negative part is finite.
The product sigma-algebra and its finite iterates and The product measure of two sigma-finite measure spaces: finite products use the iterated product sigma-algebra and product measures whose rectangle values are the products of factor measures.
For sigma-finite factors, the product measure exists, has the rectangle formula, is sigma-finite, and is unique and Measures agreeing on a generating pi-system are equal under an increasing finite-measure exhaustion from that pi-system: product measures have the rectangle formula and are determined by it on the generating rectangles.
The measure with density relative to and The indefinite integral of a nonnegative measurable function is a measure: a nonnegative measurable density defines the measure by .
Tonelli's theorem for nonnegative measurable functions on a sigma-finite product and Fubini's theorem for L^1 functions on a sigma-finite product: nonnegative product integrals factor by Tonelli, and integrable product functions may be integrated sectionwise by Fubini.
Proof
If for some , choose with . Let , where and for . The product rectangle has and by [F2, F3]. Hence , so the left side is ; the corresponding term on the right is also and the equality holds.
Now suppose for every , and choose nonnegative representatives . Define . Each coordinate function is measurable by the finite product sigma-algebra definition: its level-set preimages are measurable rectangles. Hence the vector of coordinate values is measurable, since rectangles generate the Borel sigma-algebra of ; composing with the continuous multiplication map gives measurable . Repeated Tonelli and the rectangle formulas give for every measurable rectangle ; applying the same calculation to the full space gives .
The measure is a probability measure by [F4] and step 1.2. The product rectangles form a generating pi-system and the finite product spaces are sigma-finite, so [F3] and the rectangle identity in step 1.2 imply on the entire product sigma-algebra. Therefore as a Radon–Nikodym class.
Each is finite -almost everywhere because , and ; thus -almost everywhere. Therefore [F6] gives -almost everywhere. Each has integrable negative part by [F1], and the negative part of their finite sum is bounded by the sum of those negative parts. Split each summand into positive and negative parts: Tonelli factors each nonnegative part through the product law, and Fubini applies to the negative parts, which are integrable. Hence, allowing for positive parts, By [F1] and step 2.1 the left side is , proving the claim.
KL divergence between equal-variance Gaussian location laws
Statement
Assume AC and let and . For the normal location laws with common variance ,
Facts & Assumptions
Given: AC, real means , and a positive scale .
The Axiom of Choice: AC supplies the normal-law construction and the Radon–Nikodym assumptions used by the KL definition.
Standard normal and normal laws: is the law of when has standard normal law, whose density is .
The standard normal density has total mass one: is a probability density on .
AC supplies countable selections and prescribed serial paths: AC supplies countable choice, the axiom required by the change-of-variables supplier.
A C^1 diffeomorphism satisfies the change-of-variables formula for nonnegative Lebesgue measurable functions: for a diffeomorphism and nonnegative measurable , .
Integrating against a density agrees with integrating the product: for nonnegative measurable .
The natural logarithm as the inverse of the exponential function: the natural logarithm is the inverse of the real exponential, so . For positive , (Order, continuity, range, and the product, quotient, and reciprocal laws for the natural logarithm).
Multivariate normal law, including singular covariance: a normal law with mean has expectation ; in dimension one this is the scalar law .
Kullback–Leibler divergence: for , .
Proof
Set . Apply [F4] to with ; since by [F1], for every nonnegative Borel , Thus has Lebesgue density ; the same calculation gives for . Both are strictly positive. Let . By [F5], for every Borel set , so .
For every , cancel the common positive prefactor of and and apply the quotient law and inverse identity in [F6] to obtain This affine function is integrable under , whose mean is by [F7].
By [F8] and step 1.2, The identity also covers , when both sides are zero.
Two-point Le Cam lower bound for squared-error risk
Statement
Let an experiment have parameter set , sample space , and laws . Let the scalar targets satisfy and put . An arbitrary randomized estimator is a probability kernel from to with its Borel sigma-algebra, and its loss at parameter is squared error . For every such , where . Consequently the minimax risk over all randomized estimators obeys the same lower bound.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The finite-parameter statistical experiment with laws , targets , and an arbitrary randomized estimator kernel .
Statistical experiments and Parameter-measurable statistical models as kernels: the parameter set has its power-set sigma-algebra and its model assigns the sample law to parameter .
Randomized procedures as probability kernels: for every measurable action event , is measurable and is a probability measure in for fixed .
Loss functions and risk: for a nonnegative jointly measurable loss , the risk is , with an extended nonnegative value allowed.
Total variation distance for probability laws: with the event-supremum convention, .
Bayes risk and minimax risk: the maximum risk of a procedure is and minimax risk is the infimum of this maximum over all procedures.
Proof
Put and define the randomized test . It is measurable and lies in by [F2]. Under parameter , every action in has squared error at least ; under parameter , every action in has squared error at least . Hence
For each integer , let . Then . By [F4], each event term satisfies , so . The two integral errors from replacing by have total absolute value at most ; letting gives Combining with step 1.1 and using proves the risk bound. Taking the infimum over and applying [F5] proves the minimax assertion.
Assouad lower bound for a squared-error hypercube
Statement
Let , , and consider the finite experiment indexed by with sample laws . The target is , the action is in , and loss is squared Euclidean distance. For each coordinate , let denote the vector with bit flipped, and set For every randomized estimator kernel , and the same lower bound holds for the minimax risk. The total variation convention is .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: A positive integer , a number , the finite hypercube experiment, and an arbitrary randomized action kernel .
Statistical experiments and Parameter-measurable statistical models as kernels: the parameter set is finite with its power-set sigma-algebra and the model assigns to .
Randomized procedures as probability kernels: action-event probabilities are measurable, and each is a probability measure.
Loss functions and risk: the squared-error risk is the nonnegative kernel integral .
Total variation distance for probability laws: total variation is the event supremum and lies in .
Bayes risk and minimax risk: minimax risk is the infimum over procedures of the supremum of their risks.
Proof
For each coordinate , define . This is a measurable -valued function by [F2]. If the true bit is , an action counted by has coordinate squared error at least ; if the true bit is , an action outside that event has coordinate squared error at least . Thus where .
For any two probability laws and measurable , the finite approximants satisfy . By [F4], , and the replacement error is at most . Letting gives . Applying the same result to gives For each coordinate, pair every hypercube vertex with bit to the unique neighbor with bit . There are such pairs, and each pair's two testing errors in step 1.1 sum to at least . Averaging over all vertices therefore gives average coordinate error at least . This establishes the coordinate error bound.
Average the risk bound in step 1.1 over the vertices. Step 2.1 shows that the average risk is at least . The supremum of finitely many risks is at least their arithmetic mean, so every has maximum risk at least this amount. Taking the infimum over procedures using [F5] proves the minimax bound.
Fano’s packing bound with a reference-distribution KL bound
Statement
Assume AC. Let be finite, let be sample laws on one measurable space, and let lie in a metric space with its Borel sigma-algebra. Suppose whenever . Let be uniform on , with conditional observation law given . For any probability reference law , define For every randomized estimator kernel from the observation to , with squared metric loss , its uniform average risk and its maximum risk are each at least The minimax risk over all randomized estimators obeys this bound as well. When , the displayed lower bound is interpreted as and is vacuous. Logarithms are natural.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: AC; a finite uniform hypothesis experiment, pairwise separated targets, a probability reference law , and an arbitrary estimator kernel.
The Axiom of Choice: AC supplies the Radon–Nikodym derivatives in the directional KL definition.
Mutual information for a finite uniform hypothesis experiment: for the uniform index, is a probability measure, , the densities satisfy and almost everywhere, and .
Kullback–Leibler divergence, The Radon-Nikodym derivative as an almost-everywhere equivalence class, and Likelihood-ratio change of measure: when , with ; otherwise it is . The negative part of is pointwise bounded by , so its integral under any probability reference law is at most . Densities can be integrated against their reference laws to recover the original measures.
The natural logarithm as the inverse of the exponential function, The integral logarithm for , The integral logarithm is the published natural logarithm, Higher derivatives and the classes and , Order, continuity, range, and the product, quotient, and reciprocal laws for the natural logarithm, The integral logarithm satisfies for and , Sums, scalar multiples, products and quotients: , , , and when , The chain rule, in one line from Carathéodory: if is differentiable at and is differentiable at , then is differentiable at with , The mean value theorem, as the case of Cauchy's: for continuous on with and differentiable on there is with , and Jensen's integral inequality for a probability measure: transfers to ; products and compositions obey the derivative rules; and Jensen's inequality applies to an integrable convex transform. The function for , extended by , is continuous at zero: for , by and . Since for , the mean value theorem makes it convex on ; continuity extends convexity to .
Probability measures and probability spaces and The cardinality of a finite set: finite probability vectors have entropy , with .
Randomized procedures as probability kernels: the estimator's action probabilities are measurable in the observation and form a probability measure for each observation.
Loss functions and risk: a nonnegative loss with a measurable action section at each parameter has risk given by its iterated integral against the sample law and action kernel. Here each section is continuous, hence Borel measurable.
Parameter-measurable statistical models as kernels and Bayes risk and minimax risk: give the finite parameter set its power-set sigma-algebra. The model is then a probability kernel. The squared metric loss is jointly measurable: the inverse image of any Borel set is the finite union . Thus the uniform average risk is a Bayes risk, and minimax risk is the infimum of maximum risk over procedures.
Proof
Since , each . Choose densities and set . Then -almost everywhere and by [F1]. The mutual-information definition [F1] and KL formula [F2] give All terms are integrable because is bounded on and the sum is finite.
Let be any randomized decision in based on , with given by its probability kernel. Put . When , the conditional probability vector of given has entries . Apply Jensen to for each coordinate under the probability measure , sum over , and use . The result is . Multiplication by and summation over positive yields ; zero-probability outputs contribute zero. Hence by step 1.1.
If some , then and the bound is vacuous. Otherwise write . If the positive part of has infinite integral, then ; if it is finite, the negative part is finite by [F2] and Jensen [F3] for the convex function gives . Thus every divergence is nonnegative; therefore implies that every term is finite. Set . On , -almost everywhere: by [F2], for every measurable , , where from step 1.1; uniqueness of the density gives the identity. Hence . This is integrable: , for by [F2], and for by monotonicity in [F3], while has integral one. The identity holds on ; on all and every term is set to zero. Jensen and [F3] give , so its positive part is integrable; its negative part is bounded by [F2]. Integrating the identity and averaging therefore gives Finally Jensen under the probability law yields . Therefore .
For the error event , is determined by , so . Expanding the finite conditional entropy sums and factoring gives For each conditional law, entropy on at most points is at most : if its probabilities are , Jensen for gives , which rearranges to . Thus ; when , has entropy zero, and when , at most indices remain, so . Combining this with step 2.1 and from step 2.2 proves when ; for the bound is vacuous.
Given an estimator action , choose to be the smallest index minimizing . This is a measurable finite-valued decision because each distance to a fixed target is continuous and ties are resolved by the fixed index order; composing the map with the estimator kernel gives the randomized decision kernel of step 2.1 by [F5]. If , nearest choice and the triangle inequality give , so squared loss is at least on the error event. Step 3.1 therefore gives the average risk bound. The maximum risk is at least its uniform average; taking the infimum over procedures using [F6] and [F7] gives the minimax conclusion.
5 · Examples, counterexamples and false statements
None yet.
Sources
- Philippe Rigollet and Jan-Christian Hütter, High-Dimensional Statistics: Lecture Notes, Chapter 4, Lemma 4.14
- John Duchi, Lecture Notes on Statistics and Information Theory, Chapter 8, Lemma 8.2.3
- Philippe Rigollet and Jan-Christian Hütter, High-Dimensional Statistics: Lecture Notes, Chapter 4, Definition 4.5 and Proposition 4.6
- John Duchi, Lecture Notes on Statistics and Information Theory, Chapter 8, §8.2.2
- John Duchi, Lecture Notes on Statistics and Information Theory, Chapter 8, §8.4.4, equation (8.4.4)
- Philippe Rigollet and Jan-Christian Hütter, High-Dimensional Statistics: Lecture Notes, Chapter 4, Lemma 4.8
- John Duchi, Lecture Notes on Statistics and Information Theory, Chapter 8, §8.2.2; Chapter 2, Proposition 2.2.8
- Philippe Rigollet and Jan-Christian Hütter, High-Dimensional Statistics: Lecture Notes, Chapter 4, Proposition 4.6
- John Duchi, Lecture Notes on Statistics and Information Theory, Chapter 8, §8.2.2, equation (8.2.3)
- Philippe Rigollet and Jan-Christian Hütter, High-Dimensional Statistics: Lecture Notes, Chapter 4, Example 4.7
- John Duchi, Lecture Notes on Statistics and Information Theory, Chapter 2, Example 2.1.7; Chapter 8, Example 8.4.4
- Philippe Rigollet and Jan-Christian Hütter, High-Dimensional Statistics: Lecture Notes, Chapter 4, §4.3, Le Cam reduction and equation (4.3.3)
- John Duchi, Lecture Notes on Statistics and Information Theory, Chapter 8, §8.3
- John Duchi, Lecture Notes on Statistics and Information Theory, Chapter 8, §§8.5.1–8.5.3 and §8.8.3
- Philippe Rigollet and Jan-Christian Hütter, High-Dimensional Statistics: Lecture Notes, Chapter 4, §4.4, Theorem 4.10
- John Duchi, Lecture Notes on Statistics and Information Theory, Chapter 8, §§8.4.1–8.4.4 and 8.7